MITHRIL

Mithril Price Today & AI Analysis

MITHRILSolanaAnalysis as of Jun 24, 2026

Price

$0.053097

-1.58% 24h · FDV $3,096

Contract

Live
4vZMrPEimCDZNLsbT3jjGTnpnvPhJZnnzo8jgVDhTCn1

Chain

Solana

Holders

101

Market cap

$3,096

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Mithril: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-24 23:19 UTC

Holder addresses

286

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$41,869.31
How concentrated is Mithril ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 286 addresses (2026-06-24 23:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Mithril?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Mithril liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-24 23:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $41,869.31. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-24 23:19 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Jun 24, 11:19 PM UTC

FDV

$125,446

Liquidity

$41,869.31

Holders

286

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

MITHRIL (4vZMrPEimCDZNLsbT3jjGTnpnvPhJZnnzo8jgVDhTCn1) is an extremely early-stage Solana token launched on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$125K–$137K. The token exhibits a constellation of severe red flags: a single wallet holds 100% of the circulating supply, the holder base was essentially zero for 30 days before exploding +276 holders in the last 24 hours, sell pressure dominates at 72.1% of 24h volume, and the OHLC data contains anomalous candle values suggesting data quality issues. The 448% 24h price spike combined with overwhelming sell pressure and extreme concentration makes this an extremely high-risk speculative instrument.

Key points

  • Single wallet controls 100% of total supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Holder base was flat at 10 for 30+ days, then surged +276 in 24h — suspicious launch pattern
  • 72.1% sell pressure vs 27.9% buy pressure in 24h — sellers dominate
  • Total liquidity of only $41.87K against $137K FDV — very shallow market
  • No verified contract, no description, mutable authority not renounced to burn address

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

The token has pumped 448% in 24h while sell pressure accounts for 72.1% of volume (2,140 sells vs 717 buys). With a single wallet holding 100% of supply and only $41.87K in liquidity, any meaningful sell from the top holder would collapse the price. The 1h candle shows a 129.9% spike, suggesting a pump-and-dump pattern is already underway.

Target low

$0.000012

Target high

$0.000175

Support

$0.000024 (recent candle low, Candle 3 L), $0.000016 (absolute recent low, Candle 3 L)

Resistance

$0.000034 (Candle 4 high), $0.000125 (current price region / Candle 1 anomalous high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Without a genuine community, product, or utility (no description, unverified contract), and with the top holder controlling 100% of supply, sustained price appreciation is highly unlikely. The token was dormant for 30+ days before the current pump, suggesting coordinated activity rather than organic growth.

Catalysts

  • Top holder distributing supply to retail buyers
  • Any exchange listing (highly unlikely at this stage)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 448% 24h price surge indicates strong speculative momentum
  • Holder count grew from ~10 to 286 in 24h, showing rapid retail interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible entry for retail traders

Bearish factors

  • Single wallet holds 100% of supply — catastrophic concentration risk
  • 72.1% sell pressure dominates 24h trading
  • Only $41.87K total liquidity — extreme slippage risk
  • Token was dormant (10 holders) for 30+ days before sudden pump
  • No verified contract, no description, no stated utility
  • Update authority not renounced to burn address
  • 2,140 sells vs 717 buys in 24h — 3:1 sell-to-buy ratio

Confidence: low. OHLC candle data contains anomalous values (e.g., Candle 1 Low > Open, which is technically impossible in standard OHLC), reducing technical reliability. Extreme concentration and shallow liquidity make price behavior highly unpredictable and manipulable.

MITHRIL call history

Full track record →

Jun 24bearish
24h-95.3%
7d-97.4%
30d-98.4%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4vZMrP...TCn1
Total Supply
999,999,942.93 (formatted) / 1,000,000,000 nominal

Key Risks

  • Single wallet controls 100% of supply — rug pull risk is extreme
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • 72.1% sell pressure with 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio — active distribution
  • Only $41.87K liquidity — catastrophic slippage on any meaningful sell

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

WARNING: The OHLC data contains anomalous values — in Candle 1, the Low ($0.000125) is higher than the Open ($0.000024) and High ($0.000028), which is technically impossible in standard OHLC format. This suggests either a data feed error or extreme intra-candle volatility that the aggregator has misreported. Treating these values with caution: Candle 4 (oldest) opened at $0.000028, reached a high of $0.000034, and closed at $0.000024 — a bearish candle. Candle 3 showed a recovery from $0.000016 low back to $0.000028. Candle 2 opened at $0.000028 and closed lower at $0.000024 — another bearish close. Candle 1 (most recent) shows anomalous data but the close of $0.000028 is noted. The current price of $0.000125 represents a massive gap above recent candle closes, consistent with a sudden pump event.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward due to the 448% 24h pump, but this is driven by a single speculative event rather than sustained buying. The medium-term (30-day) trend was completely flat at ~10 holders and negligible activity, indicating no organic growth prior to this event.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

28%

Sell

72%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000024 (recent candle lows in Candles 2 and 4)

Major support

$0.000016 (Candle 3 absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000034 (Candle 4 high)

Major resistance

$0.000125 (anomalous Candle 1 high / current price region)

Support levels are derived from recent OHLC lows. The $0.000024 level has appeared as a close/low in multiple candles. The $0.000016 level represents the deepest recent wick. Resistance at $0.000034 is the recent candle high. The current price of $0.000125 is far above all recent candle closes, representing an extreme premium that is highly vulnerable to reversion.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish engulfing pattern: Candle 2 opened at the prior high and closed significantly lower
  • Potential pump-and-dump: 30+ days of dormancy followed by sudden 448% spike
  • Anomalous OHLC data in Candle 1 (Low > High) suggests data feed issues or extreme manipulation
  • Price trading far above recent candle range — gap risk to downside
  • High-volume sell candle (Candle 2: $135K volume) suggests distribution event

Liquidity

Liquidity

$41,869.31

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $41.87K against a $137K FDV means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is only ~30%, and any significant sell order would cause catastrophic slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $156.17K in sell volume vs $60.40K in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$95.77K. Unique sellers (571) outnumber unique buyers (335) by 1.7:1, and sell transactions (2,140) outnumber buy transactions (717) by 3:1. The pair trades on PumpSwap (8yHAycx2E4uKwD9Rb3kVi73FyxXxWBMR2HLwwQAD9R22), which is a permissionless DEX with no listing requirements. The shallow liquidity means the 448% price pump could have been achieved with relatively small capital, and the reversal could be equally violent.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,942.93 (formatted) / 1,000,000,000 nominal

FDV

$125,445.57 (metadata) / $137,280 (trading analytics)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    448% price surge in 24h with anomalous OHLC data. The token can move violently in either direction. Current price is far above recent candle closes, indicating extreme volatility.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $41.87K in total liquidity. Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will cause severe slippage. The liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~30% is dangerously low.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Single wallet controls 100% of supply — rug pull risk is extreme
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • 72.1% sell pressure with 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio — active distribution
  • Only $41.87K liquidity — catastrophic slippage on any meaningful sell
  • Update authority not renounced; mint/freeze authority status unknown
  • No verified contract, no description, no stated utility or roadmap
  • Anomalous OHLC data suggests possible price manipulation or data feed issues
  • 286 holders with 100% supply in one wallet — all other holders are effectively trading against the top holder

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked 'Mutable: false', preventing metadata changes
  • Listed on PumpSwap providing some price discovery mechanism
  • No spam flag from data provider
  • Rapid holder growth (286 in 24h) shows some market interest

Suitable for

This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by experienced traders who fully understand the extreme risks of micro-cap, single-holder-dominated tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are treating any position as pure speculation with strict position sizing. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

MITHRIL presents an extremely high-risk speculative profile with multiple simultaneous red flags: 100% supply concentration in one wallet, 30+ days of dormancy before a coordinated pump, overwhelming sell pressure, and razor-thin liquidity. The token exhibits the hallmark pattern of a pump-and-dump scheme. Any investment thesis must be grounded in the understanding that capital loss of 100% is a realistic near-term outcome.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Speculative momentum continuation: If the pump attracts sufficient retail FOMO and the top holder delays distribution, the price could continue higher in the short term before an inevitable correction.

  • Continued retail FOMO from 448% price surge attracting new buyers
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Top holder strategically delays selling to allow price to run higher
  • Viral social media attention driving additional buy pressure

Base Case

Gradual price decline as sell pressure continues to dominate. The token stabilizes at a fraction of its pump high as early buyers exit and retail interest fades. Price likely returns to the $0.000016–$0.000028 range seen in recent candles.

  • Sell pressure continues to dominate (72.1% trend persists)
  • Top holder gradually distributes rather than dumping all at once
  • No new catalysts emerge to drive fresh buying
  • Liquidity remains shallow, amplifying downward price moves

Bear Case

High probability

Rug pull or rapid dump: The top holder sells their 100% supply position into the thin $41.87K liquidity pool, collapsing the price to near zero. Given the 72.1% sell pressure already observed, this may already be in progress.

  • Top holder dumps 100% supply into shallow liquidity
  • Retail buyers exhaust — 335 unique buyers vs 571 sellers already shows buyer fatigue
  • Price reverts to pre-pump levels (~$0.000024) or lower
  • No utility, no verified contract, no community to sustain demand

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 24, 11:19 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-24 23:19 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • On-chain holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • OHLC price candles (hourly, 4 candles)
  • Top holder wallet data

Limitations

  • OHLC Candle 1 contains anomalous data (Low > High) making technical analysis unreliable
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals are inferred from holder patterns only
  • Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available metadata fields
  • Only 4 hourly candles provided — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Token has no description or verified contract — fundamental analysis is impossible
  • The 24h price change metrics (5m: 0%, 6h: 0%, 24h: 0%) conflict with the stated 448% 24h change, suggesting data inconsistency
  • Single top holder data point (only 1 wallet in top 20) limits whale map analysis
  • Social links field returns 'moralis' rather than actual links — social presence cannot be assessed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap tokens like MITHRIL, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed contains multiple anomalies and red flags consistent with manipulative trading patterns. Do not invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. Always conduct your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Mithril ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 286 addresses (2026-06-24 23:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Mithril?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Mithril liquidity falling?

As of 2026-06-24 23:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $41,869.31. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Mithril (MITHRIL)?

The token has pumped 448% in 24h while sell pressure accounts for 72.1% of volume (2,140 sells vs 717 buys). With a single wallet holding 100% of supply and only $41.87K in liquidity, any meaningful sell from the top holder would collapse the price. The 1h candle shows a 129.9% spike, suggesting a pump-and-dump pattern is already underway. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.000012 to $0.000175.

Is MITHRIL a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by experienced traders who fully understand the extreme risks of micro-cap, single-holder-dominated tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are treating any position as pure speculation with strict position sizing. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding MITHRIL?

Single wallet controls 100% of supply — rug pull risk is extreme • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern • 72.1% sell pressure with 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio — active distribution

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