FXD

FXD Price Today & AI Analysis

FXDSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 23, 2026

Price

$0.044208

-15.66% 24h · FDV $41,170

Contract

Live
31jzM3PwdA7YbZHNyK4DCvXqLANpj9eEUMjzmkS1pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

827

Market cap

$41,170

More tokens on Solana

AAVEAAVEAave Token$149.03+1.6%MC $622.4KSWBRSWBRStrategic WinRar Bag Reserve$0.000139+178.7%MC $132.8KButtcoinButtcoinButtcoin$0.0150+15.1%MC $15.04MneetneetNotInEmploymentEducationTraining$0.0310-11.9%MC $31.01MRSRVRSRVReserve$0.047259-64.7%MC $69.4KANTFUNANTFUNAntFun$0.009311-88.3%MC $82.61M

FXD: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-23 05:16 UTC

Holder addresses

827

Top 10 supply share

43.49%

Reported liquidity

$9,884.00
How concentrated is FXD ownership?
As of 2026-09-23 05:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 43.49% of supply. It reports 827 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling FXD?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-23 05:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $544,601.00 in buys and $540,716.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is FXD liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -59.23%, from $24,930.55 (2026-09-23 04:00 UTC) to $10,163.40 (2026-09-23 05:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-23 05:16 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-23 04:00 UTC$24,930.55
2026-09-23 05:00 UTC$10,163.40

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Ask Unhosted AI about FXD

Continue in chat

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Sep 23, 05:17 AM UTC

FDV

$41,170

Liquidity

$9,884.00

Holders

827

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

FXD is a micro-cap Solana token (FDV ~$41.17K) trading on PumpSwap that has, within the limited two-candle dataset available, undergone an extreme pump from near-zero to a high of $0.000499 followed by a collapse to its current price of $0.0000421 — a drawdown of over 91% from peak. Liquidity is very shallow at $9.88K against combined 24h trading volume exceeding $1.08M, and top-10 holders control 43.49% of the 978.4M token supply per the current holder snapshot. Critical risk indicators — mint/freeze authority status, sniper wallet activity, and holder count history — are not available in the provided data, leaving significant blind spots in the risk picture.

Key points

  • Extreme observed intra-period volatility (>91% peak-to-trough decline) consistent with a pump-and-dump pattern
  • Very thin liquidity ($9.88K) relative to both FDV and trading volume, implying high slippage risk
  • Top-10 holder concentration of 43.49%, a meaningfully concentrated distribution
  • Multiple key risk data points unavailable: mint/freeze authority status, sniper analysis, and holder history

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24-48 hours

bearish

Given the severe post-spike collapse visible in the two available candles (down >91% from the $0.000499 high to current $0.0000421) and decreasing volume, the near-term path of least resistance appears downward or highly volatile/choppy, though the recent +12.82% 5-minute bounce introduces some near-term upside uncertainty.

Target low

$0.0000200

Target high

$0.0000800

Support

$0.0000319 (recent candle low), $0.0000037 (earlier candle low)

Resistance

$0.000270 (prior candle close), $0.000499 (period high)

Medium term · 1-2 weeks

bearish

Without sustained new buying interest, improved liquidity, or clarity on authority/supply risk, the medium-term outlook leans bearish to neutral given the classic pump-and-dump signature observed. A sustained recovery would require a meaningful increase in liquidity depth and consistent buy-side dominance beyond the current near-50/50 split.

Catalysts

  • Any resolution/confirmation of mint and freeze authority status (positive if renounced, negative if not)
  • Sustained shift in buy/sell volume imbalance beyond the current ~50/50 split
  • Changes in liquidity depth on the PumpSwap pool
  • Emergence of social/community traction, currently absent from the data

Bullish factors

  • Near-balanced 24h buy/sell volume (50.2%/49.8%) with slightly more unique buyers than sellers
  • Recent short-term bounce of +12.82% over 5 minutes

Bearish factors

  • Over 91% drawdown from the intra-period high visible in the candle data
  • Declining volume trend across the two available candles
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($9.88K) relative to FDV and volume, raising slippage and manipulation risk
  • High top-10 holder concentration (43.49%) with no visibility into holder intentions
  • Unresolved mint/freeze authority risk

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because the dataset contains only two hourly candles, no sniper data, no holder history, unknown mint/freeze authority status, and no social/fundamental context — all of which severely limit the reliability of any directional forecast for this micro-cap, highly volatile token.

FXD call history

Full track record →

Sep 23bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
31jzM3...pump
Total Supply
978,437,637.74

Key Risks

  • Extreme observed volatility with a >90% peak-to-trough decline within the visible two-hour candle window, indicative of a post-launch blow-off top and dump pattern
  • Very thin liquidity ($9.88K) relative to both FDV ($41.17K) and 24h trading volume (>$1.08M combined), creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • High holder concentration: top-10 wallets hold 43.49% of total supply, with no visibility into who those wallets are or their trading behavior
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle [1] (04:00 UTC) opened at $0.00000371, spiked intra-candle to a high of $0.000499, and closed at $0.000270 — an enormous intra-hour range suggesting an extreme initial pump (likely near token launch) followed by a partial pullback, on volume of $872.7K. Candle [2] (05:00 UTC) opened at the prior close of $0.000270, pushed slightly higher to $0.000323, then collapsed to a low of $0.0000319 before closing at $0.0000421 — a net decline of roughly 84% from open to close within that hour, on volume of $308.4K. This pattern (huge upper wick followed by a long lower wick and a weak close near the low) reads as a classic post-launch blow-off-top-and-dump structure.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

With only two candles of data, the short-term trend is a sharp downtrend: price has fallen roughly from a high near $0.000499 down to a current $0.0000421, a decline of over 91% from the peak. The 24h change of -15.66% understates the true intra-period volatility visible in the candles (the true peak-to-trough move is far larger). Medium-term trend cannot be reliably assessed from just two hourly candles, but given the trajectory, it is also characterized as downtrend pending more data.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000319 (candle [2] low)

Major support

$0.00000371 (candle [1] open/low)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000421-0.000270 zone (recent candle closes)

Major resistance

$0.000499 (candle [1] high, all-time high in visible data)

With only two hourly candles, support/resistance levels are tentative. The immediate support of $0.0000319 was set as the low of the most recent candle; a break below that would open air toward the $0.00000371 level seen at the very start of the visible data. On the upside, the price would need to reclaim the $0.000270-$0.000323 zone (prior candle closes/highs) before challenging the major resistance at the $0.000499 high, which represents the peak of the entire observed window and a roughly 11.8x move from the current price.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off top: candle [1] shows an extreme wick from ~$0.0000037 to ~$0.000499 before closing well off the high
  • Long lower wick / failed follow-through: candle [2] pushed slightly higher then collapsed to a low of $0.0000319, closing near the lows
  • Sharp decreasing volume alongside price collapse, suggesting fading speculative interest rather than accumulation
  • Short-term bounce signal: +12.82% in the most recent 5-minute window off the candle low

Liquidity

Liquidity

$9,884.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity is only $9.88K against a 24h trading volume of over $1.08M combined (buy $544.60K + sell $540.72K), meaning the pool is turning over more than 100x its depth daily — a hallmark of a shallow, highly reflexive micro-cap pool on PumpSwap. Buy and sell volumes are nearly balanced (50.2% buy vs 49.8% sell), and buy/sell counts (7,994 buys vs 6,987 sells) and unique participants (2,793 buyers vs 2,425 sellers) show slightly more buyers than sellers, but this has not translated into sustained price strength given the sharp intra-hour price collapse seen in the candle data. With liquidity this thin, even moderate-sized trades can cause outsized slippage and price swings in both directions, and the true depth available to execute a meaningful order without heavy price impact is very limited.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

978,437,637.74

FDV

$41.17K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Observed price action shows a peak-to-trough move of over 90% within a two-hour window (high of $0.000499 down to current $0.0000421), plus a 24h change of -15.66% and a 5m swing of +12.82%. This level of volatility is extreme even by micro-cap crypto standards.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $9.88K against a FDV of $41.17K and 24h volume exceeding $1.08M combined — the pool is extremely thin relative to trading activity, creating high slippage risk and making the price highly susceptible to manipulation by relatively small trade sizes.

  • Concentrationhigh

    Top-10 holders control 43.49% of total supply per the current Codex snapshot. Combined with only $9.88K of liquidity, a coordinated sell from a handful of top holders could severely impact price. Top-100 concentration and wallet identities/classifications are unavailable, so the full concentration picture is incomplete — actual risk could be higher than the top-10 figure alone suggests.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme observed volatility with a >90% peak-to-trough decline within the visible two-hour candle window, indicative of a post-launch blow-off top and dump pattern
  • Very thin liquidity ($9.88K) relative to both FDV ($41.17K) and 24h trading volume (>$1.08M combined), creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • High holder concentration: top-10 wallets hold 43.49% of total supply, with no visibility into who those wallets are or their trading behavior
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available, removing an important early-warning signal for coordinated dumping
  • No verified contract status, no social links, and no description provided — minimal transparency about the project

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy and sell volumes are nearly balanced (50.2% vs 49.8%), and unique buyers (2,793) modestly exceed unique sellers (2,425), indicating some genuine two-sided trading activity rather than pure one-way dumping on a 24h basis
  • A short-term bounce (+12.82% over 5 minutes) suggests some buyers are stepping in after the sharp decline, though this could also be a dead-cat bounce

Suitable for

This token profile is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of near-total capital loss. It is not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable exposure, or anyone unable to closely monitor extremely volatile, thinly-liquid positions. Given the missing authority checks, missing sniper data, and severe observed volatility, position sizing should be minimal if entered at all.

FXD is an extremely low-cap ($41.17K FDV), newly-observed token trading on PumpSwap that has already exhibited a violent blow-off-top-and-crash pattern within the available two-candle window, falling over 90% from its intra-period high. Liquidity is very shallow ($9.88K) relative to trading volume, holder concentration is elevated (top-10 at 43.49%), and critical risk data (mint/freeze authority, sniper activity, holder history) is unavailable. This is a highly speculative, high-risk profile with no fundamental catalysts identified in the provided data.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If the recent 5-minute bounce (+12.82%) marks a local bottom, buy pressure (currently 50.2% of 24h volume) could continue to outweigh sell pressure and unique buyer count (2,793) could keep exceeding sellers (2,425), driving a short-term relief rally back toward the $0.000270-$0.000323 zone seen in the prior candle.

  • Slightly more unique buyers (2,793) than sellers (2,425) in the 24h window
  • Near-balanced 24h buy/sell volume split (50.2%/49.8%) suggests no overwhelming one-sided selling on a 24h basis
  • Short-term 5-minute bounce off the candle low of $0.0000319

Base Case

Price continues to be highly volatile and range-bound at depressed levels well below the initial spike, oscillating between roughly $0.0000319 and $0.000270 as speculative traders trade the extreme volatility, with no clear directional resolution until liquidity improves or the token gains/loses further attention.

  • No major new liquidity injection occurs in the near term
  • No confirmation of mint/freeze authority status changes the risk calculus
  • Trading remains dominated by short-term speculators given the pump.fun/PumpSwap origin and lack of social/fundamental catalysts identified in the data

Bear Case

High probability

The blow-off top and subsequent collapse (from a high of $0.000499 to $0.0000421, a >91% drawdown) continues, exacerbated by thin liquidity ($9.88K) that cannot absorb further concentrated selling from top-10 holders (43.49% of supply), pushing price toward or below the observed low of $0.0000319 and potentially toward the earlier low of $0.0000037.

  • Established pattern of a sharp pump-and-dump within the visible candle data
  • Extremely thin liquidity relative to FDV and volume, amplifying downside moves
  • High top-10 holder concentration with no visibility into their intentions
  • Decreasing volume trend (from $872.7K to $308.4K) suggesting fading speculative interest

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 23, 05:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-23 05:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • Price feed (current USD price and 24h change)
  • OHLC hourly candle data (2 most recent candles)
  • Trading analytics/aggregated volume and buy/sell pressure data
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)
  • Codex holder aggregates (current snapshot: holder count and top-10 concentration only)

Limitations

  • Only two hourly OHLC candles were available, severely limiting technical trend and pattern reliability
  • No sniper/early-buyer data was available, so sniper concentration, PnL state, and dump risk could not be assessed
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d) was available; only a current snapshot of holder count and top-10 concentration was provided, so growth/trend/whale behavior claims could not be substantiated
  • Mint authority and freeze authority renouncement status were not provided and could not be verified; metadata update authority (also unknown) does not substitute for these checks
  • No wallet-level classification or top-100 concentration data was available to assess distribution beyond the top-10 figure
  • No social link or project description data was available to assess community/fundamental context

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is generated from limited, incomplete on-chain and market data that may be inaccurate, adversarially supplied, or outdated. Cryptocurrency tokens, especially low-cap and newly-launched ones like this, carry a high risk of total capital loss. Always conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is FXD ownership?

As of 2026-09-23 05:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 43.49% of supply. It reports 827 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling FXD?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-23 05:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $544,601.00 in buys and $540,716.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is FXD liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed -59.23%, from $24,930.55 (2026-09-23 04:00 UTC) to $10,163.40 (2026-09-23 05:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for FXD (FXD)?

Given the severe post-spike collapse visible in the two available candles (down >91% from the $0.000499 high to current $0.0000421) and decreasing volume, the near-term path of least resistance appears downward or highly volatile/choppy, though the recent +12.82% 5-minute bounce introduces some near-term upside uncertainty. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-48 hours), with a target range of $0.0000200 to $0.0000800.

Is FXD a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. This token profile is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of near-total capital loss. It is not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable exposure, or anyone unable to closely monitor extremely volatile, thinly-liquid positions. Given the missing authority checks, missing sniper data, and severe observed volatility, position sizing should be minimal if entered at all.

What are the key risks of holding FXD?

Extreme observed volatility with a >90% peak-to-trough decline within the visible two-hour candle window, indicative of a post-launch blow-off top and dump pattern • Very thin liquidity ($9.88K) relative to both FDV ($41.17K) and 24h trading volume (>$1.08M combined), creating high slippage and manipulation risk • High holder concentration: top-10 wallets hold 43.49% of total supply, with no visibility into who those wallets are or their trading behavior

← Back to all predictions

Track FXD