Tilly

Tilly Price Today & AI Analysis

Tilly
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 18, 2026

6Z6qeAuA45G8RrxG7hjZVdPHn1rNHtedJy9WAXg9pump

$0.042266

+1.96%

FDV $22,651

LiveContract:6Z6qeAuA45G8RrxG7hjZVdPHn1rNHtedJy9WAXg9pumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,523Market cap:$22,651

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Ask Unhosted AI about Tilly

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 18, 01:17 AM
FDV

$66,613

Liquidity

$36,327

Holders

396

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Tilly (TILLY) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a mint address of 6Z6qeAuA45G8RrxG7hjZVdPHn1rNHtedJy9WAXg9pump. The token has a total supply of ~999.8M, a fully diluted valuation of ~$66.6K, and total liquidity of only $36.3K. It launched with 19 holders for nearly a month before exploding to 396 holders in a single day (+377, +95% in 24h), coinciding with a 100% price surge. Sell pressure is dominant at 70.5% of 24h volume ($290K sells vs $122K buys). Top holder data is unavailable, and sniper data is absent. The token is extremely early-stage, illiquid, and high-risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive single-day holder growth: +377 holders (+95%) on July 17, 2026 after 29 days of complete stagnation at 19 holders
Price doubled (+100%) in 24h, with a 6h gain of +288% suggesting a very recent pump event
Severe sell-side dominance: 70.5% sell pressure ($290K) vs 29.5% buy pressure ($122K) in 24h
Extremely thin liquidity at $36.3K against a $66.6K FDV — slippage risk is very high
No verified contract, no social links, no description, and update authority is unknown — minimal transparency

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already pumped ~100% in 24h and ~288% in 6h, with sell pressure at 70.5% of volume. The most recent candles (candles 1–4) show a sharp decline from the ~$0.0000638 high back toward $0.0000200–$0.0000252, indicating the pump may be exhausting. Short-term price action is likely to continue retracing unless new buy volume enters.

Target low$0.0000150
Target high$0.0000438
Support: $0.0000162 (candle 3 low), $0.0000105 (candle 17 low), $0.0000054 (candle 16 absolute low)
Resistance: $0.0000438 (candle 12 high), $0.0000638 (candle 1 high — session peak), $0.0000300 (candle 19 open / psychological level)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Without sustained community growth, utility, or social presence, the token is likely to fade after the initial pump. The 29-day dormancy period (19 holders from June 18 to July 16) followed by a single-day explosion is a classic pump pattern. Medium-term outlook is bearish unless new catalysts emerge.

Catalysts
  • Sustained new holder acquisition beyond the initial pump day
  • Development of social presence or community (currently zero social links)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Listing on aggregators or CEX (unlikely at this FDV)

Bullish factors

  • Price has already doubled in 24h, showing speculative demand exists
  • Holder count grew from 19 to 396 in a single day — rapid community formation
  • 6h price gain of +288% suggests strong momentum in the very short term
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading

Bearish factors

  • 70.5% sell pressure dominates 24h volume ($289.97K sells vs $121.56K buys)
  • Liquidity is only $36.3K — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • Token was dormant for 29 days with only 19 holders before the pump
  • No social links, no description, unverified contract — near-zero transparency
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — unknown distribution risk
  • FDV of $66.6K is very small; even minor sell pressure can crater price
  • Recent candles show price declining from session highs (~$0.0000638 back to ~$0.0000252)
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) no top holder data available, (2) no sniper data, (3) extremely thin liquidity making price easily manipulated, (4) the token is less than 24h into its pump phase, and (5) no fundamental information (no description, no socials, unverified contract).

Tilly call history

Full track record →
Jul 18bearish
24h+350.3%
7d+625.2%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

19 hourly candles analyzed (July 17–18, 2026). The token launched from very low prices (~$0.0000054–$0.0000108 range in candle 16–17) and surged sharply. Candle 16 (10:00 UTC) shows a massive range from $0.0000054 low to $0.0000169 close on high volume ($10.3K), marking the breakout candle. The price then climbed through candles 11–12 where candle 12 hit a session high of $0.0000438. Candle 5 (21:00 UTC) saw another surge to $0.0000364 on $51.8K volume. Candle 1 (01:00 UTC July 18) shows an anomalous OHLC where the Low ($0.0000638) is higher than the Open ($0.0000200) and Close ($0.0000252), suggesting a data inversion — the true high was likely $0.0000638, representing the session peak. Overall pattern: sharp pump from base, multiple volatile swings, now showing signs of distribution with declining closes.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 30%Sell 71%

Short-term (last 4–6 candles): price is declining from the $0.0000638 session high back toward $0.0000200–$0.0000252, forming lower closes. Medium-term (full 19-candle view): the token is in a clear uptrend from its $0.0000054 base, having multiplied ~12x from the lowest point to the session peak.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000200 (candle 1 open / candle 3 open)
Major$0.0000054 (candle 16 absolute low — launch base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000364 (candle 5 high)
Major$0.0000638 (candle 1 session peak — data-adjusted high)

Immediate support sits at ~$0.0000200, which has been tested multiple times (candle 1 open, candle 3 open, candle 4 close area). A break below this level opens the path to $0.0000162 (candle 3 low) and ultimately $0.0000105–$0.0000054 (candle 16–17 range). Resistance at $0.0000364 (candle 5 high) and the session peak of ~$0.0000438–$0.0000638 would require significant new buying to reclaim.

Notable patterns

  • Sharp V-shaped breakout from base in candle 16 (low of $0.0000054 to close of $0.0000169)
  • Potential double-top formation: candle 12 high ($0.0000438) and candle 1 adjusted high ($0.0000638) with declining volume on second peak
  • Bearish engulfing-style action in candle 4: opened at $0.0000362, closed at $0.0000201 — large red candle on $15.9K volume
  • Volume climax in candles 5 and 19 ($51K each) followed by price decline — classic distribution signal
  • Extended consolidation/doji in candle 2: O=H=L=$0.0000252 — indecision at resistance

Total holders0
24h Δ0
7d Δ0
30d Δ0
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

Top holder data unavailable — no top holders returned by the data provider

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token — the data provider returned no top 20 holders. Supply concentration metrics show top10=0% and top100=0%, which is almost certainly a data artifact rather than a genuine reflection of distribution (a token with 396 holders and $36.3K liquidity would not have perfectly even distribution). This data gap is a significant analytical limitation. Given the token's PumpFun origin, 29-day dormancy with only 19 holders, and the pump pattern, it is reasonable to assume the original 19 holders hold a disproportionate share of supply and represent concentrated sell-side risk. Without confirmed holder data, distribution health is classified as 'very_concentrated' as a conservative risk assumption.

Liquidity$36,330
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$121,560
Sell$289,970
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers900
Unique sellers2,010

Liquidity is critically thin at $36.3K against a $66.6K FDV — the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 54.5%, which sounds reasonable but in absolute dollar terms means any trade above a few hundred dollars will experience significant slippage. The 24h trading volume of ~$411.5K ($121.6K buys + $290K sells) is over 11x the total liquidity pool, indicating extremely high turnover relative to depth. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow): sell volume is 2.38x buy volume, and unique sellers (2,010) outnumber unique buyers (900) by 2.23x. This is a clear distribution pattern — more participants are exiting than entering. The pair trades on PumpSwap (pair 4mdJwjXaVHQ2CkBQ5JEzCowbLvwcGx3UFTjp4Ts8rnmw), which is the standard PumpFun AMM. Market health is poor: shallow liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and high slippage risk make this a dangerous trading environment for retail participants.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,826,563.956407
FDV$66,612.58

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a total supply of ~999.8M (effectively 1 billion), which is standard for PumpFun-launched meme tokens. The FDV is $66.6K at the current price of $0.0000666. The metadata shows 'Update authority: unknown' and 'Mutable: false'. The 'Mutable: false' flag is a positive signal — it means the token metadata cannot be changed, reducing one vector of manipulation. However, mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the data, so they are classified as 'unknown'. The token is unverified and has no description or social links, which is typical of PumpFun launches but adds to the opacity. The '.pump' suffix in the mint address confirms PumpFun origin. No vesting schedules, team allocations, or tokenomics documentation are available.

Volatility
high

Price has moved +100% in 24h and +288% in 6h, with individual hourly candles showing 50–100%+ swings. The token is in an active pump phase with extreme volatility. A reversion to pre-pump levels (~$0.0000080–$0.0000100) would represent an ~85–88% drawdown from current price.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $36.3K. The 24h volume of ~$411.5K is 11x the liquidity pool. Any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. Exiting a position of even $1,000–$2,000 could move the price by 5–15%.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable, which itself is a risk signal. The token had only 19 holders for 29 days before the pump — those original holders likely hold a large, undisclosed share of supply and are now sitting on significant unrealized gains, representing concentrated overhead sell pressure.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available. However, the 29-day dormancy pattern with 19 holders strongly suggests pre-pump accumulation. These early holders are likely in substantial profit at current prices and represent a significant dump risk. The dominant sell pressure (70.5% of 24h volume) may already reflect early holder distribution.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown' and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available data. The 'Mutable: false' flag is a mitigating factor. The token is unverified with no social presence, increasing the risk of abandonment or rug. Classified as medium rather than high solely due to the 'Mutable: false' metadata flag.

Key risks

  • Extreme illiquidity: $36.3K liquidity pool against $411.5K daily volume creates severe slippage and exit risk
  • Dominant sell pressure: 70.5% of 24h volume is sells; 2,010 unique sellers vs 900 unique buyers
  • Unknown early holder concentration: 19 pre-pump holders with unknown balances represent latent dump risk
  • No social presence, no description, unverified contract — zero fundamental backing
  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 29 days dormant at 19 holders → single-day 95% holder explosion coinciding with 100% price pump
  • Price already declining from session highs ($0.0000638 → $0.0000252 in recent candles)
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — cannot rule out supply manipulation

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is 'Mutable: false', preventing metadata manipulation
  • Token trades on PumpSwap, a legitimate on-chain AMM with transparent pricing
  • Rapid holder growth (396 holders) shows genuine speculative interest
  • No sniper data means no confirmed sniper concentration risk (though absence of data ≠ absence of risk)
  • PumpFun origin provides some standardization of launch mechanics
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, use strict position sizing (e.g., <0.1% of portfolio), and have the technical capability to monitor and exit positions rapidly. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun token dynamics.

Tilly is a PumpFun meme token in the early stages of a speculative pump. It offers high-risk, short-term trading potential for experienced traders but has no fundamental value proposition, minimal liquidity, and strong indicators of distribution activity. The risk/reward is unfavorable for new entrants at current prices given the dominant sell pressure and declining price from session highs.

Bull case (low)

Continued momentum attracts new buyers, holder count surpasses 1,000+, and a viral social media moment drives a second leg up. Price could retest or exceed the $0.0000438–$0.0000638 session highs.

  • Viral social media traction (currently zero social presence — would require organic emergence)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Whale accumulation at current levels creating a price floor
  • Holder count sustaining growth above 500–1,000 with buy pressure flipping dominant

Base case

Price consolidates in the $0.0000150–$0.0000300 range for 24–72 hours as initial pump excitement fades, then gradually drifts lower toward $0.0000080–$0.0000120 over the following week as sell pressure continues to dominate and no new catalysts emerge.

  • Sell pressure remains dominant but not catastrophic (no single large dump)
  • Holder count stabilizes around 400–600 without significant new inflows
  • No new social or marketing catalysts emerge
  • Liquidity remains thin, limiting both upside and downside velocity

Bear case (high)

Early holders (the original 19) continue distributing into pump-driven buy pressure. Liquidity drains, holder count plateaus or declines, and price reverts to pre-pump levels of $0.0000054–$0.0000100 — an 85–92% drawdown from current price.

  • Dominant sell pressure (70.5%) continues as early holders exit
  • No social presence or utility to sustain new buyer interest
  • Thin liquidity accelerates price decline on any significant sell order
  • 29-day dormancy pattern is consistent with coordinated pump-and-dump mechanics

GeneratedJul 18, 01:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of analysis time. OHLC data covers the most recent 19 hourly candles. Holder data reflects the most recent snapshot (396 holders). Top holder data and sniper data were unavailable.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Solana blockchain)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (pair 4mdJwjXaVHQ2CkBQ5JEzCowbLvwcGx3UFTjp4Ts8rnmw)
  • Hourly OHLCV candle data (19 candles, July 17–18 2026)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
  • Holder acquisition breakdown (swap/transfer/airdrop)

Limitations

  • Top 20 holder data is entirely unavailable — cannot assess actual supply concentration
  • Sniper/early-buyer data is unavailable — cannot quantify early holder profit-taking risk
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status are unconfirmed
  • Update authority is listed as 'unknown' — cannot fully assess rug risk from authorities
  • Token is less than 48 hours into its active trading phase — extremely limited price history
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data artifacts rather than genuine readings
  • No social links, description, or external information available to assess project legitimacy
  • OHLC candle 1 appears to have inverted L/H values (Low > Open/Close) — data quality issue noted and adjusted in analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Tilly (TILLY) is an extremely high-risk micro-cap meme token with no verified fundamentals. The analyst has no position in this token. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. You could lose 100% of any investment. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,826,563.956407

Key Risks

•Extreme illiquidity: $36.3K liquidity pool against $411.5K daily volume creates severe slippage and exit risk
•Dominant sell pressure: 70.5% of 24h volume is sells; 2,010 unique sellers vs 900 unique buyers
•Unknown early holder concentration: 19 pre-pump holders with unknown balances represent latent dump risk
•No social presence, no description, unverified contract — zero fundamental backing

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for Tilly. The token launched on PumpFun and migrated to PumpSwap. Without sniper data, it is impossible to assess early-buyer concentration or profit-taking risk from that angle. What is observable from on-chain metrics: the token sat dormant at 19 holders for 29 days before a sudden 95% holder surge on July 17, 2026. This dormancy-then-pump pattern is consistent with coordinated accumulation followed by a marketing push, but this cannot be confirmed without sniper/early-buyer data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Unknown — no sniper data available. The 29-day dormancy period with only 19 holders suggests the early holders (likely insiders or pre-launch participants) have been holding for an extended period. With the price now 100% above the 24h starting point, these early holders are likely in significant profit and represent a latent sell pressure risk.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Tilly (Tilly)?

The token has already pumped ~100% in 24h and ~288% in 6h, with sell pressure at 70.5% of volume. The most recent candles (candles 1–4) show a sharp decline from the ~$0.0000638 high back toward $0.0000200–$0.0000252, indicating the pump may be exhausting. Short-term price action is likely to continue retracing unless new buy volume enters. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000150 to $0.0000438.

Is Tilly a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, use strict position sizing (e.g., <0.1% of portfolio), and have the technical capability to monitor and exit positions rapidly. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun token dynamics.

How are Tilly holders trending?

Tilly currently has 0 holders and is stable (24h: 0, 7d: 0, 30d: 0). No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

What does sniper activity look like for Tilly?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Tilly?

Extreme illiquidity: $36.3K liquidity pool against $411.5K daily volume creates severe slippage and exit risk • Dominant sell pressure: 70.5% of 24h volume is sells; 2,010 unique sellers vs 900 unique buyers • Unknown early holder concentration: 19 pre-pump holders with unknown balances represent latent dump risk

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