T

Threshold Network Token Price Today & AI Analysis

T
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 15, 2026

$0.004656

-3.46%24h
LiveContract:0xcdf7028ceab81fa0c6971208e83fa7872994bee5Chain:EthereumHolders:9.9KMarket cap:$51.94MLiquidity:$242.67K

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Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

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Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 15, 2026, 06:45 PM UTC
Market Cap

$51.94M

24h Volume

$218.03K

Liquidity

$242.67K

FDV

—

Holders

9.9K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Threshold Network Token (T) is the governance and utility token for Threshold Network, used for staking threshold-cryptography nodes and reducing fees on the tBTC Bitcoin bridge. The token has traded on-chain for 56.5 months, currently sits at $0.004656 with a $51.9M fully-diluted market cap, and has posted a strong 30-day gain of +40.2% while consolidating mid-range over the past two sessions. Liquidity is comparatively thin at $242,670 on Curve, and while the holder base is broad (9,863 addresses), the top 10 wallets hold 74.4% of supply on an aggregate basis with no per-wallet classification available.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 15, 2026, 06:45 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: medium
Sentiment: neutral
Direct utility link: staking T reduces or eliminates tBTC bridge redemption fees, tying token demand to Bitcoin-DeFi bridging activity
Multi-year operating history (56.5 months) with an established, sizeable holder base rather than a newly launched token
Governance rights in the Threshold DAO covering network upgrades and protocol parameters

Threshold Network Token AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

After rallying to a recent daily close of $0.005054, T has pulled back roughly 7.9% to $0.004656, and the last two days of closes show fading momentum. Sell pressure (51.1%) edges out buy pressure (48.9%) on 24h volume, and the 4h/1h windows are sell-skewed with almost no buy-side activity (0 buys vs 1 sell in the last hour), suggesting short-term exhaustion just below the $0.004735 immediate resistance.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day (+40.2%) and 90-day (+29.2%) trends are both firmly positive, placing current price at the midpoint (52%) of the 91-day range between $0.002975 and $0.006205. As long as price holds above the $0.004514 immediate support, the structure favors an eventual retest of the $0.006205 major resistance over a 30-90 day horizon.

Bullish Factors
  • +30-day price change of +40.2% and 90-day change of +29.2% show a sustained uptrend rather than a short-lived spike
  • +Price sits mid-range (52%) of the $0.002975-$0.006205 91-day band, leaving room to major resistance without needing new highs
  • +Contract has been live for 56.5 months with an active holder base of 9,863 addresses, reducing early-stage rug risk
  • +Token has direct utility tying staking to reduced/eliminated tBTC bridge redemption fees, giving it a use case beyond pure speculation
Bearish Factors
  • -24h sell volume ($111,481) exceeds buy volume ($106,550), and sell pressure (51.1%) modestly outweighs buy pressure (48.9%)
  • -Most recent daily closes show a pullback from $0.005054 to $0.004656 (-7.9%), stalling just under the $0.004735 immediate resistance
  • -4h (2 buys/5 sells) and 1h (0 buys/1 sell) windows show thinning, sell-dominated activity, a short-term momentum warning
  • -Total liquidity of $242,670 is small relative to the $51.9M market cap (~0.47%), making the price sensitive to moderate-sized orders

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

T call history

Full track record →
Sep 15bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0xcdf7...bee5
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Thin liquidity ($242,670) relative to market cap increases slippage risk and can amplify price moves from moderate-sized trades
•High aggregate top-10 holder concentration (74.4%) with no available breakdown of wallet type leaves genuine dump risk unquantified
•Short-term momentum has turned negative (pullback from $0.005054 to $0.004656) with sell volume ($111,481) exceeding buy volume ($106,550) over the last 24 hours
•Contract-security data is unavailable, so smart-contract risk cannot be independently verified

Trading Insight

neutral

Buy and sell activity are closely matched over the last 24 hours (260 buys vs 239 sells), but sell-side volume slightly exceeds buy-side volume, and the most recent hours show almost no buying interest. This points to a market in short-term consolidation rather than one with a decisive directional bias.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The medium-term structure is clearly bullish, with price up 40.2% over 30 days and 29.2% over 90 days. However, the most recent daily closes show a pullback from a local peak of $0.005054 to $0.004656, a short-term reversal within the broader uptrend.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Price sits at 52% of the 91-day range ($0.002975-$0.006205), squarely in the middle, indicating no extreme overbought or oversold condition. Daily return volatility of 7.6% is elevated but consistent with typical small/mid-cap crypto behavior.

Volume Analysis

Buy 48.9%Sell 51.1%

Volume Trend: Stable

24h buy and sell transaction counts are close (260 vs 239) and volumes are similarly balanced ($106,550 vs $111,481), pointing to a market without a strong one-sided flow. The sharp drop-off in transaction counts over the most recent 1h-4h windows suggests activity is currently subdued rather than trending in either direction.

Recent Price Action

Price rallied to a recent daily close of $0.005054 before pulling back to $0.004656, now oscillating between the $0.004514 immediate support and $0.004735 immediate resistance identified from the OHLC swing structure.

This kind of tight consolidation after a sharp move typically signals the market digesting recent gains; a decisive close above $0.004735 would favor resumption of the 30-day uptrend toward $0.006205, while a break below $0.004514 would open room toward major support at $0.002975.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.004514
Major$0.002975
Resistance
Immediate$0.004735
Major$0.006205

These levels are derived from actual swing highs/lows in the 91-day daily OHLC series. Current price ($0.004656) sits between immediate support and resistance, meaning the next directional move likely hinges on which of these two nearby levels breaks first; a clean break of major resistance ($0.006205) would mark a new 91-day high, while a break of major support ($0.002975) would revisit the period low.

Overall Risk:
Medium
54/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
Medium

Daily return volatility of 7.6% and a 91-day range spanning from $0.002975 to $0.006205 (roughly a 2x band) indicate meaningful but not extreme price swings typical of a mid-cap DeFi token.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $242,670 against a $51.9M market cap is a very small ratio (~0.47%), meaning larger trades can move price significantly and slippage risk is elevated.

Concentration
Medium

Top 10 wallets hold 74.4% of supply on an aggregate basis, which is high in raw terms, but without per-wallet classification it is unknown whether this reflects exchange/protocol holdings or dumpable individual whale positions, so risk is rated medium pending better data rather than assumed high.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data (audits, verification, permissioned functions) is available from this chain's provider, so this is an uninformed default rating rather than a genuine assessment.

Regulatory
Medium

As a governance/staking token tied to a cross-chain Bitcoin bridge, T could face evolving regulatory scrutiny common to DeFi infrastructure tokens, though no specific regulatory actions are indicated in the data.

Key Risks

  • •Thin liquidity ($242,670) relative to market cap increases slippage risk and can amplify price moves from moderate-sized trades
  • •High aggregate top-10 holder concentration (74.4%) with no available breakdown of wallet type leaves genuine dump risk unquantified
  • •Short-term momentum has turned negative (pullback from $0.005054 to $0.004656) with sell volume ($111,481) exceeding buy volume ($106,550) over the last 24 hours
  • •Contract-security data is unavailable, so smart-contract risk cannot be independently verified

Mitigating Factors

  • •56.5-month operating history without evident security incidents in the available data reduces new-project rug risk
  • •Fully circulating supply (no future unlock overhang) removes one common source of scheduled sell pressure
  • •Broad holder base of 9,863 addresses suggests distribution beyond a narrow speculative group

Investor Suitability

May suit investors with moderate risk tolerance who want exposure to Bitcoin-DeFi infrastructure and are comfortable with thin-liquidity mid-cap tokens; unsuitable for those requiring high liquidity for large position sizes or seeking low-volatility holdings.

T offers exposure to Threshold Network's tBTC bridge utility with a strong medium-term price trend (+40.2% over 30 days), but short-term momentum has softened and liquidity is thin relative to market cap, warranting a cautious, level-based approach rather than a purely trend-following one.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

Continued growth in tBTC bridge adoption drives staking demand for T, price reclaims the $0.004735 immediate resistance, and the 30/90-day uptrend extends toward the $0.006205 major resistance.

  • +Rising tBTC bridge volumes increasing fee-reduction utility for staked T
  • +Renewed buy-side flow reversing the current sell-volume skew
Base Case

Price continues to consolidate between the $0.004514 support and $0.004735 resistance in the near term while the underlying medium-term uptrend remains intact.

  • •No major shock to tBTC bridge usage or Threshold Network governance
  • •Liquidity conditions on Curve remain roughly stable near current levels
Bear Case
Medium

Thin liquidity and continued sell-side dominance push price through the $0.004514 immediate support, testing the $0.002975 major support seen earlier in the 91-day range.

  • -Persistent sell volume exceeding buy volume as seen in the current 24h data
  • -Broader risk-off conditions in DeFi reducing bridge activity and staking demand

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 15, 2026, 06:45 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$0.00465591662072
Market Cap$51.94M
24h Volume$218.0K
Holders9,863
Liquidity$242.7K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, and per-wallet whale-transaction data were unavailable for this analysis
  • •Contract-security data (audits, verification, permissioned functions) was unavailable for this chain
  • •Smart-money/profitable-trader cohort data was unavailable, so early-buyer behavior could not be assessed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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