mk4

mk4_lul Price Today & AI Analysis

mk4SolanaAnalysis as of May 20, 2026

Price

$0.054323

FDV $4,321

Contract

Live
67ScNH8sE59jEtG64y2rSy18rZijvZNpxo76CF3jpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

173

Market cap

$4,321

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mk4_lul: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-20 03:17 UTC

Holder addresses

431

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is mk4_lul ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 431 addresses (2026-05-20 03:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling mk4_lul?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is mk4_lul liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-20 03:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 20, 03:17 AM UTC

FDV

$141,160

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

431

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

mk4 (mk4_lul) is an ultra-fresh Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap, themed around a viral Hyperliquid trading incident in which a trader known as mk4_lul accidentally fat-fingered a $109M TWAP short on 24K GOLD, briefly moving the price of gold ~0.5% and triggering global market commentary. The token is less than 24 hours old, has surged +176% in 24h (with a 6h gain of +2,434%), and has grown from 14 to 431 holders almost entirely within the last 24 hours. It is a classic narrative-driven meme coin with extremely high risk, shallow liquidity, and heavy sell pressure (72.6% of volume).

Key points

  • Tied to a genuinely viral, real-world trading event on Hyperliquid involving a $109M accidental gold short
  • Explosive holder growth: 14 → 431 holders in under 24 hours (+97% in 24h)
  • Dev has pledged 10% of supply and all fees to the real mk4_lul wallet, adding a novelty narrative hook
  • Price up +2,434% in 6 hours from launch lows, indicating strong initial speculative interest
  • Token is mutable=false, reducing some rug vectors, though update authority is unknown

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already experienced a massive pump from its launch lows (~$0.0000051) to the current price of ~$0.000141, a gain of ~2,700%. Sell pressure is dominant at 72.6% of 24h volume ($257.78K sells vs $97.43K buys). The OHLC candles show a clear downtrend from the $0.0000394 high (candle 10) down to the $0.0000058 range before the current spike. The current price of $0.000141 appears to be a secondary pump. Short-term risk of sharp retracement is very high given sell dominance and thin liquidity.

Target low

$0.000040

Target high

$0.000200

Support

$0.000051 (recent consolidation low, candles 3–4), $0.000063 (candle 6 close / candle 5 range), $0.000029 (candle 2 low)

Resistance

$0.000141 (current price / recent high), $0.000187 (candle 9 open), $0.000308–0.000394 (candle 10–11 highs, all-time high zone)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without sustained narrative momentum, new exchange listings, or continued viral attention on X/TradFi media, meme tokens of this type typically retrace 80–99% from their peak within days. The token was dormant for ~30 days with only 14 holders before the viral event. If the mk4_lul story fades from social media, demand will collapse. A medium-term recovery is only plausible if the narrative gains mainstream TradFi or crypto media traction.

Catalysts

  • Continued viral spread of the mk4_lul gold trade story on X and TradFi media
  • mk4_lul himself acknowledging or engaging with the token
  • New DEX listings or aggregator visibility
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Genuinely viral real-world event with cross-market (TradFi + crypto) appeal
  • Explosive holder growth (+417 holders in 24h)
  • Price already up +2,434% in 6h showing strong speculative demand
  • Dev pledge of fees and 10% supply to mk4_lul adds authenticity narrative
  • Mutable=false reduces some rug risk

Bearish factors

  • 72.6% sell pressure ($257.78K sells vs $97.43K buys in 24h)
  • Zero reported total liquidity in analytics data — extreme slippage risk
  • Token was dormant for ~30 days with only 14 holders before launch event
  • Top 10 holders control 38.08% of supply; top 100 control 90.02%
  • Update authority unknown — cannot confirm full renouncement
  • No verified contract; possible insider/sniper activity in first 1,000 blocks
  • Meme narrative is ephemeral — gold trade story will fade quickly
  • OHLC shows prior peak at $0.0000394 already far below current price, suggesting prior sellers are in profit and may dump

Confidence: low. This is a sub-24-hour-old meme token with no verified contract, unknown update authority, zero reported on-chain liquidity in analytics, and price action driven entirely by social narrative. Price prediction confidence is inherently very low for assets of this type.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
67ScNH...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

  • Extreme price volatility — 80–99% drawdown risk from current levels
  • Zero confirmed on-chain liquidity depth — severe slippage on exit
  • Top 100 holders control 90.02% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Dev holds 10% of supply (100M tokens) — significant overhang

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

11 hourly candles analyzed (2026-05-19T17:00Z to 2026-05-20T03:00Z). The token launched with a high of $0.0000337–$0.0000394 in candles 10–11 (17:00–18:00 UTC), then experienced a sharp multi-hour downtrend through candles 9–6, bottoming near $0.0000051–$0.0000057 in candles 3–4 (01:00–02:00 UTC). Candle 1 (03:00 UTC) shows an anomalous OHLC where L > O and L > H, suggesting a data artifact or extreme volatility spike. The current price of $0.000141 is well above all candle closes shown, indicating a very recent sharp pump not yet fully captured in the hourly OHLC series. Volume was highest in candle 11 ($95,934) and candle 10 ($18,748), confirming the initial launch pump. Candles 4–5 show very low volume ($380–$791), indicating a consolidation/dead zone before the current pump.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term: the token is in a sharp uptrend from the $0.0000051 consolidation low to the current $0.000141 (a ~2,700% move). Medium-term (since launch peak): the token is in a downtrend from the all-time high of ~$0.0000394 (candle 10 high), though the current price has now exceeded that level, suggesting a potential new ATH is being set in real time.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

27%

Sell

73%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000063 (candle 6 close, prior consolidation)

Major support

$0.0000051 (candle 3–4 lows, recent consolidation floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.000141 (current price / intraday high)

Major resistance

$0.000394 (candle 10 all-time high)

The $0.0000051–$0.0000058 zone served as a strong base during the 01:00–02:00 UTC consolidation. The $0.000063 level (candle 6 close) is the first meaningful support on a pullback. The current price of $0.000141 is acting as both a target and resistance. The prior ATH of ~$0.0000394 has been decisively broken to the upside, which could act as support on a retracement if the pump sustains.

Notable patterns

  • Sharp downtrend from ATH ($0.0000394) to consolidation low ($0.0000051) over ~8 hours — classic post-launch dump
  • Low-volume consolidation in candles 4–5 ($380–$791 volume) suggesting accumulation before secondary pump
  • Secondary pump breaking above prior ATH — potential blow-off top formation
  • 72.6% sell pressure into price rise — distribution into strength (bearish divergence)
  • Candle 1 data anomaly: L ($0.0000839) > O ($0.0000058) and H ($0.0000068) — possible data error or extreme wick

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

FDV

$141,159.72

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price has moved +2,434% in 6 hours and +176% in 24h. The token is less than 24 hours old with extreme price swings. A retracement of 80–99% from peak is common for meme tokens of this type.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme price volatility — 80–99% drawdown risk from current levels
  • Zero confirmed on-chain liquidity depth — severe slippage on exit
  • Top 100 holders control 90.02% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Dev holds 10% of supply (100M tokens) — significant overhang
  • Narrative-driven token — story will fade rapidly, destroying demand
  • Unverified contract and unknown authority status
  • 72.6% sell pressure with 3.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before viral event — no organic community

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • Genuinely viral real-world event with cross-market appeal (TradFi + crypto)
  • Dev publicly pledged fees and 10% supply to mk4_lul, adding accountability narrative
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Rapid holder growth (+417 in 24h) shows real speculative interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline liquidity infrastructure

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme coin dynamics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are trading with very small position sizes. Absolutely not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone unfamiliar with Solana meme coin risks.

mk4 is a pure narrative meme coin with no utility, tied to a genuinely viral real-world trading event. Its investment case rests entirely on the continued virality of the mk4_lul gold trade story and the speculative momentum it generates. The token has already pumped massively from launch, with sell pressure heavily dominating. It is a high-risk, short-duration speculative play — not an investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The mk4_lul story continues to gain traction on X, TradFi media, and crypto Twitter. The real mk4_lul acknowledges the token, driving a second wave of buyers. The token reaches a new ATH above $0.000394 (prior peak) and sustains a market cap above $500K.

  • mk4_lul publicly acknowledges or engages with the token
  • Story picked up by major crypto/TradFi media outlets (Bloomberg, CoinDesk, etc.)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally amplifies momentum
  • Whale accumulation at current levels rather than distribution

Base Case

The token experiences a sharp retracement of 60–80% from current levels over the next 24–72 hours as the narrative fades and early buyers take profits. It stabilizes at a much lower price with a small residual community of meme holders, similar to most Pump.fun launches.

  • Narrative momentum lasts 24–48 hours before fading
  • Sell pressure continues to dominate as early buyers exit
  • No major catalyst (mk4_lul engagement, media pickup) materializes
  • Token survives but at a fraction of current price

Bear Case

High probability

The narrative fades within 24–48 hours as social media moves to the next story. Whales and snipers dump their holdings, liquidity collapses, and the token retraces 90%+ from current levels back toward the $0.0000051–$0.0000063 consolidation zone or lower.

  • Social media narrative fatigue — story already 24h old
  • 72.6% sell pressure and 3.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio already in place
  • Top 100 holders controlling 90.02% of supply with incentive to exit
  • Zero confirmed liquidity depth amplifying any sell cascade
  • No utility, no roadmap, no sustained community beyond the meme

Analysis details

Generated

May 20, 03:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-20 03:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, mutability)
  • PumpSwap OHLC price data (hourly candles)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Token description and social metadata

Limitations

  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data lag for new PumpSwap pool
  • Sniper sniped amounts and current balances are largely 'unknown' — sniper concentration estimate is approximate
  • Mint and freeze authority status not confirmed — only 'update authority: unknown' provided
  • OHLC candle 1 contains a data anomaly (L > O and L > H) that could not be resolved
  • Current price ($0.000141) is far above all OHLC candle closes, suggesting very recent price action not captured in hourly data
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all metrics are extremely preliminary
  • No verified contract — on-chain data may be incomplete

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is mk4_lul ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 431 addresses (2026-05-20 03:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling mk4_lul?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is mk4_lul liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for mk4_lul (mk4)?

The token has already experienced a massive pump from its launch lows (~$0.0000051) to the current price of ~$0.000141, a gain of ~2,700%. Sell pressure is dominant at 72.6% of 24h volume ($257.78K sells vs $97.43K buys). The OHLC candles show a clear downtrend from the $0.0000394 high (candle 10) down to the $0.0000058 range before the current spike. The current price of $0.000141 appears to be a secondary pump. Short-term risk of sharp retracement is very high given sell dominance and thin liquidity. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000040 to $0.000200.

Is mk4 a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme coin dynamics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are trading with very small position sizes. Absolutely not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone unfamiliar with Solana meme coin risks.

What are the key risks of holding mk4?

Extreme price volatility — 80–99% drawdown risk from current levels • Zero confirmed on-chain liquidity depth — severe slippage on exit • Top 100 holders control 90.02% of supply — extreme concentration

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