Sorajiro

そらジロー Price Prediction 2026

Sorajiro
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 16, 2026

62LUfjwReSmUq9HC3nWTXFvg6rfyiqTg9mVrdsFjmjh3

$0.049698

+175.69%

FDV $94,687

LiveContract:62LUfjwReSmUq9HC3nWTXFvg6rfyiqTg9mVrdsFjmjh3Chain:SolanaHolders:512Market cap:$94,687

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Report snapshotas of Aug 16, 04:19 AM
FDV

$94,687

Liquidity

$40,854

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

そらジロー (Sorajiro) is a Solana-based memecoin (mint: 62LUfjwReSmUq9HC3nWTXFvg6rfyiqTg9mVrdsFjmjh3) with a total supply of ~976.4M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$94.7K. The token has experienced an extraordinary 24h price surge of ~175–230% (varying by measurement window), driven by a sharp spike in candles [1]–[4] after roughly 18 hours of flat, low-volume trading. Liquidity is very shallow at $40.85K, sell pressure dominates heavily (71.2% sell vs 28.8% buy), and the token is an unverified memecoin with unknown update authority. Risk is very high.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price spike (+175–230%) concentrated in the last 4 hourly candles after prolonged flat trading
Very shallow liquidity of only $40.85K on PumpSwap, creating high slippage risk
Heavy sell-side dominance: 71.2% sell pressure, 1,321 sells vs 637 buys, 424 sellers vs 80 buyers
Unverified contract with unknown update authority and mutable=false metadata
No sniper data available; smart money signals are limited

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token spiked from ~$0.0000110 to a high of ~$0.0001570 within 4 hours (candles [1]–[4]), then closed candle [1] at $0.0000970 — already retracing 38% from the intra-spike high. With 71.2% sell pressure, 424 sellers vs 80 buyers, and only $40.85K in liquidity, the short-term outlook is bearish. The 5-minute change of -6.96% confirms immediate selling pressure. A retest of the pre-spike base near $0.0000110–$0.0000130 is plausible if selling continues.

Target low$0.0000110
Target high$0.0001570
Support: $0.0000970 (current close / candle [1] low), $0.0000328 (candle [2] low), $0.0000110 (pre-spike base, candles [5]–[8])
Resistance: $0.0001244 (candle [2] high / close), $0.0001570 (candle [1] all-time high in dataset), $0.0000234 (candle [18] high zone)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained buying interest, new catalysts, or a significant increase in liquidity, the token is likely to retrace toward pre-spike levels. Memecoins with this volume/liquidity profile and heavy sell dominance rarely sustain pumps. Medium-term outlook is bearish unless new community momentum or listings emerge.

Catalysts
  • New exchange listing or viral social media moment could re-ignite buying
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally could lift all boats
  • Whale accumulation at lower levels could form a base
  • Absence of catalysts will likely result in continued price decay

Bullish factors

  • Massive 6h gain of +701% demonstrates strong speculative interest can emerge rapidly
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some community infrastructure exists
  • Current price has already retraced ~38% from spike high, reducing some froth
  • Low FDV (~$94.7K) means small capital inflows can move price significantly

Bearish factors

  • 71.2% sell pressure with 424 sellers vs only 80 buyers in 24h
  • Very shallow liquidity of $40.85K — large orders will cause extreme slippage
  • Price spike appears to be a classic pump pattern with immediate retracement in candle [1]
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority — elevated rug/manipulation risk
  • Volume collapsed from $32K (candle [4]) to $328 (candle [5]) in pre-spike period, showing thin organic interest
  • No holder or whale data available to assess distribution health
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility of this memecoin, very shallow liquidity ($40.85K), absence of sniper/holder data, unknown update authority, and the unpredictable nature of memecoin price action. Technical signals are derived from only 24 hourly candles.

Sorajiro call history

Full track record →
Aug 16bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 24-candle hourly dataset reveals two distinct phases. Phase 1 (candles [24]–[5], ~18 hours): price traded in a tight range of $0.0000107–$0.0000370, with declining volume (mostly $300–$2,600/hr) and a gradual downtrend from ~$0.0000345 to ~$0.0000110. Phase 2 (candles [4]–[1], last 4 hours): an explosive breakout with volume surging to $32.2K, $20.8K, $27.8K, and $12.3K respectively. Candle [4] opened at $0.0000112 and closed at $0.0000519 — a massive bull engulfing candle. Candle [2] reached a high of $0.0001244 and closed near its high ($0.0001243), showing strong momentum. Candle [1] (most recent) opened at $0.0001273, hit a high of $0.0001570, but closed at $0.0000970 — a bearish shooting star / inverted hammer pattern, suggesting the spike high may be in and sellers are taking control.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 29%Sell 71%

Short-term trend is technically up due to the explosive 4-candle rally, but the most recent candle [1] is a bearish shooting star closing well below its high. The medium-term (18-hour prior context) was a downtrend from ~$0.0000345 to $0.0000110 before the spike. The overall structure is a V-shaped spike with early signs of reversal.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000970 (candle [1] close/low)
Major$0.0000110 (pre-spike base, candles [5]–[8] lows)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0001244 (candle [2] high/close)
Major$0.0001570 (candle [1] all-time high in dataset)

The $0.0000970 level is the current close and acts as immediate support — a break below this opens the door to $0.0000328 (candle [2] low) and ultimately the pre-spike base of $0.0000110. On the upside, $0.0001244 is the prior candle close and first resistance; $0.0001570 is the spike high and major resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish shooting star on candle [1]: opened $0.0001273, high $0.0001570, closed $0.0000970 — classic topping signal
  • Bull engulfing on candle [4]: opened at $0.0000112 (near 18h low), closed at $0.0000519 — initiated the spike
  • 18-hour downtrend (candles [24]–[5]) preceding the spike: lower highs and lower lows from $0.0000370 to $0.0000107
  • Volume climax pattern: peak volume on candle [4] ($32.2K) declining through candles [3] and [2], with candle [1] showing further decline — classic volume exhaustion
  • Gap-up open on candle [1] relative to candle [2] close, followed by rejection — bearish engulfing in progress

Liquidity$40,850
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$33,130
Sell$81,830
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers80
Unique sellers424

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $40.85K on PumpSwap (pair: ArXVpvFmcBfcU8LVmaKCFZJR1fAnpq2AD6zHMgyXAbAy). With a 24h sell volume of $81.83K — more than double the total liquidity pool — any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. The buy/sell ratio is deeply imbalanced: 637 buys vs 1,321 sells, 80 unique buyers vs 424 unique sellers. Net flow is clearly outflow, with $48.7K more in sell volume than buy volume over 24h. The FDV of $94.69K vs liquidity of $40.85K means liquidity represents ~43% of FDV, which is relatively high for a memecoin but still insufficient to absorb large exits without significant price impact. Market health is poor.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply976,367,603.34
FDV$94,686.81

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~976.4M tokens with a fully diluted valuation of ~$94.7K at current prices. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, so mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token metadata is marked as mutable=false, which is a mild positive signal (metadata cannot be changed), but without confirmed authority renouncement, rug risk from authorities remains unknown. The token is unverified and described simply as 'memecoin'. No vesting schedules, team allocations, or tokenomics documentation are referenced. The low FDV means the token is highly susceptible to price manipulation with small capital.

Volatility
high

Price surged +701% in 6 hours then began retracing within the same candle. 24h change of +175–230% with a 5-minute change of -6.96% demonstrates extreme volatility. This is a classic memecoin pump pattern.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $40.85K on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h sell volume of $81.83K already exceeds the liquidity pool twice over. Any significant exit will cause severe price impact and slippage.

Concentration
high

No holder data is available to confirm distribution, but the token's tiny market cap (~$94.7K FDV), single liquidity pool, and memecoin nature are consistent with highly concentrated ownership. 424 sellers vs 80 buyers suggests a small group is distributing to a larger group of buyers.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, so sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. However, the heavy sell pressure (71.2%) and large seller-to-buyer ratio (424:80) suggest early participants may be exiting. Risk is elevated to medium as a conservative default.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token is unverified. Mutable=false is a positive signal but insufficient to fully mitigate authority risk without confirmed renouncement.

Key risks

  • Extreme price volatility — +701% in 6h with immediate reversal signals
  • Very shallow liquidity ($40.85K) — high slippage on any meaningful trade
  • Heavy sell dominance: 71.2% sell pressure, 424 sellers vs 80 buyers
  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential rug or manipulation risk
  • Unverified contract with no audits or documentation
  • No holder or whale data available — distribution health unknown
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no diversified market depth
  • Memecoin with no stated utility — value entirely speculative

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata reduces risk of metadata manipulation
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some community presence
  • FDV of ~$94.7K is very low — limited absolute dollar downside vs a larger cap token
  • Liquidity as % of FDV (~43%) is relatively high for a micro-cap memecoin
  • No sniper concentration confirmed (data unavailable, not confirmed present)
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders who understand memecoin dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, and heavy sell pressure makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

Sorajiro (そらジロー) is a high-risk Solana memecoin that has experienced a dramatic short-term price spike (+701% in 6h) from a very low base. The spike appears to be driven by speculative momentum rather than fundamentals, with heavy sell pressure already dominating. The investment case is purely speculative and momentum-driven; there is no utility, verified contract, or confirmed tokenomics safety. The risk/reward is extremely asymmetric and unfavorable for new entrants at current prices.

Bull case (low)

Viral social momentum drives sustained buying interest, new holders accumulate at current levels, and the token establishes a higher base above $0.0000970. A broader Solana memecoin rally or influencer attention could push price toward or beyond the $0.0001570 spike high.

  • Viral Twitter/social media campaign drives new buyer inflow
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifts speculative tokens
  • Whale accumulation at post-spike lows creates a higher base
  • Low FDV (~$94.7K) means small capital can create outsized price moves

Base case

Price consolidates and gradually declines from the spike high, settling somewhere between $0.0000200–$0.0000500 as early buyers take profits and speculative interest fades. Token remains thinly traded with occasional volatility spikes.

  • Some residual buying interest prevents immediate collapse to pre-spike lows
  • No rug pull or authority-based manipulation occurs
  • Liquidity remains in the pool at reduced levels
  • Token maintains its social media presence without major new catalysts

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues to dominate, liquidity is insufficient to absorb exits, and price retraces to pre-spike levels of $0.0000110–$0.0000130. In a worst case, liquidity is removed and the token becomes effectively untradeable.

  • 71.2% sell pressure with 424 sellers vs 80 buyers continues
  • Shallow $40.85K liquidity cannot absorb ongoing sell flow
  • No new catalysts emerge to attract fresh buyers
  • Unknown authority status creates rug/manipulation risk
  • Bearish shooting star candle pattern signals near-term top

GeneratedAug 16, 04:19 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-08-16T04:00 UTC, based on the most recent OHLC candle timestamp.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability)
  • PumpSwap liquidity pool data (pair: ArXVpvFmcBfcU8LVmaKCFZJR1fAnpq2AD6zHMgyXAbAy)
  • 24-hour OHLC hourly candle data (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder count or distribution data available — holder trends and whale map sections contain no real data
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals are limited to trading analytics inference
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • Only 24 hourly candles provided — longer-term technical context is unavailable
  • Single liquidity pool data only — no cross-exchange price discovery
  • Token is unverified — on-chain metadata may be incomplete or misleading
  • FDV and price data are highly volatile and may have changed significantly since data capture

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analyst and platform bear no responsibility for investment outcomes based on this report.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply976,367,603.34

Key Risks

Extreme price volatility — +701% in 6h with immediate reversal signals
Very shallow liquidity ($40.85K) — high slippage on any meaningful trade
Heavy sell dominance: 71.2% sell pressure, 424 sellers vs 80 buyers
Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential rug or manipulation risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be assessed from sniper activity. The only observable signal is the trading analytics: 424 sellers vs 80 buyers in 24h, with 71.2% sell pressure, suggesting that whoever accumulated early is distributing into the spike. The low buyer count (80 unique buyers) vs high seller count (424) is a warning sign of distribution behavior.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available

Unknown — no sniper data provided. However, the heavy sell-side dominance (424 sellers, 71.2% sell volume) suggests early holders or spike participants are actively selling into the pump.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for そらジロー (Sorajiro)?

The token spiked from ~$0.0000110 to a high of ~$0.0001570 within 4 hours (candles [1]–[4]), then closed candle [1] at $0.0000970 — already retracing 38% from the intra-spike high. With 71.2% sell pressure, 424 sellers vs 80 buyers, and only $40.85K in liquidity, the short-term outlook is bearish. The 5-minute change of -6.96% confirms immediate selling pressure. A retest of the pre-spike base near $0.0000110–$0.0000130 is plausible if selling continues. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000110 to $0.0001570.

Is Sorajiro a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders who understand memecoin dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, and heavy sell pressure makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

What does sniper activity look like for Sorajiro?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Sorajiro?

Extreme price volatility — +701% in 6h with immediate reversal signals • Very shallow liquidity ($40.85K) — high slippage on any meaningful trade • Heavy sell dominance: 71.2% sell pressure, 424 sellers vs 80 buyers

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