GROGU

Grogu Price Today & AI Analysis

GROGUSolanaAnalysis as of May 4, 2026

Price

$0.052263

Contract

Live
4N9LFiNc6vvC9d7yCwYn7Gb9y6ExGeH7jTdQViN7e2Ke

Chain

Holders

90

Market cap

$2,259

At a $1M market cap, $GROGU would be $0.001002 (443x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is GROGU a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 31

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell. A few things to know below.

Can you sell?

YesNothing in the token can block or tax a sell
  • The top 10 wallets hold a large share of the supply.
  • The liquidity could not be measured.

Read from the token’s own on-chain settings, with Unhosted’s automated check: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. The settings say whether the token can block or tax a sell, not whether its pool has the liquidity to sell into.

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Grogu: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-04 16:19 UTC

Holder addresses

639

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$31,946.42
How concentrated is Grogu ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 639 addresses (2026-05-04 16:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Grogu?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Grogu liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-04 16:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $31,946.42. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-04 16:19 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of May 4, 04:19 PM UTC

FDV

$70,139

Liquidity

$31,946.42

Holders

639

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

GROGU (Grogu) is a community-oriented meme coin on Solana with a total supply of ~1B tokens, currently trading at $0.0000701 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$70–74K. The token launched very recently (most holders joined within the last 7 days) and is experiencing extreme sell pressure (83.1% sell volume vs 16.9% buy volume) alongside a -13.4% 24h price decline. Holder count has exploded from 11 to 639 in roughly one week, but concentration is dangerously high — the top holder alone controls 46.68% of supply and the top 10 collectively hold 72.14%. Liquidity is thin at $31.95K, and sniper activity shows most early buyers are already in profit, raising dump risk.

Key points

  • Explosive holder growth: from 11 holders on Apr 26 to 639 today (~98% growth in 7 days)
  • Extreme top-holder concentration: single wallet holds 46.68% of supply
  • Heavy sell pressure: 83.1% of 24h volume is sells ($234K vs $48K buys)
  • Very thin liquidity ($31.95K) relative to FDV ($73.66K), creating high slippage risk
  • Most snipers (20 detected) are in profit, elevating near-term dump risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

The token is under severe sell pressure with 83.1% of 24h volume being sells and a -13.4% 24h decline. The most recent hourly candle (16:00 UTC) shows a wide-range bar from $0.0000468 to $0.0000816, closing at $0.0000701 — still well below the session high. With thin liquidity ($31.95K) and most snipers in profit, further downside is the path of least resistance in the near term.

Target low

$0.000032

Target high

$0.000082

Support

$0.0000468 (hourly candle low, 16:00 UTC), $0.0000330 (hourly candle low, 15:00 UTC)

Resistance

$0.0000816 (hourly candle high, 16:00 UTC), $0.0000646 (prior hourly close, 15:00 UTC)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

neutral

Medium-term outlook depends entirely on whether the community can sustain organic buying interest and whether the dominant 46.68% holder distributes or holds. If sell pressure abates and new buyers continue entering (as the holder growth trend suggests), a stabilization and recovery is possible. However, without utility or a catalyst, meme coins at this stage typically fade.

Catalysts

  • Continued viral/social media momentum driving new holder acquisition
  • Large whale (46.68%) choosing to hold rather than dump
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Listing on a mid-tier CEX or aggregator spotlight

Bullish factors

  • Rapid holder growth (+98% in 7 days, +85% in 24h) signals viral momentum
  • 5m price change of +14.28% shows short bursts of buying interest
  • Meme coin narrative (Grogu/Baby Yoda) has broad cultural recognition
  • Social links (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggest active community building

Bearish factors

  • 83.1% sell pressure in 24h ($234K sells vs $48K buys)
  • -13.4% price decline in 24h
  • Top holder controls 46.68% of supply — single point of failure
  • Top 10 holders control 72.14% of supply
  • Thin liquidity ($31.95K) amplifies volatility and slippage
  • 20 snipers mostly in profit, creating latent sell pressure
  • Unverified contract and non-renounced update authority

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, making technical analysis extremely limited. The token is days old, sniper data lacks USD entry amounts, and the dominant holder's intentions are unknown. Price prediction confidence is therefore low.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4N9LFi...e2Ke
Total Supply
999,999,995.45 GROGU

Key Risks

  • Single wallet holds 46.68% of supply — catastrophic dump risk if sold
  • 83.1% sell pressure with only $31.95K liquidity — price highly vulnerable
  • 20 snipers mostly in profit and actively selling into retail buyers
  • Token is only days old with no proven track record or utility

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (15:00 UTC): O=$0.0000363, H=$0.0000646, L=$0.0000330, C=$0.0000646 — a strong bullish candle closing at the high, suggesting a momentum surge. Candle [1] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0000620, H=$0.0000816, L=$0.0000468, C=$0.0000701 — opened above prior close, made a new high at $0.0000816, but closed well below the high, forming a bearish upper-wick / shooting-star-like pattern. This reversal candle after a strong up-move is a warning sign of fading momentum.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The two available candles show a sharp intraday rally followed by a partial reversal. The short-term micro-trend is technically up from the $0.0000330 low, but the shooting-star pattern on the most recent candle and the -13.4% 24h change suggest the medium-term trend is sideways-to-down. Insufficient historical candle data exists to determine a reliable medium-term trend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

17%

Sell

83%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000468 (16:00 UTC hourly low)

Major support

$0.0000330 (15:00 UTC hourly low — launch-area support)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000816 (16:00 UTC hourly high)

Major resistance

$0.0000816 (session high — only 2 candles available, this is the all-time high in the dataset)

With only 2 hourly candles, key levels are derived from the available OHLC data. The $0.0000330–$0.0000468 zone represents the base support from the initial surge. The $0.0000816 high is the only meaningful resistance. A break below $0.0000468 would target the $0.0000330 level.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish upper wick on the most recent (16:00 UTC) candle — price rejected at $0.0000816 and closed at $0.0000701
  • Strong bullish engulfing-style candle at 15:00 UTC (closed at the high)
  • Volume climax at 15:00 UTC ($239K) followed by sharp volume collapse at 16:00 UTC ($17K) — blow-off top signal
  • Higher high established ($0.0000816 vs $0.0000646) but failed to hold — potential false breakout

Liquidity

Liquidity

$31,946.42

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $31.95K is extremely thin relative to the $73.66K FDV and the $281.75K total 24h volume. The liquidity-to-volume ratio is approximately 11%, meaning the pool is being turned over multiple times per day — a sign of high volatility and slippage risk. The net flow is strongly negative: $234K in sells vs $48K in buys (83.1% sell pressure). Unique sellers (1,663) outnumber unique buyers (414) by 4:1. The pair trades on PumpSwap (3ctV6RC9zjrdTLrtpkDrCGdoWQybdj9iZxEhQYhbpd4r), which is a newer DEX with potentially less aggregator routing. Any large sell order against $31.95K liquidity will cause severe price impact. The 5m price change of +14.28% despite overall bearish 24h conditions suggests extreme short-term volatility.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,995.45 GROGU

FDV

$70,139–$73,660

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price swung from $0.0000330 to $0.0000816 within 2 hours (147% range), then partially reversed. The 5m change of +14.28% and 24h change of -13.4% confirm extreme intraday volatility. Thin liquidity amplifies every trade.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $31.95K on PumpSwap. A single whale sell of even 1% of the dominant holder's position (~$327K worth at current price) would completely drain the pool and crash the price to near zero.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Single wallet holds 46.68% of supply — catastrophic dump risk if sold
  • 83.1% sell pressure with only $31.95K liquidity — price highly vulnerable
  • 20 snipers mostly in profit and actively selling into retail buyers
  • Token is only days old with no proven track record or utility
  • Unverified contract and unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Top 100 holders = 100% of supply (only 639 holders total) — extremely thin holder base

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata flagged as 'Mutable: false' — reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • Rapid holder growth (+98% in 7 days) shows genuine community interest
  • Social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggests active team
  • Not flagged as spam by Moralis
  • Meme coin narrative (Grogu/Baby Yoda) has broad cultural appeal
  • 632/639 holders acquired via swap — organic buying rather than airdrop farming

Suitable for

Suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, experienced meme coin traders who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a very small speculative allocation. This token exhibits nearly every high-risk characteristic: extreme concentration, thin liquidity, heavy sell pressure, sniper activity, and no verified utility.

GROGU is a high-risk, early-stage Solana meme coin with explosive holder growth but dangerous concentration, thin liquidity, and overwhelming sell pressure. The investment case rests entirely on meme momentum and community growth continuing to outpace distribution by early holders and snipers. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric and unfavorable for most investors.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme momentum drives continued holder growth beyond 1,000+ wallets, the dominant 46.68% holder proves to be a long-term community treasury rather than a dump wallet, and broader Solana meme season attracts new capital. Price could 5–10x from current levels if liquidity deepens.

  • Sustained viral social media campaign drives new buyer inflow
  • Dominant whale wallet holds or locks tokens publicly
  • Solana meme coin market enters a bull phase
  • CEX listing or major influencer promotion

Base Case

Sell pressure gradually overwhelms buying interest as the initial viral surge fades. Price drifts 30–60% lower from current levels over the next 1–2 weeks, stabilizing at a lower equilibrium if the community remains active. The token survives but at a significantly reduced valuation.

  • Dominant whale does not immediately dump
  • Community continues to grow at a slower pace
  • Liquidity remains above $10K
  • No major negative events (rug, hack, or authority exploit)

Bear Case

High probability

The dominant 46.68% holder begins selling, draining the $31.95K liquidity pool. Combined with the 83.1% existing sell pressure and sniper distribution, price collapses 80–95% from current levels. Most retail buyers who entered during the viral surge lose the majority of their investment.

  • Dominant wallet (46.68%) sells even a small fraction of holdings
  • Sniper cohort (17/20 in profit) continues distributing
  • Retail buying interest fades as price declines
  • No new catalysts to sustain momentum

Analysis details

Generated

May 4, 04:19 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-04 16:19 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (pair: 3ctV6RC9zjrdTLrtpkDrCGdoWQybdj9iZxEhQYhbpd4r)
  • Hourly OHLC price data (2 candles)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely limited
  • Sniper USD entry amounts are unknown — exact sniper concentration % cannot be precisely calculated
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
  • Top holder classification (team/treasury vs. individual) is inferred, not confirmed on-chain
  • No historical price data beyond 2 hours available for trend analysis
  • Holder growth data for the most recent 24h shows +541 but hourly data shows +513 in 1h alone — data may reflect a single viral event rather than sustained growth

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Meme coins are extremely high-risk assets. Past performance and on-chain metrics do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and never invest more than you can afford to lose completely.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Grogu (GROGU) a scam?

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell. A few things to know below. The top 10 wallets hold a large share of the supply. The liquidity could not be measured. Checked Oct 31, 2026. This is Unhosted’s automated risk check, a warning signal rather than a guarantee either way.

Can I sell Grogu (GROGU)?

Yes. Nothing in the token’s on-chain settings can block or tax a sell: no freeze authority, no transfer fee and no transfer hook. Checked Oct 31, 2026. This reads the token’s own settings; whether its pool has enough liquidity to sell into is a separate question.

How concentrated is Grogu ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 639 addresses (2026-05-04 16:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Grogu?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Grogu liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-04 16:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $31,946.42. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Grogu (GROGU)?

The token is under severe sell pressure with 83.1% of 24h volume being sells and a -13.4% 24h decline. The most recent hourly candle (16:00 UTC) shows a wide-range bar from $0.0000468 to $0.0000816, closing at $0.0000701 — still well below the session high. With thin liquidity ($31.95K) and most snipers in profit, further downside is the path of least resistance in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.000032 to $0.000082.

Is GROGU a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, experienced meme coin traders who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a very small speculative allocation. This token exhibits nearly every high-risk characteristic: extreme concentration, thin liquidity, heavy sell pressure, sniper activity, and no verified utility.

What are the key risks of holding GROGU?

Single wallet holds 46.68% of supply — catastrophic dump risk if sold • 83.1% sell pressure with only $31.95K liquidity — price highly vulnerable • 20 snipers mostly in profit and actively selling into retail buyers

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