M

Marginalia Price Today & AI Analysis

MARGEthereumAnalysis as of Oct 11, 2026

Price

$0.045996

+158.29% 24h

Contract

Live
0xfa0efea559bde229031c2b0a219472316647759c

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

175

Market cap

$59.96K

Liquidity

$12.19K

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Marginalia: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-11 16:30 UTC

Holder addresses

196

Top 10 supply share

27.72%

Reported liquidity

$19,436.00
How concentrated is Marginalia ownership?
As of 2026-10-11 16:30 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 27.72% of supply. It reports 196 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Marginalia?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-11 16:30 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $40,750.00 in buys and $23,250.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Marginalia liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +106.55%, from $19,658.82 (2026-10-11 13:00 UTC) to $40,604.69 (2026-10-11 16:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-11 16:30 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-11 13:00 UTC$19,658.82
2026-10-11 14:00 UTC$27,249.77
2026-10-11 15:00 UTC$38,079.56
2026-10-11 16:00 UTC$40,604.69

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 11, 2026, 04:30 PM UTC

Market Cap

$89.15K

24h Volume

$64.00K

Liquidity

$19.44K

FDV

—

Holders

196

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

Marginalia (MARG) is an Ethereum token trading on Uniswap, created 3 hours before this analysis. It trades at about $0.0000891 with a market cap and FDV of $89,151 on a 1 billion fully circulating supply. It has $19,436 in liquidity and 196 holders. There is no description, category or social presence, and the early price action is extremely volatile.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 11, 2026, 04:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Only 3 hours old, so there is no price history to evaluate
  • Fully circulating 1B supply, so FDV equals market cap
  • Top-10 holders control 27.7% in aggregate, though wallet-level detail is unavailable

Marginalia AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

MARG is only 3 hours old and no daily OHLC history exists, so there is no multi-window trend to anchor a call. The 284% 4h/24h gain (which is the full lifetime of the token) is already being unwound: the price fell 26.5% in the last hour, and the 1h flow flipped to 61 sells versus 51 buys from 53 unique sellers versus 41 unique buyers. A sharp spike followed by seller-dominated flow leans bearish for the next 24h-7d.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Brand-new, uncategorised tokens with no description, no social links and about $19.4K of liquidity usually see launch-day momentum fade. Without price history, fundamentals or a visible community, there is no data-backed basis for a sustained recovery. This call is low conviction because there is no history to measure.

Bullish Factors

  • 24h buy volume of $40,750 exceeds sell volume of $23,250 (63.7% buy pressure), with 146 unique buyers versus 79 unique sellers over the token's life
  • 196 holders within 3 hours shows early distribution of the token beyond a handful of wallets

Bearish Factors

  • Price fell 26.5% in the last hour after a 284% rise, and 1h flow turned sell-dominated (61 sells versus 51 buys)
  • Liquidity of about $19.4K against an $89.2K market cap leaves a thin pool that is easy to move or drain
  • No description, no social links and no category data mean no identifiable project behind the token
  • No contract-security, deployer or launch-allocation data was available, so insider risk cannot be ruled out

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

MARG call history

Full track record →

Oct 11bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xfa0e...759c
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Launch-phase volatility with sell pressure emerging in the latest hour
  • Thin liquidity relative to market cap magnifies slippage and exit risk
  • No information on the project, deployer or launch allocation, so insider risk cannot be ruled out

Trading Insight

bearish

Over the token's lifetime buyers outnumber sellers, but the most recent hour reversed, with sells (61) exceeding buys (51) and a 26.5% price drop. The 24h figures are essentially the whole life of the token, so the short-term turn matters most.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The last hour's 26.5% drop shows a retracement from the launch spike. There is no daily history, so no medium-term trend can be established and it is labelled sideways by default.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

No RSI or similar indicators can be computed without OHLC history. Momentum was extremely overbought during the 284% run and is now cooling, with the 5-minute change at +0.9% showing a tentative pause.

Volume Analysis

Buy

63.7%

Sell

36.3%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Buy transactions in the latest hour (51) are about a quarter of the lifetime total (194), and sells (61) now exceed buys, which shows buy-side demand cooling after the initial surge.

Recent Price Action

A parabolic launch spike followed by a sharp one-hour retracement and a flat 5-minute reading.

This pattern often marks early profit-taking after launch. Whether the retracement continues depends on liquidity and fresh demand, neither of which can be assessed from history.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A 284% gain and 26.5% one-hour drop within 3 hours show extreme volatility.

  • LiquidityHigh

    About $19.4K of liquidity means modest trades can cause significant slippage, and exits may be difficult during sell pressure.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top-10 holders own 27.7% in aggregate, but wallet-level classification is unavailable, so dumpable supply cannot be determined.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Anonymous, uncategorised tokens with no identifiable team face general regulatory uncertainty.

Key Risks

  • Launch-phase volatility with sell pressure emerging in the latest hour
  • Thin liquidity relative to market cap magnifies slippage and exit risk
  • No information on the project, deployer or launch allocation, so insider risk cannot be ruled out

Mitigating Factors

  • Lifetime buy volume exceeds sell volume, with more unique buyers than sellers
  • 196 holders suggests some breadth of early participation

Investor Suitability

Only suitable for experienced, high-risk-tolerance traders who can absorb a total loss and who verify the contract independently.

MARG is a 3-hour-old token with no fundamentals, history or verifiable project information. Any thesis is a short-term trading view rather than an investment case.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Fresh buyers absorb early profit-taking, liquidity grows and the project publishes credible information, supporting a renewed move higher.

  • Liquidity additions that deepen the pool
  • Renewed buying after the retracement

Base Case

Continued volatile retracement with the price settling well below the launch spike while activity fades.

  • Launch hype fades without identifiable catalysts
  • Liquidity stays thin

Bear Case

High probability

Early buyers keep taking profit, volume dries up and the price keeps retracing the launch spike, with thin liquidity amplifying the decline.

  • Sell-dominated flow in the latest hour
  • Thin liquidity and no project information

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 11, 2026, 04:30 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-11 16:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.0000891514641369

Market Cap

$89.2K

24h Volume

$64.0K

Holders

196

Liquidity

$19,436.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • No OHLC history exists because the token is only 3 hours old
  • Per-wallet holder, deployer and launch-allocation data were unavailable
  • Smart-money data was unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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