USUAL

USUAL Price Today & AI Analysis

USUALEthereumAnalysis as of Apr 28, 2026

Price

$0.0101

-3.61% 24h

Contract

Live
0xc4441c2be5d8fa8126822b9929ca0b81ea0de38e

Holders

24.1K

Market cap

$19.92M

Liquidity

$309.81K

At a $50M market cap, $USUAL would be $0.0253 (2.51x from today’s price)

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USUAL: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-28 13:32 UTC

Holder addresses

23,655

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$240,559.69
How concentrated is USUAL ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 23,655 addresses (2026-04-28 13:32 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling USUAL?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is USUAL liquidity falling?
As of 2026-04-28 13:32 UTC, reported liquidity was $240,559.69. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-28 13:32 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Apr 28, 2026, 01:32 PM UTC

Market Cap

$24.08M

24h Volume

$34.60K

Liquidity

$240.56K

FDV

—

Holders

23,655

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

USUAL is a governance and utility token for a decentralized stablecoin protocol that emphasizes community ownership by redistributing 90% of value back to users, positioning it in the growing RWA and DeFi sectors with a market cap of $24.08 million. Despite its innovative approach to equitable stablecoin finance, the token faces challenges from high supply concentration (97% in top 100 holders) and recent price declines of 2.23% in 24 hours amid low trading volume. Currently trading at $0.0138 with total liquidity of $240,560, it shows signs of stabilization in the short term but requires improved on-chain metrics for sustained growth.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Apr 28, 2026, 01:32 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Redistributes 90% of protocol value to users, fostering community ownership unlike traditional stablecoins
  • Combines stablecoin issuance with governance and yield farming in a decentralized model
  • Backed by real-world assets, bridging fiat stability with DeFi innovation

USUAL AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Neutral

The token has experienced a 2.23% decline over the past 24 hours with sell pressure at 52.9%, indicating some downward momentum, but the last hour shows a 0.61% increase driven by 4 buy transactions and no sells, suggesting potential stabilization. Trading volume is low at $34,603.73 total in 24 hours, with balanced unique buyers and sellers at 9 each, pointing to limited volatility in the near term. Overall, the short-term price action reflects cautious market participation without strong directional bias.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Over the next 30-90 days, declining holder numbers (-0.63% in 30 days) and high supply concentration (86% in top 10 holders) could pressure the price downward if whale distribution continues. The token's utility in a stablecoin protocol may attract interest if DeFi adoption grows, but current low liquidity ($240,560) and negative holder growth suggest limited upside without new catalysts. Bearish sentiment may persist unless on-chain activity improves significantly.

Bullish Factors

  • Recent 1-hour buy-only activity with 4 transactions and 3 unique buyers, indicating short-term accumulation
  • Utility as a governance token in a value-redistributing stablecoin protocol, with categories including DeFi and RWA

Bearish Factors

  • 24-hour sell volume exceeding buy volume by $2,000 ($18,301.87 vs $16,301.86), showing net selling pressure
  • Declining holder base with -150 holders in 30 days and high concentration risk at 86% in top 10

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xc444...e38e
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • High supply concentration could lead to sudden price drops if whales sell
  • Declining holders and low liquidity may hinder recovery in bearish markets
  • Limited social presence could slow adoption and community support

Trading Insight

bearish

Market sentiment leans bearish due to 52.9% sell pressure and higher sell volume ($18,301.87) compared to buys ($16,301.86) over 24 hours, reflecting cautious trader behavior. However, the last hour's exclusive buy activity with 4 transactions suggests emerging positive interest. Overall, low transaction counts (27 total in 24 hours) indicate subdued market enthusiasm.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

Short-term trend is sideways with flat 5-minute performance (0%) and minor 1-hour gain (0.61%), but 24-hour decline (-2.23%) confirms consolidation. Medium-term downtrend is evident from holder decline and negative price action over 4 hours (-1.22%), potentially extending if sell pressure persists. Overall, the lack of strong momentum indicators points to range-bound trading unless volume increases.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum is neutral, as the token lacks overbought or oversold signals from the provided data, with balanced buy/sell pressures and low volume preventing extreme readings.

Volume Analysis

Buy

47.1%

Sell

52.9%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Volume has trended downward, with 24-hour total at $34,603.73 and only 27 transactions, lower than typical for a $24M market cap token, signaling reduced conviction that could exacerbate price swings.

Recent Price Action

Short-term consolidation with a minor rebound in the last hour after a 24-hour downtrend

This pattern typically indicates indecision, often preceding a breakout if volume supports it, but in low-liquidity environments, it can lead to further declines.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0135

Major support

$0.0130

Immediate resistance

$0.0140

Major resistance

$0.0145

Immediate support at $0.0135 aligns with recent lows from 4-hour decline, while major support at $0.0130 could act as a floor if selling intensifies; resistance levels at $0.0140 and $0.0145 may cap upside without increased buy volume, significant given the token's low liquidity.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

75/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Recent price swings (-2.23% in 24 hours) and low volume indicate high volatility, typical for small-cap tokens

  • LiquidityHigh

    $240,560 liquidity is shallow, leading to potential high slippage on trades

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an RWA-backed token, it may face scrutiny in stablecoin regulations, though decentralized nature mitigates some risks

Key Risks

  • High supply concentration could lead to sudden price drops if whales sell
  • Declining holders and low liquidity may hinder recovery in bearish markets
  • Limited social presence could slow adoption and community support

Mitigating Factors

  • Utility in growing DeFi and RWA sectors provides fundamental value
  • Verified contract and Ethereum chain offer baseline security

Investor Suitability

Suitable for risk-tolerant investors interested in DeFi governance tokens with high upside potential but who can handle volatility and concentration risks

USUAL presents an opportunity in decentralized stablecoin governance with its value redistribution model, but high concentration and declining metrics pose risks. Bull case hinges on sector growth, while bear case involves continued distribution.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Price appreciates significantly if DeFi adoption boosts demand for governance tokens, potentially reaching $0.02+ in 90 days

  • Increased RWA integration and partnerships
  • Reversal in holder decline through community initiatives

Base Case

Sideways trading around $0.013-0.014 with gradual stabilization as protocol matures

  • No major whale dumps
  • Steady DeFi sector performance

Bear Case

High probability

Further price erosion to below $0.01 if whales distribute and liquidity remains low

  • Persistent sell pressure and declining holders
  • Broader market downturn affecting DeFi

Analysis Details

Generated

Apr 28, 2026, 01:32 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-28 13:32 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.013837990105015236

Market Cap

$24.08M

24h Volume

$34.6K

Holders

23,655

Liquidity

$240,559.69

Data Sources

On-chain transaction dataHolder distribution analyticsTrading volume metricsSmart contract analysis

Limitations

  • Lack of historical chart data for precise TA
  • Estimated ranks and comparisons due to limited competitor data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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