Soba

Soba Price Today & AI Analysis

SobaSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 6, 2026

Price

$0.053696

Contract

Live
6u7N3VXoqdzSnR3B9CgF3gTcaSsh2ngxNy4iNFnRpump

Chain

Holders

220

Market cap

$3,694

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Soba: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-06 22:17 UTC

Holder addresses

701

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$43,161.75
How concentrated is Soba ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 701 addresses (2026-07-06 22:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Soba?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Soba liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-06 22:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $43,161.75. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-06 22:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 6, 10:17 PM UTC

FDV

$0

Liquidity

$43,161.75

Holders

701

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Soba (SOBA) is a micro-cap Solana meme/community token launched via PumpFun and traded on PumpSwap, currently priced at ~$0.0000832 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$83K. The token exhibits several major red flags: a total formatted supply of 1 (suggesting extreme decimal manipulation or a non-standard token structure), mutable metadata with unknown update authority, zero verified contract status, 80.8% sell pressure in the last 24h, and a dramatic spike in holder count (+657 holders, +94% in the last hour) that is inconsistent with the 30-day historical data showing only 44 holders for the entire prior month. This sudden holder surge is highly anomalous and likely reflects bot activity, airdrop farming, or data artifacts. The token is extremely high risk.

Key points

  • Total formatted supply reported as 1 — highly anomalous, likely a decimal/metadata issue or deliberate obfuscation
  • Holder count surged +657 (+94%) in a single hour after 30 days of complete stagnation at 44 holders — strong manipulation signal
  • 80.8% sell pressure vs 19.2% buy pressure over 24h despite a 21% price gain — divergence suggests thin liquidity and wash activity
  • Metadata is mutable with unknown update authority — rug risk elevated
  • Only $43K total liquidity against $83K FDV — extremely shallow market

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token just posted a 21% gain in 24h but is facing overwhelming sell pressure (80.8% of volume). The two available hourly candles show a strong move from ~$0.000032 to ~$0.0000832, but with sell volume at $676K vs buy volume of only $161K, the price is likely to retrace sharply. Liquidity is only $43K, meaning even modest selling can cause severe slippage.

Target low

$0.000032

Target high

$0.000083

Support

$0.0000661 (hourly candle 1 low), $0.0000321 (hourly candle 2 open/low)

Resistance

$0.0000832 (current price / hourly candle 1 high), $0.0000736 (hourly candle 2 high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Given the token's history of 44 stagnant holders for 30 days, the sudden spike in activity is likely a pump event. Without sustained community growth, utility, or liquidity injection, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The token could return to pre-pump levels near $0.000032 or lower.

Catalysts

  • Sustained organic community growth from the Discord (discord.gg/uxento)
  • Liquidity deepening above $100K
  • Verified contract and renounced authorities to build trust

Bullish factors

  • 21% price gain in 24h shows short-term momentum
  • 5-minute price change of +7% suggests very recent buying interest
  • Holder count spike (if organic) could signal growing community awareness

Bearish factors

  • 80.8% sell pressure — sellers dominate overwhelmingly
  • Only $43K liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • 30 days of complete stagnation (44 holders, zero growth) before sudden spike
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority
  • Total supply reported as 1 — metadata anomaly raises trust concerns
  • Unverified contract
  • Sell volume ($676K) is 4.2x buy volume ($161K) in 24h

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the total supply metadata is anomalous (reported as 1), holder data shows a suspicious sudden spike, and sniper data is unavailable. These data quality issues severely limit predictive confidence.

Soba call history

Full track record →

Jul 6bearish
24h-82.4%
7d-91.3%
30d-96.7%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
6u7N3V...pump
Total Supply
1 (formatted, decimals: 0) — highly anomalous; likely a non-standard token structure

Key Risks

  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug pull vector
  • Total supply of 1 (formatted) is anomalous and suggests non-standard or manipulated token structure
  • 80.8% sell pressure — overwhelming distribution by sellers
  • Only $43K liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle 2 (21:00 UTC): O=$0.0000321, H=$0.0000736, L=$0.0000321, C=$0.0000736 — a strong bullish candle with a 129% range, closing at the high, indicating a violent pump with no upper wick (buyers in full control at close). Candle 1 (22:00 UTC): O=$0.0000692, H=$0.0000832, L=$0.0000661, C=$0.0000832 — another bullish candle closing at the high, continuing the upward momentum. The open of candle 1 gapped down slightly from candle 2's close, suggesting a brief pullback before resuming. Both candles close at their highs, a sign of strong short-term buying pressure, but the macro sell volume context (80.8% sell pressure) suggests this may be a thin-liquidity pump.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term (last 2 hours): clear uptrend with two consecutive bullish candles closing at highs. Medium-term (30-day): effectively flat/downtrend — the token sat at 44 holders with no price discovery for 30 days before this sudden spike. The medium-term context is bearish/sideways with a potential pump-and-dump pattern emerging.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

19%

Sell

81%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000661 (22:00 candle low)

Major support

$0.0000321 (21:00 candle open/low — origin of the pump)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000832 (current price / 22:00 candle high)

Major resistance

$0.0000832 (all-time high in available data)

The token is currently at its highest observed price in the available data. There is no overhead resistance from historical data, but the lack of liquidity depth means any significant sell order will create its own resistance. Key support is the 22:00 candle low at $0.0000661, with major support at the pump origin of $0.0000321.

Notable patterns

  • Two consecutive bullish candles closing at their highs — short-term momentum signal
  • Volume exhaustion: 90% volume drop from candle 2 to candle 1 while price continued higher — bearish divergence
  • Price nearly tripled in 2 hours from a 30-day dormant base — classic pump pattern
  • No upper wicks on either candle — buyers fully in control at each hourly close, but macro sell pressure contradicts this

Liquidity

Liquidity

$43,161.75

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $43.16K is extremely shallow relative to the 24h trading volume of ~$837K — a volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~19x, indicating the pool is being heavily churned. Sell volume ($676.78K) is 4.2x buy volume ($161.07K), and there are 5.2x more unique sellers (2,372) than buyers (453). Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The FDV of $83.17K is only ~1.9x the liquidity, meaning the entire market cap could theoretically be drained in a single large sell. Slippage risk is high — any trade above a few hundred dollars will move the price significantly. The PumpSwap pair (96ABqzXTRy5Gby7mvR8KZ9pFRfFB5Nhxz3qTpGUiE7iN) is the sole liquidity venue. The price % change showing 0% for 1h, 6h, and 24h despite a 21% 24h change is contradictory and may indicate a data lag or reporting anomaly.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1 (formatted, decimals: 0) — highly anomalous; likely a non-standard token structure

FDV

$83,170

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price nearly tripled in 2 hours from a 30-day dormant base. With only $43K liquidity and a micro-cap FDV of $83K, extreme price swings in both directions are expected. The 24h range spans from ~$0.000032 to ~$0.0000832 — a 159% intra-day range.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of $43.16K is critically shallow. The volume-to-liquidity ratio is ~19x over 24h. Any meaningful position exit will cause severe slippage. The token trades on a single PumpSwap pool with no alternative venues.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug pull vector
  • Total supply of 1 (formatted) is anomalous and suggests non-standard or manipulated token structure
  • 80.8% sell pressure — overwhelming distribution by sellers
  • Only $43K liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Holder spike of +657 in one hour after 30 days of stagnation — likely artificial/manipulated
  • No top holder data available — ownership structure completely opaque
  • Unverified contract
  • Single liquidity venue (PumpSwap only)
  • Micro-cap FDV of $83K — susceptible to manipulation
  • Discord-only launch with no described utility or roadmap

Mitigating factors

  • Token is not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Social links (Twitter, website, Moralis) exist, suggesting some level of public presence
  • Price has shown short-term upward momentum (+21% in 24h)
  • 2,460 unique wallets interacted in 24h, suggesting some market interest

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap Solana meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only). This is NOT financial advice.

Soba is a high-risk micro-cap Solana meme token with a suspicious activity profile. The 30-day holder stagnation followed by a sudden pump and artificial-looking holder spike, combined with overwhelming sell pressure, mutable metadata, unknown authorities, and anomalous supply data, creates a profile consistent with a pump-and-dump scheme. While short-term traders may have profited from the 21% 24h gain, the risk/reward for new entrants is extremely unfavorable.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The Discord community (discord.gg/uxento) generates genuine viral momentum, the holder spike proves to be organic, liquidity deepens significantly, and the token establishes itself as a community meme token with sustained buying interest.

  • Genuine viral community growth from Discord/social media
  • Liquidity injection above $200K to reduce slippage risk
  • Authorities renounced and contract verified to build trust
  • Sustained buy pressure overcoming current sell dominance

Base Case

The token experiences a brief pump cycle followed by a significant retracement (50-80% from peak), settling into a new, slightly higher equilibrium than pre-pump levels with a small but active community of ~100-200 genuine holders.

  • Some portion of the 657 new holders are genuine
  • Liquidity remains above $10K to allow trading
  • No rug pull or freeze event occurs
  • Sell pressure gradually normalizes as early sellers exhaust their supply

Bear Case

High probability

The pump was orchestrated by early holders (the original 44) who are now distributing into artificial demand. The holder spike was bot-generated. Liquidity drains, price collapses back to pre-pump levels (~$0.000032) or lower, and the token returns to dormancy or is abandoned.

  • 80.8% sell pressure continues or accelerates
  • Original 44 holders dump remaining supply
  • Liquidity pool drained below viable trading levels
  • Holder spike revealed as artificial, destroying community narrative
  • Mutable metadata exploited for rug pull

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 6, 10:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-06 22:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis Solana Token API (metadata, price, OHLC, trading analytics, holder metrics, historical holders)
  • PumpSwap on-chain pair data (96ABqzXTRy5Gby7mvR8KZ9pFRfFB5Nhxz3qTpGUiE7iN)
  • On-chain holder distribution data

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No sniper/smart money data available
  • Top holder list returned empty — whale map cannot be constructed
  • Total supply reported as 1 with 0 decimals — anomalous, may indicate data error or non-standard token
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority renouncement
  • Holder spike of +657 in one hour is statistically anomalous and may be a data artifact or manipulation
  • Supply concentration metrics (0% for top 10 and top 100) are likely data artifacts
  • Price % change fields show 0% for 1h/6h/24h despite a reported 21% 24h gain — data inconsistency
  • No order book depth data available
  • No historical price data beyond 2 candles

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used contains multiple anomalies and inconsistencies that limit analytical confidence. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Soba ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 701 addresses (2026-07-06 22:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Soba?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Soba liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-06 22:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $43,161.75. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Soba (Soba)?

The token just posted a 21% gain in 24h but is facing overwhelming sell pressure (80.8% of volume). The two available hourly candles show a strong move from ~$0.000032 to ~$0.0000832, but with sell volume at $676K vs buy volume of only $161K, the price is likely to retrace sharply. Liquidity is only $43K, meaning even modest selling can cause severe slippage. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000032 to $0.000083.

Is Soba a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap Solana meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only). This is NOT financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding Soba?

Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug pull vector • Total supply of 1 (formatted) is anomalous and suggests non-standard or manipulated token structure • 80.8% sell pressure — overwhelming distribution by sellers

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