Frogdog Price Today & AI Analysis

IVYSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 18, 2026

$0.0₅2552

Contract

Live

6hJ8NyjpgRv2Dvur1jwsQfkNqynnghTsLpEP5cjEAmXd

Chain

Solana

Holders

200

Market cap

$2,552

At a $1M market cap, $IVY would be $0.001000 (392x from today’s price)

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Frogdog: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-18 06:17 UTC

Holder addresses

440

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$40,292.80

How concentrated is Frogdog ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 440 addresses (2026-07-18 06:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Frogdog?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Frogdog liquidity falling?: As of 2026-07-18 06:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $40,292.80. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-18 06:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 18, 06:17 AM UTC

FDV

$98,477

Liquidity

$40,292.80

Holders

440

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Frogdog (IVY) is a meme/pet-themed Solana token launched on PumpSwap with a current price of ~$0.0000985 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$98.5K. The token has experienced an extraordinary 512% 24h price surge, but this is accompanied by extreme red flags: a single wallet holds 100% of the circulating supply, sell pressure dominates at 74.3% of 24h volume, liquidity is razor-thin at $40.3K, and the token was dormant for nearly a month before a sudden burst of activity. This profile is consistent with a highly speculative, potentially manipulated micro-cap token.

Key points

Single wallet (MDGTY7Z6b9Dca5ttkpr5TLXf2154bdsnLiAaQMKNg3W) holds 100% of supply — extreme concentration risk
512% 24h price pump with 74.3% sell-side volume dominance — classic pump-and-dump pattern
Token was completely dormant (30 holders, zero net change) for ~30 days before sudden activation on 2026-07-17
Total liquidity of only $40.3K against $98.5K FDV — extremely shallow market depth
Update authority is NOT renounced (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM), contract unverified

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The 512% pump is almost entirely driven by a single dominant holder and thin liquidity. With 74.3% sell pressure ($171K sells vs $59K buys in 24h) and a top holder controlling 100% of supply, any continued distribution will collapse the price rapidly. The 5m and 1h changes (+3.5% and +3.9%) suggest a brief pause, but the structural setup is overwhelmingly bearish.

Target low

$0.000010

Target high

$0.000120

Support: $0.000032 (recent consolidation zone, candles 2–4), $0.000015 (candle 7 low), $0.000010 (candle 10 close / candle 12 area)
Resistance: $0.000092 (candle 1 high / near current price), $0.000069 (candle 2 high), $0.000038 (candle 4 high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Without a genuine community, verified contract, or renounced authorities, sustained price appreciation is unlikely. The token spent 30 days flat at 30 holders before this pump, suggesting no organic base. If the primary holder continues distributing, the token could retrace to pre-pump levels (~$0.000005–$0.000010).

Catalysts

Continued distribution by the 100% supply holder would accelerate price collapse
Any liquidity removal from the $40.3K pool would make the token untradeable
Broader Solana meme-coin sentiment shift could briefly extend the pump
Social media traction (Instagram/Twitter/Telegram) could attract new buyers temporarily

Bullish factors

512% 24h price surge demonstrates short-term momentum
Holder count grew +410 in 24h (93% increase) indicating new interest
5m and 1h price changes are mildly positive (+3.5%, +3.9%)
Active social presence (Instagram, Twitter, Telegram) could drive retail FOMO

Bearish factors

Single wallet holds 100% of supply — catastrophic concentration risk
74.3% sell pressure dominates 24h volume ($171K sells vs $59K buys)
Liquidity is only $40.3K — large orders will cause extreme slippage
Token was dormant for ~30 days before this pump — no organic growth history
Update authority not renounced, contract unverified — rug risk elevated
OHLC candles show erratic, high-volatility price action with no stable base

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme concentration of supply in one wallet, the absence of sniper data, an unverified contract, and the highly manipulated price action. The 24h % change figure of 0% in the price change breakdown (vs 512% headline) suggests data inconsistency, further reducing analytical certainty.

IVY call history

Full track record →

Jul 18bearish@ $0.0000985

24h-81.2%

7d-92.7%

30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: 6hJ8Ny...AmXd
Total Supply: 999,999,248.816777

Key Risks

Single wallet controls 100% of supply — immediate rug/dump risk at any moment
Update authority not renounced — metadata and potentially supply can be modified
Unverified contract — no independent audit or code verification
74.3% sell pressure dominates 24h volume — active distribution in progress

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 19-hour OHLC series reveals a violent pump-and-dump pattern. Candles 12–19 (oldest) show the token trading in the $0.000004–$0.000030 range with moderate volume. Candle 19 (12:00 UTC Jul 17) opened at $0.0000302 and closed at $0.0000075, a sharp bearish candle. Candles 12–18 show a gradual recovery from lows near $0.0000039 back to ~$0.0000185. Candles 6–11 show a second pump attempt peaking near $0.0000281 (candle 9) before fading. Candles 1–5 (most recent) show the most dramatic move: price surged to a high of $0.0000918 (candle 1 high) — the highest point in the dataset — with candle 1 showing an anomalous OHLC where L > O (likely a data artifact or inverted field). The current price near $0.0000985 is above all candle highs in the dataset, suggesting the most recent move occurred after the last recorded candle.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward due to the recent 512% pump, but this is not a sustainable uptrend — it is a spike. The medium-term (19-hour) view shows a sideways-to-volatile pattern with no consistent higher highs and higher lows. The price action is characteristic of a low-liquidity meme token being pumped by a concentrated holder.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

26%

Sell

74%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000032 (recent consolidation in candles 2–4, multiple closes near this level)

Major support

$0.000010 (candle 10 close and candle 12 range — prior base before second pump)

Immediate resistance

$0.000092 (candle 1 high — highest recorded level in dataset)

Major resistance

$0.000120 (above all recorded highs; current price territory)

The token has no established resistance above $0.0000918 based on available data. Support levels are fragile given the thin liquidity. A break below $0.000032 would likely accelerate selling toward the $0.000010 zone. The $0.000005 area represents the pre-pump baseline from candles 16–17.

Notable patterns

Spike-and-fade pattern: massive wick to $0.0000918 in candle 1 with close well below high
Bearish engulfing structure in candle 19 (open $0.0000302, close $0.0000075) — sharp sell-off from prior high
Double pump structure: first pump in candles 15–16, second larger pump in candles 1–5
High-volume distribution candle: candle 2 has highest volume ($34.8K) during price ascent — classic distribution signal
No consolidation base: price has not formed a stable higher-low structure, indicating speculative spike rather than organic uptrend

Liquidity

$40,292.80

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $40.3K against a $98.5K FDV means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 41% — while this sounds reasonable, the absolute dollar amount is tiny. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. The 24h sell volume of $171.3K is 4.25x the buy volume of $59.3K, and there are 1,128 unique sellers vs only 517 unique buyers — more than double the sellers. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The pair trades on PumpSwap (2bknQKgM41hs1jnWCb1Uu4iEm558jyGc1ELNJ7ct8k5z), a platform associated with newly launched meme tokens. The combination of shallow liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and a single 100% supply holder creates conditions where a rapid liquidity exit could render the token effectively untradeable.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,248.816777

FDV

$98,477.31

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
512% 24h price swing on a $40K liquidity pool. OHLC candles show extreme intraday volatility with price ranging from ~$0.000004 to ~$0.000092 within 19 hours. Any position can lose 80%+ in a single hour.
Liquidityhigh
Total liquidity of only $40.3K. Sell orders above a few hundred dollars will cause severe slippage. If the primary holder removes liquidity, the token becomes untradeable instantly.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Single wallet controls 100% of supply — immediate rug/dump risk at any moment
Update authority not renounced — metadata and potentially supply can be modified
Unverified contract — no independent audit or code verification
74.3% sell pressure dominates 24h volume — active distribution in progress
Liquidity of $40.3K is insufficient to absorb any meaningful sell pressure
29-day dormancy followed by sudden pump is a classic pump-and-dump setup
No established community or utility — pure speculative meme token

Mitigating factors

Token is marked as mutable: false, limiting some metadata changes
Social links (Instagram, Twitter, Telegram) exist, suggesting some community presence
Holder count growing rapidly (+410 in 24h) indicates active market interest
PumpSwap listing provides some baseline liquidity infrastructure
FDV of $98.5K is low enough that absolute loss exposure is limited for small positions

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The extreme supply concentration, unrenounced authorities, and active distribution pattern make this one of the highest-risk tokens analyzable.

IVY (Frogdog) is a high-risk meme token on Solana exhibiting classic pump-and-dump characteristics: a single wallet controls 100% of supply, the token was dormant for 29 days before a sudden 512% price pump, sell pressure dominates at 74.3%, and liquidity is only $40.3K. There is no verifiable utility, no renounced authorities, and no organic growth history. Any investment thesis must be purely speculative and momentum-based with an extremely short time horizon.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Short-term momentum continuation: retail FOMO from social media (Instagram/Twitter/Telegram) drives continued buying, temporarily pushing price above $0.000120. The rapid holder growth (+410 in 24h) attracts more attention, and the meme narrative ('Frogdog') gains viral traction on Solana meme-coin communities.

Viral social media spread of the Frogdog/IVY narrative
Continued retail FOMO buying overwhelming sell pressure temporarily
Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
Primary holder temporarily pausing distribution to allow price appreciation

Base Case

Gradual deflation: the pump partially sustains for 24–72 hours as retail momentum fades, then price drifts back toward $0.000015–$0.000030 as sell pressure continues. Holder count stabilizes or declines as early buyers exit. Token enters another dormancy period unless new catalysts emerge.

Primary holder distributes gradually rather than in a single dump
Some retail buyers hold positions hoping for further gains
Liquidity remains at current levels (~$40K) for the near term
No major social media catalyst emerges to reignite buying pressure

Bear Case

High probability

Rapid collapse: the primary holder (100% of supply) continues distributing into the pump, liquidity is drained, and the price retraces to pre-pump levels of $0.000004–$0.000010. New retail buyers are left holding worthless tokens. Potential complete liquidity removal rendering the token untradeable.

Primary holder dumps remaining supply into thin liquidity
Liquidity removal from the $40.3K PumpSwap pool
Sell pressure (74.3%) continues to overwhelm buy demand
No utility or fundamental value to support price floor
Retail buyers realize the concentration risk and exit simultaneously

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 18, 06:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-18 06:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, authority fields)
PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data (hourly candles, 19 periods)
Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, price changes)
Holder metrics and distribution data (top 20 holders, acquisition method)
Historical holder time series (30-day daily data)
Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

Sniper data is unavailable — early buyer PnL and concentration cannot be assessed
Mint and freeze authority status cannot be definitively confirmed from provided metadata
OHLC candle 1 shows anomalous data (L > O) suggesting possible data quality issue or field inversion
24h price change shows 0% in the breakdown table but 512% in the headline — data inconsistency noted
Only 2 wallets appear in top holders despite 440 total holders — remaining 438 holders' balances are not provided
The 100% supply concentration in one wallet may reflect tokens not yet distributed from a launch contract rather than a single malicious actor, but the risk profile is identical
No liquidity lock or vesting schedule data available
Contract code is unverified — no audit data available

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed suggests very high risk of price manipulation and potential rug pull. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. Past price performance does not guarantee future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Frogdog ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 440 addresses (2026-07-18 06:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Frogdog?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Frogdog liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-18 06:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $40,292.80. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Frogdog (IVY)?

Is IVY a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The extreme supply concentration, unrenounced authorities, and active distribution pattern make this one of the highest-risk tokens analyzable.

What are the key risks of holding IVY?

Single wallet controls 100% of supply — immediate rug/dump risk at any moment • Update authority not renounced — metadata and potentially supply can be modified • Unverified contract — no independent audit or code verification