DOGE1

DOGE-1 Price Today & AI Analysis

DOGE1EthereumAnalysis as of Jul 28, 2026

Price

$0.2481

-3.46% 24h

Contract

Live
0xd721706581d97ecd202bbab5c71b5a85f0f78e69

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

2.5K

Market cap

$248.05K

Liquidity

$35.50K

At a $1M market cap, $DOGE1 would be $1 (4.03x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is DOGE1 a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 27

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about DOGE1

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

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DOGE-1: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-28 16:03 UTC

Holder addresses

3,590

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$117,980.10
How concentrated is DOGE-1 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 3,590 addresses (2026-07-28 16:03 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling DOGE-1?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is DOGE-1 liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-28 16:03 UTC, reported liquidity was $117,980.10. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-28 16:03 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 28, 2026, 04:03 PM UTC

Market Cap

$845.37K

24h Volume

$763.56K

Liquidity

$117.98K

FDV

—

Holders

3,590

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

DOGE-1 (DOGE1) is a 33.8-month-old ERC-20 meme token on Ethereum, thematically tied to the real-world DOGE-1 satellite mission aboard SpaceX's Falcon 9 rocket. With a $845K market cap, 1,000,000 total supply fully in circulation, and trading exclusively on Uniswap v2, it occupies the micro-cap meme segment. The token has experienced an explosive 7-day price surge of +261.2% from a long base around $0.23, but has already pulled back from its $1.98 high to $0.845, sitting at 37% of its 86-day range. While holder growth is accelerating and smart money has booked real profits, shallow liquidity ($118K), 27.8% dumpable whale supply, and decelerating transaction activity make this a high-risk speculative instrument.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 28, 2026, 04:03 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Real-world narrative anchor: the DOGE-1 satellite mission provides an external event-driven catalyst that most pure meme tokens lack
  • Longevity for a meme token: at 33.8 months old with a verified contract and 3,590 holders, it has survived far longer than the typical meme launch lifecycle
  • Smart money engagement: multiple wallets have realized triple- to four-digit percentage returns, indicating the token has attracted and rewarded informed speculative traders

DOGE-1 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

After a violent 7-day surge of +261.2% and a 30-day gain of +295.2%, DOGE-1 is now sitting at only 37% of its 86-day range ($0.1694–$1.98), having already pulled back sharply from the $1.98 high. The most recent daily closes show a parabolic spike to $0.8454 after a long base around $0.23–$0.30, a pattern that historically resolves with mean-reversion before any sustained continuation. With 27.8% of supply held by dumpable individual whales and transaction activity decelerating sharply (from 842 buys in 24h to just 7 in the last hour), short-term selling pressure is the dominant risk.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

Over a 30–90 day horizon, the structural holder trajectory is constructive: the 31-day timeseries shows net +79 holders with accelerating growth, and the token has now established a higher base (~$0.23–$0.31) versus its prior range. If the DOGE-1 satellite mission narrative regains media traction or broader meme-coin sentiment improves, a retest of the $1.98 resistance is plausible. However, the 19.3% daily volatility means the path will be highly erratic, and a sustained hold above $0.31 immediate support is the prerequisite for any medium-term bullish thesis to remain intact.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price appreciation of +261.2% and 30-day gain of +295.2% confirm a powerful uptrend breakout from a multi-month base around $0.23
  • Holder trajectory is accelerating: 31-day timeseries shows net +79 holders with growth rate picking up, signaling genuine community expansion
  • Smart money has extracted significant realized profits — 0xed5a36 +$21,415 (+1843%), 0x8bc924 +$5,630 (+8484%) — confirming the token has produced real returns for informed traders
  • Buy pressure at 51.5% with 842 buy transactions vs. 655 sell transactions over 24h shows buyers still outnumber sellers in count terms
  • Token is 33.8 months old with a verified contract and a real-world narrative anchor (DOGE-1 satellite mission), providing more longevity than typical short-lived meme launches

Bearish Factors

  • Price sits at only 37% of the 86-day range after hitting $1.98, indicating a significant retracement has already occurred and the high may represent a local top
  • Transaction activity is decelerating sharply: 842 buys in 24h collapsed to 91 in 4h and just 7 in the last hour, signaling momentum exhaustion
  • 27.8% of supply is held by dumpable individual whales (9 wallets), creating substantial overhead sell pressure; whale 0x77622b (2.80%) acquired via transfer/airdrop with no market buys, representing pure unrealized profit at any price
  • Liquidity of only $117,980 is shallow relative to a $845K market cap, meaning even modest whale exits will cause severe slippage
  • Daily volatility of 19.3% makes the token extremely difficult to trade safely, and post-parabolic corrections in meme tokens routinely retrace 60–80% of the spike

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

DOGE1 call history

Full track record →

Jul 28bearish
24h-49.6%
7d-55.0%
30d-15.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xd721...8e69
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Post-parabolic retracement risk: the token has already fallen 57% from its $1.98 intraday high, and with immediate support at $0.3118 (63% below current price), a full mean-reversion to the pre-spike base is a realistic scenario
  • Whale dump overhang: 0x77622b holds 2.80% of supply acquired via transfer/airdrop (zero cost basis), and the top whale 0x729b16 (5.48%) is at near-breakeven — both represent credible sellers at current prices
  • Liquidity fragility: the $118K pool turning over 6.5x in 24 hours has already been stress-tested; any reduction in liquidity provision would make the token effectively untradeable at scale

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24-hour trading window shows a near-balanced market: 51.5% buy pressure vs. 48.5% sell pressure, with $393,600 in buy volume marginally exceeding $369,963 in sell volume. However, the hourly deceleration to just 7 buys and 7 sells signals that the initial surge momentum has largely dissipated, and the market is entering a consolidation or distribution phase.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The medium-term trend is unambiguously bullish: +261.2% over 7 days and +295.2% over 30 days represent a decisive breakout from the $0.18–$0.25 base that held for most of the 86-day OHLC window. However, the short-term picture is bearish — the price has already retreated from the $1.98 swing high to $0.845, a 57% drawdown from peak, and the most recent daily close at $0.8454 follows a spike candle that typically precedes further consolidation or retracement.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A +261% 7-day move with 19.3% daily volatility places DOGE-1 in deeply overbought territory on any standard momentum framework. The rapid deceleration in hourly transaction counts (from hundreds per hour at peak to 7 in the last hour) confirms that buying momentum has exhausted itself in the near term, and the price is vulnerable to mean-reversion toward the $0.3118 immediate support.

Volume Analysis

Buy

51.5%

Sell

48.5%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

The 24-hour combined volume of $763,563 represents approximately 6.5x the total liquidity pool ($118K), an extraordinary turnover ratio that signals a speculative frenzy. Volume is now collapsing — from hundreds of transactions per hour at the peak to 14 total transactions in the last hour — confirming the pump phase is over and the market is entering a low-activity consolidation period.

Recent Price Action

Parabolic spike from a multi-month base: the daily close series shows 13 sessions consolidating between $0.18–$0.30, followed by a single explosive session closing at $0.8454 after touching $1.98 intraday. This is a classic 'wick and retrace' spike candle.

Spike candles of this magnitude in micro-cap meme tokens typically resolve in one of two ways: either a brief consolidation followed by a second leg up if narrative momentum sustains, or a full retracement back toward the pre-spike base ($0.23–$0.31 range). The current price at $0.845 is still well above the base, suggesting the retracement may not be complete.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.3118

Major support

$0.1694

Immediate resistance

$1.98

Major resistance

$1.98

The $0.3118 immediate support corresponds to the prior consolidation high and represents the first meaningful demand zone if the current retracement continues. The $0.1694 major support is the 86-day range low and would represent a near-complete reversal of the spike. On the upside, $1.98 is both the immediate and major resistance — the intraday swing high — and a clean break above it with sustained volume would be a strong continuation signal.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

72/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    19.3% daily standard deviation of returns is extreme by any asset class standard. The 86-day range spans $0.1694 to $1.98 — a 10.7x spread — confirming that holders can experience devastating drawdowns with no warning.

  • LiquidityHigh

    The $117,980 liquidity pool against a $845K market cap means the token is severely undercapitalized relative to its valuation. Exits of any meaningful size will incur substantial slippage, and a liquidity removal event would be catastrophic.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an ERC-20 meme token with no registered entity or regulatory compliance framework, DOGE-1 faces the same regulatory uncertainty as all unregistered crypto assets. The meme/community token classification may attract scrutiny in jurisdictions tightening crypto regulations.

Key Risks

  • Post-parabolic retracement risk: the token has already fallen 57% from its $1.98 intraday high, and with immediate support at $0.3118 (63% below current price), a full mean-reversion to the pre-spike base is a realistic scenario
  • Whale dump overhang: 0x77622b holds 2.80% of supply acquired via transfer/airdrop (zero cost basis), and the top whale 0x729b16 (5.48%) is at near-breakeven — both represent credible sellers at current prices
  • Liquidity fragility: the $118K pool turning over 6.5x in 24 hours has already been stress-tested; any reduction in liquidity provision would make the token effectively untradeable at scale

Mitigating Factors

  • The token's 33.8-month survival demonstrates resilience through multiple market cycles, reducing (but not eliminating) the probability of an imminent rug pull
  • The real-world DOGE-1 satellite narrative provides periodic external catalysts that can reignite demand independent of internal tokenomics

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire position, understand meme token dynamics, and are actively monitoring the trade. Not appropriate for long-term investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a small fraction of their portfolio.

DOGE-1 is a high-risk, narrative-driven micro-cap meme token that has just completed a parabolic spike. The investment thesis hinges entirely on whether the satellite mission narrative can sustain or reignite community momentum — there is no fundamental floor beyond speculative demand. The asymmetric risk profile (potential retracement to $0.31 vs. potential retest of $1.98) demands precise entry timing and strict risk management.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A real-world DOGE-1 satellite mission milestone (launch date announcement, successful deployment, or mainstream media coverage) triggers a second wave of retail FOMO. The accelerating holder growth provides a growing base of participants, and a break above $1.98 with sustained volume could propel the token to new all-time highs in the $3–5 range.

  • External catalyst: confirmed DOGE-1 satellite mission news generating mainstream crypto media coverage
  • Broader meme-coin market bull cycle drawing speculative capital into satellite narrative tokens

Base Case

DOGE-1 consolidates in the $0.40–$0.85 range over the next 30 days as the spike fades but the token retains a portion of its gains due to genuine holder growth and community activity. The $0.3118 immediate support holds, and the token establishes a new, higher base before the next narrative catalyst.

  • No major whale exits in the near term, allowing the market to absorb the post-spike selling pressure gradually
  • Holder growth continues at its current accelerating pace, providing incremental demand to offset distribution

Bear Case

High probability

With no immediate catalyst and momentum exhausted, the token retraces toward the pre-spike consolidation zone. Whale wallets with zero or near-zero cost basis begin distributing into any residual buying, and the shallow liquidity amplifies the decline. Price returns to the $0.18–$0.31 range within 30 days, erasing most of the spike gains for latecomers.

  • Transaction activity deceleration (7 buys/hour) signals demand exhaustion with no new catalyst to replace it
  • 27.8% dumpable whale supply creates persistent overhead pressure, particularly from zero-cost-basis transfer recipients

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 28, 2026, 04:03 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-28 16:03 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.845367406819677925

Market Cap

$845.4K

24h Volume

$763.6K

Holders

3,590

Liquidity

$117,980.10

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v2 swap history)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)Daily OHLC price history (86-day window)Smart contract security assessment (71/100 score, verified contract)Smart money realized PnL data (top profitable trader wallets)Whale wallet behavioral forensics (acquisition method, average buy price, first active date)31-day holder trajectory timeseries

Limitations

  • Only 86 days of OHLC history is available, making medium-term technical analysis less reliable than it would be with a longer dataset
  • The 90-day price change figure is unavailable, limiting the ability to contextualize the current move within a longer trend
  • Meme token price action is driven primarily by social sentiment and external narrative events that are inherently unpredictable and not captured in on-chain data alone

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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