Tilly Price Today & AI Analysis

TillySolanaAnalysis as of Jul 18, 2026

$0.0₄1066

+1.43% 24h

Contract

Live

6Z6qeAuA45G8RrxG7hjZVdPHn1rNHtedJy9WAXg9pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,638

Market cap

$10,655

At a $1M market cap, $TILLY would be $0.001000 (93.9x from today’s price)

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Tilly: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-18 01:17 UTC

Holder addresses

396

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$36,327.47

How concentrated is Tilly ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 396 addresses (2026-07-18 01:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Tilly?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Tilly liquidity falling?: As of 2026-07-18 01:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $36,327.47. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-18 01:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 18, 01:17 AM UTC

FDV

$66,613

Liquidity

$36,327.47

Holders

396

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Tilly (TILLY) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a mint address of 6Z6qeAuA45G8RrxG7hjZVdPHn1rNHtedJy9WAXg9pump. The token has a total supply of ~999.8M, a fully diluted valuation of ~$66.6K, and total liquidity of only $36.3K. It launched with 19 holders for nearly a month before exploding to 396 holders in a single day (+377, +95% in 24h), coinciding with a 100% price surge. Sell pressure is dominant at 70.5% of 24h volume ($290K sells vs $122K buys). Top holder data is unavailable, and sniper data is absent. The token is extremely early-stage, illiquid, and high-risk.

Key points

Explosive single-day holder growth: +377 holders (+95%) on July 17, 2026 after 29 days of complete stagnation at 19 holders
Price doubled (+100%) in 24h, with a 6h gain of +288% suggesting a very recent pump event
Severe sell-side dominance: 70.5% sell pressure ($290K) vs 29.5% buy pressure ($122K) in 24h
Extremely thin liquidity at $36.3K against a $66.6K FDV — slippage risk is very high
No verified contract, no social links, no description, and update authority is unknown — minimal transparency

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already pumped ~100% in 24h and ~288% in 6h, with sell pressure at 70.5% of volume. The most recent candles (candles 1–4) show a sharp decline from the ~$0.0000638 high back toward $0.0000200–$0.0000252, indicating the pump may be exhausting. Short-term price action is likely to continue retracing unless new buy volume enters.

Target low

$0.0000150

Target high

$0.0000438

Support: $0.0000162 (candle 3 low), $0.0000105 (candle 17 low), $0.0000054 (candle 16 absolute low)
Resistance: $0.0000438 (candle 12 high), $0.0000638 (candle 1 high — session peak), $0.0000300 (candle 19 open / psychological level)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Without sustained community growth, utility, or social presence, the token is likely to fade after the initial pump. The 29-day dormancy period (19 holders from June 18 to July 16) followed by a single-day explosion is a classic pump pattern. Medium-term outlook is bearish unless new catalysts emerge.

Catalysts

Sustained new holder acquisition beyond the initial pump day
Development of social presence or community (currently zero social links)
Broader Solana meme coin market rally
Listing on aggregators or CEX (unlikely at this FDV)

Bullish factors

Price has already doubled in 24h, showing speculative demand exists
Holder count grew from 19 to 396 in a single day — rapid community formation
6h price gain of +288% suggests strong momentum in the very short term
PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading

Bearish factors

70.5% sell pressure dominates 24h volume ($289.97K sells vs $121.56K buys)
Liquidity is only $36.3K — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
Token was dormant for 29 days with only 19 holders before the pump
No social links, no description, unverified contract — near-zero transparency
Top holder concentration data unavailable — unknown distribution risk
FDV of $66.6K is very small; even minor sell pressure can crater price
Recent candles show price declining from session highs (~$0.0000638 back to ~$0.0000252)

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) no top holder data available, (2) no sniper data, (3) extremely thin liquidity making price easily manipulated, (4) the token is less than 24h into its pump phase, and (5) no fundamental information (no description, no socials, unverified contract).

Tilly call history

Full track record →

Jul 18bearish@ $0.0000666

24h+350.3%

7d+625.2%

30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: 6Z6qeA...pump
Total Supply: 999,826,563.956407

Key Risks

Extreme illiquidity: $36.3K liquidity pool against $411.5K daily volume creates severe slippage and exit risk
Dominant sell pressure: 70.5% of 24h volume is sells; 2,010 unique sellers vs 900 unique buyers
Unknown early holder concentration: 19 pre-pump holders with unknown balances represent latent dump risk
No social presence, no description, unverified contract — zero fundamental backing

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

19 hourly candles analyzed (July 17–18, 2026). The token launched from very low prices (~$0.0000054–$0.0000108 range in candle 16–17) and surged sharply. Candle 16 (10:00 UTC) shows a massive range from $0.0000054 low to $0.0000169 close on high volume ($10.3K), marking the breakout candle. The price then climbed through candles 11–12 where candle 12 hit a session high of $0.0000438. Candle 5 (21:00 UTC) saw another surge to $0.0000364 on $51.8K volume. Candle 1 (01:00 UTC July 18) shows an anomalous OHLC where the Low ($0.0000638) is higher than the Open ($0.0000200) and Close ($0.0000252), suggesting a data inversion — the true high was likely $0.0000638, representing the session peak. Overall pattern: sharp pump from base, multiple volatile swings, now showing signs of distribution with declining closes.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Short-term (last 4–6 candles): price is declining from the $0.0000638 session high back toward $0.0000200–$0.0000252, forming lower closes. Medium-term (full 19-candle view): the token is in a clear uptrend from its $0.0000054 base, having multiplied ~12x from the lowest point to the session peak.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

30%

Sell

71%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000200 (candle 1 open / candle 3 open)

Major support

$0.0000054 (candle 16 absolute low — launch base)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000364 (candle 5 high)

Major resistance

$0.0000638 (candle 1 session peak — data-adjusted high)

Immediate support sits at ~$0.0000200, which has been tested multiple times (candle 1 open, candle 3 open, candle 4 close area). A break below this level opens the path to $0.0000162 (candle 3 low) and ultimately $0.0000105–$0.0000054 (candle 16–17 range). Resistance at $0.0000364 (candle 5 high) and the session peak of ~$0.0000438–$0.0000638 would require significant new buying to reclaim.

Notable patterns

Sharp V-shaped breakout from base in candle 16 (low of $0.0000054 to close of $0.0000169)
Potential double-top formation: candle 12 high ($0.0000438) and candle 1 adjusted high ($0.0000638) with declining volume on second peak
Bearish engulfing-style action in candle 4: opened at $0.0000362, closed at $0.0000201 — large red candle on $15.9K volume
Volume climax in candles 5 and 19 ($51K each) followed by price decline — classic distribution signal
Extended consolidation/doji in candle 2: O=H=L=$0.0000252 — indecision at resistance

Liquidity

$36,327.47

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically thin at $36.3K against a $66.6K FDV — the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 54.5%, which sounds reasonable but in absolute dollar terms means any trade above a few hundred dollars will experience significant slippage. The 24h trading volume of ~$411.5K ($121.6K buys + $290K sells) is over 11x the total liquidity pool, indicating extremely high turnover relative to depth. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow): sell volume is 2.38x buy volume, and unique sellers (2,010) outnumber unique buyers (900) by 2.23x. This is a clear distribution pattern — more participants are exiting than entering. The pair trades on PumpSwap (pair 4mdJwjXaVHQ2CkBQ5JEzCowbLvwcGx3UFTjp4Ts8rnmw), which is the standard PumpFun AMM. Market health is poor: shallow liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and high slippage risk make this a dangerous trading environment for retail participants.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,826,563.956407

FDV

$66,612.58

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
Price has moved +100% in 24h and +288% in 6h, with individual hourly candles showing 50–100%+ swings. The token is in an active pump phase with extreme volatility. A reversion to pre-pump levels (~$0.0000080–$0.0000100) would represent an ~85–88% drawdown from current price.
Liquidityhigh
Total liquidity is only $36.3K. The 24h volume of ~$411.5K is 11x the liquidity pool. Any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. Exiting a position of even $1,000–$2,000 could move the price by 5–15%.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Extreme illiquidity: $36.3K liquidity pool against $411.5K daily volume creates severe slippage and exit risk
Dominant sell pressure: 70.5% of 24h volume is sells; 2,010 unique sellers vs 900 unique buyers
Unknown early holder concentration: 19 pre-pump holders with unknown balances represent latent dump risk
No social presence, no description, unverified contract — zero fundamental backing
Pump-and-dump pattern: 29 days dormant at 19 holders → single-day 95% holder explosion coinciding with 100% price pump
Price already declining from session highs ($0.0000638 → $0.0000252 in recent candles)
Mint and freeze authority status unknown — cannot rule out supply manipulation

Mitigating factors

Metadata is 'Mutable: false', preventing metadata manipulation
Token trades on PumpSwap, a legitimate on-chain AMM with transparent pricing
Rapid holder growth (396 holders) shows genuine speculative interest
No sniper data means no confirmed sniper concentration risk (though absence of data ≠ absence of risk)
PumpFun origin provides some standardization of launch mechanics

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, use strict position sizing (e.g., <0.1% of portfolio), and have the technical capability to monitor and exit positions rapidly. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun token dynamics.

Tilly is a PumpFun meme token in the early stages of a speculative pump. It offers high-risk, short-term trading potential for experienced traders but has no fundamental value proposition, minimal liquidity, and strong indicators of distribution activity. The risk/reward is unfavorable for new entrants at current prices given the dominant sell pressure and declining price from session highs.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued momentum attracts new buyers, holder count surpasses 1,000+, and a viral social media moment drives a second leg up. Price could retest or exceed the $0.0000438–$0.0000638 session highs.

Viral social media traction (currently zero social presence — would require organic emergence)
Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
Whale accumulation at current levels creating a price floor
Holder count sustaining growth above 500–1,000 with buy pressure flipping dominant

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.0000150–$0.0000300 range for 24–72 hours as initial pump excitement fades, then gradually drifts lower toward $0.0000080–$0.0000120 over the following week as sell pressure continues to dominate and no new catalysts emerge.

Sell pressure remains dominant but not catastrophic (no single large dump)
Holder count stabilizes around 400–600 without significant new inflows
No new social or marketing catalysts emerge
Liquidity remains thin, limiting both upside and downside velocity

Bear Case

High probability

Early holders (the original 19) continue distributing into pump-driven buy pressure. Liquidity drains, holder count plateaus or declines, and price reverts to pre-pump levels of $0.0000054–$0.0000100 — an 85–92% drawdown from current price.

Dominant sell pressure (70.5%) continues as early holders exit
No social presence or utility to sustain new buyer interest
Thin liquidity accelerates price decline on any significant sell order
29-day dormancy pattern is consistent with coordinated pump-and-dump mechanics

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 18, 01:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-18 01:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

On-chain metadata (Solana blockchain)
PumpSwap DEX pair data (pair 4mdJwjXaVHQ2CkBQ5JEzCowbLvwcGx3UFTjp4Ts8rnmw)
Hourly OHLCV candle data (19 candles, July 17–18 2026)
Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
Holder acquisition breakdown (swap/transfer/airdrop)

Limitations

Top 20 holder data is entirely unavailable — cannot assess actual supply concentration
Sniper/early-buyer data is unavailable — cannot quantify early holder profit-taking risk
Mint authority and freeze authority status are unconfirmed
Update authority is listed as 'unknown' — cannot fully assess rug risk from authorities
Token is less than 48 hours into its active trading phase — extremely limited price history
Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data artifacts rather than genuine readings
No social links, description, or external information available to assess project legitimacy
OHLC candle 1 appears to have inverted L/H values (Low > Open/Close) — data quality issue noted and adjusted in analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Tilly (TILLY) is an extremely high-risk micro-cap meme token with no verified fundamentals. The analyst has no position in this token. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. You could lose 100% of any investment. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Tilly ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 396 addresses (2026-07-18 01:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Tilly?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Tilly liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-18 01:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $36,327.47. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Tilly (Tilly)?

Is Tilly a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, use strict position sizing (e.g., <0.1% of portfolio), and have the technical capability to monitor and exit positions rapidly. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun token dynamics.

What are the key risks of holding Tilly?

Extreme illiquidity: $36.3K liquidity pool against $411.5K daily volume creates severe slippage and exit risk • Dominant sell pressure: 70.5% of 24h volume is sells; 2,010 unique sellers vs 900 unique buyers • Unknown early holder concentration: 19 pre-pump holders with unknown balances represent latent dump risk