APSEM

The Black Apple Price Today & AI Analysis

APSEM
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 22, 2026

8P5qYXx7pAjMUCkjnVmPfLaf7NMVHPhRsfjqM8kSpump

$0.053201

-3.37%

FDV $3,156

LiveContract:8P5qYXx7pAjMUCkjnVmPfLaf7NMVHPhRsfjqM8kSpumpChain:SolanaHolders:316Market cap:$3,156

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Ask Unhosted AI about APSEM

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 22, 10:17 AM
FDV

$820,598

Liquidity

$82,011

Holders

1,681

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

The Black Apple (APSEM) is a newly launched Solana memecoin on PumpSwap (mint: 8P5qYXx7pAjMUCkjnVmPfLaf7NMVHPhRsfjqM8kSpump) with a total supply of ~998.7M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$820K. The token experienced an explosive 546% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a single viral hour (09:00 UTC on 2026-07-22) that saw the price rocket from ~$0.000038 to a high of ~$0.000942 before settling around $0.000837. Holder count exploded from 10 to 1,681 within the last 24 hours — a near-total holder base creation event. Liquidity is thin at $82K, top holder data is unavailable, and sniper data is absent. The token carries very high risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 546% 24h price surge concentrated in a single 1-hour candle
Holder base grew from 10 to 1,681 in under 24 hours (99% of all holders acquired within 24h)
Extremely thin liquidity of only $82K against $820K FDV — high slippage risk
No verified contract, no social links, no description, and update authority unknown
Top holder distribution data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

After a parabolic 546% spike concentrated in the 09:00 UTC candle (low $0.0000384, high $0.0000942), the price has already begun retracing. The most recent candle (10:00 UTC) shows a narrow range of $0.000836–$0.000837 with volume collapsing to 300K vs 976K in the prior candle — a classic post-spike exhaustion pattern. The 5-minute change of -12% confirms near-term selling pressure. A retest of the $0.000400–$0.000500 zone is plausible if selling accelerates.

Target low$0.000300
Target high$0.000942
Support: $0.000837 (current consolidation floor), $0.000500 (mid-spike level), $0.000038 (pre-spike launch price)
Resistance: $0.000942 (spike high from 09:00 UTC candle), $0.000837 (current price / recent open)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained catalysts, verified fundamentals, social presence, or deep liquidity, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The token spent 30 days with only 10 holders before the sudden spike — suggesting coordinated or bot-driven activity. Most new holders acquired at elevated prices and face significant drawdown risk. Volume sustainability is uncertain.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media momentum sustaining new buyer inflow
  • Listing on a centralized exchange or aggregator
  • Whale accumulation at current levels
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 546% 24h price surge demonstrates strong initial demand
  • 1,671 new holders acquired in under 24 hours shows viral spread
  • Buy/sell volume nearly balanced (49.8% buy vs 50.2% sell) — no extreme sell dominance yet
  • 3,653 buys vs 3,241 sells — more buy transactions than sell transactions
  • 2,067 unique buyers vs 912 unique sellers — broader buyer base

Bearish factors

  • Price already -12% in the last 5 minutes — momentum fading
  • Liquidity is only $82K — any moderate sell order causes severe slippage
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 10 holders before the spike — suspicious launch pattern
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description — zero fundamental backing
  • Update authority unknown — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority renounced
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk unknown
  • Post-spike volume collapse (300K vs 976K in prior candle) signals exhaustion
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: only 2 OHLC candles available for technical analysis, no top holder data, no sniper data, unknown update authority, and the extreme volatility of a brand-new token with a 30-day dormant period followed by a single-hour price explosion. The data is insufficient to make reliable directional predictions.

APSEM call history

Full track record →
Jul 22bearish
24h-99.5%
7d-99.7%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (09:00 UTC): O=$0.0000402, H=$0.0000942, L=$0.0000384, C=$0.0000855 — an extremely wide-range bullish candle with a long upper wick (high $0.0000942 vs close $0.0000855), indicating buying climax with partial rejection at the top. Volume was 976,452 — the dominant volume candle. Candle [1] (10:00 UTC): O=$0.000837, H=$0.000837, L=$0.000837, C=$0.000837 — a near-doji with essentially zero range and volume of 300,421, suggesting price consolidation/exhaustion after the spike. The gap between candle [2] close ($0.000855) and candle [1] open ($0.000837) is minimal, confirming continuation at elevated levels but with sharply reduced participation.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 50%Sell 50%

Short-term trend is technically up given the 546% 24h move, but the most recent 5-minute data shows -12% — suggesting the uptrend is stalling. Medium-term is sideways/unknown given only 2 candles of data and a 30-day dormant period prior to launch.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000837 (current consolidation level / 10:00 UTC candle floor)
Major$0.0000384 (09:00 UTC candle low — pre-spike launch price)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000942 (09:00 UTC candle high — spike peak)
Major$0.000942 (only significant high in available data)

With only 2 candles of data, key levels are derived directly from the OHLC extremes. The spike candle low of $0.0000384 represents the last major support before the move. The spike high of $0.0000942 is the only meaningful resistance. The current price of ~$0.000837 sits just below the spike high, with no established support structure between $0.000837 and $0.0000384.

Notable patterns

  • Buying climax candle with long upper wick at 09:00 UTC — bearish reversal signal
  • Volume exhaustion: 69% volume drop in the follow-on candle
  • Near-doji at 10:00 UTC — indecision/exhaustion after parabolic move
  • 30-day dormancy followed by single-candle explosion — potential coordinated pump pattern
  • Price gap between pre-spike ($0.0000384) and current ($0.000837) with no consolidation base — air pocket below

Total holders1,681
24h Δ+99
7d Δ+99
30d Δ+99
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is perfectly correlated with the price spike — both occurred within the same 24-hour window. The token had exactly 10 holders for the entire 30-day historical period (2026-06-22 to 2026-07-21) with zero net change daily. Then within 24 hours, 1,671 new holders were added (99% of the current base), coinciding with the 546% price surge. This is a textbook pump-driven holder acquisition pattern, not organic growth.

The holder growth pattern is highly anomalous. For 30 consecutive days, the token had exactly 10 holders with zero change — suggesting a dormant or pre-launch state. The sudden explosion to 1,681 holders (+1,671, or +99% of total base) within 24 hours is entirely correlated with the price pump. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (1,678 of 1,681 holders). Growth is 'accelerating' in the mathematical sense but this is a one-time event rather than sustained organic growth. The 1-hour holder change of +1,432 (+85%) indicates the bulk of new holders entered during or immediately after the price spike — many likely buying at or near the top.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available

0.00%

Top holder data is unavailable for this token — the API returned no top 20 holders. The distribution metrics show top10=0% and top100=0%, which likely reflects a data gap rather than genuine zero concentration. With 1,681 holders and a total supply of ~998.7M tokens, concentration cannot be assessed. The absence of this data is itself a risk flag — it prevents evaluation of whether insiders, team wallets, or whales hold dominant positions. Given the 30-day dormancy with only 10 holders, those original 10 wallets likely hold significant supply and represent the highest concentration risk. Sentiment is marked as mixed due to the balanced buy/sell volume and inability to assess whale behavior.

Liquidity$82,010
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$636,490
Sell$642,830
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,067
Unique sellers912

Liquidity is critically shallow at $82K against a $820K FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of only ~10%. This means any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe price impact. The 24h trading volume of ~$1.28M ($636K buy + $643K sell) is approximately 15.6x the total liquidity — extremely high turnover relative to pool depth, indicating a highly speculative, momentum-driven market. Net flow is marginally negative (sell volume $642.83K vs buy volume $636.49K), classifying it as outflow. However, the buyer count (2,067) significantly exceeds seller count (912), suggesting many small buyers are being offset by fewer but larger sell orders — a classic distribution pattern. The pair trades on PumpSwap (7PTnWmWNQURMWCZTKu6cRPr42hziA1Y5CCYmjm2QUEn1). Slippage risk is high for any position above a few hundred dollars.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply998,720,138.81
FDV$820,598.23

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~998.7M tokens with a current FDV of ~$820K. The token is mutable=false and master edition=false, which are positive signals. However, the update authority is listed as 'unknown' — it cannot be confirmed whether mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. This is a significant risk gap. The token has no verified contract, no description, and no social links. The '.pump' suffix in the mint address (8P5qYXx7pAjMUCkjnVmPfLaf7NMVHPhRsfjqM8kSpump) and the PumpSwap trading pair suggest this was launched via pump.fun, where mint authority is typically burned at graduation — but this cannot be confirmed from the available data. Rug risk from authorities is classified as unknown due to insufficient metadata.

Volatility
high

546% price surge in 24 hours with a single candle accounting for the majority of the move. The price ranged from $0.0000384 to $0.0000942 within one hour — a 145% intra-candle range. Already -12% in the last 5 minutes. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and exit timing extremely difficult.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $82K. With 24h volume of ~$1.28M (15.6x liquidity), the pool is extremely thin. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. Exit liquidity for larger positions is severely limited.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is completely unavailable. The token had only 10 holders for 30 days before the pump — those original wallets likely hold a dominant share of supply and represent severe dump risk. Supply concentration metrics show 0% for top10/top100, which reflects a data gap, not genuine distribution.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available. However, the 30-day dormancy with 10 holders followed by a sudden pump strongly implies early insiders with very low cost basis. These wallets are likely sitting on massive unrealized gains and represent the primary dump risk. The slightly negative net flow ($643K sell vs $636K buy) may already reflect early holder distribution.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. No verified contract. No social links or description. The token cannot be independently verified as safe from rug-pull mechanics.

Key risks

  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • Top holder data unavailable — cannot assess insider/whale concentration
  • 30-day dormancy with 10 holders before pump — strong coordinated pump signal
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($82K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • No social presence, no description, no verified contract — zero fundamental backing
  • Post-spike volume exhaustion and -12% 5-minute move — momentum already fading
  • 2,067 buyers vs 912 sellers — distribution pattern where fewer wallets sell larger amounts

Mitigating factors

  • Token is mutable=false — metadata cannot be changed post-mint
  • Mint address suffix suggests pump.fun origin where mint authority is typically burned at graduation
  • Buy/sell volume is nearly balanced — no extreme one-sided selling yet
  • More buy transactions (3,653) than sell transactions (3,241) — retail demand still present
  • Rapid holder growth to 1,681 shows genuine market interest, however short-lived
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given the shallow liquidity, unknown authority status, and pump-driven holder acquisition, this should be treated as a maximum-risk speculative position with no fundamental backing.

APSEM is a high-risk, zero-fundamental memecoin that experienced a single-hour parabolic pump of 546% after 30 days of complete dormancy. The investment case is purely speculative momentum — there are no fundamentals, no verified team, no utility, and no social presence. The primary risk is that the original 10 holders (who had near-zero cost basis) are distributing into the retail buying wave. The only bull case is continued viral momentum; the bear case (which has higher probability) is a rapid retracement as early holders exit.

Bull case (low)

Viral momentum continues to attract new buyers, sustaining price above $0.000837 and potentially retesting the $0.000942 spike high. A broader Solana memecoin market rally or social media amplification could drive a second leg up, pushing FDV toward $2M–$5M.

  • Sustained viral social media momentum driving continued new buyer inflow
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all small-cap tokens
  • Whale accumulation at current levels providing price support
  • Successful listing on a DEX aggregator or CEX increasing visibility

Base case

Price consolidates in the $0.000400–$0.000837 range for 24–72 hours as early buyers take partial profits and new retail interest partially offsets selling. The token eventually fades to obscurity within 1–2 weeks as no new catalysts emerge, settling 70–90% below the spike high.

  • No new viral catalyst emerges to sustain momentum
  • Early holders gradually distribute rather than dump all at once
  • Liquidity remains thin, preventing large institutional participation
  • No verified fundamentals or utility emerge to justify current valuation

Bear case (high)

Early holders (original 10 wallets with near-zero cost basis) continue distributing into retail demand. Volume dries up as momentum fades, liquidity remains thin, and the price retraces 80–95% back toward the pre-pump range of $0.000038–$0.000100. This is the most probable outcome for tokens with this launch pattern.

  • Original 10 holders dumping into retail buyers at 546% profit
  • Volume exhaustion already visible (69% drop in latest candle, -12% in 5 minutes)
  • No fundamental backing to sustain price at elevated levels
  • Shallow $82K liquidity accelerating price decline on any significant sell pressure
  • Unknown authority status creating additional uncertainty and potential rug risk

GeneratedJul 22, 10:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 2026-07-22T10:00–10:30 UTC. Historical holder data covers 2026-06-22 to 2026-07-21. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — severely limits technical analysis depth.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, mutability)
  • PumpSwap DEX price feed and OHLC candles (hourly)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell split, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and acquisition method breakdown
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely constrained
  • Top 20 holder data unavailable — whale/concentration analysis impossible
  • Sniper data unavailable — smart money signals cannot be assessed
  • Update authority unknown — mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed
  • No social links or project description — fundamental analysis impossible
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in terms of active trading — all metrics are extremely early-stage
  • Supply concentration shows 0% for top10/top100 — likely a data gap, not genuine distribution
  • Historical holder series shows exactly 10 holders for 30 days with zero variance — may indicate data collection artifact or genuine pre-launch dormancy

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed is from untrusted on-chain sources and may be incomplete, manipulated, or misleading. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply998,720,138.81

Key Risks

•Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
•Top holder data unavailable — cannot assess insider/whale concentration
•30-day dormancy with 10 holders before pump — strong coordinated pump signal
•Critically shallow liquidity ($82K) — high slippage and exit risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be assessed from sniper activity. The token's 30-day dormancy (only 10 holders for the entire period from 2026-06-22 to 2026-07-21) followed by an explosive single-hour pump is itself a significant signal — it suggests the launch was either coordinated or triggered by a specific external event. The near-equal buy/sell volume ($636K vs $643K) with 2,067 unique buyers vs only 912 unique sellers suggests early buyers may be distributing to a larger pool of retail entrants.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no results.

Unknown — no sniper data available. However, the 30-day dormancy with only 10 holders suggests early holders had very low cost basis and are likely in significant profit at current prices, creating elevated distribution risk.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for The Black Apple (APSEM)?

After a parabolic 546% spike concentrated in the 09:00 UTC candle (low $0.0000384, high $0.0000942), the price has already begun retracing. The most recent candle (10:00 UTC) shows a narrow range of $0.000836–$0.000837 with volume collapsing to 300K vs 976K in the prior candle — a classic post-spike exhaustion pattern. The 5-minute change of -12% confirms near-term selling pressure. A retest of the $0.000400–$0.000500 zone is plausible if selling accelerates. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000300 to $0.000942.

Is APSEM a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given the shallow liquidity, unknown authority status, and pump-driven holder acquisition, this should be treated as a maximum-risk speculative position with no fundamental backing.

How are APSEM holders trending?

The Black Apple currently has 1,681 holders and is growing (24h: 99, 7d: 99, 30d: 99). The holder growth pattern is highly anomalous. For 30 consecutive days, the token had exactly 10 holders with zero change — suggesting a dormant or pre-launch state. The sudden explosion to 1,681 holders (+1,671, or +99% of total base) within 24 hours is entirely correlated with the price pump. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (1,678 of 1,681 holders). Growth is 'accelerating' in the mathematical sense but this is a one-time event rather than sustained organic growth. The 1-hour holder change of +1,432 (+85%) indicates the bulk of new holders entered during or immediately after the price spike — many likely buying at or near the top.

What does sniper activity look like for APSEM?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding APSEM?

Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing • Top holder data unavailable — cannot assess insider/whale concentration • 30-day dormancy with 10 holders before pump — strong coordinated pump signal

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