LEAN

Lean Price Today & AI Analysis

LEANSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 21, 2026

Price

$0.000201

+291.14% 24h · FDV $201,000

Contract

Live
2Hm8qcnud7LEes2inqHcohQKcD7sqAqX8wb9W2uxwB7g

Chain

Solana

Holders

871

Market cap

$201,000

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Lean: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-21 09:15 UTC

Holder addresses

871

Top 10 supply share

38.56%

Reported liquidity

$20,897.00
How concentrated is Lean ownership?
As of 2026-09-21 09:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 38.56% of supply. It reports 871 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Lean?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-21 09:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $373,557.00 in buys and $352,242.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Lean liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +528.64%, from $3,447.92 (2026-09-21 05:00 UTC) to $21,675.09 (2026-09-21 09:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-21 09:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-21 05:00 UTC$3,447.92
2026-09-21 06:00 UTC$18,188.32
2026-09-21 07:00 UTC$23,154.95
2026-09-21 08:00 UTC$29,513.38
2026-09-21 09:00 UTC$21,675.09

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Sep 21, 09:16 AM UTC

FDV

$201,000

Liquidity

$20,897.00

Holders

871

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

LEAN (2Hm8qcnud7LEes2inqHcohQKcD7sqAqX8wb9W2uxwB7g) is a Solana token trading on a Raydium CPMM pool with a current price of ~$0.000201, a $201K fully diluted valuation, and only $20.9K in total liquidity. The token just experienced an extreme +291% 24h price spike that peaked near $0.000630 before reversing sharply (-59.69% in the last hour), a pattern consistent with a speculative blow-off top in a thinly-liquid market. Top-10 holders control 38.56% of the 871 recorded holder addresses' supply, and critical security data (mint/freeze authority, contract verification) and historical holder/sniper data are all unavailable, leaving material blind spots in the risk picture.

Key points

  • Extreme, already-reversing volatility: +291% 24h but -59.69% in the last hour alone
  • Very shallow liquidity ($20.9K) relative to $201K FDV and $370K+ daily volume, implying high slippage/manipulation potential
  • 38.56% top-10 holder concentration with no wallet identity/classification data available
  • Complete absence of mint/freeze authority verification and sniper coverage, representing unresolved security and dump-risk unknowns

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1-24 hours

bearish

Momentum has turned negative in the immediate term (-59.69% over 1h, -19.54% over 5m) right after a parabolic spike to $0.000630, which is a classic pattern of exhaustion following a blow-off top. Absent fresh buy volume, price is more likely to continue retracing toward the immediate support near $0.000183, with risk of a deeper slide into the $0.00007–$0.00002 pre-breakout base if that level fails.

Target low

$0.00007

Target high

$0.00025

Support

$0.000183, $0.0000686, $0.0000219

Resistance

$0.000235, $0.000283, $0.000630

Medium term · 3-14 days

neutral

Medium-term direction is highly uncertain given the token's extreme volatility, shallow $20.9K liquidity pool, and lack of verified authority/security data. Sustained upside would require renewed buy-side volume and liquidity growth, while continued thin liquidity and any large holder (38.56% top-10 concentration) exiting could trigger sharp downside. No fundamental catalysts (roadmap, verified socials beyond twitter/website, audits) are evidenced in the data.

Catalysts

  • Potential renewed retail/social-driven buying interest (token has active twitter/website links)
  • Any increase in liquidity depth that would reduce slippage and attract larger buyers
  • Risk catalyst: large top-10 holder(s) distributing into any bounce, given 38.56% concentration and unknown wallet identities
  • Risk catalyst: unresolved mint/freeze authority status could surface negative news if authorities are found to be active

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume ($373.56K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($352.24K), with more unique buyers (1,830) than sellers (1,342)
  • Token has already demonstrated a large upward move (+291% 24h), showing it can attract speculative momentum-driven flow
  • Active twitter and website social presence suggests some ongoing community/marketing activity

Bearish factors

  • Sharp reversal already underway: -59.69% over the last hour and -19.54% over the last 5 minutes
  • Volume climax followed by steep drop-off on the most recent candle, a textbook exhaustion signal after a parabolic spike
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($20.9K) relative to $201K FDV and $370K+ daily volume, making the price prone to sharp reversals and manipulation
  • Top-10 holders control 38.56% of supply with no visibility into their identity or intent
  • Mint/freeze authority and contract verification status are all unknown, leaving open the risk of dilution or account freezes
  • No sniper or holder-history data available to corroborate whether the rally is organic or bot/wash-driven

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because the data available is limited to a short 5-candle window, aggregate holder snapshot without history, no sniper data, and unknown authority/verification status. The token's extreme volatility (291% 24h move, -59.69% 1h move) and shallow liquidity make short-term price behavior inherently unpredictable, and there is insufficient fundamental data (contract verification, authority status, holder trend) to support a higher-confidence directional call.

LEAN call history

Full track record →

Sep 21bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
2Hm8qc...wB7g
Total Supply
999,908,904.625055 LEAN

Key Risks

  • Extreme short-term volatility: +291% in 24h, -59.69% in the last hour, -19.54% in the last 5 minutes
  • Very shallow liquidity ($20.9K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Top-10 wallets hold 38.56% of supply with no visibility into whether these are insiders, LPs, or exchanges
  • Mint/freeze authority status unknown — cannot rule out future minting dilution or account freezes

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The most recent 5 hourly candles show a violent pump-and-partial-retrace pattern: price opened near $0.00000379, spiked intra-candle to $0.0000437, pulled back to $0.00000686, then surged through candle 3 (open $0.0000261 to high $0.000283, close $0.000235) and candle 4 (high $0.000630, close $0.000380) before candle 5 rolled over, printing a high of $0.000395 and a low of $0.000183, closing at $0.000201 — essentially giving back roughly two-thirds of the peak gains within the final hour.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Medium-term (5-hour window) the token is up dramatically (from ~$0.0000038 to ~$0.0002, a multiple of over 50x), consistent with the reported +291% 24h change. However, short-term momentum has reversed sharply: price is down 59.69% over the last 1h and down 19.54% in the last 5 minutes, and the most recent candle shows a lower high and lower close than candle 4, suggesting the parabolic move has stalled and is now correcting.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

52%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000183 (candle 5 low)

Major support

$0.0000686–$0.0000219 (candle 2 low / candle 3 low zone, pre-breakout base)

Immediate resistance

$0.000283 (candle 3 high) / $0.000235 (candle 3 close)

Major resistance

$0.000630 (candle 4 high, the parabolic peak)

The token broke out of a sub-$0.00003 base into a spike that topped at $0.000630 before rejecting hard. Immediate support sits at the candle 5 low of $0.000183; a break below that reopens downside toward the $0.00007–$0.00002 pre-breakout zone. Immediate resistance is the recent consolidation area around $0.000235–$0.000283; reclaiming and holding above $0.000283 would be needed to challenge the $0.000630 peak again.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic spike / blow-off top across candles 3-4 followed by a sharp rejection in candle 5
  • Lower high and lower close in the most recent candle versus the prior candle, signaling loss of upward momentum
  • Volume climax on the breakout candle (540K) followed by a steep volume drop-off (43K) on the rejection candle, a classic exhaustion signature
  • High intra-candle wick ranges throughout, indicating extreme volatility and thin-liquidity price discovery

Liquidity

Liquidity

$20,897.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of just $20.9K is extremely shallow relative to the $201K FDV and the $373.56K/$352.24K in 24h buy/sell volume — turnover is roughly 35x the pool's liquidity in a single day, implying that even modest-sized trades can cause outsized slippage and price swings (as evidenced by the candle data, where price moved from ~$0.0000038 to ~$0.00063 and back to ~$0.0002 within 5 hours). Buy volume slightly exceeds sell volume (51.5% vs 48.5%) and buyers (1,830) outnumber sellers (1,342), suggesting mild net inflow/demand over the 24h window, but this is happening against a very thin liquidity base, meaning the 'inflow' signal is fragile and could reverse sharply on a large sell order.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,908,904.625055 LEAN

FDV

$201,000

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    24h price change of +291.14%, with 1h change of -59.69% and 5m change of -19.54%. Hourly candles show extreme swings, e.g. a low of $0.0000038 to a high of $0.00063 within a 4-hour span, then falling back to ~$0.0002 — this is exceptionally volatile even by memecoin standards.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $20.90K against $201K FDV and ~$373K/$352K in 24h buy/sell volume. This shallow pool means large trades can cause severe slippage and price impact, and liquidity could be pulled or drained quickly.

  • Concentrationhigh

    Top-10 holders control 38.56% of total supply. Top-100 concentration and wallet classifications are unavailable, so the full concentration picture (including whether any of the top 10 are LP/contract addresses) cannot be assessed, but the available figure alone signals meaningful concentration risk.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme short-term volatility: +291% in 24h, -59.69% in the last hour, -19.54% in the last 5 minutes
  • Very shallow liquidity ($20.9K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Top-10 wallets hold 38.56% of supply with no visibility into whether these are insiders, LPs, or exchanges
  • Mint/freeze authority status unknown — cannot rule out future minting dilution or account freezes
  • No sniper coverage data available, so early-buyer dumping risk cannot be evaluated
  • No historical holder trend data to confirm organic growth vs. bot/wash activity
  • Token has no description provided and unknown verification/spam status, both of which are unresolved red flags

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy volume ($373.56K) modestly exceeds sell volume ($352.24K), and unique buyers (1,830) exceed unique sellers (1,342), indicating some net demand over the period
  • Trading activity (thousands of buys/sells, thousands of unique wallets) suggests the token is not completely illiquid or abandoned at this moment

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders who fully understand shallow-liquidity memecoin dynamics and can accept the possibility of total capital loss. Not suitable for risk-averse or inexperienced investors, or for any allocation representing meaningful portfolio value, given the unresolved authority risk, thin liquidity, and extreme volatility.

LEAN is a low-liquidity, high-volatility Solana token that just experienced an extreme parabolic price spike (+291% in 24h, peaking near $0.000630) followed by an immediate sharp reversal (-59.69% in the last hour). With only $20.9K in total liquidity, a $201K FDV, 38.56% top-10 holder concentration, unknown mint/freeze authority status, and no sniper or holder-history data, this token carries very high speculative risk typical of a nascent, thinly-traded memecoin. Any position should be sized accordingly and treated as high-risk speculation, not investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If buy-side momentum reignites — supported by the current modest net positive flow (51.5% buy vs 48.5% sell volume, 1,830 vs 1,342 unique buyers/sellers) and continued social/community engagement via its twitter and website — price could reclaim the $0.000283–$0.000630 range on renewed speculative interest, especially if liquidity depth improves to support larger buy orders.

  • Renewed retail momentum and social media attention
  • Liquidity providers adding depth to the pool, reducing slippage and attracting bigger buyers
  • No large top-10 holder sell-off materializing in the near term

Base Case

Price likely continues to consolidate with elevated volatility in a wide range roughly between $0.00007 and $0.00025 over the coming days, oscillating based on short-term speculative flows rather than any fundamental catalyst, given the absence of verified contract security data, holder history, or sniper visibility.

  • No major liquidity injection or withdrawal occurs in the near term
  • No confirmed rug-pull event (mint/freeze exploit) materializes, though this cannot be ruled out given unknown authority status
  • Trading remains dominated by short-term speculative/momentum participants rather than long-term holders

Bear Case

Medium probability

The parabolic spike to $0.000630 was a blow-off top on climax volume, and the sharp -59.69% 1h decline and -19.54% 5m decline suggest the reversal is already in motion. Given the shallow $20.9K liquidity pool, a concentrated top-10 holder base (38.56%), and unknown mint/freeze authority protections, price could retrace most or all of the recent gains, potentially back toward the pre-breakout $0.00002–$0.00007 zone.

  • Exhaustion pattern confirmed by falling volume on the reversal candle
  • Thin liquidity amplifying downside moves on any meaningful sell pressure
  • Concentrated holder base creating dump risk if any top-10 wallet exits
  • Unresolved authority/verification risk deterring larger buyers

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 21, 09:16 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-21 09:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • Price and OHLC candle data (5 most recent hourly candles, Raydium CPMM pool)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, price % change)
  • Holder aggregates snapshot (Codex) — current holder count and top-10 concentration only
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 5 hourly OHLC candles were provided, insufficient for robust technical analysis or longer-term trend confirmation
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d growth) was available — only a single current snapshot of holder count and top-10 concentration
  • No sniper data was available, preventing assessment of early-buyer/dump risk
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, contract verification, and spam status are all unknown, preventing a full security assessment
  • Top-100 holder concentration and wallet classifications (team, LP, exchange, etc.) were not provided
  • No description, audit, or roadmap information was available for fundamental evaluation

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based solely on the limited on-chain and market data provided, which contains significant gaps (holder history, sniper coverage, mint/freeze authority status, contract verification). The token exhibits extreme volatility and very high risk characteristics. Any investment decision should involve independent due diligence, verification of contract security via on-chain tools, and should not be based on this report alone. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in low-liquidity/high-volatility tokens, carry a high risk of significant or total capital loss.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Lean ownership?

As of 2026-09-21 09:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 38.56% of supply. It reports 871 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Lean?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-21 09:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $373,557.00 in buys and $352,242.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Lean liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +528.64%, from $3,447.92 (2026-09-21 05:00 UTC) to $21,675.09 (2026-09-21 09:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Lean (LEAN)?

Momentum has turned negative in the immediate term (-59.69% over 1h, -19.54% over 5m) right after a parabolic spike to $0.000630, which is a classic pattern of exhaustion following a blow-off top. Absent fresh buy volume, price is more likely to continue retracing toward the immediate support near $0.000183, with risk of a deeper slide into the $0.00007–$0.00002 pre-breakout base if that level fails. Short-term outlook is bearish (1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.00007 to $0.00025.

Is LEAN a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders who fully understand shallow-liquidity memecoin dynamics and can accept the possibility of total capital loss. Not suitable for risk-averse or inexperienced investors, or for any allocation representing meaningful portfolio value, given the unresolved authority risk, thin liquidity, and extreme volatility.

What are the key risks of holding LEAN?

Extreme short-term volatility: +291% in 24h, -59.69% in the last hour, -19.54% in the last 5 minutes • Very shallow liquidity ($20.9K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk • Top-10 wallets hold 38.56% of supply with no visibility into whether these are insiders, LPs, or exchanges

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