Tony

Tony Price Today & AI Analysis

Tony
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 5, 2026

3sSbDu4q4rfKirh7k1gTNteMJaDQYWUSbgJ5dTXXpump

$0.000205

+382.84%

FDV $201,177

LiveContract:3sSbDu4q4rfKirh7k1gTNteMJaDQYWUSbgJ5dTXXpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,104Market cap:$201,177

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Report snapshotas of Sep 5, 08:17 PM
FDV

$201,177

Liquidity

$20,216

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Tony (TONY) is a newly launched Solana meme token on PumpSwap with a mint address of 3sSbDu4q4rfKirh7k1gTNteMJaDQYWUSbgJ5dTXXpump. The token has experienced an explosive 382.8% price surge in the past 24 hours, rising from near-zero to ~$0.000205. With a fully diluted valuation of only ~$201K and total liquidity of just $20.22K, this is an extremely early-stage, high-risk speculative asset. Metadata is largely unknown, including update authority and mutability status, which introduces additional uncertainty. The token has no social links and a minimal description ('Tony, just great good guy'), offering no verifiable project fundamentals.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Neutral
Explosive 382.8% 24h price surge from near-zero levels
Very low FDV of ~$201K suggesting extreme early-stage speculation
Liquidity of only $20.22K vs $662K+ in 24h volume — severe liquidity mismatch
Balanced buy/sell pressure (51% buys vs 49% sells) with 9,125 buys vs 6,900 sells
No social links, unknown authority status, and minimal project description

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term

neutral
1–24 hours

The token has already surged 382.8% in 24h and 246.8% in the last hour alone, with the most recent candle closing near its high (~$0.000205). The 5-minute change of +20% suggests momentum is still active but the token is in highly overbought territory. With only $20.22K in liquidity, any moderate sell pressure could cause rapid price collapse. Short-term direction is highly uncertain — continuation is possible but a sharp retracement is equally likely.

Target low$0.000089
Target high$0.000209
Support: $0.000122 (candle 4 open / candle 3 close), $0.000033 (candle 2 close / candle 3 open), $0.0000127 (candle 2 low)
Resistance: $0.000197 (candle 3 high), $0.000209 (candle 4 all-time high so far), $0.000143 (candle 2 high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Tokens with this profile — anonymous, no socials, minimal liquidity, parabolic launch — historically experience sharp mean-reversion after the initial pump. Without sustained community growth, exchange listings, or fundamental catalysts, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The token could retrace 70–90% from peak if early buyers begin distributing.

Catalysts
  • Sustained social media traction or viral community growth
  • New liquidity additions to the PumpSwap pool
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation or influencer promotion

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h momentum: +382.8% price appreciation
  • Balanced buy/sell pressure (51%/49%) suggests genuine two-sided market activity
  • High transaction count (9,125 buys, 6,900 sells) indicates active trader interest
  • More unique buyers (3,212) than sellers (2,756) — net buyer participation
  • Recent candle (candle 4) closed near its high, suggesting buyers defended price

Bearish factors

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($20.22K) relative to 24h volume ($662K+) — severe slippage risk
  • Parabolic price action from near-zero is historically unsustainable
  • No social links, no verified contract, unknown authority status
  • FDV of only $201K with no fundamental backing
  • Candle 2 showed a massive wick down to $0.0000128, indicating violent sell pressure exists
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior is unknown
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 4 hourly candles of price history available, (2) unknown tokenomics authority status, (3) no holder distribution data, (4) no sniper data, (5) extremely thin liquidity of $20.22K relative to trading volume. The token is in pure price-discovery mode with insufficient data for reliable prediction.

Tony call history

Full track record →
Sep 5neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Four hourly candles are available. Candle 1: O=$0.00000395, H=$0.0001132, L=$0.00000332, C=$0.0000891 — a massive bullish candle launching from near-zero with a long upper wick, closing well above open (volume: $182K). Candle 2: O=$0.0000891, H=$0.0001428, L=$0.0000128, C=$0.0000330 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern; price spiked to a new high then collapsed, closing near the low (volume: $284K, highest of the series). Candle 3: O=$0.0000330, H=$0.0001973, L=$0.0000195, C=$0.0001225 — strong bullish recovery, making a new all-time high and closing in the upper half (volume: $230K). Candle 4: O=$0.0001225, H=$0.0002088, L=$0.0001127, C=$0.0002054 — bullish continuation, new all-time high, closing near the high with tighter range (volume: $51.9K, declining). The overall pattern shows higher highs across candles 1→2→3→4 (H: $0.0001132 → $0.0001428 → $0.0001973 → $0.0002088), but with extreme intra-candle volatility.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 51%Sell 49%

The 4-candle series shows a clear short-term uptrend with successive higher highs ($0.0001132 → $0.0002088) and higher lows on candles 3 and 4. However, candle 2's deep wick to $0.0000128 demonstrates the fragility of this trend. The medium-term trend is technically upward but is only 4 hours old and driven by speculative momentum.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000122 (candle 4 open, candle 3 close)
Major$0.0000128 (candle 2 low — extreme wick low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000209 (candle 4 high — current all-time high)
Major$0.000209 (all-time high, no historical resistance above this level)

The immediate support at $0.000122 represents the candle 4 open and candle 3 close — a key pivot. Below that, $0.0000330 (candle 2 close/candle 3 open) is the next meaningful support. The catastrophic wick low of $0.0000128 in candle 2 shows the token can flash-crash to near-zero rapidly. Resistance is the current all-time high of ~$0.000209 with no historical price data above this level.

Notable patterns

  • Higher highs across all 4 candles (bullish structure)
  • Candle 2: Shooting star / bearish engulfing with deep lower wick — indicates violent sell pressure mid-rally
  • Candle 4: Bullish close near high with declining volume — potential exhaustion / distribution signal
  • Volume divergence: new price highs on declining volume (candles 3→4)
  • Extreme intra-candle volatility: candle 1 range spans ~28x from low to high

Liquidity$20,220
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$338,070
Sell$324,750
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers3,212
Unique sellers2,756

Liquidity is critically shallow at $20.22K against 24h trading volume of $662.82K — a volume-to-liquidity ratio of approximately 32:1. This means the pool is being turned over many times per day, creating extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position size. A trade of even $1,000–$2,000 would likely move the price significantly. Net flow is marginally positive (inflow) with $338K in buys vs $324.75K in sells, and more unique buyers (3,212) than sellers (2,756). While the buyer/seller ratio is healthy, the razor-thin liquidity makes this market extremely fragile. The PumpSwap pair (Byo3JRvYwiDiRbq9ehkEup5rpx5A48y4foegGWyagMVX) is the sole trading venue identified.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply979,652,675.52 TONY
FDV$201,177

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is approximately 979.65 million TONY tokens with a fully diluted valuation of ~$201K at current prices. The update authority, mutability, mint authority, and freeze authority are all listed as 'unknown' in the metadata — this is a significant red flag as it means the token creator may retain the ability to mint additional tokens or freeze wallets. The token was launched via PumpFun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically uses a bonding curve mechanism. The description ('Tony, just great good guy') provides no substantive project information. No social links are present. The combination of unknown authorities and minimal metadata substantially elevates rug pull risk.

Volatility
high

The token has surged 382.8% in 24 hours with intra-candle ranges of up to 28x (candle 1 low to high). A flash crash to $0.0000128 occurred in candle 2, demonstrating extreme downside volatility. The 5-minute change of +20% confirms ongoing extreme volatility.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $20.22K against $662K+ in 24h volume. The volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~32:1 means the pool is extremely thin. Any position above a few hundred dollars faces severe slippage, and a moderate sell could collapse the price.

Concentration
high

No holder distribution data is available. Given the token's extremely early stage (launched on PumpFun, only 4 hours of price history), concentration risk is assumed to be high. Early buyers likely hold a disproportionate share of supply.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available to assess early buyer positions. Given the 382.8% price surge, any early buyers are likely sitting on large unrealized gains, creating significant potential dump risk if they choose to exit.

Authority
high

Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, and mutability are all listed as 'unknown'. This means the token creator may retain full control over the token contract, including the ability to mint unlimited new tokens or freeze holder wallets — classic rug pull vectors.

Key risks

  • Unknown mint and freeze authority — potential for unlimited minting or wallet freezing
  • Critically thin liquidity ($20.22K) relative to trading volume ($662K+)
  • Parabolic price action (+382.8% in 24h) is historically unsustainable
  • No social links, no verified contract, no project fundamentals
  • Flash crash precedent: candle 2 wick dropped to $0.0000128 (from $0.0000891 open)
  • No holder distribution data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Single trading venue (PumpSwap) with no CEX listings
  • Token launched via PumpFun bonding curve — graduation risk and early seller pressure

Mitigating factors

  • Balanced buy/sell pressure (51%/49%) suggests genuine two-sided market, not pure pump
  • More unique buyers (3,212) than sellers (2,756) over 24h
  • High transaction count (16,025 total trades) indicates broad participation
  • FDV of $201K is low enough that even small capital inflows could sustain price
  • Most recent candle closed near its high, suggesting short-term buyer strength
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced crypto traders who specialize in high-risk, early-stage meme tokens and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a trivial amount of discretionary capital. This is not an investment — it is pure speculation.

Tony (TONY) is an anonymous, early-stage Solana meme token with no verifiable fundamentals, unknown authority status, and critically thin liquidity. The sole investment thesis is momentum-based speculation on continued meme coin interest. The risk/reward profile is extremely asymmetric — while short-term gains are possible given the active momentum, the probability of a near-total loss is high.

Bull case (low)

Viral meme coin momentum continues: the token gains social media traction, attracts influencer attention, and liquidity deepens as new buyers enter. The FDV expands from $201K toward $1M–$5M, consistent with successful PumpFun launches.

  • Viral social media spread or influencer promotion
  • Sustained buyer momentum beyond initial pump
  • Liquidity pool growth attracting larger traders
  • Broader Solana meme coin market tailwind

Base case

The token experiences a partial retracement of 50–70% from its peak as initial momentum fades, stabilizing at a lower price level. It persists as a low-liquidity micro-cap with sporadic trading activity but no sustained growth.

  • No rug pull or malicious authority action in the near term
  • Some residual buyer interest maintains minimal liquidity
  • Price consolidates in the $0.00005–$0.00012 range after retracement
  • No major social catalysts emerge to reignite momentum

Bear case (high)

Early buyers and insiders dump their holdings into the thin liquidity pool, collapsing the price 80–99% from current levels. The token becomes illiquid and effectively worthless within days.

  • Unknown authority holders execute rug pull via minting or liquidity removal
  • Early buyers take profits into thin liquidity, causing cascade selling
  • No community or social presence to sustain demand
  • Momentum fades as the initial pump exhausts buying interest

GeneratedSep 5, 08:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects the most recent available hourly candle closing at 2026-09-05T20:00 UTC. Price data is current as of analysis time.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint address: 3sSbDu4q4rfKirh7k1gTNteMJaDQYWUSbgJ5dTXXpump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (Byo3JRvYwiDiRbq9ehkEup5rpx5A48y4foegGWyagMVX)
  • OHLC hourly candles (4 candles, 2026-09-05T17:00–20:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Price change data (5m, 1h, 24h)

Limitations

  • Only 4 hourly candles of price history available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Holder distribution data is entirely unavailable (endpoints retired)
  • Sniper/early buyer data is unavailable
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority are all unknown
  • No social links or external project information to assess fundamentals
  • Single trading pair on PumpSwap — no cross-venue price validation
  • Token is only hours old — all patterns are based on extremely limited history
  • FDV and liquidity figures may change rapidly given the token's early stage

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Investing in early-stage meme tokens carries extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed was provided as-is and may be incomplete or inaccurate. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply979,652,675.52 TONY

Key Risks

Unknown mint and freeze authority — potential for unlimited minting or wallet freezing
Critically thin liquidity ($20.22K) relative to trading volume ($662K+)
Parabolic price action (+382.8% in 24h) is historically unsustainable
No social links, no verified contract, no project fundamentals

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be assessed from sniper activity. The absence of sniper data means we cannot determine whether early buyers are in profit, how much supply they hold, or their likelihood of dumping. This is a significant data gap for a token that launched with a parabolic price move.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer data is available. Given the 382.8% 24h price surge, any early buyers who entered near launch would be sitting on substantial unrealized gains, creating potential profit-taking pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Tony (Tony)?

The token has already surged 382.8% in 24h and 246.8% in the last hour alone, with the most recent candle closing near its high (~$0.000205). The 5-minute change of +20% suggests momentum is still active but the token is in highly overbought territory. With only $20.22K in liquidity, any moderate sell pressure could cause rapid price collapse. Short-term direction is highly uncertain — continuation is possible but a sharp retracement is equally likely. Short-term outlook is neutral (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000089 to $0.000209.

Is Tony a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced crypto traders who specialize in high-risk, early-stage meme tokens and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a trivial amount of discretionary capital. This is not an investment — it is pure speculation.

What does sniper activity look like for Tony?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Tony?

Unknown mint and freeze authority — potential for unlimited minting or wallet freezing • Critically thin liquidity ($20.22K) relative to trading volume ($662K+) • Parabolic price action (+382.8% in 24h) is historically unsustainable

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