Firefly Aerospace Inc. • Robinhood Token (FLY) Price Today & AI Analysis
Price
$18.38
+2.9% 24h
Market cap
24h volume
Liquidity
Holders
Top-10 hold
Chain volume rank
At a $1M market cap, $FLY would be $372.19 (20.3x from today’s price)
Market cap calculatorAI report generated Sep 12, 2026 · report figures computed from Unhosted market data as of that date; the headline price refreshes independently
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Firefly Aerospace Inc. • Robinhood Token: holders, selling & liquidity
2026-09-12 01:00 UTC
Holder addresses
Top 10 supply share
Reported liquidity
- How concentrated is Firefly Aerospace Inc. • Robinhood Token ownership?
- As of 2026-09-12 01:00 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 12.70% of supply. It reports 110 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
- Are large holders selling Firefly Aerospace Inc. • Robinhood Token?
- This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
- Is Firefly Aerospace Inc. • Robinhood Token liquidity falling?
- As of 2026-09-12 01:00 UTC, reported liquidity was $32,961.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations
Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-09-12 01:00 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.
Recent swap evidence
Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.
1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.
Ask Wick about this chartAI Summary
Short term
Medium term
Confidence
Risk
FLY is a Robinhood Chain token structured to track Firefly Aerospace Inc. stock, launched just 46 days ago on 2026-07-27 and trading at $21.23 as of 2026-09-12. It sits outside the top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens by volume, with moderate liquidity of $32,961 against churning 24h volume of $175,782. The token is down 17.6% since its $25.75 launch price and currently trades near the bottom of its since-launch range.
Key points
- Down 17.6% since 2026-08-10 launch ($25.75 -> $21.23), sitting at just 17% of its $14.73–$53.15 since-launch range
- Turnover ratio of 5.33x on $32,961 liquidity signals churning trading and elevated slippage risk
- Daily trend down with 30d change of -17.6% and 7d change of -3.5%; price is off its highs
- 110 holders with a distributed 12.7% top-10 concentration, but no growth history available
- 14 same-symbol FLY tokens exist on other chains, some with far deeper liquidity — always verify this exact contract before trading
FLY AI Price Analysis
Targets anchored to computed swing levels — never invented
Short term (24h–7d): bearish
bearishIntraday structure is ranging within a downtrend, with price recently down 5.8% over the analyzed 1h window and sitting just above nearby support.
Medium term (30d–90d): bearish
bearishThe 30-day decline of -17.6% and the token's position near the low end of its since-launch range point to continued weakness absent a clear reversal catalyst in the computed data.
Catalysts to watch
- A recovery toward the $53.15 since-launch high would require a major structural shift not currently indicated by the data
- Sustained volume above the churning 5.33x turnover ratio could either stabilize or further destabilize price depending on direction
- Any change in the underlying Firefly Aerospace Inc. stock price given this token's function as a price-tracking wrapper
Target low
Target high
Using the nearest computed swing levels: support at $21.17 as the downside target and resistance at $21.43 as the near-term upside cap; the token is currently trading right between these two closely-spaced levels.
| Level | Price | vs now |
|---|---|---|
| Major resistance | $53.15 | +189.2% |
| Immediate resistance | $21.43 | +16.6% |
| Immediate support | $21.17 | +15.2% |
| Price now | $18.38 | |
| Major support | $14.73 | -19.9% |
Levels as of Sep 12, 2026 · the price row is live
Confidence low: The token is only 46 days old with a thin 34-daily-bar history and churning turnover, meaning the sample size and liquidity depth are both limited; short-term price swings (best day +39.6%, worst day -28.7%) show the data can move sharply, undermining confidence in any directional call.
Market Structure
Computed from real hourly + daily bars
Trend
Structure
Breakout
Volatility
Versus high
7d change
Range position
Daily volatility
Candles
The daily chart shows a clear downtrend: -3.5% over 7 days and -17.6% over 30 days, with price at just 17% of its $14.73–$53.15 since-launch range — firmly in off-highs territory. Intraday 1h bars (73 analyzed) confirm the downward trend with a ranging structure and low volatility, and the breakout classification is in-range, suggesting no immediate directional break is underway. Daily volatility of 9.8% is substantial for a stock-tracking token, and the tight support/resistance cluster at $21.17/$21.43 sits right at the current price, making this a pivotal zone to watch.
Liquidity & Turnover Risk
The exit-risk math competitors skip
Liquidity
24h volume
Turnover
| Pool | Liquidity | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Uniswap | $33.0K | $175.8K |
| Uniswap | $6.7K | $30.8K |
| Uniswap | $12.9K | $9.4K |
FLY's primary Uniswap pair holds $32,961 in liquidity against $175,782 in 24h volume, a turnover ratio of 5.33x that the data labels churning. Liquidity is fragmented across five Uniswap pairs, several with sub-$200 liquidity but disproportionately high volume (e.g., $149 liquidity against $64,472 volume), a pattern consistent with thin, high-slippage pools rather than deep, stable markets. For traders, this means larger orders are likely to move price meaningfully, and exiting a sizable position could face real slippage risk.
Holder Concentration
Aggregate on-chain holder data
Holders
Top-10 share
Holder growth history and per-wallet data are not available on this chain's data plan — this report never estimates them.
FLY has 110 holders as of the report data, categorized as a small base, with the top 10 holders controlling 12.7% of supply — a distributed concentration that reduces single-wallet dump risk relative to more concentrated tokens. However, holder growth history and per-wallet transaction data are not available, so it's not possible to assess whether the holder base is expanding, shrinking, or churning over time.
Launch Report
34 trading days since launch
Launched
Launch price
Since launch
ATH / ATL
Best / worst day
Green vs red days
FLY launched on 2026-08-10 at $25.75 and has since fallen 17.6% to $21.23 over 34 daily bars, with a since-launch high of $53.15 and low of $14.73 — meaning current price sits far below its peak. The daily bar count skews positive (21 green days vs 13 red days), yet the token is still down overall, indicating that a small number of large negative days (worst day -28.7%) outweighed more frequent smaller gains (best day +39.6%). This asymmetric volatility profile is typical of a newly launched, thinly traded instrument.
Robinhood Chain Context
Rank within the top 200 chain tokens by volume
Volume rank
Liquidity rank
Holders rank
Robinhood Chain is a public blockchain. Tokens trading on it — including this one, unless it follows the official "• Robinhood Token" issuer naming — are third-party assets, not products of Robinhood Markets, Inc. Always verify the contract address before trading.
FLY ranks outside the top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens by volume, with liquidity rank, holders rank, and volume-share data all unavailable. This places FLY in the long tail of the Robinhood Chain token universe by the only ranking metric available, suggesting limited relative trading activity compared to chain leaders.
Contract & Authenticity Check
Verify before you trade — same-symbol tokens exist
Contract address on Robinhood Chain (as indexed by this report)
0x03bc731ffb162cdd7b98d3c6542bfc291126075dCreator-supplied links: WebsiteX / Twitter
At least 14 other “FLY” tokens exist
A same-symbol token on another chain carries far deeper liquidity than this one — this contract may itself be the derivative. Do your own verification before assuming either is “the real one”.
At least 14 same-symbol "FLY" tokens exist on other networks, including two on Base — one with $4,599,909 in liquidity and 5 holders, another with $3,721,474 in liquidity — and one on network #80084 showing an implausibly large liquidity figure with only 2 holders and zero volume, likely a broken or manipulated listing. This Robinhood Chain contract (0x03bc731ffb162cdd7b98d3c6542bfc291126075d) should not be assumed the canonical FLY asset; always confirm the exact contract address, as liquidity and holder profiles vary drastically across these same-symbol tokens.
| Name | Chain | Liquidity | Holders |
|---|---|---|---|
| fly | network #80084 | $719479.41B | 2 |
| FLY | Base | $4.60M | 5 |
| Flying Wheel | Base | $3.72M | — |
Tokenized FLY — how this differs from the stock
FLY is designed to track the price of Firefly Aerospace Inc. stock and trades 24/7 on-chain, unlike the underlying equity which only trades during market hours — this means FLY's price can diverge from the stock's official exchange close, especially overnight or on weekends.
FLY is an issuer-created wrapper product that provides price exposure to Firefly Aerospace Inc. stock; holding the token does not confer shareholder rights such as voting or dividends, and it is not the underlying share itself.
Bull Case
- Holder concentration is distributed, with the top 10 wallets holding only 12.7% of supply, reducing single-party dump risk
- 21 of the 34 daily bars since launch were green, showing frequent (if smaller) up days despite the overall decline
- Moderate liquidity of $32,961 provides some depth relative to a newly launched token
Bear Case
- Price is down 17.6% since launch and sitting at just 17% of its since-launch range, near multi-week lows
- Turnover ratio of 5.33x indicates churning trading against thin liquidity, raising slippage and exit risk
- Daily trend is down across 7d and 30d windows with 9.8% daily volatility, and the token ranks outside the top 200 Robinhood Chain tokens by volume
- Only 46 days of trading history and unverified issuer identity add structural uncertainty beyond normal market risk
Who this suits
FLY's combination of a 46-day trading history, churning turnover, thin multi-pair liquidity, and a confirmed downtrend makes it suitable only for risk-tolerant participants who understand tokenized-stock wrapper mechanics and can withstand high volatility and potential slippage; it is not appropriate for conservative or income-focused holdings.
FLY call history
Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.
FLY FAQ
Answers reflect data as of Sep 12, 2026
How concentrated is Firefly Aerospace Inc. • Robinhood Token ownership?
As of 2026-09-12 01:00 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 12.70% of supply. It reports 110 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Firefly Aerospace Inc. • Robinhood Token?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Firefly Aerospace Inc. • Robinhood Token liquidity falling?
As of 2026-09-12 01:00 UTC, reported liquidity was $32,961.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
What is Firefly Aerospace Inc. • Robinhood Token (FLY)?
FLY is a Robinhood Chain token structured as an issuer product designed to track the price of Firefly Aerospace Inc. stock. It launched 46 days before this report and does not represent direct share ownership — it gives on-chain price exposure to the underlying stock. The issuer's cryptographic identity is not independently verified, so treat the name-match as a heuristic, not confirmed proof.
What is FLY's price and market cap as of 2026-09-12?
As of 2026-09-12, FLY trades at $21.23, down 17.6% since its 2026-08-10 launch price of $25.75. Market cap figures are not available in the computed data. Since launch the token has ranged from a low of $14.73 to a high of $53.15.
Is FLY legit, and could there be copycat tokens?
There are 14 same-symbol "FLY" tokens found on other networks in a capped search window, including one on Base with $4,599,909 in liquidity and 5 holders, and another on Base with $3,721,474 in liquidity. One token on network #80084 shows liquidity of $719,479,410,505,000 with only 2 holders and zero 24h volume — a figure so extreme it signals a broken or manipulated pool rather than real liquidity. This Robinhood Chain FLY contract (0x03bc731ffb162cdd7b98d3c6542bfc291126075d) should never be assumed to be the canonical asset; always verify the exact contract address before trading, since same-symbol tokens elsewhere carry deeper or wildly different liquidity profiles.
How concentrated is FLY's holder base?
As of 2026-09-12, FLY has 110 holders, a small base, with the top 10 wallets controlling 12.7% of supply — a distributed concentration by the computed figures. Holder growth history and per-wallet transaction data are not available, so trend direction in the holder base cannot be assessed.
How liquid is FLY, and what's the exit risk?
As of 2026-09-12, FLY has $32,961 in liquidity on its primary Uniswap pair against $175,782 in 24h volume, producing a churning turnover ratio of 5.33x. That ratio means daily trading volume is more than five times the available liquidity, which typically means higher slippage risk on larger orders and a market prone to sharp price swings on relatively modest trade sizes.
How has FLY performed since launch, and what's the trend?
Since its 2026-08-10 launch at $25.75, FLY is down 17.6% to $21.23 as of 2026-09-12, with a best single day of +39.6% and a worst day of -28.7% across 34 daily bars (21 green days, 13 red days). The 30-day change is -17.6% and the 7-day change is -3.5%, with price currently sitting near just 17% of its since-launch $14.73–$53.15 range — well off its highs.
How do I buy FLY on Robinhood Chain?
FLY trades on Robinhood Chain (chainId 4663) at contract address 0x03bc731ffb162cdd7b98d3c6542bfc291126075d via decentralized exchange pairs such as Uniswap. Buyers should confirm this exact contract address before swapping, since same-symbol tokens exist on other networks. Official Robinhood documentation and social channels are linked at docs.robinhood.com/rhj and twitter.com/RobinhoodCrypto for further verification.
What's the price outlook for FLY?
The short-term (24h-7d) outlook is bearish given the downward intraday trend and the price sitting near the bottom of its range, with support near $21.17/$14.73 and resistance near $21.43/$53.15 as computed key levels. The medium-term (30d-90d) outlook is also bearish given the -17.6% 30-day decline, though confidence is low given the token's 46-day age and churning liquidity, which make trend continuation less reliable.
Methodology & Data Sources
Data sources
- Unhosted DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity, pairs)
- Daily and hourly OHLC price history
- Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration
- Robinhood Chain token universe rankings (top 200 by volume)
Limitations
- Holder growth history, per-wallet whale lists, and holder size-tier distribution are not available for Robinhood Chain on the current data plan.
- No contract security score or audit data was available — security is not assessed in this report.
- The token trades on a young chain (mainnet July 2026); historical depth is limited to the token’s own trading history.
- Issuer identity is not cryptographically verified — the naming/market-footprint match to Firefly Aerospace Inc. is heuristic, not confirmed on-chain proof.
- Chain-context ranks (liquidity, holders, volume share) are unavailable beyond the 'outside top 200' volume rank, limiting comparative sizing on Robinhood Chain.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research.
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