DOGE-1

Satellite Doge-1 Price Today & AI Analysis

DOGE-1
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 28, 2026

$0.000134

+6.13%24h
LiveContract:0xc5b0251dacfab74bc2debaa52072a2a4c939c105Chain:EthereumHolders:737Market cap:$134.06KLiquidity:$28.18K

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Movement since reportreport from Jul 28, 2026, 02:30 PM UTC
Market Cap

$140.49K

24h Volume

$867.62K

Liquidity

$49.00K

FDV

Holders

824

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

Satellite Doge-1 (DOGE-1) is a 40-month-old Ethereum token trading on Uniswap v2 with a market cap of approximately $140,492 and total liquidity of just $48,996. The token has experienced a dramatic speculative pump — +273.5% over 7 days and +157.8% over 30 days — but is now in sharp intraday reversal, down 53.8% in 4 hours, with the current price at only 17% of its 73-day range high. The contract is unverified, no project description is available, and 27.9% of supply sits in dumpable individual whale wallets, making this a high-risk speculative asset with limited fundamental backing. The holder base has grown rapidly from 320 to 552 over 31 days, but this growth coincides with the pump cycle and its durability is uncertain.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranJul 28, 2026, 02:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
Extreme post-pump volatility: 18.3% daily standard deviation of returns with a 73-day range spanning $0.00003290 to $0.0006649 — a 20x spread
Unverified smart contract on a 40-month-old token with no published project description, creating an unusual combination of age and opacity
Insider-style whale allocation: at least one top-5 whale (0x77622b, 2.53% of supply) received tokens via transfer/airdrop with no DEX swap history, implying zero cost basis

Satellite Doge-1 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

After a violent 7-day surge of +273.5%, DOGE-1 has already begun a sharp intraday reversal, shedding 53.8% over the past 4 hours and 41.1% over the past hour. The current price of $0.0001405 sits at only 17% of the 73-day range high of $0.0006649, confirming that the peak has likely passed and sellers are now in control. The immediate support at $0.00006318 is the first meaningful floor to watch.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

The 30-day gain of +157.8% reflects a speculative pump cycle that is now unwinding, and with the token sitting at just 17% of its range high and daily volatility at 18.3%, mean-reversion toward the major support at $0.00003290 is the most probable medium-term path. Holder growth has been rapid (+232 holders over 31 days), but this acceleration coincides with the pump and may reverse as latecomers exit. Without a verified contract, a clear use case, or documented fundamentals, sustained price recovery requires external catalysts that are not currently visible in the data.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price appreciation of +273.5% and 30-day gain of +157.8% confirm strong recent momentum that could attract additional speculative interest before fully exhausting
  • +Holder base grew from 320 to 552 over 31 days (net +232, accelerating trajectory), indicating genuine new-wallet adoption rather than a static holder set
  • +Smart money trader 0xc79b1c achieved +$7,382 realized PnL at +205% return across 9 trades, and 0xb0b0e4 realized +342% return across 5 trades, showing that informed participants have successfully extracted profit — evidence the token has real trading liquidity
  • +Buy transactions (1,493) outnumber sell transactions (1,073) over 24 hours with 50.5% buy pressure, suggesting retail demand has not fully collapsed despite the intraday dump
Bearish Factors
  • -Price has collapsed 53.8% in just 4 hours from the intraday high, a classic post-pump distribution pattern that typically precedes further downside
  • -The contract is unverified (security score 67/100), meaning the source code cannot be independently audited — a critical red flag for any position sizing
  • -Dumpable supply stands at 27.9% held by 9 individual whale wallets, with the largest (3.69%) having an average buy price of $0.00004287 — well below current price — giving them strong incentive to sell into any bounce
  • -Whale 0x77622b (2.53% of supply) acquired its position via transfer or airdrop rather than market buys, indicating an insider-style allocation with zero cost basis and maximum dump incentive
  • -Total liquidity is only $48,996, meaning even modest sell orders from the 27.9% dumpable supply would cause severe slippage and price impact

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

DOGE-1 call history

Full track record →
Jul 28bearish
24h-6.2%
7d-17.5%
30d+66.3%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0xc5b0...c105
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Post-pump distribution collapse: the -53.8% 4-hour reversal from the pump peak, combined with 27.9% dumpable whale supply sitting on large unrealized gains, creates a high-probability scenario of continued price decline toward the immediate support at $0.00006318 or lower
Unverified contract with 67/100 security score: the inability to audit the source code means investors cannot rule out hidden malicious functions; this risk is compounded by the token's 40-month age making the lack of verification appear intentional
Liquidity drain risk: with only $48,996 in the pool and 27.9% of supply (~$39,197 at current prices) held by dumpable wallets, a coordinated or panic-driven exit could reduce liquidity to near-zero, trapping remaining holders with no exit

Trading Insight

bearish

Despite marginally positive 24-hour buy pressure (50.5% buys vs 49.5% sells), the intraday price collapse of 53.8% over 4 hours signals that distribution is overwhelming any residual buying. The 4-hour window shows more unique sellers (116) than unique buyers (96), confirming the shift in momentum from accumulation to exit.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The medium-term trend remains technically bullish given the 7-day +273.5% and 30-day +157.8% gains off a base of $0.00003290, with daily closes progressing from $0.00004043 to $0.0001405 over the observed 73-day window. However, the short-term trend has decisively flipped bearish: the intraday reversal of -53.8% in 4 hours and -41.1% in 1 hour places the token in an active downtrend from its recent peak. The price sitting at only 17% of the 73-day range high confirms the bulk of the move has already occurred.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

The token's 273.5% 7-day gain followed by a violent intraday reversal is a textbook overbought exhaustion signal. Daily volatility of 18.3% (standard deviation of daily returns) is extremely elevated, and the price action — a rapid spike to $0.0006649 followed by a collapse back toward $0.0001405 — indicates momentum has turned negative. The 5-minute return of -13.1% confirms selling pressure is still active and has not yet stabilized.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.5%Sell 49.5%

Volume Trend: Increasing

24-hour volume of ~$867,623 is extraordinarily high relative to the $48,996 liquidity pool, representing approximately 17.7x pool turnover. While buy transactions (1,493) outnumber sell transactions (1,073) over 24 hours, the 4-hour window shows the ratio narrowing (168 buys vs 150 sells) with unique sellers (116) exceeding unique buyers (96), signaling a volume composition shift from buying to selling as the pump unwinds.

Recent Price Action

Parabolic pump followed by sharp reversal: daily closes progressed from $0.00003427 (trough) through $0.00006479 to a final close of $0.0001405, with an intraday high implied near the $0.0006649 range top before a -53.8% 4-hour collapse back to current levels.

This pattern — a rapid multi-day ascent culminating in a spike high followed by immediate sharp reversal — is consistent with a speculative pump cycle entering its distribution/dump phase. Historically, such patterns resolve by retracing a significant portion of the prior move, with the immediate support at $0.00006318 (the prior breakout level) being the first meaningful test.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00006318
Major$0.00003290
Resistance
Immediate$0.0006649
Major$0.0006649

The immediate support at $0.00006318 corresponds to the prior consolidation zone before the final leg of the pump and represents the first meaningful floor if selling continues. A break below it opens the path to major support at $0.00003290, the 73-day range low and the base from which the entire pump originated. The immediate and major resistance both sit at $0.0006649 — the 73-day range high — which would require a ~4.7x recovery from current price to reclaim.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders824
24h Change+240
Growth Rate+29%

The 31-day holder trajectory from 320 to 552 (net +232) shows accelerating growth, but the single-day spike of +240 holders (+29%) in the most recent 24 hours is anomalous and almost certainly reflects FOMO-driven buying at or near the pump peak. Rapid holder growth during a price spike is a well-documented distribution signal — whales and early buyers sell to an expanding pool of new retail entrants, transferring risk upward.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders39%
Top 100 Holders85%
Retail Holders15.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

While the top 10 holders control 39% of supply, the largest position (17.55%) is a protocol/contract and is non-dumpable. Stripping that out, the genuine dumpable supply from individual whale wallets is 27.9% — a meaningful but not critical concentration. The top 100 holders controlling 85% leaves only 15% in retail hands, indicating this is not a widely distributed token. Concentration risk is rated medium rather than high because the largest single holder is a non-selling contract.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

The largest recent on-chain swaps are dominated by sells: $1,269 sell by 0x270208, $1,153 sell by 0x9375fb, $1,112 sell by 0x721f4a, and a notable round-trip by 0xf82414 who bought $557 and then sold $554 within the same observable window. The largest buy was $459 by 0xb85c80. These are modest in absolute dollar terms but significant relative to the $48,996 liquidity pool.

  • SELL $1,269 by 0x270208 — largest single transaction in the recent window, consistent with a whale reducing exposure post-pump
  • Round-trip by 0xf82414: BUY $557 followed immediately by SELL $554 — possible arbitrage or failed speculation, net neutral but indicative of thin liquidity

Recent notable trades are skewed 4:1 toward sells by dollar value ($4,088 in sells vs $1,016 in buys from the top 6 transactions), reinforcing the distribution narrative. The modest absolute sizes ($500–$1,300) relative to the pool suggest these are retail-scale participants, not the large individual whales (who hold 3–3.7% of supply each and have not yet visibly moved their positions in the recent trade data).

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

The most profitable trader, 0xc79b1c, realized +$7,382 at +205% return across 9 trades, and 0xb0b0e4 realized +342% return across 5 trades — both have already taken profits. The highest-frequency smart money wallet (0x8095b7, 37 trades) realized only +$504 at +5%, suggesting the token's alpha has been largely extracted by the time of this analysis.

Smart money has already realized gains: the two highest-return traders (205% and 342%) have closed their positions across a combined 14 trades, and the most active trader's thin 5% net return across 37 trades suggests diminishing edge. The fact that profitable traders have exited rather than holding is a bearish signal — it implies informed participants do not expect further upside sufficient to justify holding through the current volatility.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$48,996
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $48,996 in total liquidity, the pool is extremely shallow relative to the 24-hour trading volume of ~$867,623. Any individual whale selling even 1% of their position (roughly $1,400 at current prices) would represent ~2.9% of the entire pool, causing meaningful slippage. If the 27.9% dumpable supply were to exit, it would represent approximately $39,197 in sell pressure against a $48,996 pool — a scenario that would effectively drain the pool and collapse the price toward zero.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 18.3% (standard deviation) is extreme by any standard. The 73-day price range spans $0.00003290 to $0.0006649 — a 20x spread — and the token has already demonstrated a -53.8% intraday move. Investors should expect continued violent price swings in both directions.

Liquidity
High

Total pool liquidity of $48,996 is critically thin relative to the $867,623 in 24-hour volume. Large exits will cause severe slippage, and if whale wallets (27.9% dumpable supply, ~$39,197 at current prices) begin selling, the pool could be effectively drained.

Concentration
Medium

Dumpable supply is 27.9% across 9 individual whale wallets, with the largest non-contract holder at 3.69%. While meaningful, the largest single position (17.55%) is a non-selling protocol contract, moderating the overall concentration risk from critical to medium.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified after 40 months, and the security score of 67/100 indicates automated risk flags. Without source code verification, the presence of hidden mint, blacklist, or fee-manipulation functions cannot be excluded.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized micro-cap meme token with no documented utility, DOGE-1 could face regulatory scrutiny as a speculative instrument, particularly if the pump-and-dump price pattern attracts enforcement attention. The use of 'DOGE' in the ticker may also create trademark or confusion-related issues.

Key Risks

  • Post-pump distribution collapse: the -53.8% 4-hour reversal from the pump peak, combined with 27.9% dumpable whale supply sitting on large unrealized gains, creates a high-probability scenario of continued price decline toward the immediate support at $0.00006318 or lower
  • Unverified contract with 67/100 security score: the inability to audit the source code means investors cannot rule out hidden malicious functions; this risk is compounded by the token's 40-month age making the lack of verification appear intentional
  • Liquidity drain risk: with only $48,996 in the pool and 27.9% of supply (~$39,197 at current prices) held by dumpable wallets, a coordinated or panic-driven exit could reduce liquidity to near-zero, trapping remaining holders with no exit

Mitigating Factors

  • The token has survived 40 months without a documented exploit or complete collapse, suggesting the contract does not contain an immediately triggerable rug mechanism
  • The largest holder (17.55%) is a protocol/contract rather than a dumpable individual, limiting the maximum single-entity sell pressure

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced speculative traders who fully understand meme token dynamics, can afford to lose their entire investment, and have the technical capability to monitor on-chain activity in real time. It is not suitable for long-term investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio.

DOGE-1 is a high-risk speculative meme token that has completed a significant pump cycle (+273.5% in 7 days) and is now in active post-peak distribution. The investment thesis is asymmetric to the downside in the near term, with the only credible bull case requiring a new external catalyst to restart speculative interest in a token with no documented fundamentals.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

A renewed viral social media campaign or a real-world news event tied to the Doge-1 satellite concept (e.g., an actual satellite launch or Elon Musk mention) reignites speculative buying, driving a second pump toward the $0.0006649 range high. Accelerating holder growth (320→552 in 31 days) provides a larger base of potential buyers for the next cycle.

  • +External viral catalyst (celebrity mention, satellite news) driving a second speculative wave
  • +Continued holder base expansion providing deeper buy-side liquidity for the next pump attempt
Base Case

Price stabilizes near the immediate support at $0.00006318 as the most aggressive sellers exhaust their positions, followed by a period of low-volume sideways trading. The token retains a small speculative following but fails to reclaim the pump highs without a new catalyst, gradually drifting toward the $0.00003290–$0.00006318 range.

  • Whale wallets sell gradually rather than in a single coordinated dump, allowing the pool to partially absorb the pressure
  • No new external catalyst emerges to restart the speculative cycle within the 30–90 day window
Bear Case
High

Post-pump distribution continues as the 9 individual whale wallets (27.9% dumpable supply, all sitting on gains relative to their average buy prices of $0.00003763–$0.00004287) systematically exit into the thin $48,996 liquidity pool. Price retraces to the immediate support at $0.00006318 and potentially to the major support at $0.00003290, erasing the majority of the pump gains. Latecomers who bought during the +240 holder 24-hour spike face severe losses.

  • -Whale wallets with average buy prices well below current price have strong financial incentive to sell into any remaining liquidity
  • -Thin pool liquidity ($48,996) amplifies downside price impact from even modest sell orders

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 28, 2026, 02:30 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data with 73-day OHLC history
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000140491506082806
Market Cap$140.5K
24h Volume$867.6K
Holders824
Liquidity$49.0K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v2 swap history)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
73-day daily OHLC price history
Smart money realized PnL data (top profitable traders)
Whale wallet forensics (acquisition method, first active date, avg buy price)
Notable recent trade data (largest on-chain swaps)
Smart contract security assessment (automated scanner, 67/100)

Limitations

  • Only 73 days of OHLC history available, limiting long-term trend analysis and making 90-day comparisons unavailable
  • Unverified smart contract prevents full security analysis — hidden functions or fee mechanisms cannot be assessed
  • No project description, whitepaper, or documented roadmap available, making fundamental valuation impossible
  • Social media engagement metrics (follower counts, sentiment) are not available in the data, limiting community health assessment

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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