MESA

Black Mesa Research Facility Price Today & AI Analysis

MESASolanaAnalysis as of Jun 8, 2026

Price

$0.047525

-18.10% 24h

Contract

Live
5wVtfsFhLjxm27K9mN3ziYWCCpQwXXq7HWUiRMW7pump

Chain

Holders

2,507

Market cap

$75,154

At a $1M market cap, $MESA would be $0.001001 (13.3x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is MESA a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 21

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell.

Can you sell?

YesNothing in the token can block or tax a sell

Creator holds

7.1%

Read from the token’s own on-chain settings, with Unhosted’s automated check: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. The settings say whether the token can block or tax a sell, not whether its pool has the liquidity to sell into.

Ask Unhosted AI about MESA

3 free answers a day

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Black Mesa Research Facility: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-08 18:17 UTC

Holder addresses

2,589

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$70,808.22
How concentrated is Black Mesa Research Facility ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 2,589 addresses (2026-06-08 18:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Black Mesa Research Facility?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Black Mesa Research Facility liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-08 18:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $70,808.22. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-08 18:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jun 8, 06:17 PM UTC

FDV

$329,416

Liquidity

$70,808.22

Holders

2,589

Snipers

Not available

Risk

High
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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

Black Mesa Research Facility (MESA) is a Solana meme/community token launched on PumpSwap with a total supply of ~998.85M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$329K–$333K. The token has experienced a sharp 24h price surge of ~61.7%, driven by a single high-volume candle in the 17:00 UTC hour on June 8, 2026. Despite the price spike, sell pressure dominates (70.3% sell volume), holder count is slightly declining over 24h, and supply concentration is high. The project is unverified and mutable authority has not been renounced to a burn address.

Key points

  • Half-Life/Black Mesa pop-culture branding with active social presence (website + Moralis)
  • Sharp 6h price rally of ~99.9% indicating speculative momentum
  • Moderate liquidity pool of $70.81K on PumpSwap providing some exit depth
  • 2,589 holders with a 7d net gain of +57, showing modest community growth over the week
  • Top 10 holders control 37.34% of supply — concentrated but not extreme for a meme token

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

After a massive spike candle in the 17:00 UTC hour (H: $0.000432, volume $40,977), price has already begun to retrace toward $0.000330. The 5m change is -0.96% and sell pressure is 70.3% of 24h volume. The spike appears to be a single-candle event with no follow-through volume, suggesting a likely mean-reversion toward the pre-spike range of $0.000164–$0.000183.

Target low

$0.000164

Target high

$0.000334

Support

$0.000229 (candle [3] low), $0.000183 (candle [1] pre-spike base), $0.000164 (multi-hour consolidation floor, candles [7]–[10])

Resistance

$0.000334 (current price / candle [1] close), $0.000432 (candle [2] spike high — intraday peak)

Medium term · 7–30 days

neutral

Holder growth over 30 days is only +44 net (+1.7%), and the historical holder series shows high volatility with no sustained uptrend. Without a catalyst (exchange listing, partnership, viral moment), price is likely to consolidate in the $0.000150–$0.000250 range. A retest of the spike high ($0.000432) would require significant new buying interest.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media moment leveraging Black Mesa/Half-Life IP nostalgia
  • New exchange listing or aggregator inclusion
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Coordinated community buy event

Bullish factors

  • ~99.9% 6h price gain demonstrates strong short-term momentum capacity
  • Total liquidity of $70.81K provides reasonable depth for a token at this market cap
  • 7d holder growth of +57 (+2.2%) shows modest but positive community expansion
  • Pop-culture branding (Black Mesa/Half-Life) has viral potential

Bearish factors

  • 70.3% of 24h volume is sell-side — sellers dominate
  • Holders declined -18 (-0.70%) in the past 24h despite the price spike
  • Top 100 wallets hold 92.17% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Spike candle volume ($40,977) dwarfs all surrounding candles, suggesting a single actor or bot
  • Update authority not renounced — mutable risk remains
  • Unverified contract with no audit

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token's meme nature, single-candle spike with no confirmed follow-through, absence of sniper data, unverified contract, and highly volatile holder count. Price action is driven by speculative sentiment rather than fundamentals.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
5wVtfs...pump
Total Supply
998,850,083.99 MESA

Key Risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top 100 hold 92.17% of tokens
  • Sell pressure dominates 24h trading (70.3% sell volume, 263 sellers vs 152 buyers)
  • Spike candle appears to be a single-actor event with no volume follow-through
  • Holder count declining 24h (-18) despite price spike — distribution signal

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the 24 hourly candles reviewed (June 7 19:00 – June 8 18:00 UTC), price traded in a tight consolidation band of roughly $0.000159–$0.000201 for the first ~20 candles, then broke sharply upward in candle [2] (17:00 UTC, June 8) with a high of $0.000432 on volume of $40,977 — more than 30x any surrounding candle. This single candle represents a classic 'spike and partial retrace' pattern. The most recent candle [1] shows price settling at $0.000330, well below the spike high, on minimal volume ($215). Prior to the spike, candles [7]–[10] formed a tight low-volume consolidation near $0.000164–$0.000165, acting as a base.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically up due to the spike, but the medium-term (30-day holder and price history) shows sideways/ranging behavior. The spike is an outlier event, not a sustained trend. Pre-spike price action from candles [11]–[24] shows a mild downtrend from ~$0.000200 to ~$0.000159 before the reversal.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

30%

Sell

70%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000229 (candle [3] low, post-spike consolidation)

Major support

$0.000164 (multi-candle consolidation floor, candles [7]–[10])

Immediate resistance

$0.000334 (current price / candle [1] close)

Major resistance

$0.000432 (candle [2] spike high)

The $0.000164 level served as a multi-hour base and represents the strongest support. The $0.000432 spike high is a key resistance that would require exceptional volume to breach. The $0.000229–$0.000334 zone is now a transitional range as price digests the spike.

Notable patterns

  • Single-candle volume spike (candle [2]): open $0.000243, high $0.000432, close $0.000334 — classic pump-and-partial-dump wick
  • Multi-hour tight consolidation at $0.000164–$0.000165 (candles [7]–[10]) forming a base before the breakout
  • Descending price action from candle [24] ($0.000200) to candle [11] ($0.000159) — a prior downtrend before the spike
  • Post-spike volume collapse (candle [1]: $215 vs candle [2]: $40,977) — no follow-through buying
  • Long upper wick on spike candle indicating strong sell pressure at the high

Liquidity

Liquidity

$70,808.22

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

Medium

Total liquidity of $70.81K on PumpSwap is shallow relative to the FDV of ~$333K (liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~21%). This means large trades will cause significant price impact. The 24h trading profile is heavily sell-skewed: 440 sell transactions vs 237 buys, 263 unique sellers vs 152 unique buyers, and $35.7K sell volume vs $15.1K buy volume (70.3% sell pressure). Net flow is clearly outflow. The anomalous spike candle (candle [2], $40,977 volume) likely accounts for the majority of 24h volume and may represent a single large buy followed by immediate profit-taking, explaining the wick structure. Slippage risk is medium — the $70.81K pool can absorb moderate trades but a whale exit of even $10K–$20K would move price materially. Market health is fragile.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

998,850,083.99 MESA

FDV

$329,415.83

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    24h price change of +61.7% and 6h change of +99.9% demonstrate extreme volatility. The spike candle with a high of $0.000432 vs a base of ~$0.000164 represents a 163% intraday range. Post-spike retracement is already underway.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of $70.81K is shallow for a token with 2,589 holders. Liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~21% means large exits will cause severe price impact. A coordinated whale exit could drain the pool rapidly.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top 100 hold 92.17% of tokens
  • Sell pressure dominates 24h trading (70.3% sell volume, 263 sellers vs 152 buyers)
  • Spike candle appears to be a single-actor event with no volume follow-through
  • Holder count declining 24h (-18) despite price spike — distribution signal
  • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$329K) makes price highly susceptible to manipulation
  • Multiple round-balance wallets (possible team/insider allocations) could dump at any time

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata marked 'Mutable: false' limiting metadata manipulation
  • 'Possible spam: false' flag from data provider
  • Moderate liquidity of $70.81K provides some exit depth
  • 7d holder growth of +57 shows some organic community interest
  • Pop-culture branding (Black Mesa/Half-Life) provides viral narrative potential
  • Token trades on PumpSwap with an established pair

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators with small position sizes they can afford to lose entirely. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or those without active monitoring capability. Any position should be treated as a lottery ticket, not an investment.

MESA is a high-risk micro-cap meme token on Solana built around Black Mesa/Half-Life pop-culture branding. The token experienced a sharp speculative spike on June 8, 2026, but fundamental indicators (sell pressure dominance, declining holders, concentrated supply, unverified contract) suggest the spike is more likely a distribution event than the start of a sustained rally. The investment case is purely speculative and narrative-driven.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral community growth driven by Half-Life/Black Mesa nostalgia triggers a sustained buying wave, new exchange listings or aggregator inclusion boost visibility, and the token establishes a new price floor above $0.000250 with growing holder count.

  • Viral social media campaign leveraging Half-Life IP nostalgia
  • Solana meme-coin market enters a broad bull phase
  • New CEX or DEX aggregator listing increases token discoverability
  • Community-driven buyback or burn event reduces circulating supply
  • Influencer or KOL promotion drives retail FOMO

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.000180–$0.000280 range over the next 7–14 days as the spike is digested. Holder count stabilizes around 2,500–2,600. Token remains a niche community project with occasional speculative spikes tied to broader meme-coin market cycles.

  • Sell pressure normalizes after spike digestion
  • No major new catalysts or negative events in the near term
  • Liquidity pool remains stable at ~$70K
  • Community maintains its current ~2,500 holder base

Bear Case

High probability

Post-spike sell pressure continues, large holders distribute into any remaining buying interest, liquidity drains, and price retraces to or below the pre-spike consolidation zone of $0.000159–$0.000165. Holder count continues to decline.

  • 70.3% sell pressure in 24h continues post-spike
  • Whale wallets with round balances begin distributing
  • No new catalysts emerge to sustain momentum
  • Broader Solana meme-coin sentiment turns negative
  • Liquidity pool depth insufficient to absorb coordinated selling

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 8, 06:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-08 18:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (ACHCmd3pHfkYPzkHsxi5zvxg9ZQA3YZ5tFB8L27Ne5ZV)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (24 candles, June 7–8 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • 30-day daily historical holder series
  • Top 20 holder wallet balances
  • Sniper analysis (not available)

Limitations

  • No sniper/early buyer wallet data available — smart money signals are inferred only
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided — marked unknown
  • No order book depth data — slippage estimates are approximations
  • Token is unverified — on-chain program logic cannot be audited
  • 30-day price history not provided — only 24h OHLC candles available
  • Holder classification (whale/shark/dolphin) thresholds not defined in source data
  • Single anomalous spike candle dominates 24h metrics — may distort averages

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Black Mesa Research Facility (MESA) a scam?

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell. Checked Oct 21, 2026. This is Unhosted’s automated risk check, a warning signal rather than a guarantee either way.

Can I sell Black Mesa Research Facility (MESA)?

Yes. Nothing in the token’s on-chain settings can block or tax a sell: no freeze authority, no transfer fee and no transfer hook. Checked Oct 21, 2026. This reads the token’s own settings; whether its pool has enough liquidity to sell into is a separate question.

How concentrated is Black Mesa Research Facility ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 2,589 addresses (2026-06-08 18:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Black Mesa Research Facility?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Black Mesa Research Facility liquidity falling?

As of 2026-06-08 18:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $70,808.22. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Black Mesa Research Facility (MESA)?

After a massive spike candle in the 17:00 UTC hour (H: $0.000432, volume $40,977), price has already begun to retrace toward $0.000330. The 5m change is -0.96% and sell pressure is 70.3% of 24h volume. The spike appears to be a single-candle event with no follow-through volume, suggesting a likely mean-reversion toward the pre-spike range of $0.000164–$0.000183. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000164 to $0.000334.

Is MESA a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 8.2/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators with small position sizes they can afford to lose entirely. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or those without active monitoring capability. Any position should be treated as a lottery ticket, not an investment.

What are the key risks of holding MESA?

Extreme supply concentration: top 100 hold 92.17% of tokens • Sell pressure dominates 24h trading (70.3% sell volume, 263 sellers vs 152 buyers) • Spike candle appears to be a single-actor event with no volume follow-through

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