MITHRIL

Mithril Price Prediction 2026

MITHRIL
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 24, 2026

4vZMrPEimCDZNLsbT3jjGTnpnvPhJZnnzo8jgVDhTCn1

$0.054256

+1.27%

FDV $4,254

LiveContract:4vZMrPEimCDZNLsbT3jjGTnpnvPhJZnnzo8jgVDhTCn1Chain:SolanaHolders:113Market cap:$4,254

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Report snapshotas of Jun 24, 11:19 PM
FDV

$125,446

Liquidity

$41,869

Holders

286

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

MITHRIL (4vZMrPEimCDZNLsbT3jjGTnpnvPhJZnnzo8jgVDhTCn1) is an extremely early-stage Solana token launched on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$125K–$137K. The token exhibits a constellation of severe red flags: a single wallet holds 100% of the circulating supply, the holder base was essentially zero for 30 days before exploding +276 holders in the last 24 hours, sell pressure dominates at 72.1% of 24h volume, and the OHLC data contains anomalous candle values suggesting data quality issues. The 448% 24h price spike combined with overwhelming sell pressure and extreme concentration makes this an extremely high-risk speculative instrument.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Single wallet controls 100% of total supply — extreme concentration risk
Holder base was flat at 10 for 30+ days, then surged +276 in 24h — suspicious launch pattern
72.1% sell pressure vs 27.9% buy pressure in 24h — sellers dominate
Total liquidity of only $41.87K against $137K FDV — very shallow market
No verified contract, no description, mutable authority not renounced to burn address

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
24–72 hours

The token has pumped 448% in 24h while sell pressure accounts for 72.1% of volume (2,140 sells vs 717 buys). With a single wallet holding 100% of supply and only $41.87K in liquidity, any meaningful sell from the top holder would collapse the price. The 1h candle shows a 129.9% spike, suggesting a pump-and-dump pattern is already underway.

Target low$0.000012
Target high$0.000175
Support: $0.000024 (recent candle low, Candle 3 L), $0.000016 (absolute recent low, Candle 3 L)
Resistance: $0.000034 (Candle 4 high), $0.000125 (current price region / Candle 1 anomalous high)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Without a genuine community, product, or utility (no description, unverified contract), and with the top holder controlling 100% of supply, sustained price appreciation is highly unlikely. The token was dormant for 30+ days before the current pump, suggesting coordinated activity rather than organic growth.

Catalysts
  • Top holder distributing supply to retail buyers
  • Any exchange listing (highly unlikely at this stage)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 448% 24h price surge indicates strong speculative momentum
  • Holder count grew from ~10 to 286 in 24h, showing rapid retail interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible entry for retail traders

Bearish factors

  • Single wallet holds 100% of supply — catastrophic concentration risk
  • 72.1% sell pressure dominates 24h trading
  • Only $41.87K total liquidity — extreme slippage risk
  • Token was dormant (10 holders) for 30+ days before sudden pump
  • No verified contract, no description, no stated utility
  • Update authority not renounced to burn address
  • 2,140 sells vs 717 buys in 24h — 3:1 sell-to-buy ratio
Confidence: low. OHLC candle data contains anomalous values (e.g., Candle 1 Low > Open, which is technically impossible in standard OHLC), reducing technical reliability. Extreme concentration and shallow liquidity make price behavior highly unpredictable and manipulable.

MITHRIL call history

Full track record →
Jun 24bearish
24h-95.3%
7d-97.4%
30d-98.4%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

WARNING: The OHLC data contains anomalous values — in Candle 1, the Low ($0.000125) is higher than the Open ($0.000024) and High ($0.000028), which is technically impossible in standard OHLC format. This suggests either a data feed error or extreme intra-candle volatility that the aggregator has misreported. Treating these values with caution: Candle 4 (oldest) opened at $0.000028, reached a high of $0.000034, and closed at $0.000024 — a bearish candle. Candle 3 showed a recovery from $0.000016 low back to $0.000028. Candle 2 opened at $0.000028 and closed lower at $0.000024 — another bearish close. Candle 1 (most recent) shows anomalous data but the close of $0.000028 is noted. The current price of $0.000125 represents a massive gap above recent candle closes, consistent with a sudden pump event.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 28%Sell 72%

Short-term trend is technically upward due to the 448% 24h pump, but this is driven by a single speculative event rather than sustained buying. The medium-term (30-day) trend was completely flat at ~10 holders and negligible activity, indicating no organic growth prior to this event.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000024 (recent candle lows in Candles 2 and 4)
Major$0.000016 (Candle 3 absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000034 (Candle 4 high)
Major$0.000125 (anomalous Candle 1 high / current price region)

Support levels are derived from recent OHLC lows. The $0.000024 level has appeared as a close/low in multiple candles. The $0.000016 level represents the deepest recent wick. Resistance at $0.000034 is the recent candle high. The current price of $0.000125 is far above all recent candle closes, representing an extreme premium that is highly vulnerable to reversion.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish engulfing pattern: Candle 2 opened at the prior high and closed significantly lower
  • Potential pump-and-dump: 30+ days of dormancy followed by sudden 448% spike
  • Anomalous OHLC data in Candle 1 (Low > High) suggests data feed issues or extreme manipulation
  • Price trading far above recent candle range — gap risk to downside
  • High-volume sell candle (Candle 2: $135K volume) suggests distribution event

Total holders286
24h Δ+276
7d Δ+276
30d Δ+276
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The +276 holder surge in 24h is perfectly correlated with the 448% price pump, suggesting the price spike attracted retail buyers. However, the 30-day historical data shows the token was completely stagnant at exactly 10 holders from May 25 through June 23 — a 30-day period of zero growth. This is a highly suspicious pattern consistent with a token held by insiders awaiting a coordinated pump event.

Holder growth is technically accelerating (from 0 net change for 30 days to +276 in 24h), but this is not organic growth — it is a sudden spike coinciding with a price pump. The historical holder series shows exactly 10 holders with 0 net change every single day from May 25 to June 23, 2026. This extreme flatness followed by a sudden explosion is a classic pump-and-dump setup indicator. The distribution shows 'whales=1, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0' — meaning one whale dominates entirely. The 286 new holders are likely retail buyers entering during the pump.

Top 10 hold100.00%
Top 100 hold100.00%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

88Q9xZytXmqr296TBN4aT8XogCLMuH2QL2VSYggibnu1

project treasury or team wallet — single entity controlling 100% of total supply (balance: 1,000,000,000 tokens)

100.00%

The whale map is as extreme as possible: a single wallet (88Q9xZytXmqr296TBN4aT8XogCLMuH2QL2VSYggibnu1) holds 100% of the total supply at 1,000,000,000 tokens. The top 10 and top 100 both show 100% concentration. This is the most dangerous possible distribution structure — one entity can dump the entire supply at any time. The dominant sell pressure (72.1% of 24h volume) suggests this wallet or its associates are actively distributing. There are no other notable holders in the top 20 data provided, confirming total supply control by a single entity. This structure is consistent with a rug pull setup.

Liquidity$41,870
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$60,400
Sell$156,170
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers335
Unique sellers571

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $41.87K against a $137K FDV means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is only ~30%, and any significant sell order would cause catastrophic slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $156.17K in sell volume vs $60.40K in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$95.77K. Unique sellers (571) outnumber unique buyers (335) by 1.7:1, and sell transactions (2,140) outnumber buy transactions (717) by 3:1. The pair trades on PumpSwap (8yHAycx2E4uKwD9Rb3kVi73FyxXxWBMR2HLwwQAD9R22), which is a permissionless DEX with no listing requirements. The shallow liquidity means the 448% price pump could have been achieved with relatively small capital, and the reversal could be equally violent.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,942.93 (formatted) / 1,000,000,000 nominal
FDV$125,445.57 (metadata) / $137,280 (trading analytics)

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The update authority is TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT the burn address (11111111111111111111111111111111) and is NOT labeled as renounced. The token is marked as 'Mutable: false' which provides some protection against metadata changes, but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed as renounced from the available data. The contract is unverified and has no description. The FDV discrepancy between metadata ($125.4K) and trading analytics ($137.3K) reflects recent price movement. With a single wallet holding 100% of supply and unconfirmed authority renouncement, the rug risk from authorities is rated HIGH. The token has 6 decimals and a supply of ~1 billion tokens, a common memecoin structure.

Volatility
high

448% price surge in 24h with anomalous OHLC data. The token can move violently in either direction. Current price is far above recent candle closes, indicating extreme volatility.

Liquidity
high

Only $41.87K in total liquidity. Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will cause severe slippage. The liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~30% is dangerously low.

Concentration
high

A single wallet holds 100% of total supply (1,000,000,000 tokens). Top 10 and top 100 holders both show 100% concentration. This is the maximum possible concentration risk.

SniperDump
low

No sniper data is available. However, the original 10 holders who held for 30+ days before the pump are likely early insiders who may be distributing — this risk is captured under concentration risk.

Authority
high

Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) is not renounced to the burn address. Mint and freeze authority status is unknown. Unverified contract with no description adds to authority risk.

Key risks

  • Single wallet controls 100% of supply — rug pull risk is extreme
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • 72.1% sell pressure with 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio — active distribution
  • Only $41.87K liquidity — catastrophic slippage on any meaningful sell
  • Update authority not renounced; mint/freeze authority status unknown
  • No verified contract, no description, no stated utility or roadmap
  • Anomalous OHLC data suggests possible price manipulation or data feed issues
  • 286 holders with 100% supply in one wallet — all other holders are effectively trading against the top holder

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked 'Mutable: false', preventing metadata changes
  • Listed on PumpSwap providing some price discovery mechanism
  • No spam flag from data provider
  • Rapid holder growth (286 in 24h) shows some market interest
Suitable for: This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by experienced traders who fully understand the extreme risks of micro-cap, single-holder-dominated tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are treating any position as pure speculation with strict position sizing. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

MITHRIL presents an extremely high-risk speculative profile with multiple simultaneous red flags: 100% supply concentration in one wallet, 30+ days of dormancy before a coordinated pump, overwhelming sell pressure, and razor-thin liquidity. The token exhibits the hallmark pattern of a pump-and-dump scheme. Any investment thesis must be grounded in the understanding that capital loss of 100% is a realistic near-term outcome.

Bull case (low)

Speculative momentum continuation: If the pump attracts sufficient retail FOMO and the top holder delays distribution, the price could continue higher in the short term before an inevitable correction.

  • Continued retail FOMO from 448% price surge attracting new buyers
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Top holder strategically delays selling to allow price to run higher
  • Viral social media attention driving additional buy pressure

Base case

Gradual price decline as sell pressure continues to dominate. The token stabilizes at a fraction of its pump high as early buyers exit and retail interest fades. Price likely returns to the $0.000016–$0.000028 range seen in recent candles.

  • Sell pressure continues to dominate (72.1% trend persists)
  • Top holder gradually distributes rather than dumping all at once
  • No new catalysts emerge to drive fresh buying
  • Liquidity remains shallow, amplifying downward price moves

Bear case (high)

Rug pull or rapid dump: The top holder sells their 100% supply position into the thin $41.87K liquidity pool, collapsing the price to near zero. Given the 72.1% sell pressure already observed, this may already be in progress.

  • Top holder dumps 100% supply into shallow liquidity
  • Retail buyers exhaust — 335 unique buyers vs 571 sellers already shows buyer fatigue
  • Price reverts to pre-pump levels (~$0.000024) or lower
  • No utility, no verified contract, no community to sustain demand

GeneratedJun 24, 11:19 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-06-24T23:00:00Z. OHLC data covers the 4 most recent hourly candles. Holder metrics reflect real-time snapshot.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • On-chain holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • OHLC price candles (hourly, 4 candles)
  • Top holder wallet data

Limitations

  • OHLC Candle 1 contains anomalous data (Low > High) making technical analysis unreliable
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals are inferred from holder patterns only
  • Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available metadata fields
  • Only 4 hourly candles provided — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Token has no description or verified contract — fundamental analysis is impossible
  • The 24h price change metrics (5m: 0%, 6h: 0%, 24h: 0%) conflict with the stated 448% 24h change, suggesting data inconsistency
  • Single top holder data point (only 1 wallet in top 20) limits whale map analysis
  • Social links field returns 'moralis' rather than actual links — social presence cannot be assessed

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap tokens like MITHRIL, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed contains multiple anomalies and red flags consistent with manipulative trading patterns. Do not invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,942.93 (formatted) / 1,000,000,000 nominal

Key Risks

Single wallet controls 100% of supply — rug pull risk is extreme
Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
72.1% sell pressure with 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio — active distribution
Only $41.87K liquidity — catastrophic slippage on any meaningful sell

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for MITHRIL. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, the on-chain holder pattern — 10 wallets for 30+ days followed by a sudden +276 holder surge in 24h — is consistent with a coordinated launch where insiders held positions before triggering a pump to attract retail. The 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio (2,140 sells vs 717 buys) suggests early participants are actively distributing to incoming retail buyers.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

Cannot be determined from sniper data (unavailable). The holder acquisition pattern (swap=283, transfer=3) suggests most holders entered via swap during the pump event. Early holders (the original 10) are likely distributing given the dominant sell pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Mithril (MITHRIL)?

The token has pumped 448% in 24h while sell pressure accounts for 72.1% of volume (2,140 sells vs 717 buys). With a single wallet holding 100% of supply and only $41.87K in liquidity, any meaningful sell from the top holder would collapse the price. The 1h candle shows a 129.9% spike, suggesting a pump-and-dump pattern is already underway. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.000012 to $0.000175.

Is MITHRIL a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by experienced traders who fully understand the extreme risks of micro-cap, single-holder-dominated tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are treating any position as pure speculation with strict position sizing. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

How are MITHRIL holders trending?

Mithril currently has 286 holders and is growing (24h: 276, 7d: 276, 30d: 276). Holder growth is technically accelerating (from 0 net change for 30 days to +276 in 24h), but this is not organic growth — it is a sudden spike coinciding with a price pump. The historical holder series shows exactly 10 holders with 0 net change every single day from May 25 to June 23, 2026. This extreme flatness followed by a sudden explosion is a classic pump-and-dump setup indicator. The distribution shows 'whales=1, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0' — meaning one whale dominates entirely. The 286 new holders are likely retail buyers entering during the pump.

What does sniper activity look like for MITHRIL?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding MITHRIL?

Single wallet controls 100% of supply — rug pull risk is extreme • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern • 72.1% sell pressure with 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio — active distribution

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