sdFXN

Stake DAO FXN Price Today & AI Analysis

sdFXNEthereumAnalysis as of Oct 31, 2026

Price

$17.43

-2.53% 24h

Contract

Live
0xe19d1c837b8a1c83a56cd9165b2c0256d39653ad

Holders

112

Market cap

$632.11K

Liquidity

$38.44K

At a $10M market cap, $SDFXN would be $275.69 (15.8x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is sdFXN a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 31

No red flags

No red flags so far, though the contract test was not conclusive.

Can you sell?

Not testedA test trade could not be run
  • The top 10 wallets hold a large share of the supply.
  • The liquidity could not be measured.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about sdFXN

3 free answers a day

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Stake DAO FXN: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-31 21:16 UTC

Holder addresses

112

Top 10 supply share

93.61%

Reported liquidity

$38,443.00
How concentrated is Stake DAO FXN ownership?
As of 2026-10-31 21:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 93.61% of supply. It reports 112 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Stake DAO FXN?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-31 21:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $5,722.00 in buys and $6,912.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Stake DAO FXN liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +7.60%, from $35,728.00 (2026-10-31 00:00 UTC) to $38,443.00 (2026-10-31 20:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Unhosted token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-31 21:16 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-31 00:00 UTC$35,728.00
2026-10-31 01:00 UTC$36,218.00
2026-10-31 03:00 UTC$36,271.00
2026-10-31 07:00 UTC$36,180.00
2026-10-31 11:00 UTC$32,483.00
2026-10-31 12:00 UTC$38,806.00
2026-10-31 13:00 UTC$35,596.00
2026-10-31 17:00 UTC$35,635.00
2026-10-31 19:00 UTC$41,777.00
2026-10-31 20:00 UTC$38,443.00

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 31, 2026, 09:16 PM UTC

Market Cap

$632.11K

24h Volume

$12.63K

Liquidity

$38.44K

FDV

—

Holders

112

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

Stake DAO FXN (sdFXN) is the liquid-locker token for FXN on Ethereum, letting holders lock FXN, keep governance and yield exposure, and retain tradable liquidity. It is 37.1 months old, with a market cap of about $632K, trading on Curve with roughly $38K of liquidity. Price is $17.43, down 47.7% over 30 days but up 70.5% over 90 days. Unhosted's scam check returned NEUTRAL (20/100) with inconclusive contract analysis and an incomplete test trade, so sellability and taxes are untested.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 31, 2026, 09:16 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Liquid-locker wrapper: sdFXN represents locked FXN while remaining tradable and stakeable
  • Stake DAO staking can add native APR, boosted strategy rewards and vote-incentive income
  • Holders can exit back to the underlying token, so the price is anchored to FXN value, which also makes it exposed to FXN

Stake DAO FXN AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

sdFXN is down 25.9% over 7 days and 47.7% over 30 days, and the latest closes ($22.14 to $17.88 to $17.43) show a sharp breakdown. Price is sitting just above immediate support at $16.63 and below immediate resistance at $18.62. Recent buying is only 9 transactions in 24 hours, so there is little volume behind any bounce.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The 30d decline of 47.7% outweighs the +70.5% 90d gain, which means most of the earlier rally has been given back. Price sits at 32% of its 91-day range ($9.83 to $33.38), and the lower-high structure points to further downside risk unless it reclaims $18.62 and then higher levels. With daily volatility of 6.3%, large swings in both directions are normal.

Bullish Factors

  • The 90-day change is still +70.5%, so the longer-term structure has not fully reversed
  • Price sits at 32% of the 91-day range, well above the $9.83 low, and immediate support at $16.63 is close
  • Buy transactions (9) outnumber sells (4) over 24h, with 6 unique buyers against 3 sellers, though the sample is small

Bearish Factors

  • The 7d change of -25.9% and 30d change of -47.7% show persistent selling
  • The close dropped from $22.14 to $17.88 in a single day, a breakdown through the $20 area
  • Dollar sell volume ($6,912) exceeds buy volume ($5,722), a 54.7% sell share
  • Liquidity of about $38,443 against a market cap of about $632K means thin exits

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

sdFXN call history

Full track record →

Oct 31bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xe19d...53ad
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Thin liquidity (about $38K) against a market cap of about $632K can cause heavy slippage and difficult exits
  • The top 10 holders control 93.6% of supply, so a few wallets could drive sharp moves
  • Contract analysis is inconclusive and the test trade was incomplete, so sellability and taxes are unknown
  • Persistent downtrend: -25.9% over 7d and -47.7% over 30d, with support at $16.63 close below

Trading Insight

bearish

Sentiment leans negative because of the multi-week downtrend and a 54.7% sell share by value. Activity is sparse, with no trades in the last hour, so the 24h tape is a weak signal and the price history carries more weight.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

Closes fell from $25.84 to $17.43 across the recent window, with a sharp step down from $22.14 to $17.88. The 30d change of -47.7% confirms a medium-term downtrend even though the 90d change is still positive.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

A 25.9% weekly drop and 47.7% monthly drop are stretched against 6.3% daily volatility, which suggests oversold conditions. Oversold readings in a downtrend can persist, so a bounce is not confirmed.

Volume Analysis

Buy

45.3%

Sell

54.7%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Activity is sparse, with 13 transactions in 24h and none in the last hour. Sell share is 54.7% by value.

Recent Price Action

A series of lower highs from $25.84, a brief bounce to $22.14, then a sharp drop to $17.88 and $17.43.

This pattern typically signals distribution or a failed recovery, and price needs to reclaim the $20-$22 area to repair the structure.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$16.63

Major support

$9.83

Immediate resistance

$18.62

Major resistance

$33.38

Price is only about 4.8% above immediate support at $16.63; a close below it would expose the major support at $9.83, the 91-day low. Immediate resistance at $18.62 is the first test for any bounce, while $33.38 is the 91-day high and a distant ceiling.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

72/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility is 6.3%, with a 47.7% decline over 30 days and a 91-day range of $9.83 to $33.38.

  • LiquidityHigh

    About $38,443 of liquidity and 13 daily transactions mean even small orders can move the price and exits may be costly.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    The top 10 holders control 93.6% of supply across 112 holders; the holders could not be classified, so how much is dumpable is unknown.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Governance-token wrappers and yield-bearing staking products can attract regulatory attention in some jurisdictions; no specific action is cited in the data.

Key Risks

  • Thin liquidity (about $38K) against a market cap of about $632K can cause heavy slippage and difficult exits
  • The top 10 holders control 93.6% of supply, so a few wallets could drive sharp moves
  • Contract analysis is inconclusive and the test trade was incomplete, so sellability and taxes are unknown
  • Persistent downtrend: -25.9% over 7d and -47.7% over 30d, with support at $16.63 close below
  • Dependence on the FXN protocol and the Stake DAO locker: problems in either would hit sdFXN

Mitigating Factors

  • Long track record of 37.1 months and an identified protocol with a documented redemption path to the underlying token
  • Price still above the 91-day low and 90d performance is positive at +70.5%

Investor Suitability

Only for experienced, high-risk-tolerance participants who understand liquid lockers and can accept illiquidity and large drawdowns. Not suitable for anyone needing reliable exits. Informational only, not financial advice.

sdFXN offers exposure to FXN governance and yield through a liquid wrapper, but the current trend is down, liquidity is thin and ownership is highly concentrated. Contract sellability is untested, so the risks outweigh the structural appeal for now.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Price holds $16.63, reclaims $18.62 and recovers toward the $22-$25 area as FXN demand and rewards improve.

  • FXN sector recovery and renewed vote-incentive demand
  • Deeper Curve liquidity and rising unique buyers

Base Case

Price remains under pressure and ranges between $16.63 and $18.62, with sharp, low-volume swings and a bias to the downside.

  • Trading activity stays sparse, near 13 transactions per day
  • No major change in FXN fundamentals or Stake DAO incentives

Bear Case

Medium probability

Support at $16.63 fails and price tests the $9.83 major support as thin liquidity amplifies selling.

  • Continued sell pressure (54.7% sell share) in a downtrend
  • A large holder exit into about $38K of liquidity

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 31, 2026, 09:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-31 21:16 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$17.4267559139

Market Cap

$632.1K

24h Volume

$12.6K

Holders

112

Liquidity

$38,443.00

Data Sources

Unhosted DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentrationUnhosted automated risk check and test trade

Limitations

  • Holder-growth and whale-transaction data were unavailable, as were smart-money, launch-allocation and deployer data
  • The contract check is Unhosted's automated assessment, a warning signal and not a guarantee; the test trade was indeterminate
  • Very low trading activity (13 transactions in 24h) makes short-window metrics unreliable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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