IVY

Frogdog Price Today & AI Analysis

IVY
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 18, 2026

6hJ8NyjpgRv2Dvur1jwsQfkNqynnghTsLpEP5cjEAmXd

$0.052769

-2.82%

FDV $2,768

LiveContract:6hJ8NyjpgRv2Dvur1jwsQfkNqynnghTsLpEP5cjEAmXdChain:SolanaHolders:227Market cap:$2,768

More tokens on Solana

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about IVY

Report snapshotas of Jul 18, 06:17 AM
FDV

$98,477

Liquidity

$40,293

Holders

440

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Frogdog (IVY) is a meme/pet-themed Solana token launched on PumpSwap with a current price of ~$0.0000985 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$98.5K. The token has experienced an extraordinary 512% 24h price surge, but this is accompanied by extreme red flags: a single wallet holds 100% of the circulating supply, sell pressure dominates at 74.3% of 24h volume, liquidity is razor-thin at $40.3K, and the token was dormant for nearly a month before a sudden burst of activity. This profile is consistent with a highly speculative, potentially manipulated micro-cap token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Single wallet (MDGTY7Z6b9Dca5ttkpr5TLXf2154bdsnLiAaQMKNg3W) holds 100% of supply — extreme concentration risk
512% 24h price pump with 74.3% sell-side volume dominance — classic pump-and-dump pattern
Token was completely dormant (30 holders, zero net change) for ~30 days before sudden activation on 2026-07-17
Total liquidity of only $40.3K against $98.5K FDV — extremely shallow market depth
Update authority is NOT renounced (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM), contract unverified

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The 512% pump is almost entirely driven by a single dominant holder and thin liquidity. With 74.3% sell pressure ($171K sells vs $59K buys in 24h) and a top holder controlling 100% of supply, any continued distribution will collapse the price rapidly. The 5m and 1h changes (+3.5% and +3.9%) suggest a brief pause, but the structural setup is overwhelmingly bearish.

Target low$0.000010
Target high$0.000120
Support: $0.000032 (recent consolidation zone, candles 2–4), $0.000015 (candle 7 low), $0.000010 (candle 10 close / candle 12 area)
Resistance: $0.000092 (candle 1 high / near current price), $0.000069 (candle 2 high), $0.000038 (candle 4 high)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Without a genuine community, verified contract, or renounced authorities, sustained price appreciation is unlikely. The token spent 30 days flat at 30 holders before this pump, suggesting no organic base. If the primary holder continues distributing, the token could retrace to pre-pump levels (~$0.000005–$0.000010).

Catalysts
  • Continued distribution by the 100% supply holder would accelerate price collapse
  • Any liquidity removal from the $40.3K pool would make the token untradeable
  • Broader Solana meme-coin sentiment shift could briefly extend the pump
  • Social media traction (Instagram/Twitter/Telegram) could attract new buyers temporarily

Bullish factors

  • 512% 24h price surge demonstrates short-term momentum
  • Holder count grew +410 in 24h (93% increase) indicating new interest
  • 5m and 1h price changes are mildly positive (+3.5%, +3.9%)
  • Active social presence (Instagram, Twitter, Telegram) could drive retail FOMO

Bearish factors

  • Single wallet holds 100% of supply — catastrophic concentration risk
  • 74.3% sell pressure dominates 24h volume ($171K sells vs $59K buys)
  • Liquidity is only $40.3K — large orders will cause extreme slippage
  • Token was dormant for ~30 days before this pump — no organic growth history
  • Update authority not renounced, contract unverified — rug risk elevated
  • OHLC candles show erratic, high-volatility price action with no stable base
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme concentration of supply in one wallet, the absence of sniper data, an unverified contract, and the highly manipulated price action. The 24h % change figure of 0% in the price change breakdown (vs 512% headline) suggests data inconsistency, further reducing analytical certainty.

IVY call history

Full track record →
Jul 18bearish
24h-81.2%
7d-92.7%
30d

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 19-hour OHLC series reveals a violent pump-and-dump pattern. Candles 12–19 (oldest) show the token trading in the $0.000004–$0.000030 range with moderate volume. Candle 19 (12:00 UTC Jul 17) opened at $0.0000302 and closed at $0.0000075, a sharp bearish candle. Candles 12–18 show a gradual recovery from lows near $0.0000039 back to ~$0.0000185. Candles 6–11 show a second pump attempt peaking near $0.0000281 (candle 9) before fading. Candles 1–5 (most recent) show the most dramatic move: price surged to a high of $0.0000918 (candle 1 high) — the highest point in the dataset — with candle 1 showing an anomalous OHLC where L > O (likely a data artifact or inverted field). The current price near $0.0000985 is above all candle highs in the dataset, suggesting the most recent move occurred after the last recorded candle.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 26%Sell 74%

Short-term trend is technically upward due to the recent 512% pump, but this is not a sustainable uptrend — it is a spike. The medium-term (19-hour) view shows a sideways-to-volatile pattern with no consistent higher highs and higher lows. The price action is characteristic of a low-liquidity meme token being pumped by a concentrated holder.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000032 (recent consolidation in candles 2–4, multiple closes near this level)
Major$0.000010 (candle 10 close and candle 12 range — prior base before second pump)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000092 (candle 1 high — highest recorded level in dataset)
Major$0.000120 (above all recorded highs; current price territory)

The token has no established resistance above $0.0000918 based on available data. Support levels are fragile given the thin liquidity. A break below $0.000032 would likely accelerate selling toward the $0.000010 zone. The $0.000005 area represents the pre-pump baseline from candles 16–17.

Notable patterns

  • Spike-and-fade pattern: massive wick to $0.0000918 in candle 1 with close well below high
  • Bearish engulfing structure in candle 19 (open $0.0000302, close $0.0000075) — sharp sell-off from prior high
  • Double pump structure: first pump in candles 15–16, second larger pump in candles 1–5
  • High-volume distribution candle: candle 2 has highest volume ($34.8K) during price ascent — classic distribution signal
  • No consolidation base: price has not formed a stable higher-low structure, indicating speculative spike rather than organic uptrend

Total holders440
24h Δ+93
7d Δ+93
30d Δ+93
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is tightly correlated with the price pump: the token had exactly 30 holders with zero net change for the entire period from June 18 to July 16 (29 days of complete stagnation). On July 17, holders jumped by +146 (83%) to 176, and within the following 24 hours grew by another +264 to reach 440 — a +93% 24h gain. This explosive holder growth mirrors the 512% price spike and is consistent with retail FOMO buying into a pump rather than organic community growth.

The holder growth pattern is highly anomalous. A 29-day flat line at exactly 30 holders followed by a sudden +1,367% increase (30 to 440) in approximately 48 hours is not organic growth — it is characteristic of a coordinated pump event attracting retail speculators. The acceleration is extreme: 0 new holders/day for 29 days, then +146 on day 30, then +264 in the next 24 hours. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (93%) because all growth occurred within the last ~48 hours. Notably, 436 of 440 holders acquired via swap (not transfer or airdrop), confirming these are market buyers entering during the pump.

Top 10 hold100.00%
Top 100 hold100.00%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

MDGTY7Z6b9Dca5ttkpr5TLXf2154bdsnLiAaQMKNg3W

Project treasury / team / deployer — holds 999,999,995.6 tokens (effectively 100% of the 999,999,248.8 formatted supply). This is almost certainly the token creator or a controlling wallet. Its distribution behavior will entirely determine price trajectory.

100.00%

7ZCZjUiQr3tfNDRUe5wgyouV8acSFJoH5bvEVF1SNf5s

Dust holder — balance of 0.625398 tokens, negligible. Likely a test transfer or residual from a swap.

0.00%

The whale map is the single most alarming data point in this analysis. One wallet (MDGTY7Z6b9Dca5ttkpr5TLXf2154bdsnLiAaQMKNg3W) holds 999,999,995.6 tokens, representing effectively 100% of the total supply of ~999,999,248.8 tokens (the slight discrepancy may reflect rounding or tokens in transit). Only 2 wallets appear in the top holders list, with the second holding a negligible dust amount. The top 10 and top 100 concentration are both 100%. This is the most extreme supply concentration possible and represents a catastrophic rug/dump risk. The 74.3% sell pressure in 24h volume strongly suggests this wallet is actively distributing into retail buyers attracted by the price pump.

Liquidity$40,290
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$59,290
Sell$171,320
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers517
Unique sellers1,128

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $40.3K against a $98.5K FDV means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 41% — while this sounds reasonable, the absolute dollar amount is tiny. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. The 24h sell volume of $171.3K is 4.25x the buy volume of $59.3K, and there are 1,128 unique sellers vs only 517 unique buyers — more than double the sellers. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The pair trades on PumpSwap (2bknQKgM41hs1jnWCb1Uu4iEm558jyGc1ELNJ7ct8k5z), a platform associated with newly launched meme tokens. The combination of shallow liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and a single 100% supply holder creates conditions where a rapid liquidity exit could render the token effectively untradeable.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,248.816777
FDV$98,477.31

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The total supply is approximately 1 billion tokens with a current FDV of ~$98.5K. The update authority is TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT the burn address (11111...) and is NOT labeled as renounced, meaning the token metadata can still be modified by this authority. The contract is explicitly marked as unverified ('Verified contract: false'). Mint and freeze authority status cannot be definitively determined from the provided metadata fields alone, so both are marked 'unknown'. However, the combination of an active update authority, unverified contract, and 100% supply concentration in one wallet creates a HIGH rug risk from authorities. The token is marked as mutable: false, which is a minor positive, but the unrenounced update authority remains a concern. No vesting, lockup, or burn mechanisms are described.

Volatility
high

512% 24h price swing on a $40K liquidity pool. OHLC candles show extreme intraday volatility with price ranging from ~$0.000004 to ~$0.000092 within 19 hours. Any position can lose 80%+ in a single hour.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $40.3K. Sell orders above a few hundred dollars will cause severe slippage. If the primary holder removes liquidity, the token becomes untradeable instantly.

Concentration
high

One wallet holds 100% of the total supply (999,999,995.6 tokens). This is the maximum possible concentration risk. The holder can dump the entire supply at any time, collapsing the price to near zero.

SniperDump
low

No sniper data is available. However, the 100% supply concentration in a single non-sniper wallet represents a more severe form of dump risk than typical sniper activity.

Authority
high

Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) is not renounced. Contract is unverified. Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. The token creator retains significant control over the token's metadata and potentially its supply.

Key risks

  • Single wallet controls 100% of supply — immediate rug/dump risk at any moment
  • Update authority not renounced — metadata and potentially supply can be modified
  • Unverified contract — no independent audit or code verification
  • 74.3% sell pressure dominates 24h volume — active distribution in progress
  • Liquidity of $40.3K is insufficient to absorb any meaningful sell pressure
  • 29-day dormancy followed by sudden pump is a classic pump-and-dump setup
  • No established community or utility — pure speculative meme token

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked as mutable: false, limiting some metadata changes
  • Social links (Instagram, Twitter, Telegram) exist, suggesting some community presence
  • Holder count growing rapidly (+410 in 24h) indicates active market interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline liquidity infrastructure
  • FDV of $98.5K is low enough that absolute loss exposure is limited for small positions
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The extreme supply concentration, unrenounced authorities, and active distribution pattern make this one of the highest-risk tokens analyzable.

IVY (Frogdog) is a high-risk meme token on Solana exhibiting classic pump-and-dump characteristics: a single wallet controls 100% of supply, the token was dormant for 29 days before a sudden 512% price pump, sell pressure dominates at 74.3%, and liquidity is only $40.3K. There is no verifiable utility, no renounced authorities, and no organic growth history. Any investment thesis must be purely speculative and momentum-based with an extremely short time horizon.

Bull case (low)

Short-term momentum continuation: retail FOMO from social media (Instagram/Twitter/Telegram) drives continued buying, temporarily pushing price above $0.000120. The rapid holder growth (+410 in 24h) attracts more attention, and the meme narrative ('Frogdog') gains viral traction on Solana meme-coin communities.

  • Viral social media spread of the Frogdog/IVY narrative
  • Continued retail FOMO buying overwhelming sell pressure temporarily
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Primary holder temporarily pausing distribution to allow price appreciation

Base case

Gradual deflation: the pump partially sustains for 24–72 hours as retail momentum fades, then price drifts back toward $0.000015–$0.000030 as sell pressure continues. Holder count stabilizes or declines as early buyers exit. Token enters another dormancy period unless new catalysts emerge.

  • Primary holder distributes gradually rather than in a single dump
  • Some retail buyers hold positions hoping for further gains
  • Liquidity remains at current levels (~$40K) for the near term
  • No major social media catalyst emerges to reignite buying pressure

Bear case (high)

Rapid collapse: the primary holder (100% of supply) continues distributing into the pump, liquidity is drained, and the price retraces to pre-pump levels of $0.000004–$0.000010. New retail buyers are left holding worthless tokens. Potential complete liquidity removal rendering the token untradeable.

  • Primary holder dumps remaining supply into thin liquidity
  • Liquidity removal from the $40.3K PumpSwap pool
  • Sell pressure (74.3%) continues to overwhelm buy demand
  • No utility or fundamental value to support price floor
  • Retail buyers realize the concentration risk and exit simultaneously

GeneratedJul 18, 06:17 AM
Data freshnessMost recent price data reflects ~$0.0000985 as of approximately 2026-07-18T06:00 UTC. OHLC data covers 2026-07-17T12:00 to 2026-07-18T06:00 UTC (19 hourly candles). Holder data reflects state as of analysis time. Sniper data unavailable.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, authority fields)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data (hourly candles, 19 periods)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, price changes)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (top 20 holders, acquisition method)
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily data)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Sniper data is unavailable — early buyer PnL and concentration cannot be assessed
  • Mint and freeze authority status cannot be definitively confirmed from provided metadata
  • OHLC candle 1 shows anomalous data (L > O) suggesting possible data quality issue or field inversion
  • 24h price change shows 0% in the breakdown table but 512% in the headline — data inconsistency noted
  • Only 2 wallets appear in top holders despite 440 total holders — remaining 438 holders' balances are not provided
  • The 100% supply concentration in one wallet may reflect tokens not yet distributed from a launch contract rather than a single malicious actor, but the risk profile is identical
  • No liquidity lock or vesting schedule data available
  • Contract code is unverified — no audit data available

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed suggests very high risk of price manipulation and potential rug pull. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. Past price performance does not guarantee future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,248.816777

Key Risks

Single wallet controls 100% of supply — immediate rug/dump risk at any moment
Update authority not renounced — metadata and potentially supply can be modified
Unverified contract — no independent audit or code verification
74.3% sell pressure dominates 24h volume — active distribution in progress

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for IVY. Smart money signals must be inferred from on-chain holder and volume data alone. The dominant signal is the single wallet holding 100% of supply (MDGTY7Z6b9Dca5ttkpr5TLXf2154bdsnLiAaQMKNg3W with 999,999,995.6 tokens), which is the primary market mover. The 74.3% sell pressure ($171K vs $59K buys) strongly suggests this or related wallets are actively distributing into the pump. The rapid holder growth (+410 in 24h, from 30 to 440) indicates retail buyers are entering while the dominant holder distributes.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Cannot be determined from available data — no sniper records exist. However, the 30-day dormancy period (30 holders, zero change from June 18 to July 16) followed by a sudden activation suggests the early holders (the original 30) may be insiders or the token creator's wallets. Their current sentiment is likely distributing given the sell-volume dominance.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Frogdog (IVY)?

The 512% pump is almost entirely driven by a single dominant holder and thin liquidity. With 74.3% sell pressure ($171K sells vs $59K buys in 24h) and a top holder controlling 100% of supply, any continued distribution will collapse the price rapidly. The 5m and 1h changes (+3.5% and +3.9%) suggest a brief pause, but the structural setup is overwhelmingly bearish. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000010 to $0.000120.

Is IVY a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The extreme supply concentration, unrenounced authorities, and active distribution pattern make this one of the highest-risk tokens analyzable.

How are IVY holders trending?

Frogdog currently has 440 holders and is growing (24h: 93, 7d: 93, 30d: 93). The holder growth pattern is highly anomalous. A 29-day flat line at exactly 30 holders followed by a sudden +1,367% increase (30 to 440) in approximately 48 hours is not organic growth — it is characteristic of a coordinated pump event attracting retail speculators. The acceleration is extreme: 0 new holders/day for 29 days, then +146 on day 30, then +264 in the next 24 hours. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (93%) because all growth occurred within the last ~48 hours. Notably, 436 of 440 holders acquired via swap (not transfer or airdrop), confirming these are market buyers entering during the pump.

What does sniper activity look like for IVY?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding IVY?

Single wallet controls 100% of supply — immediate rug/dump risk at any moment • Update authority not renounced — metadata and potentially supply can be modified • Unverified contract — no independent audit or code verification

Track IVY