BNB

BNB Price Today & AI Analysis

BNB
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 13, 2026

$737.1

+1.02%24h
LiveContract:0xb8c77482e45f1f44de1745f52c74426c631bdd52Chain:EthereumHolders:336.7KMarket cap:$289.61MLiquidity:$101.83K

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Ask Unhosted AI about BNB

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 13, 2026, 02:04 AM UTC
Market Cap

$86.01B

24h Volume

$32.85K

Liquidity

$112.91K

FDV

—

Holders

326.8K

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

BNB is the native utility token of the Binance ecosystem, one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges, and is classified as a Layer 1 utility token with a market cap of approximately $86 billion. This analysis covers the ERC-20 wrapped/bridged BNB contract deployed on Ethereum (0xb8c774…) in July 2017, which is now 108.2 months old. The token trades at $632.13 with a 30-day gain of +1.5% but a 7-day decline of -2.5%, placing it at 39% of its 88-day range. A critical anomaly exists in the on-chain data: the top two individual whale wallets are reported as holding 8,144% and 413% of the circulating supply on this contract, which is mathematically impossible and likely reflects cross-chain supply accounting discrepancies between the BNB Chain native token and this Ethereum-wrapped representation.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 13, 2026, 02:04 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: medium
Sentiment: bullish
Native utility token of Binance, the world's largest centralized exchange, providing structural demand through trading fee discounts and ecosystem participation
108-month-old contract with verified source code and a 326,759-strong holder base reflecting deep market penetration
Extreme supply concentration anomaly on this Ethereum contract — top holders report percentages exceeding 100% of circulating supply, signaling cross-chain accounting complexity that requires careful interpretation

BNB AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

BNB is trading at $632.13, sitting at only 39% of its 88-day range ($551.44–$758.55), and the 7-day trend is down 2.5%. Recent daily closes show a clear rollover from the $647–$648 area back toward the $600s, with the price now hugging immediate support at $631.96. The short-term bias is bearish unless the $642.35 resistance is reclaimed with conviction.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Neutral

The 30-day trend is a modest +1.5%, which partially offsets the 7-day weakness and prevents a firmly bearish medium-term call. BNB has oscillated between $551 and $758 over the 88-day window without establishing a clear directional trend, suggesting range-bound consolidation is the most likely medium-term scenario. A decisive break above $758.55 or below $551.44 would resolve the range and set the next directional leg.

Bullish Factors
  • +30-day price trend is positive at +1.5%, indicating medium-term buyers have absorbed selling pressure and the token has not broken down structurally.
  • +24-hour buy pressure stands at 72% (42 buys vs. 21 sells, $23,648 buy volume vs. $9,197 sell volume), showing near-term demand dominance in on-chain swaps.
  • +Holder base has grown steadily from 334,035 to 335,052 over 31 days (+1,017 net), reflecting slow but consistent organic accumulation.
  • +BNB is the native utility token of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume, giving it deep fundamental demand as a fee-reduction and ecosystem token.
Bearish Factors
  • -7-day price trend is -2.5%, and recent daily closes show a rollover from $648 highs back to $632, placing the price at only 39% of the 88-day range — closer to the floor than the ceiling.
  • -On-chain liquidity on this Ethereum contract is only $112,909, which is negligibly shallow for an $86 billion market-cap asset, meaning this pool cannot support meaningful institutional-sized trades without severe slippage.
  • -The top two individual whale wallets hold 8,144% and 413% of the reported circulating supply respectively — figures that exceed 100% and indicate severe data anomalies or cross-chain supply discrepancies that introduce significant analytical uncertainty.
  • -Security score of 56/100 is below the threshold typically associated with low-risk contracts, warranting caution for on-chain interactions via this specific Ethereum-deployed contract.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

BNB call history

Full track record →
Jul 13bearish
24h+1.2%
7d+1.4%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0xb8c7...dd52
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Regulatory risk: Binance faces active regulatory scrutiny in the US, EU, and multiple other jurisdictions. A significant enforcement action or exchange shutdown would directly impair BNB's primary utility and could trigger a sharp price decline.
•Pool-specific liquidity risk: The $112,909 Uniswap v4 pool on Ethereum is dangerously shallow for an $86B asset — any trader using this pool for positions above $2,000 faces high slippage and potential price impact.
•Cross-chain supply anomaly: The reported top-holder percentages exceeding 100% of circulating supply on this contract indicate data integrity issues that make precise on-chain risk assessment unreliable for this specific Ethereum deployment.

Trading Insight

bullish

On-chain swap activity over the past 24 hours shows a 72/28 buy-to-sell ratio by transaction count and a 2.57:1 buy-to-sell volume ratio ($23,648 vs. $9,197), indicating net buying pressure in this specific liquidity pool. However, absolute transaction counts are very low (63 total transactions, 58 unique participants), meaning this sentiment reading reflects a thin, illiquid pool rather than broad market conviction.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The 7-day trend of -2.5% and the rollover in recent daily closes from $648 to $632 establish a short-term downtrend. The medium-term picture is sideways: the 30-day change is only +1.5% and the price sits at 39% of the 88-day range, indicating neither bulls nor bears have achieved a decisive breakout. The $642.35 immediate resistance is the key level to reclaim for any short-term trend reversal.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Daily volatility of 2.8% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a large-cap crypto asset. The price has oscillated without a strong directional impulse — recent closes show a peak cluster around $645–$648 followed by a pullback to $632, suggesting momentum has stalled at the immediate resistance zone rather than building for a breakout.

Volume Analysis

Buy 72%Sell 28%

Volume Trend: Stable

On-chain swap volume in this Ethereum pool is consistently low in absolute terms, with 63 transactions and $32,845 total volume over 24 hours. The 4-hour window shows only 11 transactions, and the 1-hour window shows a single sell, indicating volume is tapering. This pool's volume is not representative of BNB's global trading volume and should be treated as a micro-sample.

Recent Price Action

BNB formed a local peak cluster at $645–$648 across several consecutive daily closes, then pulled back to $629–$632 over the following sessions. The current price of $632.13 is sitting just above the immediate support of $631.96, forming a potential short-term consolidation or continuation lower.

A close below $631.96 immediate support would open a path toward the $582–$593 zone seen in recent lows, while a reclaim of $642.35 resistance would signal the pullback has ended and the prior $645–$648 range may be retested.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$631.96
Major$551.44
Resistance
Immediate$642.35
Major$758.55

These levels are derived from real OHLC swing highs and lows over the 88-day data window. The $631.96 immediate support is being tested right now — a sustained break below it would expose the $551.44 major support, which represents the 88-day range low and a 12.8% downside from current price. On the upside, $642.35 is the first hurdle (only 1.6% away), while $758.55 represents the 88-day range high and a 20% upside target if bullish momentum returns.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders326,759
24h Change+44
Growth Rate+0.013%

The 31-day holder trajectory shows steady, uninterrupted growth from 334,035 to 335,052 (+1,017 net), which is a healthy organic signal for a mature large-cap token. The growth rate is slow (0.34% over 30 days), consistent with a token that has already achieved mass adoption rather than one in a viral growth phase.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders100%
Top 100 Holders100%
Retail Holders0.0%
Concentration Risk:
Critical

On this specific Ethereum contract, 100% of the reported supply sits in the top 10 and top 100 wallets, with ~0% in retail hands. This is expected for a wrapped/bridged token where the underlying supply is custodied in a small number of bridge contracts and exchange wallets (e.g., Binance 8 at 23.01% and Binance: BNB Token at 5.99%). However, the dumpable supply figure — driven by individual whale wallets reporting holdings that mathematically exceed 100% of circulating supply — is flagged as a critical data anomaly requiring cross-chain supply reconciliation before drawing firm conclusions.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The six largest recent on-chain swaps in this pool are all retail-scale: the largest is a $4,096 sell by 0xe7ffba…, followed by a $1,903 sell by the same wallet, and buys of $1,625, $1,364, and $1,220 by separate wallets. No institutional or whale-sized swaps are present.

  • •SELL $4,096 by 0xe7ffba… — the largest single swap in the recent trade history, representing a retail-scale exit
  • •BUY $1,625 by 0xc4ffd6… — the largest buy-side transaction, indicating modest accumulation interest

The three largest individual whale wallets on this contract (0x38b661…, 0xebdce3…, 0x480234…) have no indexed DEX swap history — their positions were received via transfer or airdrop, not market purchases. This means they are not active traders in this pool and their holdings do not represent near-term sell pressure from active market participants.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Low

Smart-money (top profitable trader cohort) data is unavailable for this token. No profitable-trader PnL data was provided.

Smart-money data is unavailable for this contract. No inference about early buyer positioning or profit-taking behavior can be made from the provided data.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$112,909.44
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

A $112,909 liquidity pool for an $86 billion market-cap asset is extraordinarily shallow — this pool represents less than 0.000131% of BNB's market cap. Any trade above approximately $1,000–$2,000 will incur meaningful slippage, and a trade of $10,000+ could move the pool price by several percent. This pool should not be used for any significant BNB position; centralized exchanges or BNB Chain native DEXs offer vastly superior liquidity.

Overall Risk:
Medium
42/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
Medium

Daily return volatility of 2.8% is moderate for a large-cap crypto asset. The 88-day range spans $551.44 to $758.55 — a 37.6% spread — indicating meaningful but not extreme price swings relative to the asset class.

Liquidity
High

This specific Ethereum Uniswap v4 pool holds only $112,909 in liquidity, creating severe slippage risk for any trade above ~$1,000. This is a pool-specific risk; BNB's global liquidity across all venues is deep.

Concentration
Medium

While 100% of supply on this Ethereum contract sits in the top 10 wallets, two of those are identified Binance exchange wallets (23.01% and 5.99%) which are custodial holdings, not dumpable whale positions. The three largest individual whale wallets acquired via transfer/airdrop with no DEX swap history, reducing near-term sell pressure. The anomalous percentage figures (8,144%, 413%) are data artifacts of cross-chain accounting, not literal concentration risk.

Smart Contract
Medium

The 56/100 security score and 2017-era contract design introduce moderate smart contract risk. The contract has never been exploited in 108 months, but legacy code may lack modern security patterns. Verified source code partially mitigates this.

Regulatory
High

BNB faces elevated regulatory risk due to Binance's ongoing legal challenges in multiple jurisdictions, including the 2023 DOJ settlement and continued scrutiny from the SEC and international regulators. Adverse regulatory actions against Binance directly impact BNB's utility and demand.

Key Risks

  • •Regulatory risk: Binance faces active regulatory scrutiny in the US, EU, and multiple other jurisdictions. A significant enforcement action or exchange shutdown would directly impair BNB's primary utility and could trigger a sharp price decline.
  • •Pool-specific liquidity risk: The $112,909 Uniswap v4 pool on Ethereum is dangerously shallow for an $86B asset — any trader using this pool for positions above $2,000 faces high slippage and potential price impact.
  • •Cross-chain supply anomaly: The reported top-holder percentages exceeding 100% of circulating supply on this contract indicate data integrity issues that make precise on-chain risk assessment unreliable for this specific Ethereum deployment.

Mitigating Factors

  • •BNB's 108-month operational history and status as the native token of the world's largest exchange provide structural demand and institutional credibility that most tokens lack.
  • •The quarterly BNB burn mechanism creates a deflationary supply dynamic, and BNB Chain's active DeFi ecosystem provides utility demand independent of Binance CEX activity.

Investor Suitability

BNB is most suitable for investors who already use the Binance ecosystem and benefit directly from fee discounts, or for those seeking large-cap crypto exposure with established utility. The Ethereum Uniswap v4 pool analyzed here is suitable only for small retail swaps due to liquidity constraints; significant BNB positions should be managed through Binance directly or BNB Chain native infrastructure.

BNB's investment thesis rests on its structural utility as the fee and gas token for the world's largest crypto exchange and its associated Layer 1 blockchain. The near-term technical picture is mildly bearish (7d -2.5%, price at 39% of range), but the medium-term is range-bound with a slight positive bias (30d +1.5%). The primary risk is regulatory, not fundamental.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

Regulatory clarity in key jurisdictions reduces overhang on Binance, BNB Chain DeFi activity accelerates driving gas demand, and the quarterly burn mechanism tightens supply. Price breaks above the $758.55 88-day range high and establishes a new higher range.

  • +Favorable regulatory resolution or settlement reducing Binance legal uncertainty
  • +BNB Chain ecosystem growth increasing on-chain gas consumption and burn rate
Base Case

BNB continues to trade in the $551–$758 range established over the past 88 days, with slow holder growth and moderate volatility. Regulatory uncertainty persists but does not escalate materially, and BNB Chain maintains its current DeFi market share.

  • •No major new regulatory actions against Binance in the next 90 days
  • •Bitcoin and broader crypto market remain range-bound, providing neither a strong tailwind nor headwind for BNB
Bear Case
Medium

Escalating regulatory actions against Binance in the US or EU materially impair exchange operations, reducing BNB utility demand. Price breaks below the $551.44 major support, opening a path to the $400–$450 range.

  • -New enforcement actions or exchange restrictions imposed by US SEC, DOJ, or EU regulators
  • -Broader crypto market downturn compressing large-cap valuations across the board

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 13, 2026, 02:04 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$632.130282912659367867
Market Cap$86.01B
24h Volume$32.8K
Holders326,759
Liquidity$112.9K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v4 Ethereum pool)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis on-chain holder tiers)
88-day daily OHLC price history
Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap history lookup)
Smart contract security assessment
Token fundamentals and project description

Limitations

  • •This analysis covers only the Ethereum-deployed BNB contract (0xb8c774…) and its associated Uniswap v4 pool — it does not reflect BNB's primary market on BNB Chain or centralized exchanges, where the vast majority of BNB trading volume and liquidity resides.
  • •Top holder percentage figures exceeding 100% of circulating supply are a cross-chain accounting artifact and cannot be used for standard concentration analysis; the dumpable supply calculation is unreliable for this specific contract.
  • •Smart-money (profitable trader cohort) data was unavailable, limiting the ability to assess informed-money positioning.
  • •90-day price trend data was not available, restricting the long-term trend analysis to the 88-day OHLC window provided.

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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