Manfred

Manfred Price Today & AI Analysis

ManfredSolanaAnalysis as of May 2, 2026

Price

$0.052327

+8.21% 24h · FDV $2,327

Contract

Live
2xbBHYkn6v5PGi19EHp9DiDDTjTB1QHKmwgxdQKx4xff

Chain

Solana

Holders

79

Market cap

$2,327

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Manfred: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-02 13:49 UTC

Holder addresses

189

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Manfred ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 189 addresses (2026-05-02 13:49 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Manfred?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Manfred liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-02 13:49 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 2, 01:49 PM UTC

FDV

$10,020

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

189

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Manfred (MANFRED) is a newly launched Solana memecoin with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$10,020. The token launched within the last 24 hours (all 189 holders acquired within the past 24h) on PumpSwap and has experienced a severe -66.39% price decline from its launch peak. Trading activity shows overwhelming sell pressure (72.8% sell volume) and the token exhibits extreme concentration risk with the top 10 holders controlling 100% of supply. This is a very high-risk, ultra-speculative memecoin in its earliest stage.

Key points

  • Launched within the last 24 hours — all 189 holders are new
  • Extreme sell pressure: 72.8% of 24h volume ($115.29K) is selling vs 27.2% buying ($43.05K)
  • Top holder (likely DEX liquidity pool DnEZR75p...) controls 38.66% of supply
  • Top 10 and top 100 holders collectively hold 100% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Price collapsed -66.39% in 24h from a peak near $0.0000539 to current $0.00001002
  • Reported total liquidity is $0.00 — effectively no on-chain liquidity depth recorded

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price is in a sharp downtrend from the launch spike high of ~$0.0000539 (candle [6] high). Current price of ~$0.00001002 is near the recent low of $0.000008822 (candle [2] low). Sell pressure dominates at 72.8% of volume. A brief 1h bounce of +13.1% is visible but is occurring on sharply declining volume (1,045 vs 64,660 USD in candle [6]), suggesting it is a weak relief rally rather than a trend reversal.

Target low

$0.0000053

Target high

$0.0000149

Support

$0.000008822 (candle [2] low), $0.000005327 (candle [4] all-time low)

Resistance

$0.00001342 (candle [4] open / candle [3] close area), $0.00001493 (candle [5] open), $0.00003374 (candle [6] open)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without a significant catalyst, new liquidity inflow, or viral social momentum, the token is likely to continue declining or go to near-zero. The holder base is tiny (189 wallets), liquidity is effectively zero, and the majority of snipers are at a loss — reducing the probability of a sustained recovery. Memecoins of this profile typically either die quietly or experience one more pump-and-dump cycle before expiring.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media traction on Twitter/website driving new buyer inflow
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed prices
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all boats
  • Influencer promotion or listing on a tracking aggregator

Bullish factors

  • 1h price bounce of +13.1% suggests some residual buying interest
  • Price is near the all-time low ($0.000005327), limiting further downside in percentage terms from current levels
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, indicating some community infrastructure
  • 512 unique buyers in 24h shows initial interest

Bearish factors

  • Price down -66.39% in 24h from launch peak
  • 72.8% of 24h volume is selling ($115.29K sell vs $43.05K buy)
  • Total reported liquidity is $0.00 — extreme slippage risk
  • 100% supply concentration in top 10/100 holders
  • Holders declining: -9 in the last hour (-4.80%)
  • Majority of snipers (14 of 20 with known PnL) are at a realized loss
  • Token is unverified, mutable status unknown, update authority unknown

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token being less than 24 hours old with extremely limited price history (6 hourly candles), zero reported on-chain liquidity, and highly erratic volume patterns typical of launch-day memecoin speculation. Predictions are directional only.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
2xbBHY...4xff
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 MANFRED

Key Risks

  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record
  • Price already down -66.39% from launch peak — significant capital destruction has occurred
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • 100% supply concentration in top 10/100 holders

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Six hourly candles are available covering 2026-05-02 08:00–13:00 UTC. Candle [6] (08:00) was the launch/peak candle: open $0.0000337, high $0.0000539 (all-time high), low $0.0000124, close $0.0000146 — a massive bearish shooting star / inverted hammer with volume of $64,660, signaling a violent rejection from the top. Candle [5] (09:00): tight range $0.0000136–$0.0000148, close at low — continued bearish pressure, volume $15,731. Candle [4] (10:00): open $0.0000134, crashed to low of $0.0000053 (all-time low), closed at $0.0000072 — a large bearish candle with volume $5,296. Candle [3] (11:00): open $0.0000078, high $0.0000149, close $0.0000137 — bullish recovery candle, potential hammer reversal, volume $5,238. Candle [2] (12:00): open $0.0000134, low $0.0000088, close $0.0000106 — bearish engulfing of the recovery, volume $2,584. Candle [1] (13:00): open $0.0000107, high = open, close at low $0.0000100 — bearish continuation, volume $1,046. Overall pattern: classic memecoin pump-and-dump with a shooting star at the top, cascading lower lows, and declining volume on any recovery attempts.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The token is in a clear short- and medium-term downtrend. Price has fallen from the candle [6] high of $0.0000539 to the current $0.0000100 — a decline of ~81% from peak. Each recovery attempt (candle [3]) has been sold into. Lower highs and lower lows dominate the structure.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

27%

Sell

73%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000008822 (candle [2] low)

Major support

$0.000005327 (candle [4] all-time low)

Immediate resistance

$0.00001342 (candle [4] open / candle [2] open area)

Major resistance

$0.00003374 (candle [6] open) and $0.00005395 (candle [6] all-time high)

The key support cluster is $0.0000088–$0.0000053 (recent lows). A break below $0.0000053 would set a new all-time low with no historical support below. Resistance is layered at $0.0000134 (multiple candle opens/closes), $0.0000149 (candle [3] high / candle [5] open), and the major resistance zone at $0.0000337–$0.0000539 (launch candle range).

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish pin bar at all-time high in candle [6] — classic pump-and-dump top signal
  • Cascading lower highs and lower lows across candles [6] through [1]
  • Hammer-like recovery in candle [3] immediately sold into in candle [2] — failed reversal
  • Dramatically declining volume on each successive candle — selling exhaustion but no buyer conviction
  • Bearish engulfing pattern: candle [2] engulfs candle [3] recovery body

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 MANFRED

FDV

$10,020.01

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price dropped -66.39% in 24 hours from a peak of ~$0.0000539 to ~$0.0000100. The token is less than 24 hours old with only 6 hourly candles of price history. Intraday range spans from $0.0000053 to $0.0000539 — a 10x swing in a single day.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record
  • Price already down -66.39% from launch peak — significant capital destruction has occurred
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • 100% supply concentration in top 10/100 holders
  • Sell pressure dominates at 72.8% of 24h volume
  • Holder count declining: -9 in the last hour (-4.80%)
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug risk
  • Unverified contract with no utility beyond 'memecoin' description
  • Majority of snipers (13/18) are at a realized loss, indicating trapped early buyers who may sell on any recovery
  • Micro-cap FDV of ~$10,020 makes the token highly susceptible to manipulation

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable set to false — token metadata cannot be altered
  • Social links exist (Twitter, website, Moralis) suggesting some community presence
  • Price is near all-time lows, limiting further percentage downside from current levels
  • 512 unique buyers in 24h shows initial market interest
  • The largest holder is the LP pool (38.66%), not a single insider wallet

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced memecoin traders who understand they may lose 100% of their investment. This token is not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. This is a speculative micro-cap memecoin in active distribution with no utility, no verified contract, and extreme concentration risk.

Manfred (MANFRED) is a brand-new Solana memecoin that launched within the last 24 hours and has already experienced a -66.39% price collapse from its launch peak. The token has no utility, an unverified contract, unknown authority status, and effectively zero on-chain liquidity. The overwhelming sell pressure (72.8% of volume), declining holder count, and majority-loss sniper cohort paint a bearish picture. The only viable bull case is a viral social media catalyst driving new speculative inflows — a low-probability event for most new memecoins.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A viral social media moment (Twitter/X trending, influencer promotion, or meme virality) drives a wave of new buyers into the token, creating a second pump above the launch high of $0.0000539. The tiny FDV (~$10K) means even modest capital inflows could produce outsized percentage gains.

  • Viral Twitter/social media traction
  • Influencer or KOL promotion
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • New whale accumulation at depressed prices near all-time lows

Base Case

The token stabilizes near current all-time lows ($0.0000053–$0.0000100) with minimal trading activity, occasional small pumps on low volume, and a slow bleed of holders over the coming days. It neither recovers to launch highs nor goes to absolute zero immediately, but remains a highly illiquid micro-cap with no meaningful price discovery.

  • No major viral catalyst emerges
  • A small core of holders maintains positions near current prices
  • Sell pressure moderates as most motivated sellers have already exited
  • Token remains listed on PumpSwap with minimal liquidity

Bear Case

High probability

Selling pressure continues to dominate, remaining holders exit, and the token drifts to near-zero with no new buyers. The LP pool becomes the only significant holder, trading volume dries up completely, and the token becomes effectively dead within days.

  • Continued 72.8% sell pressure with no buyer catalyst
  • Holder count declining (-9 in last hour)
  • Zero reported liquidity making exits increasingly difficult
  • No utility or differentiation beyond generic 'memecoin' branding
  • Majority of snipers trapped at a loss, creating persistent sell overhang

Analysis details

Generated

May 2, 01:49 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-02 13:49 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX OHLC price feed (hourly candles)
  • On-chain holder distribution and concentration data
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data

Limitations

  • Token is less than 24 hours old — only 6 hourly candles available, insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total sniped USD amounts are unknown for all 20 snipers — precise sniper concentration percentage cannot be calculated
  • Sniper balance data is largely unknown — only 2 of 20 snipers have confirmed remaining balances
  • Total reported on-chain liquidity is $0.00 — may reflect a data reporting issue or genuinely zero depth
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all unknown — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Contract is unverified — no audit or code review available
  • Historical holder data shows zero holders for all 30 days prior to launch day — no baseline for trend analysis
  • Price change fields for 6h and 24h show 0% in analytics (likely a data artifact for a newly launched token) — 24h change from price field (-66.39%) used instead

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price action is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Manfred ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 189 addresses (2026-05-02 13:49 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Manfred?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Manfred liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Manfred (Manfred)?

Price is in a sharp downtrend from the launch spike high of ~$0.0000539 (candle [6] high). Current price of ~$0.00001002 is near the recent low of $0.000008822 (candle [2] low). Sell pressure dominates at 72.8% of volume. A brief 1h bounce of +13.1% is visible but is occurring on sharply declining volume (1,045 vs 64,660 USD in candle [6]), suggesting it is a weak relief rally rather than a trend reversal. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000053 to $0.0000149.

Is Manfred a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. Suitable only for highly experienced memecoin traders who understand they may lose 100% of their investment. This token is not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. This is a speculative micro-cap memecoin in active distribution with no utility, no verified contract, and extreme concentration risk.

What are the key risks of holding Manfred?

Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record • Price already down -66.39% from launch peak — significant capital destruction has occurred • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — extreme slippage and exit risk

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