Tom Prediction
69aniAWVnZcqPbzeMqN4w2kaYZLryt7ESdj3GuGUpump
$0.00023364
FDV $233,594
69aniAWVnZcqPbzeMqN4w2kaYZLryt7ESdj3GuGUpumpChain:SolanaHolders:531Market cap:$233,594$233,594
$29,777
531
38
Very High
AI Executive Summary
Tom (TOM) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap (pair: Fcmv1n6NG3meYtvGyiA8WTomB2YDmx4yXEbvk5atpVt8) with a total supply of ~999.8M tokens and a current FDV of ~$233.6K. The token has experienced an explosive 24h price surge of ~263%, driven by a sharp volume spike in the 02:00–03:00 UTC window on May 24, 2026. Liquidity is thin at $29.78K, holder count is small at 531, and the token is unverified with no project description. The combination of rapid price appreciation, low liquidity, high sell pressure (57.5%), and a largely loss-making sniper cohort paints a high-risk speculative profile.
Price Prediction
Short term
After a parabolic 263% surge, the token is showing signs of consolidation near $0.000234. The 03:00 UTC candle saw a massive volume spike ($148K) that drove the breakout, but the most recent candle (04:00 UTC) shows sharply declining volume ($9.5K) and a modest pullback from the $0.000236 high. Sell pressure dominates at 57.5% of 24h volume. Short-term direction is uncertain — a retest of the breakout level (~$0.000107–$0.000115) is plausible if buying momentum fades.
Resistance: $0.000236 (24h high, candle 2 high), $0.000250 (psychological round level above current price)
Medium term
Without sustained buying volume, new catalysts, or a significant increase in liquidity, the token is likely to retrace. The historical holder data shows the token was dormant (256 holders, zero net change) from April 24 through May 12, suggesting this is a recurring pump pattern rather than organic growth. Sniper sell-through and whale distribution could accelerate downside.
Catalysts
- Sustained social media momentum (Twitter/website activity)
- New exchange listings or integrations
- Broader Solana meme coin market rally
- Whale accumulation at lower levels
Bullish factors
- 263% 24h price surge with high volume spike in candle 2 ($148K)
- Holder count growing rapidly: +162 in 1h, +254 in 24h
- Price momentum across all timeframes: +15.3% (5m), +115.5% (1h), +88% (6h)
- 785 unique buy transactions in 24h showing broad participation
- Token is mutable=false, reducing some manipulation risk
Bearish factors
- Sell pressure dominates: 57.5% sell volume ($179.81K sells vs $133.14K buys)
- 556 unique sellers vs 229 unique buyers — nearly 2.4x more sellers than buyers
- Extremely thin liquidity ($29.78K) — high slippage risk for any meaningful exit
- Top 100 holders control 88.84% of supply — extreme concentration
- 14 of 20 snipers show negative realized PnL, indicating early buyers largely exited at losses
- No project description, unverified contract, unknown update authority
- Token was dormant for ~3 weeks (Apr 24 – May 12) with zero holder change — suggests prior failed pump cycle
Deep Analysis
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Token Info
Key Risks
Smart Money & Sniper Analysis
20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Exact sniped amounts and current balances are unknown, limiting precise concentration calculations. Of the 20 snipers with known realized PnL data, 14 show negative realized PnL (ranging from -0.0% to -57.8%), 1 is near breakeven, and 5 show positive PnL (ranging from +1.1% to +85.2%). The largest positive outlier is sniper #10 (3XSYLa8VqkTV4RxKGG92nQb3gPziFFFEVLCYkEaEtZ5k) with +85.2% realized PnL on $1,550 sold. Sniper #16 (AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51) sold $4,179 at +31.5%. The majority of snipers appear to have exited or partially exited at a loss, suggesting the token had a prior failed pump cycle before the current rally.
AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.
Sniper details
Unknown — sniper balance data not available; however, 20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks with total sold amounts ranging from $1 to $4,179 per sniper
Mostly negative — 14 of 20 snipers (70%) show negative realized PnL, indicating early buyers largely sold at a loss during the token's dormant/declining phase. The current pump may have caught remaining sniper positions off-guard, with some still holding unrealized gains.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the price prediction for Tom (Tom)?
After a parabolic 263% surge, the token is showing signs of consolidation near $0.000234. The 03:00 UTC candle saw a massive volume spike ($148K) that drove the breakout, but the most recent candle (04:00 UTC) shows sharply declining volume ($9.5K) and a modest pullback from the $0.000236 high. Sell pressure dominates at 57.5% of 24h volume. Short-term direction is uncertain — a retest of the breakout level (~$0.000107–$0.000115) is plausible if buying momentum fades. Short-term outlook is neutral (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000107 to $0.000250.
Is Tom a safe investment on Solana?
Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme coin dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without active monitoring capability. Position sizing should be minimal (well under 1% of portfolio). This token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a high-risk pump-and-dump scenario.
How are Tom holders trending?
Tom currently has 531 holders and is growing (24h: 48, 7d: 44, 30d: 52). Holder growth is sharply accelerating. The token maintained a flat 256 holders for approximately 18 consecutive days (April 24 – May 12), then saw episodic growth: +107 on May 13, followed by volatility (gains and losses), before the current explosive +162 in just the past 1 hour and +254 in 24 hours. The 1-hour growth rate of +31% is the most extreme in the dataset. However, the historical pattern of holder count declining after prior pumps (e.g., -35 on May 18, -28 on May 15, -21 on May 14) suggests many new holders may exit quickly if price retraces. Acquisition is predominantly via swap (515 of 531 holders = 97%), confirming market-driven entry rather than airdrop or team distribution.
What does sniper activity look like for Tom?
Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_at_loss" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.
What are the key risks of holding Tom?
Extreme liquidity risk: $29.78K pool vs $313K daily volume — severe slippage on exit • High sell pressure: 57.5% sell volume, 556 sellers vs 229 buyers in 24h • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
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