FEFA26

FEFA 2026 Price Today & AI Analysis

FEFA26
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 11, 2026

6UWKH52eCz27jc7ap5SDxqdy1edeRRJ2cCgrAHfJpump

$0.052158

-0.41%

FDV $2,156

LiveContract:6UWKH52eCz27jc7ap5SDxqdy1edeRRJ2cCgrAHfJpumpChain:SolanaHolders:299Market cap:$2,156

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Ask Unhosted AI about FEFA26

Report snapshotas of Jun 11, 04:17 PM
FDV

$146,587

Liquidity

$41,448

Holders

649

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

FEFA 2026 (FEFA26) is a newly launched Solana memecoin/event token on PumpSwap with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$146.6K. The token experienced an explosive 183% price surge in 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a single day's activity — the historical holder data shows the token sat dormant at just 17 holders for the entire prior 30-day period before exploding to 649 holders in roughly 24 hours. This pattern is characteristic of a coordinated launch or pump event. Sell pressure dominates at 62.5% of volume, liquidity is very thin at $41.45K, and the top 100 holders control 96.71% of supply — all significant red flags.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive single-day launch: from 17 to 649 holders in ~24 hours after 30 days of complete dormancy
Extreme sell pressure dominance: 62.5% sell vs 37.5% buy volume in 24h despite price surge
Very thin liquidity at $41.45K against $146.6K FDV — high slippage risk
Top 100 holders control 96.71% of supply, indicating extreme concentration
No social links, unverified contract, unknown update authority — minimal transparency

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The most recent hourly candle (16:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the $0.0001494 high, closing at $0.0000923 — a significant bearish engulfing signal. The 5m and 1h price changes are positive (+17.3% and +27.3%), suggesting a brief bounce, but the dominant sell pressure (62.5%) and thin liquidity make sustained upside unlikely. A retest of the $0.000033–$0.000080 range is plausible.

Target low$0.000033
Target high$0.000150
Support: $0.000080 (candle 2 low), $0.000033 (candle 2/3 open/low)
Resistance: $0.000110 (candle 3 high), $0.000134 (candle 2 high), $0.000149 (candle 1 high / all-time high in data)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token's 30-day dormancy prior to launch, extreme holder concentration, lack of social presence, and sell-dominated volume, the medium-term outlook is bearish. Without a credible use case, community, or liquidity depth, the token is likely to fade after the initial pump. The FEFA 2026 branding (likely referencing the UEFA Euro 2026 football tournament) may attract speculative interest around tournament events, but no fundamentals support sustained price appreciation.

Catalysts
  • UEFA Euro 2026 tournament events could generate speculative interest
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Listing on a higher-liquidity venue or aggregator

Bullish factors

  • 183% 24h price surge demonstrates strong initial momentum
  • 5,286 unique buyers in 24h shows broad retail interest
  • Short-term price momentum positive (+17.3% 5m, +27.3% 1h)
  • Potential event-driven narrative around FEFA/football 2026

Bearish factors

  • 62.5% sell pressure dominates 24h volume ($60.96K sells vs $36.53K buys)
  • Top 100 holders control 96.71% of supply — extreme dump risk
  • Liquidity only $41.45K — large orders will cause severe slippage
  • 30 days of complete dormancy before launch suggests coordinated pump
  • No social links, no verified contract, unknown update authority
  • Most recent candle shows sharp rejection from highs (close well below open)
Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token has been dormant for 30 days prior to launch, no sniper data is available, and the update authority is unknown. The extremely thin liquidity and concentrated supply make price prediction highly unreliable.

FEFA26 call history

Full track record →
Jun 11bearish
24h-97.5%
7d-98.2%
30d-98.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available. Candle 3 (14:00 UTC): O=$0.0000326, H=$0.0001097, L=$0.0000326, C=$0.0000896 — a strong bullish candle with a long lower wick, suggesting initial buying pressure from a very low base. Candle 2 (15:00 UTC): O=$0.0000923, H=$0.0001336, L=$0.0000792, C=$0.0000326 — a large bearish engulfing candle closing near the low, indicating heavy selling after the initial pump. Candle 1 (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0001207, H=$0.0001494, L=$0.0001196, C=$0.0000923 — another bearish candle with a high open and close well below open, confirming continued distribution. The sequence shows a classic pump-and-dump pattern: rapid price discovery followed by aggressive selling.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 38%Sell 63%

Short-term trend is bearish based on the last two candles both closing significantly below their opens. Medium-term is effectively undefined given only 3 candles of history — classified as sideways pending more data.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000080 (candle 2 low)
Major$0.000033 (candle 2 close / candle 3 open/low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000110 (candle 3 high)
Major$0.000149 (candle 1 high — all-time high in available data)

The $0.000033 level is a critical support zone as it represents both the candle 3 open and candle 2 close — a confluence of prior price action. The $0.000149 level is the all-time high in available data and represents major resistance. The $0.000080–$0.000110 range is a key intermediate zone.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump candle sequence: strong initial bullish candle followed by two consecutive bearish engulfing candles
  • Long upper wicks on candles 1 and 2 indicate strong selling pressure at highs
  • Volume climax on the bearish candle 2 — classic distribution signal
  • Price closed well below open on both candles 1 and 2 — bearish momentum confirmation

Total holders649
24h Δ+97
7d Δ+97
30d Δ+97
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is almost entirely concentrated in the last 24 hours, perfectly correlated with the 183% price surge. The token had exactly 17 holders for the entire 30-day period prior (May 12 – June 10), then added 632 holders in a single day. This is a highly abnormal pattern suggesting a coordinated launch event rather than organic growth.

The historical holder data reveals a stark pattern: 17 holders for 30 consecutive days (May 12 – June 10, 2026) with zero net change, followed by an explosion to 649 holders (+632, +97%) in approximately 24 hours. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure, confirming all growth occurred in a single day. The 1h growth of +175 holders (+27%) shows the momentum is still active intraday. While the growth rate appears accelerating within the 24h window, the prior 30-day stagnation raises serious concerns about the organic nature of this growth. Acquisition breakdown: 507 via swap (78%), 142 via transfer (22%), 0 via airdrop.

Top 10 hold34.29%
Top 100 hold96.71%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

UEZD9th5mywwFPb7fUYTMPEmA9gmtj8Qon2PANgkoWv

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address)

13.76%

8XEgpS3wwqwhzNgAB3EU4RTWB4dpSZCeSHQrQhiQgwyS

Individual whale / possible insider

5.91%

9WNytg2ZGfRP9ucgcPPhEXXCKYL9yHMo5p6rNy44Xf97

Individual whale / possible insider

3.52%

BcNADrWYgemcG7YroGn1t8UmkDzzax2YqTee2KD5445X

Individual whale

2.50%

959eUc1uYCf3QqQqu8FhChGaGfiVae2WZM3y11TUwk3f

Individual whale

2.24%

The top 10 holders control 34.29% of supply and the top 100 control a staggering 96.71% — leaving only 3.29% of supply distributed beyond the top 100. The largest single holder (13.76%) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool address (UEZD9th5mywwFPb7fUYTMPEmA9gmtj8Qon2PANgkoWv), which is the trading pair itself. The next largest holders (5.91%, 3.52%, 2.50%, 2.24%) are unclassified wallets likely representing insiders or early coordinators from the 30-day dormancy period. The distribution pattern — many wallets holding 0.81% each (positions 17–20) — may indicate coordinated wallet splitting. Overall sentiment is distributing given the dominant sell pressure.

Liquidity$41,450
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$36,530
Sell$60,960
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers5,286
Unique sellers1,512

Liquidity is critically thin at $41.45K against a $146.6K FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of only ~28%. This means any moderately sized sell order will cause severe price impact. Despite 5,286 unique buyers vs only 1,512 unique sellers, sell volume ($60.96K) significantly exceeds buy volume ($36.53K), indicating that sellers are transacting in larger average sizes than buyers. This is a classic distribution pattern where fewer, larger sellers are offloading into many smaller retail buyers. The net flow is clearly outflow. The 24h buy/sell transaction count ratio (5,496 buys vs 1,994 sells) further confirms that while more transactions are buys, the dollar value per sell is much higher — consistent with whale/insider distribution into retail demand.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 FEFA26
FDV$146,587

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a fixed supply of 1 billion tokens with a current FDV of ~$146.6K. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. The token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a mild positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed, but this does not confirm mint or freeze authority status. No social links are provided, and the description is minimal ('FEFA 2026'). The token was launched via PumpFun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically involves a bonding curve mechanism before graduating to a DEX — the token appears to have graduated to PumpSwap. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available data and should be verified on-chain before any investment decision.

Volatility
high

183% price surge in 24 hours followed by sharp candle rejections. Only 3 hours of OHLC data available, all showing extreme volatility. The token can move 50%+ in a single hour.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $41.45K against $146.6K FDV. A liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~28% means large orders will cause severe slippage. Exiting a meaningful position could move the price significantly against the seller.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 34.29% of supply; top 100 control 96.71%. Only 3.29% of supply is distributed beyond the top 100 holders. The 17 pre-launch insiders represent a massive potential overhang.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but the 30-day dormancy period with only 17 holders strongly implies pre-positioned insiders. These wallets are likely in significant profit and represent a major dump risk. Sell volume already dominates at 62.5% of 24h volume.

Authority
medium

Update authority is unknown; mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The contract is unverified. The token is marked mutable:false which is a mild positive, but insufficient to rule out authority risks without on-chain verification.

Key risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top 100 hold 96.71%, leaving minimal float
  • 30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump — classic coordinated launch pattern
  • Dominant sell pressure (62.5%) despite price surge — distribution into retail
  • Critically thin liquidity ($41.45K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug pull vector
  • No social links, no verified contract, no community infrastructure
  • Token name/branding ('FEFA 2026') may be an event-driven pump with no lasting utility

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as mutable:false — metadata cannot be changed
  • 5,286 unique buyers in 24h shows genuine retail interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline liquidity infrastructure
  • PumpFun launch mechanism provides initial price discovery structure
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given the extreme concentration, thin liquidity, and distribution signals, this token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme.

FEFA 2026 is a high-risk speculative token that appears to be in the distribution phase of a coordinated pump. The token sat dormant for 30 days with only 17 holders before exploding to 649 holders and +183% price in a single day. While short-term momentum exists, the structural signals — extreme concentration, dominant sell pressure, thin liquidity, and unknown authorities — overwhelmingly favor a bearish outcome. Any investment should be treated as pure speculation with high probability of total loss.

Bull case (low)

Event-driven momentum sustains: FEFA 2026 captures sustained speculative interest around the UEFA Euro 2026 football tournament narrative, attracting a broader community, additional liquidity, and exchange listings that drive price significantly higher.

  • Viral social media adoption around Euro 2026 football narrative
  • Significant liquidity injection from new market makers
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving retail FOMO

Base case

Short-lived pump fades: The initial excitement subsides over 24–72 hours as retail buyers exhaust demand. Price stabilizes at a significantly lower level (50–80% below peak) with reduced volume and holder growth stalling.

  • Retail buying momentum continues briefly but fades without new catalysts
  • Insiders gradually distribute holdings over days rather than hours
  • Liquidity remains thin, preventing large new entrants
  • No major exchange listing or influencer promotion materializes

Bear case (high)

Coordinated dump: The 17 pre-launch insiders and early large holders (holding 20%+ of non-LP supply) sell into the retail buying frenzy, collapsing the price back toward or below the pre-pump levels (~$0.000033 or lower). Liquidity drains and the token becomes illiquid.

  • Insider distribution already evidenced by 62.5% sell volume dominance
  • Critically thin liquidity amplifies price impact of large sells
  • No fundamental value proposition or community to sustain demand
  • 30-day dormancy pattern consistent with coordinated pump-and-dump

GeneratedJun 11, 04:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 2026-06-11T16:00–16:30 UTC. OHLC data covers only the last 3 hours. Historical holder data covers 30 days but shows zero change for the first 29 days.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • Hourly OHLC price data (3 candles)
  • Holder distribution and historical holder metrics
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • 24h trading volume and buyer/seller analytics

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be quantified
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Wallet classifications for top holders are inferred, not confirmed — on-chain verification required
  • 30-day holder history shows only 17 holders for 29 days, making trend analysis of limited value
  • No social links or community data available to assess project legitimacy
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in its active trading phase — all metrics are extremely preliminary

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data used is sourced from on-chain metrics and DEX analytics which may be incomplete or subject to manipulation. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 FEFA26

Key Risks

Extreme supply concentration: top 100 hold 96.71%, leaving minimal float
30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump — classic coordinated launch pattern
Dominant sell pressure (62.5%) despite price surge — distribution into retail
Critically thin liquidity ($41.45K) — high slippage and exit risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for FEFA26. The token's 30-day dormancy period (stuck at 17 holders from May 12 to June 10) followed by an explosive single-day launch is itself a significant signal — it suggests the token was pre-positioned or coordinated before public launch. The 17 pre-launch holders likely represent insiders or early coordinators. The rapid holder growth from 17 to 649 in ~24 hours, combined with dominant sell pressure (62.5%), suggests early holders may be distributing into retail buying.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

Cautious — the 17 pre-launch holders who held for 30 days of dormancy are likely in significant profit and represent a major overhang. Their sell behavior cannot be confirmed without sniper data, but the dominant sell volume strongly implies distribution.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for FEFA 2026 (FEFA26)?

The most recent hourly candle (16:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the $0.0001494 high, closing at $0.0000923 — a significant bearish engulfing signal. The 5m and 1h price changes are positive (+17.3% and +27.3%), suggesting a brief bounce, but the dominant sell pressure (62.5%) and thin liquidity make sustained upside unlikely. A retest of the $0.000033–$0.000080 range is plausible. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000033 to $0.000150.

Is FEFA26 a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given the extreme concentration, thin liquidity, and distribution signals, this token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme.

How are FEFA26 holders trending?

FEFA 2026 currently has 649 holders and is growing (24h: 97, 7d: 97, 30d: 97). The historical holder data reveals a stark pattern: 17 holders for 30 consecutive days (May 12 – June 10, 2026) with zero net change, followed by an explosion to 649 holders (+632, +97%) in approximately 24 hours. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure, confirming all growth occurred in a single day. The 1h growth of +175 holders (+27%) shows the momentum is still active intraday. While the growth rate appears accelerating within the 24h window, the prior 30-day stagnation raises serious concerns about the organic nature of this growth. Acquisition breakdown: 507 via swap (78%), 142 via transfer (22%), 0 via airdrop.

What does sniper activity look like for FEFA26?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding FEFA26?

Extreme supply concentration: top 100 hold 96.71%, leaving minimal float • 30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump — classic coordinated launch pattern • Dominant sell pressure (62.5%) despite price surge — distribution into retail

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