RNUT

The Rogue Squirrel Price Prediction 2026

RNUT
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 1, 2026

7d2WDFDJ5bMZix8FLioAxqvSEdByYurYhKTaipJTvTrf

$0.051705

FDV $1,703

LiveContract:7d2WDFDJ5bMZix8FLioAxqvSEdByYurYhKTaipJTvTrfChain:SolanaHolders:160Market cap:$1,703

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Report snapshotas of May 1, 01:17 PM
FDV

$10,426

Liquidity

$0

Holders

546

Snipers

24

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

The Rogue Squirrel (RNUT) is a newly launched Solana meme token on PumpSwap with a total supply of ~1B tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$10,426. The token launched within the last 24 hours, gaining 544 holders in a single burst. It has experienced a severe 72.6% price crash within 24 hours, driven by overwhelming sell pressure (75.7% of volume). Liquidity is reported at $0.00, signaling extremely shallow market depth. The token exhibits multiple high-risk characteristics including extreme concentration, heavy sniper activity, and a near-total collapse in price.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Launched within the last 24 hours — all 544 holders acquired within a single hour window
Top holder (PumpSwap LP address 7HrnT7kM5FCPbs99y6HVNuxEQoPzAGPCNLb9XUuip8WF) controls 36.16% of supply
Top 10 holders control 53.18% of supply; top 100 control 90.46%
20 identified snipers, majority in profit — significant profit-taking risk remains
75.7% sell pressure with $259K sell volume vs $83K buy volume in 24h
Reported liquidity of $0.00 — effectively no on-chain liquidity depth

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

RNUT has already collapsed 72.6% in 24 hours from its launch high. The most recent hourly candle (13:00 UTC) shows a dramatic wick from $0.0000485 down to $0.00000946, closing near the low at $0.0000104. With $0 reported liquidity, 75.7% sell pressure, and snipers still holding profitable positions, further downside is highly probable. A brief dead-cat bounce cannot be ruled out given the oversold conditions, but structural support is absent.

Target low$0.000004
Target high$0.000020
Support: $0.00000946 (hourly candle low, 13:00 UTC), $0.000004 (psychological floor / near-zero)
Resistance: $0.0000384 (12:00 UTC candle close / 13:00 UTC open), $0.0000485 (13:00 UTC hourly high — launch peak)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without meaningful liquidity, a verified contract, or any described utility, RNUT faces structural headwinds. The token was dormant for 30 days prior to launch (only 2 holders), suggesting a pre-planned launch. Remaining sniper profit-taking and whale distribution will likely continue to suppress price. Recovery would require significant new buyer inflows that are not currently evidenced.

Catalysts
  • Unexpected viral social media traction driving new buyer inflows
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices creating a floor
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all small caps

Bullish factors

  • Token is extremely oversold after a 72.6% single-day crash — potential for a short-term dead-cat bounce
  • 589 unique buyers in 24h shows some genuine demand interest
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest at least minimal marketing effort
  • Most snipers have already sold, reducing future sell overhang from that cohort

Bearish factors

  • Price down 72.6% in 24h with no sign of stabilization (5m change: -19.2%)
  • Sell volume ($259K) is 3.1x buy volume ($83K) — overwhelming distribution
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — no depth to support price
  • Top 10 holders control 53.18% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before launch — suspicious pre-launch behavior
  • No verified contract, no description, update authority unknown
  • All 544 holders acquired within the last hour — no organic holder base development
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient price history for robust technical analysis; (2) $0 reported liquidity making price discovery unreliable; (3) extreme volatility typical of newly launched micro-cap meme tokens; (4) missing sniper balance data preventing precise overhang quantification.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (12:00 UTC): O=$0.0000342, H=$0.0000383, L=$0.0000342, C=$0.0000383 — a bullish candle with no lower wick, suggesting strong initial buying at open. Candle [1] (13:00 UTC): O=$0.0000381, H=$0.0000485, L=$0.00000946, C=$0.0000104 — a massive bearish engulfing/shooting star candle. Price spiked to $0.0000485 (the all-time high) then collapsed to $0.00000946, closing near the low. This is a classic 'pump and dump' candle pattern — a shooting star / bearish engulfing with an extremely long upper wick and close near the session low. Volume in candle [1] ($21,686) is dramatically lower than candle [2] ($286,021), confirming the sell-off occurred on declining buy-side participation.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 24%Sell 76%

The token launched, peaked within one hour, and has been in a sharp downtrend since. With only 2 candles, no medium-term trend can be established, but the structural collapse from $0.0000485 to $0.0000104 defines a clear short-term downtrend.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00000946 (13:00 UTC candle low)
Major$0.000004 (psychological near-zero floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000383 (12:00 UTC candle close / 13:00 UTC open)
Major$0.0000485 (13:00 UTC all-time high)

The all-time high of $0.0000485 represents the launch peak and is now a major resistance level. The 13:00 UTC candle low of $0.00000946 is the only identifiable support, and it was barely held at close ($0.0000104). Given $0 liquidity, these levels are highly unreliable.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing at the top (13:00 UTC candle) — classic pump-and-dump signature
  • Volume exhaustion: 92.4% volume drop from candle 2 to candle 1
  • No lower wick on candle 2 — aggressive buying at open with no pullback, typical of coordinated launch pumping
  • Price closed near the session low of candle 1 — bears in full control at close

Total holders546
24h Δ+544
7d Δ+544
30d Δ+544
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

Holder growth is inversely correlated with price — all 544 holders were acquired during the launch pump, while price has since collapsed 72.6%. New holder acquisition appears to have stalled as price declined, suggesting the holder base was built during the initial frenzy and is not growing organically post-crash.

The historical holder data reveals that RNUT had only 2 holders for the entire 30-day period from April 1 to April 30, 2026. All 544 net new holders were acquired within the last hour (per the +544 in 1h metric), coinciding with the token's launch and initial pump. This is a highly abnormal pattern — the token was effectively dormant for a month before a sudden coordinated launch. There is no organic holder growth trend; the entire holder base was acquired in a single burst. Growth is not accelerating — it appears to have peaked at launch and is now stagnant as price collapses.

Top 10 hold53.18%
Top 100 hold90.46%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

7HrnT7kM5FCPbs99y6HVNuxEQoPzAGPCNLb9XUuip8WF

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

36.16%

AxdanaUGLqw1vckxD3e6GEjMHEoAUhNi2TLvUz6ETtBk

Individual whale / early buyer

2.81%

EbpgBEcDanorKevr9WTta6GtjcVKY8xCZcKrnZzUmxcY

Individual whale / early buyer

2.70%

7gGPekyUKzYH3Y6B7mA7grZMwJn3csQDN1dh9VQZJAUy

Individual whale / early buyer

2.41%

3sRCGUbHK7YCbY1vmFAyhatxYhMGiXLb3hTktuUfigAa

Individual whale / early buyer

1.90%

The top holder (36.16%) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool address (7HrnT7kM5FCPbs99y6HVNuxEQoPzAGPCNLb9XUuip8WF), which matches the pair address in the price data. Excluding the LP, the remaining top holders (positions 2–20) are individual wallets each holding 0.87%–2.81%. The top 10 non-LP holders collectively control ~17% of supply. The top 100 hold 90.46%, leaving only ~9.54% distributed among the remaining ~446 holders. Distribution is extremely concentrated. Whale sentiment is distributing — the overwhelming sell pressure (75.7%) and sniper profit-taking confirm active distribution by early/large holders.

Liquidity$0.00
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$83,020
Sell$259,090
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers589
Unique sellers1,963

Liquidity is reported at $0.00, which is an extreme red flag. Despite $342K+ in total 24h volume, there is effectively no on-chain liquidity depth. This means any trade — even small ones — will experience severe slippage. The sell-to-buy ratio is 3.1:1 by volume and 3.3:1 by unique participants (1,963 sellers vs 589 buyers). Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The 5-minute price change of -19.2% with no reported liquidity confirms that even small sell orders are moving price dramatically. Market health is critically poor.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,998.18
FDV$10,425.59

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion RNUT with 6 decimals. The FDV is approximately $10,426 at current prices — an extremely small market cap. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is not verified. Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive (metadata cannot be changed), but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data. The absence of a contract description, unverified contract status, and unknown authority state all contribute to elevated rug risk. The token was dormant for 30 days before launch, suggesting pre-planned deployment. No utility or use case is described.

Volatility
high

Price dropped 72.6% in 24 hours. The 5-minute change is -19.2%. The hourly candle shows a range from $0.00000946 to $0.0000485 — a 5x intra-hour swing. Extreme volatility is inherent to this token's structure.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity reported at $0.00. Any position of meaningful size cannot be exited without catastrophic slippage. The token trades on PumpSwap with no verifiable liquidity depth.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 53.18% of supply; top 100 control 90.46%. Excluding the LP pool (36.16%), individual whales hold significant positions that could be dumped at any time.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers identified, 19 of 20 in profit. Several have already sold large amounts ($2K–$3.3K each). Unknown residual balances mean additional sniper sell pressure cannot be quantified. High sell-through rate confirms active distribution.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. Update authority is listed as unknown. The contract is not verified. Mutable is false (positive), but insufficient data exists to confirm authority renouncement.

Key risks

  • Near-zero liquidity ($0.00 reported) makes exit impossible without extreme slippage
  • 72.6% price collapse within 24 hours of launch — token may be in terminal decline
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before launch — highly suspicious pre-planned deployment
  • Top 10 holders control 53.18% — extreme dump risk from concentrated holders
  • 19/20 snipers in profit with unknown remaining balances — ongoing sell overhang
  • No verified contract, no utility description, unknown authority status
  • 5-minute price change of -19.2% indicates continued freefall at time of analysis
  • All 544 holders acquired in a single burst — no organic community development

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is set to immutable (mutable: false) — token metadata cannot be altered post-launch
  • Social links exist (Twitter, website, Moralis) — some minimal marketing infrastructure
  • 589 unique buyers in 24h shows some genuine market interest
  • FDV of ~$10K means absolute loss exposure is limited for small positions
  • Most snipers appear to have already sold, potentially reducing future sniper overhang
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the mechanics of micro-cap meme token speculation on Solana. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone unwilling to accept near-total loss of capital. Given the $0 liquidity, extreme concentration, and ongoing price collapse, even experienced traders should approach with extreme caution or avoid entirely.

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Bull case (low)

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Base case

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Bear case (low)

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GeneratedMay 1, 01:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-01T13:00 UTC. Price and volume data is current to the most recent hourly candle. Holder data reflects the most recent snapshot.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain token metadata (mint: 7d2WDFDJ5bMZix8FLioAxqvSEdByYurYhKTaipJTvTrf)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading data (pair: 7HrnT7kM5FCPbs99y6HVNuxEQoPzAGPCNLb9XUuip8WF)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, 2026-05-01 12:00–13:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyers, sellers, price changes)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • 30-day historical holder series (daily)
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)
  • Token metadata (supply, decimals, FDV, social links, authority status)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data feed issue or reflect genuine absence of LP
  • Sniper sniped amounts and current balances are 'unknown' for all 20 snipers — sell overhang cannot be precisely quantified
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
  • No description or whitepaper — utility and tokenomics are entirely unverifiable
  • Historical holder data shows only 2 holders for 30 days prior to launch — data may be incomplete or reflect a token migration/relaunch
  • Price % changes for 1h, 6h, and 24h are all reported as 0% in analytics despite a 72.6% 24h change — possible data feed inconsistency

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, particularly micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total capital loss. The analyst and platform bear no responsibility for investment decisions made based on this report. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,998.18

Key Risks

Near-zero liquidity ($0.00 reported) makes exit impossible without extreme slippage
72.6% price collapse within 24 hours of launch — token may be in terminal decline
Token was dormant for 30 days before launch — highly suspicious pre-planned deployment
Top 10 holders control 53.18% — extreme dump risk from concentrated holders

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. 19 of 20 have realized positive PnL, with a median realized profit of approximately 33–44%. Total sniper sell volume is estimated at ~$20,000+ across the cohort. Sniper balance data is largely unknown, meaning residual holdings could still represent additional sell pressure. The high sell-through rate and widespread profitability among snipers confirms this was a coordinated early-entry event with systematic profit-taking.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

19 of 20 snipers have realized positive PnL; only 1 sniper (912iwi9rQV6mc6RxGa77QDjcQjLgoKvEVahBFeqdpSgN) is at a loss (-5.3%). The highest realized PnL is 113.9% (66666h3beGqbULAvuz94EVzQpZqpqkxB2jCXEGYeeaSD). Top sellers by USD: AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51 ($3,326), 1aDerPKk87xJHCAqTY5bGxF5Xet2MG476y4Zmq2WJ8Y ($2,735), kEFiAX3jo5NmemysQov342TZ9mGh6yp92GDRjhA8XDf ($2,094), STorreSu8X6yPLmiEScNHSGDinqV7j84hWjmvH9SPwk ($2,053), 5tySgpR3iHbyr6Ee3RfkKTkPEsSSVTMBLacKxfgi8MD3 ($2,010).

Early buyers (snipers) are predominantly in profit and have been actively selling. The high realized PnL percentages (ranging from 4.2% to 113.9%) indicate most snipers entered at very low prices and have been distributing into retail demand. Sentiment among early buyers is distributive, not accumulative.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for The Rogue Squirrel (RNUT)?

RNUT has already collapsed 72.6% in 24 hours from its launch high. The most recent hourly candle (13:00 UTC) shows a dramatic wick from $0.0000485 down to $0.00000946, closing near the low at $0.0000104. With $0 reported liquidity, 75.7% sell pressure, and snipers still holding profitable positions, further downside is highly probable. A brief dead-cat bounce cannot be ruled out given the oversold conditions, but structural support is absent. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000004 to $0.000020.

Is RNUT a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the mechanics of micro-cap meme token speculation on Solana. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone unwilling to accept near-total loss of capital. Given the $0 liquidity, extreme concentration, and ongoing price collapse, even experienced traders should approach with extreme caution or avoid entirely.

How are RNUT holders trending?

The Rogue Squirrel currently has 546 holders and is growing (24h: 544, 7d: 544, 30d: 544). The historical holder data reveals that RNUT had only 2 holders for the entire 30-day period from April 1 to April 30, 2026. All 544 net new holders were acquired within the last hour (per the +544 in 1h metric), coinciding with the token's launch and initial pump. This is a highly abnormal pattern — the token was effectively dormant for a month before a sudden coordinated launch. There is no organic holder growth trend; the entire holder base was acquired in a single burst. Growth is not accelerating — it appears to have peaked at launch and is now stagnant as price collapses.

What does sniper activity look like for RNUT?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding RNUT?

Near-zero liquidity ($0.00 reported) makes exit impossible without extreme slippage • 72.6% price collapse within 24 hours of launch — token may be in terminal decline • Token was dormant for 30 days before launch — highly suspicious pre-planned deployment

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