BlackBear

The Black Bear Price Today & AI Analysis

BlackBearSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 13, 2026

Price

$0.043086

+7.80% 24h

Contract

Live
8X1N2HmiP11UXidmyRNHLoBGjAhXU4rk5GnrVYGYpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

948

Market cap

$30,857

At a $1M market cap, $BLACKBEAR would be $0.001000 (32.4x from today’s price)

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The Black Bear: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-13 21:17 UTC

Holder addresses

310

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$45,122.83
How concentrated is The Black Bear ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 310 addresses (2026-07-13 21:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling The Black Bear?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is The Black Bear liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-13 21:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $45,122.83. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-13 21:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 13, 09:17 PM UTC

FDV

$144,555

Liquidity

$45,122.83

Holders

310

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

The Black Bear (BlackBear) is a newly launched Solana meme token on PumpSwap with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$144.6K. The token experienced an explosive single-day launch event on July 13, 2026, surging ~73% in 24h from near-zero. However, the data reveals a highly concerning profile: the token sat dormant with only 15 holders for the entire prior 30-day period, then exploded to 310 holders within 24 hours — a classic pump launch pattern. Sell pressure dominates at 63.9% of volume, liquidity is extremely shallow at $45.1K, and top holder/concentration data is unavailable. The contract is unverified, update authority is unknown, and there are no social links.

Key points

  • Explosive single-day launch: 15 holders for 30 days, then +295 holders in 24h
  • 73.4% price surge on launch day with dominant sell pressure (63.9%)
  • Extremely shallow liquidity of only $45.1K against $144.6K FDV
  • No verified contract, no social links, unknown update authority
  • Traded on PumpSwap — consistent with a pump.fun-style launch

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is already showing a -14.7% drop in the last 5 minutes at time of analysis, with sell pressure at 63.9% of 24h volume ($78.1K sells vs $44.2K buys). The candle structure shows a massive wick from $0.0000143 to $0.0001915 in the launch candle, with price settling near $0.0001446. A retracement toward the open of the launch candle (~$0.0000294) is plausible given the sell dominance.

Target low

$0.000014

Target high

$0.000192

Support

$0.000142 (current hour open), $0.000029 (prior hour open / launch base), $0.000014 (launch candle low)

Resistance

$0.000145 (current price / recent high), $0.000191 (launch candle all-time high)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without sustained community growth, verified contract, social presence, or meaningful liquidity, the token is unlikely to maintain its launch-day price. The 30-day dormancy prior to launch and the absence of top holder data are red flags. Most pump-style tokens retrace 80–95% from their launch peak within days unless a strong narrative or influencer catalyst emerges.

Catalysts

  • Emergence of social media community or influencer promotion
  • Broader bearish market narrative aligning with token theme
  • Liquidity deepening via additional LP provision
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial 310

Bullish factors

  • 73.4% price surge on launch day demonstrates initial demand
  • 788 buy transactions from 304 unique buyers in 24h shows real participation
  • Bearish market narrative could attract thematic interest
  • Price is still above the launch candle open (~$0.0000294)

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure dominates at 63.9% of 24h volume ($78.1K vs $44.2K)
  • Token was dormant with 15 holders for 30+ days before launch — suggests coordinated pump
  • -14.7% drop in the last 5 minutes signals active selling
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($45.1K) means large slippage on any meaningful exit
  • No verified contract, no social links, unknown update authority
  • Top holder and concentration data unavailable — cannot assess dump risk from whales
  • No sniper data available to assess early buyer behavior

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, top holder data is missing, sniper data is unavailable, and the token has a less than 24-hour trading history. Predictions are based on structural patterns and volume data only.

BlackBear call history

Full track record →

Jul 13bearish
24h+36.3%
7d+453.2%
30d+555.2%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
8X1N2H...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

  • Token dormant for 30+ days with 15 holders — strong indicator of coordinated pump launch
  • Dominant sell pressure: 63.9% sell volume, 2.5:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($45.1K) creates severe exit slippage risk
  • Top holder data unavailable — cannot assess whale dump risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (20:00 UTC) is the launch candle: Open $0.0000294, High $0.0001915, Low $0.0000143, Close $0.0001427 — an enormous range candle with a massive upper wick and a lower wick below the open, indicating extreme volatility and a failed attempt to hold the high. Volume was $100,848. Candle [1] (21:00 UTC) is a narrow-range candle: Open $0.0001422, High $0.0001446, Low $0.0001422, Close $0.0001446 — a small bullish candle consolidating near the prior close, with volume dropping sharply to $14,368 (~85.7% volume decline). This consolidation after a massive wick is typical of post-pump stabilization before continuation lower.

Trend

Short-term

Sideways

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term price is consolidating in a tight range ($0.0001422–$0.0001446) after the explosive launch candle. The medium-term outlook is bearish given the dominant sell pressure, volume collapse, and lack of structural support above the launch base.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

36%

Sell

64%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000142 (current hour open, also prior candle close)

Major support

$0.000014 (launch candle absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000145 (current price / recent session high)

Major resistance

$0.000191 (launch candle all-time high)

The immediate support at $0.0001422 is the only near-term floor visible in the data. Below that, the next meaningful level is the launch candle low at $0.0000143, with the prior candle open at $0.0000294 as an intermediate reference. Resistance sits at the launch candle high of $0.0001915.

Notable patterns

  • Massive launch candle with upper wick rejection — price failed to hold near $0.0001915 high
  • Volume collapse (85.7% drop) in the candle following the launch spike — classic pump exhaustion signal
  • Narrow consolidation candle after spike — potential bear flag or dead-cat bounce formation
  • Sell transactions (1,991) outnumber buy transactions (788) by 2.5:1 — distribution pattern

Liquidity

Liquidity

$45,122.83

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $45.1K on the PumpSwap pair (BWitoefDarYnW3CX8W8FMz5G26HbikhjFUEifGRxybWS). The FDV-to-liquidity ratio is approximately 3.2:1 ($144.6K FDV vs $45.1K liquidity), meaning any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. Net flow is clearly negative: $78.1K in sell volume vs $44.2K in buy volume over 24h, a net outflow of ~$33.9K. Unique sellers (505) outnumber unique buyers (304) by 66%, and sell transactions (1,991) outnumber buy transactions (788) by 2.5:1. The 5-minute price drop of -14.7% at time of analysis confirms that even modest sell pressure causes significant price impact given the shallow liquidity. Market health is poor — this is a distribution-phase market with insufficient liquidity to support the current FDV.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

FDV

$144,555.46

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    73.4% single-day price surge followed by -14.7% in 5 minutes. Launch candle range spans from $0.0000143 to $0.0001915 — a 13x intracandle range. Extreme volatility is inherent to this token's structure.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $45.1K against a $144.6K FDV. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. The shallow pool means exit risk is very high for any holder with a position above a few hundred dollars.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Token dormant for 30+ days with 15 holders — strong indicator of coordinated pump launch
  • Dominant sell pressure: 63.9% sell volume, 2.5:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($45.1K) creates severe exit slippage risk
  • Top holder data unavailable — cannot assess whale dump risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out
  • Unverified contract with no social links or community presence
  • -14.7% price drop in 5 minutes at time of analysis — active distribution underway
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior unknown

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable: false — metadata cannot be altered
  • 304 unique buyers in 24h shows some genuine market interest
  • FDV is modest at $144.6K — limited absolute dollar downside vs larger caps
  • Traded on PumpSwap — standard DEX with on-chain transparency
  • Bearish market narrative could attract thematic buyers

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate and total loss. This is NOT financial advice.

The Black Bear is a high-risk, newly launched meme token with a bearish market narrative. The token exhibits multiple red flags consistent with a coordinated pump-and-dump: 30 days of dormancy at 15 holders, explosive single-day launch, dominant sell pressure, shallow liquidity, and unavailable holder/sniper data. While the bearish market theme could attract speculative interest, the structural evidence strongly suggests distribution rather than accumulation.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The bearish market narrative gains viral traction on social media, attracting a genuine community. Liquidity deepens, holder count grows organically beyond the initial pump, and the token establishes itself as a thematic meme play during a broader market downturn.

  • Viral social media adoption of the bearish market narrative
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving sustained buyer interest
  • Broader crypto market entering a confirmed bear phase, making the theme relevant
  • Liquidity provision increasing to reduce slippage risk

Base Case

The token experiences a typical post-launch retracement of 50–70% from its peak ($0.0001915), stabilizing in the $0.00005–$0.00008 range with a small residual community. It trades with low volume and high volatility, gradually losing relevance without a catalyst.

  • Some genuine buyers remain interested in the bearish narrative theme
  • No rug pull or authority exploit occurs
  • Liquidity remains at current shallow levels
  • No major social media catalyst emerges to reignite buying

Bear Case

High probability

Early insiders and launch-day buyers continue distributing into any price strength. Liquidity is insufficient to absorb selling pressure, price retraces 80–95% from the launch high toward the launch candle low (~$0.0000143). Token fades into obscurity with no community development.

  • Dominant sell pressure (63.9%) continues as early holders exit
  • Shallow liquidity ($45.1K) amplifies price impact of sells
  • No social links or community infrastructure to sustain interest
  • 30-day dormancy pattern consistent with coordinated pump-and-dump
  • Unknown authority status creates ongoing rug pull risk

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 13, 09:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-13 21:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (Mint: 8X1N2HmiP11UXidmyRNHLoBGjAhXU4rk5GnrVYGYpump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (BWitoefDarYnW3CX8W8FMz5G26HbikhjFUEifGRxybWS)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles available)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyers, sellers, transactions)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
  • Holder distribution and acquisition data
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data entirely unavailable — whale/concentration risk cannot be properly assessed
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer behavior unknown
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status all unknown
  • Supply concentration reported as 0% for top 10 and top 100 — likely a data artifact
  • Token has less than 24 hours of trading history
  • No social links or external community data available for sentiment analysis
  • Holder distribution categories (whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, octopus) all report 0 — likely data gap

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from on-chain metrics and third-party APIs which may be incomplete or delayed. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision. The analyst and platform bear no responsibility for investment outcomes.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is The Black Bear ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 310 addresses (2026-07-13 21:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling The Black Bear?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is The Black Bear liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-13 21:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $45,122.83. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for The Black Bear (BlackBear)?

The token is already showing a -14.7% drop in the last 5 minutes at time of analysis, with sell pressure at 63.9% of 24h volume ($78.1K sells vs $44.2K buys). The candle structure shows a massive wick from $0.0000143 to $0.0001915 in the launch candle, with price settling near $0.0001446. A retracement toward the open of the launch candle (~$0.0000294) is plausible given the sell dominance. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000014 to $0.000192.

Is BlackBear a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate and total loss. This is NOT financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding BlackBear?

Token dormant for 30+ days with 15 holders — strong indicator of coordinated pump launch • Dominant sell pressure: 63.9% sell volume, 2.5:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio • Extremely shallow liquidity ($45.1K) creates severe exit slippage risk

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