Luffy

Monkey D. Luffy Price Today & AI Analysis

LuffySolanaAnalysis as of Jul 2, 2026

Price

$0.052752

Contract

Live
5rL1QdzSskB5WUnXeEuvK8qgi2uv9EXG7XgB9EBtpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

126

Market cap

$2,751

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Monkey D. Luffy: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-02 20:17 UTC

Holder addresses

598

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$48,276.61
How concentrated is Monkey D. Luffy ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 598 addresses (2026-07-02 20:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Monkey D. Luffy?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Monkey D. Luffy liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-02 20:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $48,276.61. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-02 20:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 2, 08:17 PM UTC

FDV

$146,851

Liquidity

$48,276.61

Holders

598

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Monkey D. Luffy (Luffy) is a meme/fan token on Solana launched on the PumpFun/PumpSwap platform, themed around the popular anime/manga character. The token has a total supply of 1,000,000,000 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$146,851. It is experiencing an explosive but very recent price surge of +270% in 24h, driven almost entirely by a single-day holder explosion from 26 to 598 holders. The token is extremely new to active trading, with 30 days of dormancy at 26 holders followed by a sudden viral spike. Liquidity is shallow at $48.28K, sell pressure dominates at 74.4%, and top holder/concentration data is unavailable — all of which elevate risk substantially.

Key points

  • Themed around Monkey D. Luffy from One Piece, one of the best-selling manga franchises globally
  • Claims 100% of creator fees go to Colleen Clinkenbeard (English voice actress) — unverified on-chain
  • Extreme holder growth: from 26 to 598 holders in a single day (+2,200% in 24h)
  • 270%+ price surge in 24h on very shallow liquidity ($48.28K)
  • Dormant for ~30 days before sudden viral activation

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–48 hours

bearish

The token has surged +270% in 24h on thin liquidity ($48.28K) with 74.4% sell pressure and 4,398 sells vs 1,163 buys. The OHLC data shows a high of ~$0.0000597 in candle [3] and the current price of ~$0.0001469 implies a significant move above recent candle highs — suggesting the price spike may be very recent and fragile. With sell pressure dominating and shallow liquidity, a sharp retracement is the most probable short-term outcome.

Target low

$0.000031

Target high

$0.000180

Support

$0.0000418 (candle [1] close / candle [2] open), $0.0000318 (candle [1] open / candle [3] open), $0.0000238 (candle [3] low)

Resistance

$0.0000597 (candle [3] high), $0.0001469 (current price — recent spike high), $0.000180 (psychological extension)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

The token was completely dormant for 30 days at 26 holders before this spike. Without sustained community growth, exchange listings, or verifiable utility (e.g., confirmed charity mechanism), the token is likely to retrace toward pre-spike levels. Meme tokens of this type on PumpSwap typically see rapid pump-and-dump cycles.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media momentum around One Piece/anime community
  • Verification of the Colleen Clinkenbeard charity claim could drive legitimate interest
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial spike

Bullish factors

  • Strong cultural IP (One Piece is the best-selling manga in history)
  • Explosive holder growth from 26 to 598 in 24h (+2,200%)
  • 270%+ price appreciation in 24h
  • Mutable=false suggests immutable metadata
  • Active social presence (Twitter, website, Moralis links)
  • 5m price change of +19.4% and 1h of +17.6% suggest continued short-term momentum

Bearish factors

  • 74.4% sell pressure — sellers vastly outnumber buyers (4,398 sells vs 1,163 buys)
  • Shallow liquidity of only $48.28K creates high slippage risk
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days at 26 holders before this spike — suggests coordinated pump
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior unknown
  • Unverified contract (verified=false)
  • Update authority listed as unknown
  • Charity claim (100% fees to voice actress) is unverifiable on-chain
  • FDV of only ~$147K leaves little room for sustainable growth without new capital

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) missing top holder data making concentration risk unquantifiable, (2) no sniper data available, (3) only 3 hourly OHLC candles provided, (4) the token's extreme youth and dormancy history, and (5) the highly speculative nature of meme tokens on PumpSwap.

Luffy call history

Full track record →

Jul 2bearish
24h-96.7%
7d-98.6%
30d-98.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
5rL1Qd...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000

Key Risks

  • Extreme pump-and-dump risk: 30 days dormancy → sudden 270% spike is a classic coordinated pump pattern
  • Shallow liquidity ($48.28K) means large exits will crash the price
  • Top holder data unavailable — cannot assess concentration or insider selling risk
  • 74.4% sell pressure with 3:1 sellers-to-buyers ratio indicates active distribution

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available (18:00–20:00 UTC on 2026-07-02). Candle [3] (18:00): O=$0.0000318, H=$0.0000596, L=$0.0000238, C=$0.0000415 — a wide-range bullish candle with a long lower wick, suggesting initial volatility and buying interest off the low. Candle [2] (19:00): O=$0.0000417, H=$0.0000417, L=$0.0000417, C=$0.0000318 — a doji/flat candle with identical O/H/L values and a lower close, indicating selling pressure emerged. Candle [1] (20:00): O=$0.0000318, H=$0.0000417, L=$0.0000597, C=$0.0000417 — NOTE: the Low ($0.0000597) is higher than the High ($0.0000417) in the raw data, which is anomalous and may indicate a data feed error for this candle. The current price of $0.0001469 is significantly above all three candle closes, suggesting the major price spike occurred after the 20:00 candle.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is sharply upward based on the 270% 24h price gain and recent 5m/1h momentum (+19.4% and +17.6% respectively). However, the medium-term picture is sideways-to-bearish given 30 days of complete dormancy at 26 holders prior to this spike. The current uptrend is driven by speculative momentum, not fundamental accumulation.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

26%

Sell

74%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000418 (recent candle close cluster)

Major support

$0.0000238 (candle [3] low — lowest recent price)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000597 (candle [3] high / anomalous candle [1] low)

Major resistance

$0.0001469 (current price — recent spike high, likely to act as resistance on any pullback)

Support is clustered around $0.0000418 (multiple candle opens/closes) and $0.0000318 (candle [1] open). The $0.0000238 level represents the most recent swing low. Resistance at the current price level ($0.0001469) is significant — this is a 3.5x extension above the recent candle highs and will likely face heavy selling pressure from early buyers taking profits.

Notable patterns

  • Explosive gap-up: current price ($0.0001469) is ~3.5x above the highest recent OHLC candle close ($0.0000415)
  • Candle [2] (19:00) shows a doji-like pattern with identical O/H/L — possible data anomaly or extreme illiquidity at that hour
  • Candle [3] (18:00) shows a long lower wick (low of $0.0000238 vs open of $0.0000318) suggesting initial capitulation before recovery
  • Anomalous OHLC data in candle [1] where Low > High — possible data feed error, treat with caution
  • Volume spike pattern: high volume in candle [2] ($250K) coinciding with price reversal — classic distribution signal

Liquidity

Liquidity

$48,276.61

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $48.28K on a single PumpSwap pool (4uD5u9CoMVhwzanTNswxRcdMSukwKG9zxTnLsGmiKV1i). With a FDV of ~$147K and only $48.28K in liquidity, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 33% — while not terrible for a micro-cap, the absolute dollar amount is very low. Any significant sell order will cause extreme slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $282.84K in sells vs $97.16K in buys — a net outflow of ~$185.68K. Unique sellers (1,309) outnumber unique buyers (411) by more than 3:1. This is a clear distribution pattern where early holders are selling into retail FOMO demand. The 6h and 24h price change showing 0% in the analytics (vs the 270% shown in the price section) may indicate a data discrepancy or that the price spike is very recent (within the last few hours).

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000

FDV

$146,851

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    270% price surge in 24h on a micro-cap meme token with $48.28K liquidity. Extreme volatility is inherent. The token was dormant for 30 days before this spike, suggesting the current price action is speculative and unsustainable without continued momentum.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $48.28K on a single PumpSwap pool. Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will cause significant slippage. Exit liquidity is severely limited for anyone holding a meaningful position.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme pump-and-dump risk: 30 days dormancy → sudden 270% spike is a classic coordinated pump pattern
  • Shallow liquidity ($48.28K) means large exits will crash the price
  • Top holder data unavailable — cannot assess concentration or insider selling risk
  • 74.4% sell pressure with 3:1 sellers-to-buyers ratio indicates active distribution
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Unverifiable charity claim ('100% fees to voice actress') may be a marketing hook with no on-chain enforcement
  • Token is not verified and listed as possible spam=false (not confirmed legitimate)
  • Meme token with no utility beyond cultural IP association

Mitigating factors

  • Strong cultural IP (One Piece is globally recognized)
  • Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • Rapid holder growth (26→598) shows genuine retail interest
  • Active social links (Twitter, website) suggest some community infrastructure
  • PumpFun tokens have a track record of viral moments, even if short-lived
  • FDV of ~$147K is low enough that a 10x would still be a micro-cap

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, income-focused investors, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <0.5% of portfolio). This is NOT financial advice.

Luffy (Monkey D. Luffy) is a high-risk, high-volatility meme token on Solana's PumpSwap platform. The token leverages the globally recognized One Piece IP and claims a charitable mechanism (fees to the English voice actress). After 30 days of complete dormancy, it experienced a sudden viral activation with +270% price gain and +2,200% holder growth in 24 hours. The dominant sell pressure (74.4%) and shallow liquidity make this a speculative trade at best and a pump-and-dump at worst. The investment thesis is almost entirely momentum-based with no verifiable fundamentals.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The One Piece/anime community rallies around the token, driving sustained viral growth. The charity claim is verified and generates positive press. Holder count continues growing past 5,000+, liquidity deepens, and the token achieves a 10–50x from current levels on cultural momentum alone — similar to other anime-themed meme tokens that have had brief viral moments.

  • Viral spread within the One Piece/anime community on Twitter/X
  • Independent verification of the Colleen Clinkenbeard charity mechanism
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial FOMO spike
  • Potential celebrity acknowledgment from the voice actress herself

Base Case

The token experiences a partial retracement of 40–60% from the current spike high as early holders take profits, stabilizing at a higher base than pre-pump levels (~$0.000050–$0.000080). A small but active community forms around the One Piece theme, maintaining 300–600 holders with occasional price spikes on anime news events. The token survives but never recaptures the initial pump high.

  • Some genuine retail interest persists beyond the initial FOMO wave
  • Liquidity remains above $20K to prevent complete collapse
  • No major rug pull or authority exploit
  • Broader Solana meme market remains active

Bear Case

High probability

The pump-and-dump cycle completes within 24–72 hours. Early holders (the original 26) dump their positions into retail FOMO demand, liquidity is drained, and the price collapses 80–95% back toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000023–$0.000042). The token returns to dormancy or is abandoned.

  • 74.4% sell pressure already dominant during the pump
  • Only 26 holders for 30 days suggests coordinated early accumulation
  • Shallow $48.28K liquidity cannot absorb significant selling
  • No verifiable utility or on-chain charity mechanism
  • Typical PumpFun meme token lifecycle: pump → dump → abandon

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 2, 08:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-02 20:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: 5rL1QdzSskB5WUnXeEuvK8qgi2uv9EXG7XgB9EBtpump)
  • PumpSwap pool data (pair: 4uD5u9CoMVhwzanTNswxRcdMSukwKG9zxTnLsGmiKV1i)
  • Hourly OHLC price data (3 candles, 2026-07-02 18:00–20:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
  • Holder acquisition and distribution data
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely limited
  • Top holder data completely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior unknown
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data errors, not genuine distribution figures
  • The 6h and 24h price change showing 0% in analytics contradicts the 270% figure in the price section — possible data inconsistency
  • Anomalous OHLC data in candle [1] (Low > High) suggests potential data feed issues
  • Charity claim (fees to voice actress) is unverifiable from on-chain data alone
  • Token is very new to active trading — limited historical data for pattern analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. The analyst has no position in this token.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Monkey D. Luffy ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 598 addresses (2026-07-02 20:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Monkey D. Luffy?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Monkey D. Luffy liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-02 20:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $48,276.61. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Monkey D. Luffy (Luffy)?

The token has surged +270% in 24h on thin liquidity ($48.28K) with 74.4% sell pressure and 4,398 sells vs 1,163 buys. The OHLC data shows a high of ~$0.0000597 in candle [3] and the current price of ~$0.0001469 implies a significant move above recent candle highs — suggesting the price spike may be very recent and fragile. With sell pressure dominating and shallow liquidity, a sharp retracement is the most probable short-term outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.000031 to $0.000180.

Is Luffy a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, income-focused investors, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <0.5% of portfolio). This is NOT financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding Luffy?

Extreme pump-and-dump risk: 30 days dormancy → sudden 270% spike is a classic coordinated pump pattern • Shallow liquidity ($48.28K) means large exits will crash the price • Top holder data unavailable — cannot assess concentration or insider selling risk

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