JEFF

Jeff The Groundhog Price Today & AI Analysis

JEFFSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 4, 2026

Price

$0.055771

+3.69% 24h · FDV $5,675

Contract

Live
7jFpDComUfCZnFrG65CR9wyDesFtA5oJPvUMdfuopump

Chain

Solana

Holders

911

Market cap

$5,675

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Aug 4, 09:46 PM UTC

FDV

$173,932

Liquidity

$49,048

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Jeff The Groundhog (JEFF) is a meme token on Solana launched on PumpSwap with a current price of ~$0.000177 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$174K–$175K. The token has seen a sharp 24h price spike of ~42%, but this is accompanied by extremely heavy sell pressure (79.5% sell volume) and a very recent 5-minute drop of -22.3%, suggesting the pump is already unwinding. Liquidity is thin at ~$49K, and the token is unverified with unknown update authority.

Key points

  • Meme token with a groundhog theme — no stated utility or roadmap
  • Launched on PumpSwap with very low liquidity (~$49K)
  • Extreme sell-side dominance: 79.5% of 24h volume is sells, with 10,968 sell transactions vs. 2,726 buys
  • Sharp 42% 24h price gain followed by immediate -22.3% 5-minute reversal, indicating a pump-and-dump dynamic
  • No sniper data available; no verified contract; update authority unknown

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token pumped ~42% in 24h but is already reversing hard (-22.3% in the last 5 minutes). Sell pressure dominates at 79.5% of volume with nearly 11K sell transactions vs. 2.7K buys. The most recent hourly candle (21:00 UTC) closed at $0.000177 after a high of $0.000238, forming a long upper wick — a classic rejection candle. Short-term direction is strongly bearish.

Target low

$0.000045

Target high

$0.000238

Support

$0.000078 (prior candle close), $0.000045 (recent hourly low)

Resistance

$0.000177 (current price / recent close), $0.000238 (hourly high / recent peak)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

With thin liquidity (~$49K), no verified contract, no stated utility, and overwhelming sell-side dominance, the medium-term outlook is bearish. Unless a new catalyst emerges (viral social moment, influencer attention), the token is likely to retrace toward its pre-pump lows near $0.000026–$0.000045.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media moment or influencer promotion (bullish catalyst)
  • Continued sell-off from early buyers taking profits (bearish catalyst)
  • Liquidity withdrawal by pool providers (bearish catalyst)

Bullish factors

  • 42% 24h price gain shows speculative momentum exists
  • 3,078 unique wallets traded in 24h, indicating broad short-term interest
  • Twitter social link present, suggesting some community presence

Bearish factors

  • 79.5% of 24h volume is sell-side ($563K sells vs. $145K buys)
  • 10,968 sell transactions vs. only 2,726 buy transactions in 24h
  • Immediate -22.3% price drop in the last 5 minutes after the pump
  • Very thin liquidity at ~$49K — large slippage risk on any meaningful exit
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • FDV of only ~$174K — extremely small market cap with high manipulation risk
  • Long upper wick on the most recent hourly candle signals rejection at highs

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, no holder data exists, no sniper data is available, and the token is a newly launched meme coin with highly volatile and thin markets. Price prediction confidence is inherently low.

JEFF call history

Full track record →

Aug 4bearish
24h-59.0%
7d-97.9%
30d-95.6%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
7jFpDC...pump
Total Supply
984,177,688

Key Risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 79.5% of 24h volume is sells ($563K), with 10,968 sell transactions vs. 2,726 buys
  • Very thin liquidity (~$49K) — high slippage risk on any meaningful exit
  • Unverified contract and unknown update/mint/freeze authority
  • Parabolic pump (+42% 24h) already reversing sharply (-22.3% in 5 minutes)

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidenceLow risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. The trading analytics do show that 2,953 unique sellers vs. 580 unique buyers in 24h, with sell volume at 79.5% of total — this suggests early participants or insiders may be distributing into retail buying interest, but this cannot be confirmed without sniper/wallet-level data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
0.00%
PnL state
Unknown
Sell-through rate
Unknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer wallet data available. The heavy sell-side dominance (79.5% sell volume, 10,968 sell txns) suggests early buyers may be exiting, but this is inferred from aggregate volume data only.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (20:00 UTC): O=$0.0000317, H=$0.0001473, L=$0.0000261, C=$0.0000781 — a strong bullish candle with a large body and upper wick, volume $394K. Candle [1] (21:00 UTC): O=$0.0000812, H=$0.0002384, L=$0.0000454, C=$0.0001770 — opened above prior close (gap up), made a new high of $0.0002384, but closed well below the high, forming a long upper wick / shooting star pattern. This is a classic bearish rejection candle after a rapid pump. Volume declined from $394K to $295K, suggesting buying exhaustion.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The two available candles show a sharp short-term uptrend from $0.0000261 lows to a $0.0002384 high, but the most recent candle's long upper wick and the -22.3% 5-minute drop suggest the uptrend is stalling and reversing. Medium-term trend is indeterminate with only 2 candles; classified as sideways pending more data.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

21%

Sell

80%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000078 (close of candle [2])

Major support

$0.000026 (candle [2] low — recent absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000177 (current price / candle [1] close)

Major resistance

$0.000238 (candle [1] high — recent peak)

The $0.000238 level represents the recent hourly high and acts as major resistance. The $0.000177 current price is now acting as near-term resistance after the -22.3% 5-minute drop. Support sits at the prior candle close of $0.000078, with deeper support at the absolute recent low of $0.000026.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / long upper wick on candle [1] — bearish rejection at highs
  • Gap-up open on candle [1] relative to candle [2] close — momentum exhaustion follow-through
  • Declining volume on price advance — bearish divergence
  • Rapid pump from $0.000026 to $0.000238 within 2 hours — parabolic move prone to sharp reversal

Liquidity

Liquidity

$49,050

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is extremely shallow at ~$49K on a single PumpSwap pool (CWrBfPni6huQeC7dFf1pSjtA4QdAoL7WoM5gDg6jJGhY). With a 24h sell volume of $563K — more than 11x the total liquidity — slippage risk is very high for any meaningful position exit. The net flow is strongly negative (outflow): $563K in sells vs. $145K in buys, a ratio of nearly 4:1. There are 2,953 unique sellers vs. only 580 unique buyers in 24h, confirming broad distribution pressure. The market health is poor: thin liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and a rapidly declining price in the most recent 5-minute window (-22.3%) all point to a deteriorating market structure.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$145,230

Sell volume

$563,410

Net flow

Outflow

Unique buyers

580

Unique sellers

2,953

Supply & authorities

Total supply

984,177,688

FDV

$173,932–$175,040

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

Total supply is ~984.2 million JEFF tokens. The FDV is approximately $174K–$175K, indicating an extremely small market cap. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. The token is marked as mutable: false, which is a mild positive (metadata cannot be changed), and master edition is false. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data — both are marked 'unknown'. The token was launched on PumpSwap, consistent with a pump.fun-style launch. The unverified contract and unknown authority status represent meaningful rug risk that cannot be dismissed. Possible spam is flagged as false by the data provider, but this does not eliminate manipulation risk.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price moved from a low of $0.000026 to a high of $0.000238 within two hours (~9x), then dropped -22.3% in 5 minutes. Extreme intraday volatility consistent with a pump-and-dump dynamic.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only ~$49K on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h sell volume of $563K is over 11x the available liquidity, meaning large exits will face severe slippage and potential inability to exit at quoted prices.

  • Concentrationhigh

    No holder distribution data is available. Given the token's meme-coin nature, PumpSwap launch, and very small FDV (~$174K), concentration risk is presumed high. The 4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio suggests insiders or early buyers are distributing to a smaller pool of buyers.

  • Sniper Dumpmedium

    No sniper data is available, so sniper dump risk cannot be directly quantified. However, the overwhelming sell pressure (79.5% of volume, 10,968 sell transactions) and the immediate price reversal after the pump suggest early participants are exiting aggressively.

  • Authoritymedium

    Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. Mint and freeze authority status are also unknown. The contract is unverified. While the token metadata is marked immutable (mutable: false), the unknown authority status prevents a clean bill of health on rug risk.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 79.5% of 24h volume is sells ($563K), with 10,968 sell transactions vs. 2,726 buys
  • Very thin liquidity (~$49K) — high slippage risk on any meaningful exit
  • Unverified contract and unknown update/mint/freeze authority
  • Parabolic pump (+42% 24h) already reversing sharply (-22.3% in 5 minutes)
  • No holder distribution data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • No sniper data — early buyer behavior unknown
  • Extremely small FDV (~$174K) — highly susceptible to price manipulation
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no diversified liquidity

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked mutable: false, preventing metadata changes
  • Possible spam flagged as false by data provider
  • 3,078 unique wallets traded in 24h, indicating some genuine market participation
  • Twitter social link present, suggesting minimal community infrastructure

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with meme-coin dynamics and pump-and-dump patterns. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

JEFF is a high-risk meme token on Solana with no stated utility, an unverified contract, and overwhelming sell-side pressure following a sharp 42% pump. The token exhibits classic pump-and-dump characteristics: rapid price appreciation, immediate reversal, thin liquidity, and a 4:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio. Any investment thesis is purely speculative and momentum-based.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme momentum drives a second wave of buying. If the groundhog theme catches on via Twitter/social media (e.g., Groundhog Day cultural moment, influencer pickup), a new wave of retail buyers could push the price back toward or beyond the $0.000238 recent high.

  • Viral social media moment or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Community-driven FOMO buying after initial pump visibility
  • Low FDV (~$174K) means small capital can move price significantly

Base Case

The token stabilizes at a lower level after the pump unwinds, trading in a narrow range between $0.000045 and $0.000100 with declining volume and interest, before gradually fading into obscurity as a low-liquidity meme token.

  • No major new catalyst emerges (no viral moment, no influencer)
  • Sell pressure gradually exhausts as early buyers finish distributing
  • Liquidity remains thin but pool is not fully withdrawn
  • Token does not get listed on any major exchange or aggregator

Bear Case

High probability

The pump fully unwinds as early buyers and insiders continue distributing. With $563K in 24h sell volume against only $49K in liquidity, continued selling could collapse the price back to pre-pump levels near $0.000026–$0.000045 or lower. A liquidity withdrawal by pool providers would accelerate this.

  • Dominant sell pressure (79.5% of volume) continues
  • Thin liquidity amplifies downside moves
  • No fundamental value or utility to attract long-term holders
  • Unknown authority status creates rug-pull risk
  • Immediate -22.3% 5-minute reversal signals momentum exhaustion

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 4, 09:46 PM UTC

Data freshness

Data reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-08-04T21:00 UTC. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles provided — historical context is very limited.

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Solana token mint: 7jFpDComUfCZnFrG65CR9wyDesFtA5oJPvUMdfuopump)
  • PumpSwap pool data (pair: CWrBfPni6huQeC7dFf1pSjtA4QdAoL7WoM5gDg6jJGhY)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, 2026-08-04 20:00–21:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, transaction counts, unique wallets)
  • Price change data (5m, 1h, 6h, 24h intervals)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No holder distribution data (endpoint retired) — concentration and whale analysis unavailable
  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money signals are severely limited
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all unknown
  • Unverified contract — on-chain code cannot be audited from available data
  • 6h and 24h price change fields show 0% which may indicate a data anomaly or reporting artifact
  • Single liquidity pool — no cross-venue price validation possible
  • Token is very newly launched — limited historical price and volume context

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. The data used is sourced from on-chain activity and third-party analytics providers and may contain errors or omissions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Jeff The Groundhog (JEFF)?

The token pumped ~42% in 24h but is already reversing hard (-22.3% in the last 5 minutes). Sell pressure dominates at 79.5% of volume with nearly 11K sell transactions vs. 2.7K buys. The most recent hourly candle (21:00 UTC) closed at $0.000177 after a high of $0.000238, forming a long upper wick — a classic rejection candle. Short-term direction is strongly bearish. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000045 to $0.000238.

Is JEFF a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with meme-coin dynamics and pump-and-dump patterns. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

What does sniper activity look like for JEFF?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding JEFF?

Extreme sell pressure: 79.5% of 24h volume is sells ($563K), with 10,968 sell transactions vs. 2,726 buys • Very thin liquidity (~$49K) — high slippage risk on any meaningful exit • Unverified contract and unknown update/mint/freeze authority

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