MASK

catwifmask Price Today & AI Analysis

MASKSolanaAnalysis as of May 6, 2026

Price

$0.001024

+6.10% 24h · FDV $1,023,128

Contract

Live
6MQpbiTC2YcogidTmKqMLK82qvE9z5QEm7EP3AEDpump

Chain

Holders

27,686

Market cap

$1,023,128

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Report snapshot

as of May 6, 11:18 PM UTC

FDV

$2,534,844

Liquidity

$338,187

Holders

28,217

Snipers

0

Risk

High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

catwifmask (MASK) is a community-led meme token on Solana with a total supply of ~999.5M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$2.53M. The token has experienced a dramatic 115.5% price surge in the past 24 hours, rising from ~$0.00118 to ~$0.00254, driven by a sharp spike in trading activity concentrated in the final 3 hours of the period. The project is self-described as community-driven with planned utility via merchandise and NFTs. No snipers were detected at launch, and the token has a large holder base of 28,217 wallets. However, sell pressure heavily dominates (69% sell volume), and the holder count has been essentially flat-to-declining over the past 30 days before a recent 24h uptick.

Key points

  • Zero sniper activity detected in the first 1,000 blocks — clean launch with no early predatory accumulation
  • Large existing holder base of 28,217 wallets, suggesting prior community traction
  • 115.5% 24h price surge with significant volume spike in the last 3 hours
  • Mutable metadata is false and contract is verified, reducing certain manipulation vectors
  • Community-led structure with planned NFT and merchandise utility expansion

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

After a 115.5% pump concentrated in the last 3 candles, the price is showing early signs of exhaustion. The most recent candle (23:00 UTC) closed at $0.002536, well below the intra-hour high of $0.002993 reached at 22:00 UTC, forming a bearish shooting-star-like pattern. Sell pressure dominates at 69% of 24h volume ($80.92K sells vs $36.38K buys). A retracement toward the $0.0018–$0.0020 range is likely in the near term.

Target low

$0.0015

Target high

$0.0030

Support

$0.00202 (22h candle open / prior resistance), $0.00155 (21h candle open), $0.00120 (pre-pump base, candles 17–24)

Resistance

$0.002993 (22h candle high — recent peak), $0.003166 (22h absolute high), $0.003500 (psychological round number above current price)

Medium term · 2–4 weeks

neutral

The 30-day holder trend has been flat-to-slightly-declining before the recent 24h uptick. Without sustained buying interest and new catalysts (NFT launch, merchandise, broader meme cycle), the token is likely to consolidate or drift lower. A successful NFT or merchandise launch could reignite interest.

Catalysts

  • NFT collection launch announcement
  • Merchandise rollout driving community engagement
  • Broader Solana meme coin market cycle upturn
  • Influencer or social media viral moment via @stellagabber

Bullish factors

  • Zero sniper activity — no early predatory sellers overhang
  • Large holder base of 28,217 provides community depth
  • 115.5% 24h surge demonstrates demand can materialize rapidly
  • Verified contract and immutable metadata reduce rug risk
  • Planned NFT and merchandise utility could drive future demand

Bearish factors

  • 69% sell pressure in 24h ($80.92K sells vs $36.38K buys)
  • Holder count was declining for most of the past 30 days before recent uptick
  • Top 10 holders control 20.8% and top 100 control 64.1% — concentrated supply
  • Price pump appears volume-driven and short-lived based on candle structure
  • FDV of ~$2.53M is modest, limiting upside without major catalysts
  • Update authority not renounced (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM)

Confidence: low. Price prediction confidence is low due to the highly speculative nature of meme tokens, the extreme 115.5% single-day move making mean-reversion likely but timing uncertain, and the absence of fundamental valuation anchors. The 30-day holder stagnation and dominant sell pressure add downside bias, but meme coins can sustain momentum unpredictably.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
6MQpbi...pump
Total Supply
999,478,402.36 MASK

Key Risks

  • Extreme post-pump sell pressure (69% of 24h volume) suggests distribution rather than accumulation
  • 30-day holder stagnation prior to pump raises questions about organic community growth
  • Non-renounced update authority introduces governance uncertainty
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no DEX diversification

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

high confidenceMedium risk

Sniper analysis is definitively clean: zero snipers were detected in the first 1,000 blocks post-launch. This is a strongly positive signal indicating no predatory bots front-ran the launch to accumulate cheap tokens for later dumping. There is no sniper overhang threatening the price. The absence of sniper activity suggests either a fair launch mechanism (consistent with PumpFun/PumpSwap origin) or effective launch timing that avoided bot detection windows.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
0.00%
PnL state
Unknown
Sell-through rate
Unknown
Profit-taking risk
medium

0% — no snipers detected in the first 1,000 blocks

Cannot be determined from sniper data as no snipers were present. Early buyers appear to have entered via normal swap activity (13,920 swap acquisitions recorded), suggesting organic accumulation rather than bot-driven entry.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series reveals a prolonged base-building phase from candles 24 through 9 (00:00–15:00 UTC), where price traded in a tight range of $0.00117–$0.00137 with extremely low volume (as low as $11.90 in candle 19). A gradual grind higher began at candle 8 (16:00 UTC, $0.00136–$0.00145), accelerating through candles 4–3 (20:00–21:00 UTC). The explosive move occurred in candle 2 (22:00 UTC): open $0.00212, high $0.003166, close $0.002943 on $51,759 volume — the highest volume candle by far. Candle 1 (23:00 UTC) opened at $0.002924, hit a high of $0.002993, but closed at $0.002536, forming a bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern that signals potential reversal or at minimum consolidation.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically up given the 115.5% 24h gain, but the candle structure in the final hour shows a bearish reversal signal. The medium-term (30-day) trend is sideways-to-declining based on flat holder growth and price action prior to today's spike.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

31%

Sell

69%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00202 (22h candle open, prior breakout level)

Major support

$0.00120 (pre-pump base, multiple candles 01:00–08:00 UTC)

Immediate resistance

$0.002993 (23h candle high / recent intraday peak)

Major resistance

$0.003166 (22h candle absolute high — session high)

The $0.00120 level served as a multi-hour base and represents strong structural support. The $0.00202 level is the breakout origin of the pump and will act as first support on any pullback. Resistance is defined by the session high at $0.003166; a clean break above this level would signal continuation of the rally.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing on candle 1 (23:00 UTC) — close well below open after testing highs
  • Volume climax on candle 2 (22:00 UTC) — $51,759 vs baseline of <$5K, classic blow-off top signal
  • Extended low-volume base (candles 5–19) with near-zero activity suggesting thin liquidity before the pump
  • Higher highs and higher lows from candle 9 through candle 2, forming a rapid ascending structure
  • Potential dead-cat bounce setup if price fails to hold $0.00202 support

Holder growth

Total holders

28,217

24h Δ

+110

7d Δ

+114

30d Δ

+17

Accelerating Growth

Yes

Correlation with price

The 30-day holder trend was flat-to-declining from April 6 (28,201) through May 5 (28,104), a net loss of ~97 holders over the period. However, the 24h surge of +110 holders coincides precisely with the 115.5% price pump, suggesting price action is attracting new buyers. The 7-day growth of +114 is almost entirely explained by the 24h figure of +110, confirming the acceleration is very recent and price-driven.

Holder count has been remarkably stable at ~28,100–28,200 for the past 30 days, with daily fluctuations rarely exceeding ±15. The 30-day net change is only +17 holders, indicating the community has been largely static. The recent 24h spike of +110 new holders is the largest single-day gain in the observed period and correlates directly with the price pump. It is unclear whether these new holders represent genuine long-term community members or momentum traders who may exit quickly. The acquisition breakdown (13,920 swaps, 12,342 airdrops, 1,955 transfers) suggests a significant portion of holders received tokens via airdrop, which may explain the large holder base relative to active trading interest.

Concentration

Top 10 hold

20.80%

Top 100 hold

64.10%

Sentiment

Holding

The top 10 holders (excluding the DEX LP at #1) control approximately 14.5% of supply in individual wallets, with the LP pool itself holding 6.27%. Top 100 holders control 64.1% of supply, which is moderately concentrated for a meme token of this age and size. Notably, holders #2 (22M) and #3 (18M) have perfectly round balances, suggesting these may be team, treasury, or early strategic allocations. The remaining top holders have non-round balances consistent with market purchases. No wallet holds a dominant controlling stake (largest non-LP holder is 2.20%), which reduces single-actor dump risk. The overall sentiment appears to be holding, as the 30-day period showed minimal net selling from top holders despite price stagnation.

Notable holders

  • DEX liquidity pool — this address matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the price dataGWPLjamb5ZxrGbTsYNWW7V3p1pAMryZSfaPFTdaEsWgC6.27%
  • Individual whale or team wallet — round balance of 22,000,000 tokens suggests deliberate allocationEJ1juyWfBLhoNvYDfnaFgjsaqhUGoY2shXC98a7j7zdc2.20%
  • Individual whale or team wallet — round balance of 18,000,000 tokens suggests deliberate allocationHDWY2AtSuCWrgNcCJPrdMsZnRuLHQRS7cw5e1u6yHeyX1.80%
  • Individual whale — non-round balance of 17,265,226 suggests organic accumulation32geowVsNtbDu8FvBgTTpLjxSbVrzSt3rFHJ8vrhSg771.73%
  • Individual whale — non-round balance of 16,953,215 suggests organic accumulation5ChWvndNJGuWTWgtM6giQUBHqzW3VRvokm4mRgZyd1UB1.70%

Liquidity

Liquidity

$338,190

Depth

Moderate

Slippage risk

Medium

Total liquidity of $338.19K on PumpSwap (pair GWPLjamb5ZxrGbTsYNWW7V3p1pAMryZSfaPFTdaEsWgC) is moderate for a meme token at this market cap (~$2.53M FDV), representing approximately 13.4% of FDV in liquidity — a reasonable ratio. However, slippage risk is medium because the 24h volume of ~$117K is significant relative to the pool size, and large individual trades could move the price materially. The net flow is clearly negative: 238 unique sellers vs 130 unique buyers, and $80.92K in sell volume vs $36.38K in buy volume. This 69%/31% sell-to-buy ratio is a bearish signal indicating more participants are exiting than entering. The 617 sell transactions vs 268 buy transactions further confirms distribution behavior. The liquidity pool itself is the largest single holder at 6.27%, which is healthy for price stability but means LP providers bear significant impermanent loss risk given the 115.5% price move.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$36,380

Sell volume

$80,920

Net flow

Outflow

Unique buyers

130

Unique sellers

238

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,478,402.36 MASK

FDV

$2,534,843.51

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

The total supply is ~999.5M MASK (effectively 1 billion, a standard meme token supply). The FDV is $2.53M at current prices. The update authority is TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT a burn address (not 11111... or a known renounced address), meaning the metadata update authority has NOT been renounced. However, the token metadata shows 'mutable: false', which means the on-chain metadata cannot be changed despite the update authority existing — this partially mitigates metadata manipulation risk. Mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the data; given the PumpFun/PumpSwap origin (pump suffix in mint address), mint authority is typically burned at launch on that platform, but this cannot be confirmed from the provided data alone. The verified contract flag is true and spam flag is false. Overall authority risk is medium — the non-renounced update authority is a yellow flag, partially offset by the immutable metadata flag.

  • Volatilityhigh

    115.5% single-day price surge followed by bearish candle structure indicates extreme volatility. The token moved from $0.00117 to $0.00317 and back to $0.00254 within 24 hours. Such volatility is typical of low-liquidity meme tokens and creates significant risk of rapid drawdowns.

  • Liquiditymedium

    Total liquidity of $338.19K is moderate relative to FDV but thin in absolute terms. Large trades (>$10K) would cause meaningful slippage. The single PumpSwap pool concentration means any LP withdrawal would severely impact tradability.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top 10 holders control 20.8% and top 100 control 64.1% of supply. Two holders (#2 and #3) have suspiciously round balances (22M and 18M tokens) suggesting possible team/insider allocations. However, no single non-LP wallet exceeds 2.20%, limiting single-actor dump risk.

  • Sniper Dumplow

    Zero snipers detected in the first 1,000 blocks. This is the cleanest possible sniper profile and eliminates the typical early-buyer dump overhang that plagues many meme token launches.

  • Authoritymedium

    Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) has not been renounced to a burn address. While metadata is set to immutable (mutable: false), the authority itself persists. Mint and freeze authority status are unconfirmed from available data, adding uncertainty.

Key risks

  • Extreme post-pump sell pressure (69% of 24h volume) suggests distribution rather than accumulation
  • 30-day holder stagnation prior to pump raises questions about organic community growth
  • Non-renounced update authority introduces governance uncertainty
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no DEX diversification
  • Meme token with no intrinsic value; utility (NFT, merch) is unproven and future-dated
  • Price pump appears driven by a single high-volume candle — sustainability is questionable
  • 12,342 airdrop recipients may represent low-conviction holders prone to selling

Mitigating factors

  • Zero sniper activity — no predatory early-buyer overhang
  • Large holder base of 28,217 provides community breadth
  • Verified contract and immutable metadata reduce manipulation risk
  • No single whale dominates supply (max non-LP holder: 2.20%)
  • Community-led structure with named leadership (@stellagabber) adds accountability
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible trading venue

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, speculative investors who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative investors, those seeking stable returns, or anyone investing more than a small speculative allocation. Position sizing should reflect the very high probability of significant drawdown following the 115.5% pump.

MASK is a community meme token that has demonstrated the ability to generate significant price action (+115.5% in 24h) from a clean launch (zero snipers) with a broad holder base. However, the pump appears technically exhausted, sell pressure dominates, and the 30-day holder trend was flat before this event. The investment case hinges on whether today's price action represents the beginning of a sustained rally or a one-day spike that will mean-revert.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

MASK sustains momentum from today's pump, attracting new community members and media attention. The NFT collection and merchandise launches execute successfully, creating genuine utility demand. The @stellagabber-led community maintains coordination and executes on roadmap milestones, driving holder growth and price appreciation toward $0.005–$0.010 range.

  • Successful NFT collection launch driving new buyer demand
  • Viral social media moment amplifying community reach
  • Broader Solana meme coin market cycle entering bull phase
  • Sustained holder growth above 500+ new wallets per week
  • Influencer adoption beyond current community

Base Case

MASK consolidates in the $0.0018–$0.0025 range over the next 2–4 weeks as the pump partially retraces but finds support from existing community holders. Holder count grows modestly (+50–200 per week). The token maintains relevance within its community niche without achieving breakout growth until a concrete utility catalyst (NFT launch) materializes.

  • Price retraces 20–30% from current levels to find equilibrium
  • Existing 28,217 holders provide a floor of community support
  • NFT/merchandise launch timeline is within 1–3 months
  • No major negative events (rug, exploit, team abandonment)
  • Broader Solana market remains stable

Bear Case

High probability

Today's pump was a coordinated or organic short-term spike that fails to attract sustained buying. Sell pressure continues to dominate as momentum traders exit. Holder count resumes its flat-to-declining trend. Price retraces to pre-pump levels of $0.00120–$0.00140 within 1–2 weeks, representing a 45–55% drawdown from current levels.

  • 69% sell pressure continues as momentum traders exit
  • No new catalysts to sustain buying interest post-pump
  • Holder count returns to flat trend after 24h spike normalizes
  • Thin liquidity amplifies downside moves
  • NFT/merchandise utility remains undelivered

Analysis details

Generated

May 6, 11:18 PM UTC

Data freshness

Price and OHLC data current as of 2026-05-06T23:00:00Z (most recent candle). Holder data reflects snapshot at time of query. Historical holder series covers 2026-04-06 through 2026-05-05.

Model confidence

Medium

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana)
  • PumpSwap DEX OHLC candle data (24 hourly candles)
  • Trading analytics aggregator (24h volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)

Limitations

  • Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly confirmed in provided data — inferred from platform context
  • Sniper data shows zero snipers but methodology (first 1,000 blocks only) may miss later coordinated accumulation
  • Whale wallet classifications are inferred from balance patterns and address matching — not verified via on-chain program data
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations
  • 30-day OHLC history not provided — medium-term technical analysis relies on 24h candles only
  • Social sentiment data not quantified beyond description metadata
  • Update authority identity not verified — could be team multisig or individual

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, particularly meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for catwifmask (MASK)?

After a 115.5% pump concentrated in the last 3 candles, the price is showing early signs of exhaustion. The most recent candle (23:00 UTC) closed at $0.002536, well below the intra-hour high of $0.002993 reached at 22:00 UTC, forming a bearish shooting-star-like pattern. Sell pressure dominates at 69% of 24h volume ($80.92K sells vs $36.38K buys). A retracement toward the $0.0018–$0.0020 range is likely in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0015 to $0.0030.

Is MASK a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated high with a risk score of 7.2/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, speculative investors who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative investors, those seeking stable returns, or anyone investing more than a small speculative allocation. Position sizing should reflect the very high probability of significant drawdown following the 115.5% pump.

How are MASK holders trending?

catwifmask currently has 28,217 holders and is stable (24h: 110, 7d: 114, 30d: 17). Holder count has been remarkably stable at ~28,100–28,200 for the past 30 days, with daily fluctuations rarely exceeding ±15. The 30-day net change is only +17 holders, indicating the community has been largely static. The recent 24h spike of +110 new holders is the largest single-day gain in the observed period and correlates directly with the price pump. It is unclear whether these new holders represent genuine long-term community members or momentum traders who may exit quickly. The acquisition breakdown (13,920 swaps, 12,342 airdrops, 1,955 transfers) suggests a significant portion of holders received tokens via airdrop, which may explain the large holder base relative to active trading interest.

What does sniper activity look like for MASK?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: medium.

What are the key risks of holding MASK?

Extreme post-pump sell pressure (69% of 24h volume) suggests distribution rather than accumulation • 30-day holder stagnation prior to pump raises questions about organic community growth • Non-renounced update authority introduces governance uncertainty

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