CAPY

Mr. Capy Price Prediction 2026

CAPY
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 22, 2026

2kS86z4i3m7MSkBmGS9YAaaoA7UCBTnXKm2Kg3f4pump

$0.051669

FDV $1,668

LiveContract:2kS86z4i3m7MSkBmGS9YAaaoA7UCBTnXKm2Kg3f4pumpChain:SolanaHolders:112Market cap:$1,668

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Report snapshotas of Jun 22, 01:17 PM
FDV

$230,407

Liquidity

$56,250

Holders

761

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Mr. Capy (CAPY) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$230K. The token has experienced an explosive 364% 24-hour price surge, but exhibits numerous red flags: extremely shallow liquidity ($56.25K), a sudden and suspicious holder spike of +701 holders in a single hour (from a 30-day flat baseline of 60), missing top-holder data, zero supply concentration metrics, and no sniper data. The data profile is highly anomalous and warrants extreme caution.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
364% 24h price surge on very thin $56.25K liquidity — highly susceptible to manipulation
Holder count jumped from 60 (flat for 30 days) to 761 in a single hour — statistically anomalous
Top holder data is entirely unavailable, making concentration risk unquantifiable
Mutable metadata is false (immutable), but update authority is unknown — authority risk unclear
Near-perfectly balanced buy/sell volume (49.2% / 50.8%) despite massive price move — unusual

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already surged 364% in 24h on shallow $56.25K liquidity. The most recent hourly candle (13:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000819, hit a high of $0.0000819, then collapsed to a low of $0.0000153 before closing at $0.0000359 — a classic wick-down / rejection candle. The prior candle (12:00 UTC) was a strong bull candle closing at its high of $0.0000788. The current price of $0.000230 is significantly above both recent candles, suggesting the price data may reflect a very recent spike. With sells outnumbering buys (4,877 vs 3,449 transactions) and thin liquidity, short-term downside pressure is elevated.

Target low$0.000035
Target high$0.000310
Support: $0.0000789 (prior candle close/high), $0.0000359 (candle [1] close), $0.0000153 (candle [1] low — major support floor)
Resistance: $0.000230 (current price / recent spike high), $0.000310 (estimated extension resistance)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Without sustained organic holder growth, meaningful liquidity depth, or verifiable on-chain fundamentals, medium-term price appreciation is unlikely. The token spent 30 days at 60 holders with zero activity before a sudden spike — this pattern is consistent with coordinated pump activity rather than organic growth. Reversion toward pre-pump levels is the base expectation.

Catalysts
  • Genuine viral meme adoption on social media (telegram/twitter listed)
  • Liquidity deepening via additional LP provision
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial spike

Bullish factors

  • Strong 364% 24h price surge demonstrates speculative demand
  • Balanced buy/sell volume suggests no immediate one-sided dump
  • 2,358 unique buyers in 24h shows broad participation
  • Immutable metadata (mutable: false) reduces certain rug vectors
  • Active social presence (telegram, twitter, website)

Bearish factors

  • Extremely shallow liquidity at $56.25K — large trades cause severe slippage
  • Sell transactions (4,877) significantly outnumber buy transactions (3,449)
  • 30 days of zero holder growth followed by sudden +701 spike is highly anomalous
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Recent hourly candle shows sharp rejection from highs (wick down pattern)
  • FDV of only $230K with no verifiable utility or ecosystem integration
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — authority risk unclear
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 OHLC candles available for technical analysis, (2) missing top-holder data making concentration risk unquantifiable, (3) anomalous holder spike that may reflect data artifacts or wash activity, (4) no sniper data, and (5) extreme price volatility on thin liquidity making any price target highly speculative.

CAPY call history

Full track record →
Jun 22bearish
24h-98.9%
7d-99.3%
30d-99.2%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available. Candle [2] (12:00 UTC): O=$0.0000359, H=$0.0000788, L=$0.0000252, C=$0.0000788 — a strong bullish candle closing at its high, indicating strong buying momentum. Candle [1] (13:00 UTC): O=$0.0000819, H=$0.0000819, L=$0.0000153, C=$0.0000359 — a bearish candle with a long lower wick, opening at the high and closing near the lower third of the range. This is a bearish shooting star / inverted hammer pattern, signaling rejection of higher prices. The current price of $0.000230 is well above both candles, suggesting a subsequent spike occurred after the 13:00 candle closed. Volume was higher in candle [2] ($679K) vs candle [1] ($390K), suggesting the bullish move had more volume support than the subsequent rejection.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 49%Sell 51%

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 364% 24h surge, but the most recent candle shows a sharp bearish rejection. Medium-term trend is effectively sideways/unknown given 30 days of dormancy prior to this event. The token has no established trend history.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000789 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open area)
Major$0.0000153 (candle [1] absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000230 (current price / recent spike level)
Major$0.000310 (estimated 1.35x extension from current spike)

The $0.0000789 level is the first meaningful support, representing the prior bullish candle's close. Below that, $0.0000359 (candle [1] close) and $0.0000153 (candle [1] low) are key downside levels. On the upside, the current price of $0.000230 acts as resistance if the token retraces. With only 2 candles of data, these levels carry low confidence.

Notable patterns

  • Bullish engulfing / strong bull candle at 12:00 UTC (close at high)
  • Bearish shooting star / rejection candle at 13:00 UTC (open at high, long lower wick, close in lower third)
  • Volume declining on price spike (bearish divergence)
  • Gap-up from candle [1] close ($0.0000359) to current price ($0.000230) — parabolic move
  • 30-day dormancy followed by sudden activation — pump pattern

Total holders761
24h Δ+701
7d Δ+701
30d Δ+701
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder count was flat at exactly 60 for the entire 30-day historical period (May 23 – June 21, 2026), then spiked by +701 (92% increase) within a single hour on June 22. This coincides precisely with the 364% price surge. The correlation is extreme and suspicious — organic holder growth does not typically jump 92% in one hour after 30 days of zero growth. This pattern is consistent with either a coordinated pump event, bot-driven wallet creation, or a data anomaly.

The holder data presents a highly anomalous pattern. For 30 consecutive days, the holder count was locked at exactly 60 with zero net change (0.00% daily delta). Then, in a single hour, 701 new holders appeared simultaneously with a 364% price spike. This is not consistent with organic community growth. Possible explanations include: (1) a coordinated pump with pre-arranged wallet distribution, (2) airdrop or transfer activity not captured in the acquisition breakdown (only 3 transfers recorded), (3) data pipeline artifacts, or (4) a genuine viral event. The acquisition data shows 758 holders acquired via swap and only 3 via transfer, which partially supports genuine buying activity, but the timing and magnitude remain highly suspicious. Investors should treat the holder count as unreliable for assessing community health.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for CAPY — the data source returned no top 20 holders. Supply concentration metrics show top10=0% and top100=0%, which is almost certainly a data artifact rather than a genuine reflection of perfectly distributed supply. Without this data, it is impossible to assess whale concentration, identify team/treasury wallets, or evaluate dump risk from large holders. This is a significant analytical gap and a major risk factor. The distribution is classified as 'very_concentrated' as a conservative default given the data gap — in reality, concentration could be extreme given the token's early stage and 30-day dormancy period. Investors should assume unknown and potentially high concentration risk.

Liquidity$56,250
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$525,670
Sell$543,190
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,358
Unique sellers2,278

Liquidity is critically shallow at $56.25K against a 24h trading volume of over $1.06M — a volume-to-liquidity ratio exceeding 18:1. This means the pool is being turned over many times per day, creating extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position size. A trade of even $5,000 would represent ~8.9% of total liquidity, likely causing 10-30%+ slippage. The net flow is marginally negative (sell volume $543.19K vs buy volume $525.67K, a $17.5K net outflow), suggesting slight selling pressure dominates. The pair trades on PumpSwap (7L4ycrkA3zNBDNAAJDPNd4PnE7KmkrLSs4thF5Edxcxw). Despite 2,358 unique buyers vs 2,278 unique sellers (more buyers than sellers), the higher number of sell transactions (4,877 vs 3,449) indicates sellers are transacting more frequently, consistent with profit-taking behavior. Market health is poor due to thin liquidity.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 CAPY
FDV$230,406.74

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

CAPY has a standard 1 billion token supply with 6 decimals, consistent with PumpFun/PumpSwap launch templates. The FDV of ~$230K is very small, reflecting the token's early-stage speculative nature. Critically, the update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata — this prevents assessment of whether mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. The metadata is marked as immutable (mutable: false), which is a positive signal suggesting the token's metadata cannot be altered. However, without confirmed authority renouncement, the risk of mint or freeze authority abuse cannot be ruled out. The contract is unverified and not flagged as spam. The token was launched via PumpSwap (address ends in 'pump'), consistent with a PumpFun bonding curve graduation. Investors should independently verify authority status on-chain before committing capital.

Volatility
high

364% 24h price surge on thin $56.25K liquidity. The token has demonstrated extreme price swings within single hourly candles (e.g., candle [1] ranged from $0.0000153 to $0.0000819 — a 5.4x intra-hour range). A 5-minute gain of 22.4% at time of analysis confirms ongoing extreme volatility.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of $56.25K against $1.06M+ daily volume creates severe slippage risk. Any position above ~$1,000 will face meaningful price impact. Exit liquidity is extremely limited — large holders may be unable to exit without crashing the price.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is entirely unavailable. Supply concentration metrics show 0% for top10 and top100, which is a data artifact. True concentration is unknown but likely high given the token's early stage, 30-day dormancy, and sudden activation. This is a critical unquantifiable risk.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available. The 30-day period of exactly 60 holders suggests a small group of early holders who are now sitting on massive unrealized gains from the 364% surge. These early holders represent significant dump risk. The original 60 holders acquired tokens at prices far below current levels.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown.' Metadata is immutable (mutable: false), which reduces metadata manipulation risk. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed as renounced from available data. Contract is unverified. Risk is medium rather than high due to the immutability flag.

Key risks

  • Critically shallow liquidity ($56.25K) makes the token highly manipulable and exit-illiquid
  • Anomalous holder spike (+701 in 1 hour after 30 days of zero growth) suggests coordinated activity
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential rug vectors unconfirmed
  • Unverified contract with no established track record
  • Parabolic price move (364% in 24h) historically precedes sharp corrections in meme tokens
  • Early holders (original 60) sitting on massive unrealized gains represent significant sell pressure
  • No utility, ecosystem integration, or fundamental value proposition beyond meme speculation

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is immutable (mutable: false) — reduces metadata rug risk
  • Broadly distributed trading activity (2,358 unique buyers, 2,278 unique sellers)
  • Active social presence (telegram, twitter, website, moralis)
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline legitimacy vs. unknown DEXes
  • Near-balanced buy/sell volume suggests no immediate one-sided manipulation
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced speculative traders who can afford to lose 100% of their investment, understand meme token dynamics, and can actively monitor positions. Absolutely not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. Position sizing should be minimal given the extreme risk profile.

CAPY is a high-risk, speculative meme token on Solana that has experienced a dramatic 364% price surge in 24 hours. The investment case is almost entirely speculative, driven by meme momentum rather than fundamentals. Critical data gaps (missing top holders, unknown authorities, anomalous holder metrics) make rigorous analysis impossible. The risk/reward profile is extremely unfavorable for new entrants at current prices.

Bull case (low)

Viral meme momentum continues, attracting broader Solana community attention. The capybara meme theme resonates with crypto Twitter, driving sustained organic holder growth. Liquidity deepens as more LPs enter, reducing slippage. The token achieves a 5-10x from current FDV ($230K) to $1-2M FDV, consistent with successful Solana meme tokens.

  • Continued viral spread of the capybara meme narrative on crypto social media
  • Broader Solana meme season with rising SOL price lifting all meme tokens
  • Liquidity provision by new LPs deepening the pool beyond $56.25K
  • Sustained organic holder growth beyond the initial anomalous spike
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving new buyer waves

Base case

The token experiences a partial retracement of 40-60% from peak, stabilizing at a FDV of $80-140K as some speculative interest persists but early holders take profits. Trading volume normalizes to $50-150K/day. Holder count stabilizes around 300-500 genuine holders. The token remains a low-liquidity speculative instrument with high volatility.

  • Some genuine retail interest sustains beyond the initial pump
  • Early holders distribute gradually rather than in a single dump
  • Liquidity remains at or near current $56.25K levels
  • No major negative catalyst (rug, exploit, or authority abuse)
  • Solana meme market conditions remain broadly neutral

Bear case (high)

The 364% pump was coordinated by early holders (the original 60) who are now distributing into retail buyers. Sell pressure from early holders overwhelms thin liquidity, causing a rapid 70-90% price collapse back toward pre-pump levels ($0.000020-$0.000050 range). The token returns to dormancy with 60-100 holders.

  • Early holders (original 60) taking profits after 364% surge
  • Thin $56.25K liquidity unable to absorb sell pressure
  • Anomalous holder spike proves to be bot/wash activity that reverses
  • No fundamental value to sustain price at elevated levels
  • Broader meme token fatigue or SOL price decline

GeneratedJun 22, 01:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of analysis time. OHLC data covers 2 hourly candles (12:00-13:00 UTC June 22, 2026). Historical holder data covers May 23 – June 21, 2026 (30 days daily).
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis Solana Token Metadata API
  • Moralis Price API (USD and native SOL)
  • Moralis OHLC Candles API (hourly)
  • Moralis Trading Analytics API
  • Moralis Holder Metrics API
  • Moralis Historical Holders API (30-day daily series)
  • Moralis Top Holders API (returned no data)
  • Moralis Sniper Analysis API (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely limited and low-confidence
  • Top holder data returned no results — whale concentration and dump risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer behavior and smart money signals unavailable
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • Holder spike anomaly (+701 in 1 hour after 30-day flat) makes holder trend analysis unreliable
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data artifacts, not real values
  • Price % change fields for 1h, 6h, 24h all show 0% despite a 364% 24h change — data inconsistency
  • Current price ($0.000230) is significantly above both available OHLC candles — gap in candle data
  • No historical price data beyond 2 candles — no medium-term trend analysis possible
  • Token is unverified — on-chain contract code cannot be assessed

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in CAPY. All data is sourced from third-party APIs and may contain errors or gaps. Past price performance does not predict future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 CAPY

Key Risks

Critically shallow liquidity ($56.25K) makes the token highly manipulable and exit-illiquid
Anomalous holder spike (+701 in 1 hour after 30 days of zero growth) suggests coordinated activity
Top holder data unavailable — concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed
Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential rug vectors unconfirmed

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for CAPY. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The absence of sniper data may indicate the token launched without attracting bot/sniper attention, or that the data source does not cover this token's launch. With 2,358 unique buyers and 2,278 unique sellers in 24h, participation appears broadly distributed, but without sniper data, early buyer behavior and profit-taking risk cannot be quantified from this source.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no results.

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer PnL data available. The 364% price surge suggests early buyers (from the 60-holder pre-spike baseline) are likely in significant profit, but this cannot be confirmed from available data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Mr. Capy (CAPY)?

The token has already surged 364% in 24h on shallow $56.25K liquidity. The most recent hourly candle (13:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000819, hit a high of $0.0000819, then collapsed to a low of $0.0000153 before closing at $0.0000359 — a classic wick-down / rejection candle. The prior candle (12:00 UTC) was a strong bull candle closing at its high of $0.0000788. The current price of $0.000230 is significantly above both recent candles, suggesting the price data may reflect a very recent spike. With sells outnumbering buys (4,877 vs 3,449 transactions) and thin liquidity, short-term downside pressure is elevated. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000035 to $0.000310.

Is CAPY a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced speculative traders who can afford to lose 100% of their investment, understand meme token dynamics, and can actively monitor positions. Absolutely not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. Position sizing should be minimal given the extreme risk profile.

How are CAPY holders trending?

Mr. Capy currently has 761 holders and is growing (24h: 701, 7d: 701, 30d: 701). The holder data presents a highly anomalous pattern. For 30 consecutive days, the holder count was locked at exactly 60 with zero net change (0.00% daily delta). Then, in a single hour, 701 new holders appeared simultaneously with a 364% price spike. This is not consistent with organic community growth. Possible explanations include: (1) a coordinated pump with pre-arranged wallet distribution, (2) airdrop or transfer activity not captured in the acquisition breakdown (only 3 transfers recorded), (3) data pipeline artifacts, or (4) a genuine viral event. The acquisition data shows 758 holders acquired via swap and only 3 via transfer, which partially supports genuine buying activity, but the timing and magnitude remain highly suspicious. Investors should treat the holder count as unreliable for assessing community health.

What does sniper activity look like for CAPY?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding CAPY?

Critically shallow liquidity ($56.25K) makes the token highly manipulable and exit-illiquid • Anomalous holder spike (+701 in 1 hour after 30 days of zero growth) suggests coordinated activity • Top holder data unavailable — concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed

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