CRACKER

Christmas Cracker Price Today & AI Analysis

CRACKERSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 23, 2026

Price

$0.0139

+230.87% 24h · FDV $6,923,007

Contract

Live
4rkGWJNSUPBcMicXMRAzohEyeJLFG8gUjwiWaz7Pddr3

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,718

Market cap

$6,923,007

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Christmas Cracker: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-23 01:15 UTC

Holder addresses

1,718

Top 10 supply share

76.89%

Reported liquidity

$258,011.00
How concentrated is Christmas Cracker ownership?
As of 2026-09-23 01:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 76.89% of supply. It reports 1,718 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Christmas Cracker?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-23 01:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $324,735.00 in buys and $266,397.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Christmas Cracker liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +103.02%, from $129,159.55 (2026-09-22 02:00 UTC) to $262,217.91 (2026-09-23 01:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-23 01:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-22 02:00 UTC$129,159.55
2026-09-22 03:00 UTC$112,730.70
2026-09-22 04:00 UTC$123,925.90
2026-09-22 05:00 UTC$132,258.90
2026-09-22 06:00 UTC$133,501.09
2026-09-22 07:00 UTC$133,345.16
2026-09-22 08:00 UTC$126,220.70
2026-09-22 09:00 UTC$121,250.09
2026-09-22 10:00 UTC$123,934.44
2026-09-22 11:00 UTC$130,193.80
2026-09-22 12:00 UTC$148,881.51
2026-09-22 13:00 UTC$149,048.85
2026-09-22 14:00 UTC$135,954.76
2026-09-22 15:00 UTC$149,554.82
2026-09-22 16:00 UTC$185,780.76
2026-09-22 17:00 UTC$144,530.17
2026-09-22 18:00 UTC$151,682.80
2026-09-22 19:00 UTC$126,433.83
2026-09-22 20:00 UTC$156,295.44
2026-09-22 21:00 UTC$136,212.27
2026-09-22 22:00 UTC$167,203.05
2026-09-22 23:00 UTC$193,693.47
2026-09-23 00:00 UTC$237,719.03
2026-09-23 01:00 UTC$262,217.91

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Report snapshot

as of Sep 23, 01:16 AM UTC

FDV

$6,923,007

Liquidity

$258,011.00

Holders

1,718

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

Christmas Cracker (CRACKER) is a Solana token themed around a 2001 RuneScape Christmas event item, trading on a Raydium CPMM pool. It just experienced an extreme 230.9% 24h price surge (from roughly $0.006 to an intraday high of $0.0162, closing near $0.0139) on notably elevated volume (~$591K in 24h vs. only ~$258K total liquidity). The rally is accompanied by modestly positive buy pressure (54.9%) and more unique buyers (532) than sellers (467), but sits on top of extremely concentrated holdings (top-10 wallets hold 76.89% of supply) and a complete absence of mint/freeze authority, contract verification, and sniper data.

Key points

  • Extreme recent volatility: +230.9% 24h price move with clear breakout candle structure
  • Very high top-10 holder concentration (76.89%) relative to typical distributed tokens
  • Thin liquidity (~$258K) relative to both FDV (~$6.92M) and 24h volume (~$591K), implying high slippage risk
  • Total data gaps on mint/freeze authority, contract verification, sniper activity, and holder history — all reported honestly as unknown rather than assumed safe
  • Nostalgia/novelty narrative (RuneScape-themed) with minimal disclosed utility or social presence beyond a website link

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-48 hours

neutral

After a 230.9% 24h rally to an intraday high of $0.0162, the most recent candle shows a pullback to $0.0139 and a negative 5m change (-3.3%), suggesting short-term consolidation or partial retracement is likely before any further directional move. Given shallow liquidity (~$258K), swings in either direction could be sharp.

Target low

$0.0090

Target high

$0.0162

Support

$0.01276 (recent breakout candle low), $0.0060-$0.0069 (pre-breakout consolidation range)

Resistance

$0.0162 (24h high), $0.0140-$0.0150 (near-term supply from recent pullback)

Medium term · 7-14 days

neutral

Medium-term direction is uncertain given the absence of holder-history, sniper, and authority data; sustainability of the rally depends heavily on whether concentrated top-10 holders (76.89% of supply) sell into strength, and whether liquidity providers add depth to reduce volatility. Without additional catalysts, mean reversion toward the pre-spike range is a reasonable base case.

Catalysts

  • Behavior of top-10 concentrated holders (sell-off vs. hold)
  • Any change in liquidity depth (LP additions/removals)
  • Broader Solana meme/nostalgia-token market sentiment
  • Potential seasonal (Christmas-themed) attention cycles given the token's narrative

Bullish factors

  • Net positive 24h buy pressure (54.9% vs 45.1% sell)
  • More unique buyers than sellers in the last 24h (532 vs 467)
  • Strong volume expansion accompanying the breakout, indicating real capital inflow rather than a low-volume wick

Bearish factors

  • Extreme holder concentration (76.89% top-10) creates outsized dump risk
  • Shallow liquidity (~$258K) relative to $6.92M FDV increases slippage and volatility risk
  • Signs of momentum exhaustion in the most recent candle and negative 5m price action
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority and contract verification status leaves rug-pull risk unassessed
  • No sniper/early-buyer data to gauge whether early holders are poised to take profit

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because critical inputs — holder history, sniper/early-buyer data, mint/freeze authority status, and contract verification — are all unavailable. The price prediction rests only on a single day of OHLC data and current trading analytics, which is insufficient to reliably forecast direction beyond very short time frames, especially for a token that just moved 230.9% in 24 hours on thin liquidity.

CRACKER call history

Full track record →

Sep 23neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4rkGWJ...ddr3
Total Supply
497,472,247.68

Key Risks

  • Extremely high top-10 holder concentration (76.89% of supply) creates significant sell-pressure/dump risk from a small number of wallets
  • Shallow liquidity (~$258K) relative to FDV (~$6.92M) and 24h volume (~$591K) implies high slippage and fragility of the current price
  • Parabolic 230.9% 24h price move with signs of short-term exhaustion (pullback in latest candle and negative 5m change) raises risk of a sharp reversal
  • Mint/freeze authority status and contract verification are entirely unknown, leaving open the possibility of unmitigated rug-pull mechanisms

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the most recent 24 hourly candles, price based near $0.0049-$0.0067 for the first ~20 hours, then broke out sharply in the final 4 candles, rising from an open of $0.00606 (candle 20) to a high of $0.01621 (candle 24), before pulling back slightly to close at $0.01394. Volume expanded dramatically in the last 3 candles (candle 21: 120K, candle 22: 58.7K, candle 23: 86.5K vs. typical prior candles of 1K-38K), confirming the breakout was volume-backed. The candle sequence [21]-[24] shows consecutive higher highs and higher lows, a strong bullish impulse move, followed by a smaller-bodied pullback candle at [24] suggesting some short-term exhaustion/consolidation after the spike.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Short-term (last 4-6 hours) and medium-term (24h) trends are both strongly up, driven by a late-session breakout that took price from roughly $0.006 to a peak near $0.0162, a ~230.9% 24h gain. However, the most recent 5m price change of -3.3% and 1h change of +18.1% (down from the intraday peak) suggest the parabolic move is decelerating and could be entering a consolidation or pullback phase.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

55%

Sell

45%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.01276 (candle 23 close / recent higher-low)

Major support

$0.00487-$0.00551 (candles 2-3 and 8-10 basing range)

Immediate resistance

$0.01621 (candle 24 high, most recent intraday peak)

Major resistance

$0.01621 (only high reached; no higher historical resistance visible in this 24h window)

Support has stepped up rapidly given the parabolic move; the $0.00487-$0.00551 zone was the multi-hour base before the breakout and would be a major support if price reverses sharply. Immediate support sits near $0.01276-$0.0128, the low of the most recent breakout candle. Resistance is untested above the $0.0162 intraday high since price has not traded higher in the visible window — a breakout above this level would be into uncharted territory for this dataset, while failure to hold above ~$0.0128 support risks a retracement back toward the $0.0060-$0.0069 pre-breakout range.

Notable patterns

  • Multi-hour basing/consolidation range between $0.0049 and $0.0067 (candles 1-20)
  • Sharp bullish breakout with three consecutive large-bodied green candles and rising volume (candles 21-23)
  • Small-bodied pullback/doji-like candle at the most recent bar (candle 24) after the parabolic top, suggesting short-term exhaustion
  • Volume spike coincides with breakout, not preceding it, suggesting momentum-driven rather than accumulation-driven move

Liquidity

Liquidity

$258,011.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of ~$258K against a fully diluted valuation of ~$6.92M is thin, implying meaningful slippage for any moderately-sized trade and high volatility risk. 24h buy volume ($324.74K, 54.9%) modestly exceeds sell volume ($266.40K, 45.1%), producing a net inflow bias, and buyers (532) outnumbered sellers (467) in unique wallet count. However, given the token's ~$258K liquidity pool, the ~$591K combined 24h volume is turning over the pool more than twice, which is consistent with a highly speculative, low-depth market prone to sharp price swings in both directions.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

497,472,247.68

FDV

$6.92M

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    24h price change of +230.9%, with a ~230% intraday range across the candle set and a recent 1h move of +18.1% followed by a 5m move of -3.3%. This is extreme volatility even by speculative token standards.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only ~$258K against a $6.92M fully diluted valuation and ~$591K in 24h volume, meaning the pool is being turned over multiple times daily. Any sizeable trade risks significant slippage and price impact in either direction.

  • Concentrationhigh

    Top-10 holders control 76.89% of total supply, an extremely concentrated distribution. Top-100 concentration and any wallet classification are unavailable, so the true depth of concentration beyond the top 10 is unknown, but the top-10 figure alone signals very high risk of coordinated or individual large sell-offs materially impacting price.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely high top-10 holder concentration (76.89% of supply) creates significant sell-pressure/dump risk from a small number of wallets
  • Shallow liquidity (~$258K) relative to FDV (~$6.92M) and 24h volume (~$591K) implies high slippage and fragility of the current price
  • Parabolic 230.9% 24h price move with signs of short-term exhaustion (pullback in latest candle and negative 5m change) raises risk of a sharp reversal
  • Mint/freeze authority status and contract verification are entirely unknown, leaving open the possibility of unmitigated rug-pull mechanisms
  • No sniper data coverage means early-buyer dump risk cannot be evaluated at all
  • Token theme references a 2001 RuneScape virtual item with no disclosed utility beyond narrative, and no social presence beyond a website link was provided

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy volume ($324.74K) exceeds sell volume ($266.40K), showing net positive short-term demand rather than one-sided dumping
  • Buyer count (532) exceeds seller count (467) in the last 24h, suggesting broadening participation rather than concentrated selling
  • Trading activity (1,396 buys vs 1,173 sells) shows two-sided, active market rather than a dead or halted market

Suitable for

Given very high volatility, shallow liquidity, extreme holder concentration, and multiple unknown risk factors (authorities, sniper activity, contract verification), this token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can accept the possibility of rapid and severe capital loss, and who size positions accordingly. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors or those seeking stable, well-diversified exposure.

CRACKER is a highly speculative, low-liquidity Solana token that just experienced a violent 230.9% 24h price spike on above-average volume. The move is real (buy volume modestly exceeds sell volume, buyer count exceeds seller count), but it sits atop a fragile foundation: shallow liquidity (~$258K), extreme holder concentration (top-10 = 76.89% of supply), and total absence of verifiable authority/contract-safety data. There is no holder history or sniper data to confirm whether this is organic momentum or an engineered pump, so conviction should be low and position sizing conservative.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Momentum continues as new buyers pile into the breakout, liquidity providers add depth, and the token's holiday/nostalgia narrative (RuneScape Christmas Cracker theme) attracts further speculative attention heading into a seasonal narrative window, pushing price beyond the recent $0.0162 high.

  • Continued net positive buy pressure (54.9% buy vs 45.1% sell in 24h)
  • More unique buyers (532) than sellers (467) in the last 24h indicating broadening demand
  • High volume turnover suggests strong current attention/virality that could be extended by social/marketing catalysts

Base Case

Price consolidates within a wide range below the recent high, with continued high volatility as the market digests the spike; the token's fate remains highly dependent on whether the top-10 concentrated holders hold or sell, information not observable from current data.

  • No new material fundamental catalysts other than the existing thin liquidity and narrative appeal
  • Holder concentration remains largely unchanged in the near term without visible on-chain evidence otherwise
  • Liquidity depth does not meaningfully improve, keeping slippage and volatility elevated

Bear Case

High probability

The parabolic 230.9% spike proves to be an unsustainable, low-liquidity-driven pump; a subset of the top-10 holders (76.89% of supply) or unidentified snipers begin distributing into the rally, and thin liquidity (~$258K) causes a fast, disorderly retracement back toward the pre-breakout $0.0060-$0.0069 range or the deeper $0.0049-$0.0055 base.

  • Extreme holder concentration (76.89% top-10) creates large single-wallet dump risk
  • Shallow liquidity relative to FDV and volume amplifies downside moves
  • Signs of momentum exhaustion already visible (small pullback candle, negative 5m price change after the spike)
  • No authority/contract safety confirmation (mint/freeze/verification all unknown) leaves open rug-pull tail risk

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 23, 01:16 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-23 01:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, description, social links)
  • Price and 24h change data from Raydium CPMM pair
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (most recent 24 hours)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, price % change at multiple intervals)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)
  • Codex holder aggregates (current snapshot: holder count and top-10 concentration)

Limitations

  • No sniper data was available, preventing assessment of early-buyer concentration, PnL state, or sell-through behavior
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d growth) was available, only a single current snapshot of holder count and top-10 concentration
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, contract verification, and mutability status were all unknown, preventing rug-risk assessment from authorities
  • Top-100 holder concentration and wallet classification/labeling were unavailable, limiting whale mapping to only the top-10 aggregate figure
  • Only 24 hours of hourly OHLC data was available, limiting technical analysis to short-term patterns without longer-term trend context
  • 6h price % change was reported as unknown, creating a gap in the multi-timeframe momentum picture

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is generated from limited, incomplete on-chain and market data and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. Cryptocurrency markets, and particularly low-liquidity/high-concentration tokens like this one, carry substantial risk of loss. Data marked 'unknown' or 'unavailable' reflects genuine gaps in the provided evidence, not confirmed favorable or unfavorable conditions. Always conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Christmas Cracker ownership?

As of 2026-09-23 01:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 76.89% of supply. It reports 1,718 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Christmas Cracker?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-23 01:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $324,735.00 in buys and $266,397.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Christmas Cracker liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +103.02%, from $129,159.55 (2026-09-22 02:00 UTC) to $262,217.91 (2026-09-23 01:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Christmas Cracker (CRACKER)?

After a 230.9% 24h rally to an intraday high of $0.0162, the most recent candle shows a pullback to $0.0139 and a negative 5m change (-3.3%), suggesting short-term consolidation or partial retracement is likely before any further directional move. Given shallow liquidity (~$258K), swings in either direction could be sharp. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-48 hours), with a target range of $0.0090 to $0.0162.

Is CRACKER a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 85/100. Given very high volatility, shallow liquidity, extreme holder concentration, and multiple unknown risk factors (authorities, sniper activity, contract verification), this token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can accept the possibility of rapid and severe capital loss, and who size positions accordingly. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors or those seeking stable, well-diversified exposure.

What are the key risks of holding CRACKER?

Extremely high top-10 holder concentration (76.89% of supply) creates significant sell-pressure/dump risk from a small number of wallets • Shallow liquidity (~$258K) relative to FDV (~$6.92M) and 24h volume (~$591K) implies high slippage and fragility of the current price • Parabolic 230.9% 24h price move with signs of short-term exhaustion (pullback in latest candle and negative 5m change) raises risk of a sharp reversal

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