HEMI

Hemi Price Today & AI Analysis

HEMI
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 20, 2026

$0.0168

+10.23%24h
LiveContract:0xeb964a1a6fab73b8c72a0d15c7337fa4804f484dChain:EthereumHolders:1.7KMarket cap:$167.89MLiquidity:$83.54K

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What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 20, 2026, 11:17 PM UTC
Market Cap

$4.43M

24h Volume

$52.90K

Liquidity

$93.71K

FDV

—

Holders

1.6K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

HEMI is a 43-day-old Ethereum-based utility token for the Hemi Network, a modular Layer-2 protocol positioning itself as a Bitcoin-Ethereum supernetwork with cross-chain developer tooling including the hVM. At a market cap of $4.43M against a fully diluted valuation of $45.3M, the token trades at roughly 9.8% of its FDV, implying significant future supply overhang relative to current circulating tokens. The price has surged 65.5% in 7 days and broken out of a prolonged consolidation, but this move is occurring on thin liquidity ($93.7K) and a very small unique-buyer base. Concentration is extreme on paper — top 10 holders control 100% of supply — but 89.1% sits in protocol/contract addresses, leaving only 3.6% as genuinely dumpable supply.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 20, 2026, 11:17 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
Modular Bitcoin-Ethereum supernetwork architecture with the hVM enabling cross-chain dApp development — a differentiated technical positioning in the L2 landscape
Extremely low dumpable supply concentration (3.6%) despite top-10 holders controlling 100%, because the dominant positions are protocol/contract-locked
Token is in early price discovery after a sharp breakout from a 12-session consolidation, with no 90-day price history yet established

Hemi AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

HEMI has surged 65.5% over the past 7 days and 29.5% over 30 days, with the current price at $0.007093 sitting at 76% of its 43-day range — well above the midpoint and approaching the period high of $0.008024. The most recent daily close represents a sharp breakout from a tight consolidation band of $0.004285–$0.004676 that held for roughly 12 consecutive sessions, signalling a genuine momentum shift rather than noise. Buy pressure at 59.4% and a buy-to-sell volume ratio of $31.4K vs $21.5K over 24 hours reinforce the near-term bullish bias.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day gain of +29.5% and a steady holder trajectory from 1,491 to 1,524 over 31 days indicate organic accumulation rather than a flash pump. If HEMI can close above the $0.008024 resistance — the only computed major resistance level — it would enter price discovery for this contract, which could accelerate momentum. However, the 10.7% daily volatility and thin liquidity of $93.7K mean any medium-term advance will be punctuated by sharp drawdowns.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price gain of +65.5% and 30-day gain of +29.5% confirm a multi-window uptrend, not a one-day anomaly
  • +Price broke decisively out of a 12-session consolidation range ($0.004285–$0.004676) in the most recent daily close, a classic accumulation-then-breakout pattern
  • +Buy pressure of 59.4% ($31.4K buy volume vs $21.5K sell volume over 24h) shows demand is currently outpacing supply
  • +Dumpable supply is only 3.6% of total tokens — the top two holders (89.1% combined) are protocol/contract addresses that cannot freely dump on the market
Bearish Factors
  • -Total liquidity of just $93.7K means even modest sell orders can cause severe slippage and rapid price reversals
  • -Only 18 unique buyers drove the 24-hour volume, indicating the move is concentrated among very few wallets rather than broad market participation
  • -The largest whale holding 2.97% of supply (wallet 0x200d04) received its position via transfer with no DEX swap history, and the wallet's first-active date of 2025-09-24 post-dates the contract creation of 2025-04-23 — the acquisition method and intent are unknown, representing latent sell risk
  • -Security score of 49/100 is below the midpoint, flagging unresolved contract-level risks that could deter institutional or sophisticated buyers

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

HEMI call history

Full track record →
Jul 20bullish
24h-36.1%
7d-30.2%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0xeb96...484d
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Liquidity crisis risk: At $93.7K pool depth, a single whale exit (the largest individual whale holds 2.97% = ~$131K at current price) would exceed total liquidity, causing a catastrophic price collapse and potentially trapping other holders
•Unknown protocol-held supply governance: 89.1% of tokens sit in protocol/contract addresses — if the contract permits the deployer or a multisig to unlock and distribute these tokens, it would represent a 9x increase in circulating dumpable supply
•Concentrated buying base: The 24-hour price surge was driven by only 18 unique buyers across 119 transactions — if this small cohort reverses to selling, there is insufficient organic demand depth to absorb the pressure at current prices

Trading Insight

bullish

Market sentiment is cautiously bullish, driven by a clear buy-volume majority (59.4%) and a breakout price pattern, but the extremely low unique-buyer count — 18 buyers across 119 buy transactions — suggests a small number of wallets are responsible for most activity. The 4-hour window shows 15 unique buyers vs 8 unique sellers, indicating the buying interest is slightly broadening but remains thin.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

Both the 7-day (+65.5%) and 30-day (+29.5%) windows confirm a sustained uptrend across multiple timeframes. The daily close series shows 12 sessions of tight consolidation between $0.004285 and $0.004676 followed by a sharp breakout to $0.007093 — a textbook accumulation-breakout structure. With price at 76% of the 43-day range and approaching the period high, the trend is intact but extended.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A single-day move of approximately +58% (from the prior close of ~$0.004487 to $0.007093) on top of a 65.5% 7-day gain places momentum firmly in overbought territory by any standard oscillator measure. The 10.7% daily volatility (standard deviation of returns) further confirms that price swings are extreme relative to the token's short history, increasing the probability of a mean-reversion pullback in the near term.

Volume Analysis

Buy 59.4%Sell 40.6%

Volume Trend: Increasing

The 24-hour volume of ~$52.9K represents a significant spike relative to the token's liquidity pool of $93.7K — a turnover ratio above 50% in a single day. The declining transaction rate from the 4-hour window (93 txns) to the 1-hour window (10 txns) suggests the volume surge is fading, which is a common pattern after a breakout candle as early buyers pause and the market digests the move.

Recent Price Action

Extended consolidation breakout: 12 consecutive daily closes in a narrow $0.004285–$0.004676 band followed by a sharp single-candle breakout to $0.007093, with the current price sitting at 76% of the full 43-day range.

Consolidation breakouts of this magnitude after prolonged tight-range trading often indicate a shift in supply-demand equilibrium. However, when the breakout candle is this large (+58% in one day) on thin liquidity, it frequently precedes a partial retracement before any continuation — the $0.004861 immediate support level becomes the key line to watch on any pullback.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.004861
Major$0.004199
Resistance
Immediate$0.008024
Major$0.008024

The immediate support at $0.004861 corresponds to a swing low within the OHLC data and sits just above the 12-session consolidation zone — a retest of this level would be a healthy pullback of ~31% from current price. Major support at $0.004199 is the 43-day period low and represents the worst-case retracement scenario. On the upside, both immediate and major resistance converge at $0.008024 (the 43-day period high), meaning there is no computed resistance above that level — a clean break would put HEMI in uncharted territory for this contract.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders1,564
24h Change+22
Growth Rate+1.4%

The 31-day trajectory from 1,491 to 1,524 holders (+33) reflects slow, steady organic growth rather than a viral spike. The 7-day and 30-day holder changes being identical at +22 and +45 respectively suggests growth has been consistent without sudden surges, which is a mild positive signal for community sustainability — though the absolute holder count of 1,564 remains very small for a token with a $4.4M market cap.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders100%
Top 100 Holders100%
Retail Holders0.0%
Concentration Risk:
Low

While the raw top-10 concentration of 100% appears alarming, the classification data reveals that positions 1 and 2 (89.1% combined) are protocol/contract addresses, positions 3 and 4 (6.95%) are Binance exchange wallets holding custodied user funds, and position 8 (0.07%) is also a protocol/contract. These are not freely tradeable positions. The genuine dumpable supply — held by five individual whale wallets — totals only 3.6%, making the real concentration risk low despite the headline figure.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest observable trades in the recent swap data are modest in size: the biggest single transaction was a $877 sell by wallet 0xe17604, which also executed three additional sells totalling approximately $1,932. The largest buy was $789 by wallet 0x5f8d74. No whale-scale transactions (five or six figures) appear in the notable recent trades data.

  • •Wallet 0xe17604 sold approximately $2,809 across four separate transactions — the dominant seller in the recent trade set, potentially distributing into the price spike
  • •Wallet 0x200d04 (2.97% of supply, the largest individual whale) shows no DEX swap activity on this token; its position was received via transfer, and its wallet was first active on 2025-09-24 — acquisition method and intent remain unknown

The notable recent trades are all sub-$1,000 in size, indicating that large holders are not yet actively trading this token on-chain. The repeated selling by a single wallet (0xe17604) into the price spike is a mild distribution signal, but the volumes are too small to be market-moving. The inactivity of the largest individual whale (0x200d04) is ambiguous — it could indicate a long-term holder or simply a wallet that has not yet engaged with the DEX.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Medium

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token — no profitable-trader cohort data has been indexed.

Because no smart-money or top-profitable-trader data is available, it is impossible to assess whether sophisticated early buyers are sitting on large unrealized gains and preparing to exit. Given the 65.5% 7-day price surge, any early buyers who accumulated during the consolidation phase are now in significant profit, which generically elevates profit-taking risk — but this cannot be confirmed from the available data.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$93,712.49
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $93.7K total liquidity, HEMI's pool is extremely thin relative to its $4.43M market cap — a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of roughly 2.1%. A single $10K sell order would represent over 10% of the pool and cause severe slippage. The 24-hour volume of ~$52.9K already represents more than 56% of total liquidity, meaning the pool is being stressed by current trading activity. Any significant sell pressure from the 3.6% dumpable supply could rapidly deplete liquidity and cause a cascading price decline.

Overall Risk:
High
72/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 10.7% (standard deviation) is extremely high by any asset class standard. The most recent daily candle alone represents a ~58% move. This level of volatility makes position sizing and stop-loss management critical and exposes holders to rapid, large drawdowns.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $93.7K against a $4.43M market cap yields a 2.1% liquidity ratio. The 24-hour volume of ~$52.9K already represents over 56% of pool depth. Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will incur significant slippage, and a coordinated exit by even one of the individual whale wallets (holding up to 2.97%) could drain the pool.

Concentration
Low

Despite 100% top-10 concentration, dumpable supply is only 3.6% — held across five individual whale wallets. The dominant positions (89.1%) are protocol/contract addresses that cannot freely sell. This is a genuinely low concentration risk profile for a small-cap token.

Smart Contract
Medium

The contract is verified (positive), but the 49/100 security score indicates flagged issues. The governance risk around the 89.1% protocol-held supply — specifically whether it can be released — is the primary smart contract concern and cannot be resolved without manual code review.

Regulatory
Medium

As a utility token for a cross-chain L2 protocol, HEMI faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to most DeFi infrastructure tokens. The Bitcoin-Ethereum interoperability angle does not introduce specific additional regulatory risk beyond the sector baseline, but the uncategorized status and small market cap mean it lacks the regulatory visibility of larger L2 tokens.

Key Risks

  • •Liquidity crisis risk: At $93.7K pool depth, a single whale exit (the largest individual whale holds 2.97% = ~$131K at current price) would exceed total liquidity, causing a catastrophic price collapse and potentially trapping other holders
  • •Unknown protocol-held supply governance: 89.1% of tokens sit in protocol/contract addresses — if the contract permits the deployer or a multisig to unlock and distribute these tokens, it would represent a 9x increase in circulating dumpable supply
  • •Concentrated buying base: The 24-hour price surge was driven by only 18 unique buyers across 119 transactions — if this small cohort reverses to selling, there is insufficient organic demand depth to absorb the pressure at current prices

Mitigating Factors

  • •Dumpable supply is genuinely low at 3.6%, meaning the immediate sell-side risk from identifiable whale wallets is limited relative to the token's market cap
  • •The contract is verified on-chain, providing transparency and allowing community members to audit the code for the governance risks identified above

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with deep familiarity with early-stage, low-liquidity crypto assets who can afford to lose their entire position. The combination of thin liquidity, a below-midpoint security score, unknown protocol-held supply governance, and a 43-day price history makes this inappropriate for conservative or moderate-risk investors. Any position should be sized accordingly — small enough that a complete loss is acceptable.

HEMI represents a high-risk, early-stage bet on the Hemi Network's Bitcoin-Ethereum supernetwork thesis. The token has demonstrated genuine multi-week price momentum (+65.5% 7d, +29.5% 30d) with a clean technical breakout, but the investment case is constrained by shallow liquidity, a below-average security score, and critical unknowns around the 89.1% protocol-held supply. The risk-reward is asymmetric in both directions.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The Hemi Network gains developer traction as a credible Bitcoin-Ethereum interoperability layer, driving organic demand for HEMI tokens. Price breaks above the $0.008024 resistance into price discovery, with liquidity deepening as the project gains visibility. The 30-day uptrend extends toward a 2-3x from current levels over the medium term.

  • +Successful developer adoption of the hVM and cross-chain dApp ecosystem generating genuine utility demand for HEMI
  • +Sustained price momentum above $0.008024 attracting new liquidity providers and broadening the buyer base beyond the current 18-buyer cohort
Base Case

HEMI consolidates in the $0.005500–$0.008024 range over the next 30-90 days as the market digests the breakout. Holder count grows slowly toward 1,700-1,800. The token remains a speculative micro-cap with price action driven primarily by the small existing holder base rather than new capital inflows, pending a meaningful catalyst from the Hemi Network's development roadmap.

  • •No adverse smart contract events or governance decisions to release the 89.1% protocol-held supply
  • •The Hemi Network continues active development and maintains its social presence, preventing a complete loss of community confidence
Bear Case
Medium

The single-day price spike proves unsustainable on thin liquidity. The small cohort of buyers who drove the breakout begins distributing, and the absence of deep organic demand causes a rapid retracement toward the consolidation zone ($0.004285–$0.004676) or the major support at $0.004199 — a 40-60% drawdown from current price. The 49/100 security score materialises into a specific contract vulnerability.

  • -Thin liquidity ($93.7K) and concentrated buying (18 unique buyers) making the price spike structurally fragile and vulnerable to reversal
  • -Wallet 0xe17604's repeated selling into the spike suggesting at least one participant is actively distributing into the price strength

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 20, 2026, 11:17 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.007092901968306328
Market Cap$4.43M
24h Volume$52.9K
Holders1,564
Liquidity$93.7K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (swap and transfer records)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis-classified size tiers and 31-day trajectory)
Daily OHLC price history (43-day dataset)
Smart contract security assessment (automated scanner score)
Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap history lookup)
Notable recent trades (largest on-chain swaps)

Limitations

  • •No 90-day OHLC history available — the token is only 43 days old, limiting the reliability of medium-term technical analysis and making historical support/resistance levels sparse
  • •Smart-money and profitable-trader cohort data is unavailable, preventing assessment of whether sophisticated early buyers are positioned to exit
  • •The governance structure and unlock conditions for the 89.1% protocol/contract-held supply are unknown without manual smart contract review — this is the single largest unquantified risk in the analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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