POLLY

Pudgy Polly Price Today & AI Analysis

POLLY
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 10, 2026

7MCgYMzq3fov6oERdtTMAYbN2U9LZrrSYS1MBhjixZFr

$0.000275

+560.95%

FDV $274,961

LiveContract:7MCgYMzq3fov6oERdtTMAYbN2U9LZrrSYS1MBhjixZFrChain:SolanaHolders:1,145Market cap:$274,961

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Report snapshotas of Sep 10, 04:16 PM
FDV

$274,961

Liquidity

$22,407

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Pudgy Polly (POLLY) is a newly-launched Solana meme coin trading on a Raydium CPMM pool with only $22.41K in liquidity and a $274.96K fully diluted valuation. It has just experienced an extreme +560% price spike (1h and 24h) followed by clear signs of a fading pump — an 80% drop in hourly volume and a -21.8% move in the last 5 minutes. No holder distribution data, sniper data, or confirmed mint/freeze authority status is available, leaving major due-diligence blind spots. The token's marketing leans heavily on an association with the PENGU brand, which is promotional language from the token creator and not independently verified.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extremely shallow liquidity ($22.41K) relative to volume and FDV, unusual even for meme coins
Very fresh trading history — only 2 hourly candles available, indicating a brand-new or recently very illiquid pair
Complete absence of holder and sniper data, unlike more mature/analyzed tokens
Marketing narrative explicitly piggybacking on the PENGU token's popularity rather than independent utility

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1-24 hours

Momentum has already turned negative on the 5-minute timeframe (-21.8%) and the most recent hourly candle closed near its low after failing to hold a higher high, with volume down ~80% from the prior candle — both point to near-term downside or continued high-volatility consolidation rather than an immediate continuation of the spike.

Target low$0.000150
Target high$0.000350
Support: $0.000220, $0.00000346 (deep tail risk)
Resistance: $0.000449, $0.000490

Medium term

neutral
3-14 days

Without holder, sniper, or multi-day OHLC history, medium-term direction is highly uncertain. Sustainability will depend on whether liquidity grows, whether the social/community narrative persists, and whether authority/contract safety can be verified — none of which can be confirmed from current data.

Catalysts
  • Any verified confirmation (or refutation) of renounced mint/freeze authority
  • Growth or reduction in pool liquidity beyond the current $22.41K
  • Continued social engagement or abandonment of the Twitter/Telegram/website channels
  • Broader market conditions for Solana meme coins and any renewed PENGU-related attention

Bullish factors

  • Still up substantially versus its pre-spike base price (24h change +560.95%)
  • Slightly positive net buy pressure (51.5% buy vs 48.5% sell) and more unique buyers than sellers
  • Active social channels suggest some ongoing community engagement

Bearish factors

  • Sharp reversal candle after the initial spike with a close near the candle's low
  • 80% volume decay between the two most recent candles
  • Negative and accelerating short-term momentum (-21.8% over 5 minutes)
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($22.41K) leaves price highly exposed to further large swings
  • Unverified mint/freeze authority and contract status add unquantified downside risk
Confidence: low. Only two hourly candles and no historical holder/sniper data are available, severely limiting statistical confidence. The token's extreme volatility, brand-new pair status, and shallow liquidity make any price forecast inherently speculative.

POLLY call history

Full track record →
Sep 10bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle [1] (15:00 UTC) opened at $0.00000346, spiked to a high of $0.00049 (a >14,000% intra-candle range), then pulled back to close at $0.000376 — a classic extreme wick/blow-off candle typical of a fresh pair launch or thin-liquidity pump. Candle [2] (16:00 UTC) opened at $0.000376, made a marginally higher high ($0.000449) but then sold off hard down to a low of $0.00022 before closing at $0.000275, near the bottom third of its range — a bearish reversal/distribution candle following the initial spike.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 52%Sell 49%

Medium-term (from candle 1 open to candle 2 close) the token is still up massively (from ~$0.0000035 to $0.000275, i.e. the quoted 560%+ 24h change), but the most recent short-term price action (the last candle and the -21.8% 5m move) shows a sharp pullback from the local high, suggesting the initial pump is losing steam and short-term momentum has turned down.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000220 (candle [2] low)
Major$0.00000346 (candle [1] open / pre-pump base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000449 (candle [2] high)
Major$0.000490 (candle [1] high, all-time high in available data)

With only two candles of data, support/resistance levels are provisional. The $0.000220 level (candle 2 low) is the nearest support the market has already tested and bounced from; a break below could open a retest of the much lower pre-pump base near $0.00000346. On the upside, $0.000449–$0.000490 marks the recent high-volatility ceiling that price has twice failed to hold above.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off spike candle with long upper wick (candle 1)
  • Lower-high failure followed by a deep retrace / distribution candle (candle 2)
  • Sharp 80% volume decay between the two candles
  • Negative 5m momentum (-21.8%) diverging from the still-positive 24h figure

Liquidity$22.41K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$353.90K
Sell$332.62K
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,238
Unique sellers1,488

Total liquidity of just $22.41K against a 24h trading volume of roughly $686.5K (buy+sell combined) implies the pool is being turned over roughly 30x in a day — a strong sign of a thinly-liquidated, highly reflexive market where even modest trade sizes can move price violently. Buy volume ($353.90K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($332.62K), giving a marginal net inflow (51.5% vs 48.5% pressure), but the gap is small relative to the volume, and could reverse quickly. There were more unique buyers (2,238) than sellers (1,488), and a much higher raw count of buy transactions (4,674) vs sells (3,029), consistent with speculative FOMO buying following the huge price spike. With liquidity this shallow, slippage on any meaningfully sized order (even a few hundred dollars) is likely to be severe, and a large holder exiting could crater the price given the tiny liquidity base relative to the $274.96K FDV.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 POLLY
FDV$274.96K

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Update authority, mint authority, freeze authority, verified-contract status, and mutability are all reported as 'unknown' in the metadata — none of these critical safety flags could be confirmed. Total supply is fixed at 1,000,000,000 tokens with 6 decimals, and FDV sits at roughly $274.96K, in line with current price. Because authority status is unverified, the possibility of further minting or a freeze on transfers cannot be ruled out, which should be treated as an elevated-uncertainty (not necessarily elevated-actual) risk until confirmed via an explorer. The token description frames it as a community-run meme coin riding on PENGU association via 'StonkFun' branding — this is marketing language from the token creator and should not be treated as due-diligence information.

Volatility
high

Price moved from ~$0.0000035 to a high of $0.00049 and back down to $0.000275 within two hourly candles, and is down -21.8% in the most recent 5 minutes — extreme, casino-like volatility.

Liquidity
high

Only $22.41K total liquidity against ~$686K in 24h volume and a $274.96K FDV means the pool can be drained or heavily skewed by a handful of moderate-sized trades, and large holders exiting could cause severe price impact.

Concentration
high

No holder distribution data is available to verify concentration, but the combination of a brand-new pair, tiny liquidity, and a huge unexplained price spike are classic markers of concentrated early holder/insider supply; this should be assumed elevated until proven otherwise.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available to quantify this risk directly, but the steep intra-candle wick and 80% volume decay pattern are consistent with early buyers/snipers taking profit into the spike.

Authority
medium

Mint authority, freeze authority, and contract verification status are all reported as unknown; without confirmation the possibility of further minting or transfer restriction cannot be excluded, warranting caution.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($22.41K) relative to volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Unverified mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm the contract is safe from further dilution or transfer restrictions
  • Massive, likely unsustainable price spike (+560% in 24h/1h) followed by an already-visible sharp pullback and volume collapse
  • No holder or sniper data available, removing key tools to detect insider concentration or coordinated dumping
  • Meme-coin with no verifiable utility, deriving its narrative purely from association with another token's (PENGU) brand

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy/sell volume is fairly balanced (51.5%/48.5%), not showing overwhelming one-sided dumping at the aggregate level
  • More unique buyers (2,238) than sellers (1,488) in the last 24h, suggesting still-active organic interest alongside the volatility
  • Token has active social presence (Twitter, Telegram, website) which at least allows community-level tracking, though this does not verify legitimacy
Suitable for: Only suitable for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can tolerate total loss of capital and who understand thin-liquidity meme coin dynamics. Not appropriate for risk-averse investors or anyone seeking capital preservation; position sizing should be minimal given the shallow liquidity and unverifiable authority/holder data.

POLLY is a brand-new, extremely thin-liquidity Solana meme coin that just experienced a violent (+560% in 1h/24h) price spike followed by clear signs of fading momentum (an 80% volume drop and a -21.8% 5m pullback). With no verifiable holder data, no sniper data, and unknown mint/freeze authority status, this is a high-uncertainty, high-risk speculative asset best suited to short-term traders rather than fundamental investors.

Bull case (low)

If community/social momentum (Twitter, Telegram, website activity) sustains attention and the PENGU-adjacent narrative attracts continued speculative buying, price could stabilize at a higher base or attempt another leg up, especially if buy pressure (currently 51.5%) strengthens and new liquidity is added to the pool.

  • Continued narrative/social virality tied to the PENGU association
  • Net positive buyer count (2,238 buyers vs 1,488 sellers in 24h)
  • Any addition of liquidity that reduces slippage risk and stabilizes price discovery

Base case

Price continues to be highly volatile and range within the recent extremes (~$0.00022–$0.00049) as the market digests the initial spike, with liquidity remaining shallow and trading dominated by short-term speculators rather than long-term holders.

  • No major new liquidity or verified authority information becomes available in the near term
  • Trading volume continues to normalize down from the initial spike levels
  • Buy/sell pressure remains roughly balanced without a decisive directional catalyst

Bear case (high)

The classic pump-and-fade pattern already visible in the two available candles (huge wick up, followed by a deep retrace and volume collapse) continues, with early buyers/insiders distributing into retail demand and price grinding back toward its pre-spike base or lower, exacerbated by the extremely thin $22.41K liquidity.

  • 80% volume decay between the two most recent candles signaling fading interest
  • -21.8% 5-minute price move showing momentum has already reversed
  • Shallow liquidity amplifying any sell pressure
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority raising dilution/rug risk
  • No holder/sniper data to rule out concentrated insider selling

GeneratedSep 10, 04:16 PM
Data freshnessData reflects the most recent available snapshot as of the last provided hourly candle (2026-09-10T16:00:00Z); price and volume figures are current as of that timestamp only.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • Price and 24h % change data
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, price % changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder data available — holderTrends and whaleMap sections are populated with placeholder zero/default values, not actual findings
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals could not be computed and are set to unknown/zero per methodology
  • Only 2 hourly candles provided, insufficient for robust technical analysis or multi-day trend confirmation
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, verified-contract, and mutability status all reported as unknown, preventing a full tokenomics risk assessment
  • Token description and branding are creator-supplied, untrusted marketing content and were not treated as factual claims

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based solely on the limited on-chain and market data provided, which has significant gaps (no holder data, no sniper data, unknown authority status). Cryptocurrency trading, especially in low-liquidity meme coins, carries a very high risk of substantial or total loss. Conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 POLLY

Key Risks

Extremely shallow liquidity ($22.41K) relative to volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
Unverified mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm the contract is safe from further dilution or transfer restrictions
Massive, likely unsustainable price spike (+560% in 24h/1h) followed by an already-visible sharp pullback and volume collapse
No holder or sniper data available, removing key tools to detect insider concentration or coordinated dumping

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data was available for this token, so no sniper concentration, PnL state, or sell-through rate could be computed. This is a meaningful blind spot for a token that just experienced a 560%+ 1h/24h price spike, since sniper/early-buyer dumping is a common risk vector in exactly this kind of setup.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown

Unknown — no sniper or early wallet data provided to assess whether early buyers are holding or distributing.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Pudgy Polly (POLLY)?

Momentum has already turned negative on the 5-minute timeframe (-21.8%) and the most recent hourly candle closed near its low after failing to hold a higher high, with volume down ~80% from the prior candle — both point to near-term downside or continued high-volatility consolidation rather than an immediate continuation of the spike. Short-term outlook is bearish (1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.000150 to $0.000350.

Is POLLY a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 88/100. Only suitable for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can tolerate total loss of capital and who understand thin-liquidity meme coin dynamics. Not appropriate for risk-averse investors or anyone seeking capital preservation; position sizing should be minimal given the shallow liquidity and unverifiable authority/holder data.

What does sniper activity look like for POLLY?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding POLLY?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($22.41K) relative to volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk • Unverified mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm the contract is safe from further dilution or transfer restrictions • Massive, likely unsustainable price spike (+560% in 24h/1h) followed by an already-visible sharp pullback and volume collapse

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