CLAY

Clay Price Today & AI Analysis

CLAYSolanaAnalysis as of Oct 5, 2026

Price

$0.000101

+98.82% 24h

Contract

Live
4LBzGyaRha2yLDVNevW6SYr2xHa4SWH8MZuMEFyr24CB

Chain

Holders

491

Market cap

$100,355

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Clay: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-05 21:15 UTC

Holder addresses

491

Top 10 supply share

19.97%

Reported liquidity

$15,424.00
How concentrated is Clay ownership?
As of 2026-10-05 21:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 19.97% of supply. It reports 491 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Clay?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-05 21:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $501,653.00 in buys and $498,055.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Clay liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -2.44%, from $15,814.99 (2026-10-05 19:00 UTC) to $15,429.61 (2026-10-05 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-05 21:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-05 19:00 UTC$15,814.99
2026-10-05 20:00 UTC$18,604.98
2026-10-05 21:00 UTC$15,429.61

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Oct 5, 09:15 PM UTC

FDV

$100,355

Liquidity

$15,424.00

Holders

491

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Clay (CLAY) is a very small-cap Solana token (FDV ~$100.36K, liquidity ~$15.42K) on a Meteora DAMM pair. It is up ~98.8% over 24h but down 39.7% in the last hour and 23.7% in 5m after a violent hourly spike. Extreme volatility and thin liquidity.

Key points

  • Liquidity of $15.42K versus ~$1.0M of 24h volume (~65x liquidity turnover)
  • Hourly candle high of $0.000510 closed near $0.000101, a large rejection wick
  • Top-10 share 19.97% across 491 holder addresses
  • Authority and sniper data unavailable

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24-48h

bearish

Price has retraced sharply from the spike high (~$0.00051) and is falling (-39.7% 1h). Further volatility is likely and direction is highly uncertain; momentum is currently negative.

Target low

$0.00004

Target high

$0.00016

Support

$0.0000965, $0.0001003, $0.0000095

Resistance

$0.000141, $0.000163, $0.000510

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

Not enough history to form a medium-term view; only 3 hourly candles are available. Outcome depends on liquidity growth and sustained interest.

Catalysts

  • Liquidity additions
  • Renewed social/community attention
  • Further volume decay

Bullish factors

  • +98.8% 24h change
  • Balanced 50.2% buy pressure on ~$1.0M volume
  • 2,217 buyers vs 1,943 sellers
  • Top-10 share ~20%

Bearish factors

  • -39.7% in 1h and -23.7% in 5m
  • Long upper wicks and rejection from highs
  • Liquidity only $15.42K
  • Volume collapsed to $22K in the latest candle
  • Unknown authorities

Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly candles, a tiny liquidity pool, and extreme volatility; no authority or sniper data.

CLAY call history

Full track record →

Oct 5bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4LBzGy...24CB
Total Supply
990,190,635.6

Key Risks

  • Extreme volatility after a parabolic spike
  • Very thin liquidity
  • Unknown mint/freeze authorities
  • No sniper data

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles: the first opened at $0.0000095 and closed $0.000114 (a ~12x move) with a high of $0.000359. The second reached $0.000510 and closed $0.000141. The third is a bearish candle, opening $0.000141 and closing $0.000101 with a high of $0.000163.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

After a parabolic spike, price is retracing. Medium-term trend cannot be established from 3 candles.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0001003

Major support

$0.0000965

Immediate resistance

$0.000141

Major resistance

$0.000510

Levels are derived from the 3 available candles and are weak. A break below $0.0000965 opens a path to much lower prices.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic blow-off with long upper wicks
  • Bearish reversal candle after spike high
  • Volume decay

Liquidity

Liquidity

$15,424.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity of $15.42K supports ~$1.0M of daily volume, so slippage is high and price is easily moved. Flow is balanced (about +$3.6K net buy), but the sharp last-hour decline shows fragility. Trading is on a Meteora DAMM pair.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

990,190,635.6

FDV

$100.36K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Hourly candles ranged from $0.0000095 to $0.00051, with -39.7% in 1h.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $15.42K liquidity against ~$1.0M daily volume.

  • Concentrationunknown

    Top-10 share is 19.97%, but wallet classification (e.g. LP, team, insiders) is unavailable, so real concentration is not established.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme volatility after a parabolic spike
  • Very thin liquidity
  • Unknown mint/freeze authorities
  • No sniper data
  • Very short history, so little price-discovery evidence
  • Vague description ('financial experiment')

Mitigating factors

  • Balanced buy/sell flow
  • 2,217 buyers and 1,943 sellers in 24h
  • Top-10 share of ~20% appears moderate, but is unverified

Suitable for

Only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford a total loss. Not suitable for most investors. Informational only, not financial advice.

A speculative micro-cap showing a pump-and-retrace pattern with balanced flows but fragile liquidity and major data gaps.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Interest persists, liquidity grows and price stabilizes above ~$0.0001 and retests $0.00014+.

  • Liquidity growth
  • Continued buyer participation
  • Stabilization after the spike

Base Case

Choppy, volatile trading with a downward bias as post-spike enthusiasm cools.

  • Liquidity stays small
  • No verified catalyst
  • Volume continues to decline

Bear Case

High probability

Momentum fades, volume dries up and price falls well below the spike range, toward pre-spike levels.

  • Volume collapse to $22K/hr
  • Thin liquidity
  • Retracement from blow-off top
  • Unverified authorities

Analysis details

Generated

Oct 5, 09:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-05 21:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata
  • Price and pair data (Meteora DAMM)
  • 3 hourly OHLC candles
  • 24h trading analytics
  • Holder aggregates snapshot

Limitations

  • Only 3 candles
  • No sniper data
  • No authority checks
  • No holder history or wallet classification
  • Update authority and verification unknown

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice. Crypto tokens are highly risky; do your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Clay ownership?

As of 2026-10-05 21:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 19.97% of supply. It reports 491 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Clay?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-05 21:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $501,653.00 in buys and $498,055.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Clay liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed -2.44%, from $15,814.99 (2026-10-05 19:00 UTC) to $15,429.61 (2026-10-05 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Clay (CLAY)?

Price has retraced sharply from the spike high (~$0.00051) and is falling (-39.7% 1h). Further volatility is likely and direction is highly uncertain; momentum is currently negative. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-48h), with a target range of $0.00004 to $0.00016.

Is CLAY a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 85/100. Only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford a total loss. Not suitable for most investors. Informational only, not financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding CLAY?

Extreme volatility after a parabolic spike • Very thin liquidity • Unknown mint/freeze authorities

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