CAPY

Mr. Capy Price Today & AI Analysis

CAPYSolanaAnalysis as of Jun 22, 2026

Price

$0.052222

FDV $2,220

Contract

Live
2kS86z4i3m7MSkBmGS9YAaaoA7UCBTnXKm2Kg3f4pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

104

Market cap

$2,220

More tokens on Solana

UPPYUPPYUppy$0.052154+0.0%MC $2.2KApeApeApe$0.052492+6.3%MC $2.5KPIPIPYTHAGORAS$0.052205+0.0%MC $2.2KTARZANTARZANThe Little Tarzan$0.051847+0.0%MC $1.8KFERRISFERRISFerris$0.052130+0.0%MC $2.1KEVOEVOEvorum$0.056903+2.0%MC $690.3K

Mr. Capy: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-22 13:17 UTC

Holder addresses

761

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$56,249.86
How concentrated is Mr. Capy ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 761 addresses (2026-06-22 13:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Mr. Capy?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Mr. Capy liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-22 13:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $56,249.86. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-22 13:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Loading price chart…

Ask Unhosted AI about CAPY

Continue in chat

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Jun 22, 01:17 PM UTC

FDV

$230,407

Liquidity

$56,249.86

Holders

761

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Mr. Capy (CAPY) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$230K. The token has experienced an explosive 364% 24-hour price surge, but exhibits numerous red flags: extremely shallow liquidity ($56.25K), a sudden and suspicious holder spike of +701 holders in a single hour (from a 30-day flat baseline of 60), missing top-holder data, zero supply concentration metrics, and no sniper data. The data profile is highly anomalous and warrants extreme caution.

Key points

  • 364% 24h price surge on very thin $56.25K liquidity — highly susceptible to manipulation
  • Holder count jumped from 60 (flat for 30 days) to 761 in a single hour — statistically anomalous
  • Top holder data is entirely unavailable, making concentration risk unquantifiable
  • Mutable metadata is false (immutable), but update authority is unknown — authority risk unclear
  • Near-perfectly balanced buy/sell volume (49.2% / 50.8%) despite massive price move — unusual

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already surged 364% in 24h on shallow $56.25K liquidity. The most recent hourly candle (13:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000819, hit a high of $0.0000819, then collapsed to a low of $0.0000153 before closing at $0.0000359 — a classic wick-down / rejection candle. The prior candle (12:00 UTC) was a strong bull candle closing at its high of $0.0000788. The current price of $0.000230 is significantly above both recent candles, suggesting the price data may reflect a very recent spike. With sells outnumbering buys (4,877 vs 3,449 transactions) and thin liquidity, short-term downside pressure is elevated.

Target low

$0.000035

Target high

$0.000310

Support

$0.0000789 (prior candle close/high), $0.0000359 (candle [1] close), $0.0000153 (candle [1] low — major support floor)

Resistance

$0.000230 (current price / recent spike high), $0.000310 (estimated extension resistance)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Without sustained organic holder growth, meaningful liquidity depth, or verifiable on-chain fundamentals, medium-term price appreciation is unlikely. The token spent 30 days at 60 holders with zero activity before a sudden spike — this pattern is consistent with coordinated pump activity rather than organic growth. Reversion toward pre-pump levels is the base expectation.

Catalysts

  • Genuine viral meme adoption on social media (telegram/twitter listed)
  • Liquidity deepening via additional LP provision
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial spike

Bullish factors

  • Strong 364% 24h price surge demonstrates speculative demand
  • Balanced buy/sell volume suggests no immediate one-sided dump
  • 2,358 unique buyers in 24h shows broad participation
  • Immutable metadata (mutable: false) reduces certain rug vectors
  • Active social presence (telegram, twitter, website)

Bearish factors

  • Extremely shallow liquidity at $56.25K — large trades cause severe slippage
  • Sell transactions (4,877) significantly outnumber buy transactions (3,449)
  • 30 days of zero holder growth followed by sudden +701 spike is highly anomalous
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Recent hourly candle shows sharp rejection from highs (wick down pattern)
  • FDV of only $230K with no verifiable utility or ecosystem integration
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — authority risk unclear

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 OHLC candles available for technical analysis, (2) missing top-holder data making concentration risk unquantifiable, (3) anomalous holder spike that may reflect data artifacts or wash activity, (4) no sniper data, and (5) extreme price volatility on thin liquidity making any price target highly speculative.

CAPY call history

Full track record →

Jun 22bearish
24h-98.9%
7d-99.3%
30d-99.2%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
2kS86z...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 CAPY

Key Risks

  • Critically shallow liquidity ($56.25K) makes the token highly manipulable and exit-illiquid
  • Anomalous holder spike (+701 in 1 hour after 30 days of zero growth) suggests coordinated activity
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential rug vectors unconfirmed

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available. Candle [2] (12:00 UTC): O=$0.0000359, H=$0.0000788, L=$0.0000252, C=$0.0000788 — a strong bullish candle closing at its high, indicating strong buying momentum. Candle [1] (13:00 UTC): O=$0.0000819, H=$0.0000819, L=$0.0000153, C=$0.0000359 — a bearish candle with a long lower wick, opening at the high and closing near the lower third of the range. This is a bearish shooting star / inverted hammer pattern, signaling rejection of higher prices. The current price of $0.000230 is well above both candles, suggesting a subsequent spike occurred after the 13:00 candle closed. Volume was higher in candle [2] ($679K) vs candle [1] ($390K), suggesting the bullish move had more volume support than the subsequent rejection.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 364% 24h surge, but the most recent candle shows a sharp bearish rejection. Medium-term trend is effectively sideways/unknown given 30 days of dormancy prior to this event. The token has no established trend history.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

49%

Sell

51%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000789 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open area)

Major support

$0.0000153 (candle [1] absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000230 (current price / recent spike level)

Major resistance

$0.000310 (estimated 1.35x extension from current spike)

The $0.0000789 level is the first meaningful support, representing the prior bullish candle's close. Below that, $0.0000359 (candle [1] close) and $0.0000153 (candle [1] low) are key downside levels. On the upside, the current price of $0.000230 acts as resistance if the token retraces. With only 2 candles of data, these levels carry low confidence.

Notable patterns

  • Bullish engulfing / strong bull candle at 12:00 UTC (close at high)
  • Bearish shooting star / rejection candle at 13:00 UTC (open at high, long lower wick, close in lower third)
  • Volume declining on price spike (bearish divergence)
  • Gap-up from candle [1] close ($0.0000359) to current price ($0.000230) — parabolic move
  • 30-day dormancy followed by sudden activation — pump pattern

Liquidity

Liquidity

$56,249.86

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $56.25K against a 24h trading volume of over $1.06M — a volume-to-liquidity ratio exceeding 18:1. This means the pool is being turned over many times per day, creating extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position size. A trade of even $5,000 would represent ~8.9% of total liquidity, likely causing 10-30%+ slippage. The net flow is marginally negative (sell volume $543.19K vs buy volume $525.67K, a $17.5K net outflow), suggesting slight selling pressure dominates. The pair trades on PumpSwap (7L4ycrkA3zNBDNAAJDPNd4PnE7KmkrLSs4thF5Edxcxw). Despite 2,358 unique buyers vs 2,278 unique sellers (more buyers than sellers), the higher number of sell transactions (4,877 vs 3,449) indicates sellers are transacting more frequently, consistent with profit-taking behavior. Market health is poor due to thin liquidity.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 CAPY

FDV

$230,406.74

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    364% 24h price surge on thin $56.25K liquidity. The token has demonstrated extreme price swings within single hourly candles (e.g., candle [1] ranged from $0.0000153 to $0.0000819 — a 5.4x intra-hour range). A 5-minute gain of 22.4% at time of analysis confirms ongoing extreme volatility.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of $56.25K against $1.06M+ daily volume creates severe slippage risk. Any position above ~$1,000 will face meaningful price impact. Exit liquidity is extremely limited — large holders may be unable to exit without crashing the price.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Critically shallow liquidity ($56.25K) makes the token highly manipulable and exit-illiquid
  • Anomalous holder spike (+701 in 1 hour after 30 days of zero growth) suggests coordinated activity
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential rug vectors unconfirmed
  • Unverified contract with no established track record
  • Parabolic price move (364% in 24h) historically precedes sharp corrections in meme tokens
  • Early holders (original 60) sitting on massive unrealized gains represent significant sell pressure
  • No utility, ecosystem integration, or fundamental value proposition beyond meme speculation

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is immutable (mutable: false) — reduces metadata rug risk
  • Broadly distributed trading activity (2,358 unique buyers, 2,278 unique sellers)
  • Active social presence (telegram, twitter, website, moralis)
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline legitimacy vs. unknown DEXes
  • Near-balanced buy/sell volume suggests no immediate one-sided manipulation

Suitable for

Suitable ONLY for highly experienced speculative traders who can afford to lose 100% of their investment, understand meme token dynamics, and can actively monitor positions. Absolutely not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. Position sizing should be minimal given the extreme risk profile.

CAPY is a high-risk, speculative meme token on Solana that has experienced a dramatic 364% price surge in 24 hours. The investment case is almost entirely speculative, driven by meme momentum rather than fundamentals. Critical data gaps (missing top holders, unknown authorities, anomalous holder metrics) make rigorous analysis impossible. The risk/reward profile is extremely unfavorable for new entrants at current prices.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme momentum continues, attracting broader Solana community attention. The capybara meme theme resonates with crypto Twitter, driving sustained organic holder growth. Liquidity deepens as more LPs enter, reducing slippage. The token achieves a 5-10x from current FDV ($230K) to $1-2M FDV, consistent with successful Solana meme tokens.

  • Continued viral spread of the capybara meme narrative on crypto social media
  • Broader Solana meme season with rising SOL price lifting all meme tokens
  • Liquidity provision by new LPs deepening the pool beyond $56.25K
  • Sustained organic holder growth beyond the initial anomalous spike
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving new buyer waves

Base Case

The token experiences a partial retracement of 40-60% from peak, stabilizing at a FDV of $80-140K as some speculative interest persists but early holders take profits. Trading volume normalizes to $50-150K/day. Holder count stabilizes around 300-500 genuine holders. The token remains a low-liquidity speculative instrument with high volatility.

  • Some genuine retail interest sustains beyond the initial pump
  • Early holders distribute gradually rather than in a single dump
  • Liquidity remains at or near current $56.25K levels
  • No major negative catalyst (rug, exploit, or authority abuse)
  • Solana meme market conditions remain broadly neutral

Bear Case

High probability

The 364% pump was coordinated by early holders (the original 60) who are now distributing into retail buyers. Sell pressure from early holders overwhelms thin liquidity, causing a rapid 70-90% price collapse back toward pre-pump levels ($0.000020-$0.000050 range). The token returns to dormancy with 60-100 holders.

  • Early holders (original 60) taking profits after 364% surge
  • Thin $56.25K liquidity unable to absorb sell pressure
  • Anomalous holder spike proves to be bot/wash activity that reverses
  • No fundamental value to sustain price at elevated levels
  • Broader meme token fatigue or SOL price decline

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 22, 01:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-22 13:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis Solana Token Metadata API
  • Moralis Price API (USD and native SOL)
  • Moralis OHLC Candles API (hourly)
  • Moralis Trading Analytics API
  • Moralis Holder Metrics API
  • Moralis Historical Holders API (30-day daily series)
  • Moralis Top Holders API (returned no data)
  • Moralis Sniper Analysis API (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely limited and low-confidence
  • Top holder data returned no results — whale concentration and dump risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer behavior and smart money signals unavailable
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • Holder spike anomaly (+701 in 1 hour after 30-day flat) makes holder trend analysis unreliable
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data artifacts, not real values
  • Price % change fields for 1h, 6h, 24h all show 0% despite a 364% 24h change — data inconsistency
  • Current price ($0.000230) is significantly above both available OHLC candles — gap in candle data
  • No historical price data beyond 2 candles — no medium-term trend analysis possible
  • Token is unverified — on-chain contract code cannot be assessed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in CAPY. All data is sourced from third-party APIs and may contain errors or gaps. Past price performance does not predict future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Mr. Capy ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 761 addresses (2026-06-22 13:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Mr. Capy?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Mr. Capy liquidity falling?

As of 2026-06-22 13:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $56,249.86. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Mr. Capy (CAPY)?

The token has already surged 364% in 24h on shallow $56.25K liquidity. The most recent hourly candle (13:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000819, hit a high of $0.0000819, then collapsed to a low of $0.0000153 before closing at $0.0000359 — a classic wick-down / rejection candle. The prior candle (12:00 UTC) was a strong bull candle closing at its high of $0.0000788. The current price of $0.000230 is significantly above both recent candles, suggesting the price data may reflect a very recent spike. With sells outnumbering buys (4,877 vs 3,449 transactions) and thin liquidity, short-term downside pressure is elevated. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000035 to $0.000310.

Is CAPY a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced speculative traders who can afford to lose 100% of their investment, understand meme token dynamics, and can actively monitor positions. Absolutely not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. Position sizing should be minimal given the extreme risk profile.

What are the key risks of holding CAPY?

Critically shallow liquidity ($56.25K) makes the token highly manipulable and exit-illiquid • Anomalous holder spike (+701 in 1 hour after 30 days of zero growth) suggests coordinated activity • Top holder data unavailable — concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed

← Back to all predictions

Track CAPY