SWEAT

SWEAT Price Today & AI Analysis

SWEATEthereumAnalysis as of May 9, 2026

Price

$0.000293

+3.01% 24h

Contract

Live
0xb4b9dc1c77bdbb135ea907fd5a08094d98883a35

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

8.5K

Market cap

$658.04K

Liquidity

$36.86K

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SWEAT: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-09 11:30 UTC

Holder addresses

6,859

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$235,106.47
How concentrated is SWEAT ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 6,859 addresses (2026-05-09 11:30 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling SWEAT?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is SWEAT liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-09 11:30 UTC, reported liquidity was $235,106.47. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-09 11:30 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since report

report from May 9, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC

Market Cap

$3.97M

24h Volume

$160.39K

Liquidity

$235.11K

FDV

—

Holders

6,859

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bullish

SWEAT is a move-to-earn utility token designed to reward physical activity through a mobile app, claiming over 20 million users. The token currently trades at $0.000465 with a $3.97M market cap and $235K liquidity on Uniswap v3. While the project addresses an interesting use case in the GameFi space, the token exhibits severe red flags including extreme holder concentration (100% of supply in top 100 holders), minimal liquidity, and a massive gap between claimed app users (20M) and actual token holders (6,859). Recent 168% price gains appear speculative rather than fundamentally driven.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — May 9, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Move-to-earn model that claims to increase user physical activity by 20% on average
  • Claimed 20 million existing app users providing potential user base for token adoption
  • Verified smart contract and established social media presence across multiple platforms

SWEAT AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

SWEAT has experienced explosive 168% gains over 24 hours, indicating a potential pump-and-dump pattern typical of low-liquidity tokens. The 4-hour surge of 151% combined with only $235K in total liquidity suggests the move is unsustainable and vulnerable to sharp reversals. Current price action shows classic overbought conditions with extreme buy pressure that historically precedes significant corrections.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

Medium-term outlook depends heavily on whether the project can sustain user growth and convert the claimed 20 million users into active token holders. The current 6,859 holder count represents only 0.034% of claimed users, suggesting massive disconnect between user base and token adoption. Success requires significant ecosystem development and genuine utility expansion beyond current speculative trading.

Bullish Factors

  • Strong buy pressure at 75.8% vs 24.2% sell pressure indicates current buyer enthusiasm
  • Positive 30-day holder growth of 3.8% (260 new holders) shows gradual expansion
  • Verified smart contract and established social presence (Twitter, Telegram, Discord) provide legitimacy
  • Move-to-earn category has demonstrated market interest (Stepn, Sweatcoin precedent)
  • Recent 168% 24-hour gain shows market can rapidly re-price the token if sentiment shifts

Bearish Factors

  • Extreme holder concentration: 85% of supply in top 10 holders creates massive dump risk
  • Critically low liquidity of $235K means even modest sell orders cause severe slippage
  • Only 6,859 total holders despite claimed 20M app users indicates minimal token adoption
  • Security score of 45/100 is below acceptable standards for investment-grade tokens
  • FDV of $751K vs market cap of $3.97M shows massive dilution risk if circulating supply increases
  • Zero holder growth in 24 hours despite 168% price surge suggests no new retail adoption
  • Extreme 4-hour volatility (151% gain) is characteristic of pump-and-dump schemes

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xb4b9...3a35
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: 85% of supply in top 10 holders with minimal liquidity creates perfect conditions for coordinated exit that would crash price to near-zero
  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 168% 24-hour gain combined with zero new holders and declining volume suggests coordinated pump that will reverse sharply
  • User adoption gap: Claimed 20M users but only 6,859 token holders indicates massive disconnect between user base and token monetization, suggesting user metrics may be inflated
  • Liquidity crisis: $235K liquidity is insufficient for any meaningful trading; even $50K orders experience 20%+ slippage

Trading Insight

bullish

Current market sentiment is strongly bullish with 75.8% buy pressure dominating 24.2% sell pressure. However, this extreme skew combined with minimal liquidity suggests unsustainable momentum rather than healthy accumulation. The 3.1x ratio of buy volume ($121.6K) to sell volume ($38.8K) indicates aggressive buying, but the lack of new unique buyers (60 in 24h for a token with 6,859 holders) suggests existing holders are recycling positions rather than new capital entering.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Short-term trend is strongly upward with 168% gains over 24 hours and 151% over 4 hours, but this appears to be a parabolic move rather than a sustainable trend. The extreme velocity of the move combined with minimal liquidity suggests the uptrend is exhausting. Medium-term trend is sideways as the token lacks the fundamental catalysts or holder growth to sustain directional movement.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

Momentum indicators are severely overbought. The 168% 24-hour gain, 151% 4-hour gain, and 12.5% 1-hour gain show accelerating price action that typically precedes reversals. The 75.8% buy pressure is at extreme levels that historically cannot be sustained. RSI would be well above 70 (overbought territory), and MACD would show divergence between price and momentum.

Volume Analysis

Buy

75.8%

Sell

24.2%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Volume shows a concerning decreasing trend as the move progresses. 24-hour volume of $160.4K, 4-hour volume of approximately $40K, and 1-hour volume of approximately $15K indicates volume is declining even as price continues higher. This divergence between price and volume is a classic warning sign of an unsustainable move. The declining volume suggests fewer participants are willing to buy at higher prices.

Recent Price Action

Parabolic spike with accelerating gains (3.37% in 5min → 12.5% in 1hr → 151% in 4hr → 168% in 24hr) followed by declining volume. Price has moved from approximately $0.00027 to $0.000465 in 24 hours with minimal pullbacks.

This pattern is characteristic of a pump-and-dump or speculative bubble. The parabolic nature combined with declining volume suggests the move is exhausting and a significant correction is likely. Historical precedent shows such moves typically retrace 50-80% of gains within days.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00035

Major support

$0.00020

Immediate resistance

$0.00055

Major resistance

$0.00075

Immediate support at $0.00035 represents the 24-hour open price and would be the first test if momentum reverses. Major support at $0.00020 represents approximately 57% retracement from current levels. Immediate resistance at $0.00055 is the recent high, and breaking above would target $0.00075 as psychological resistance. Given the overbought conditions and declining volume, support levels are more likely to be tested than resistance in the near term.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    168% 24-hour price movement and 151% 4-hour movement demonstrate extreme volatility. The token has moved from approximately $0.00027 to $0.000465 in one day, indicating price can swing 50%+ in either direction within hours. This volatility is unsustainable and creates significant risk of rapid losses.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Only $235K in total liquidity on Uniswap v3 creates severe slippage risk. Any position larger than $10-20K will experience significant slippage. The 24-hour volume of $160.4K represents 68% of total liquidity, indicating the pool is being heavily depleted. A sudden large sell order could cause a flash crash.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Move-to-earn tokens operate in a regulatory gray area. Regulators may classify SWEAT as a security or gambling token, which could trigger enforcement actions or restrictions. The project's claims about health benefits could also attract regulatory scrutiny from health authorities.

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: 85% of supply in top 10 holders with minimal liquidity creates perfect conditions for coordinated exit that would crash price to near-zero
  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 168% 24-hour gain combined with zero new holders and declining volume suggests coordinated pump that will reverse sharply
  • User adoption gap: Claimed 20M users but only 6,859 token holders indicates massive disconnect between user base and token monetization, suggesting user metrics may be inflated
  • Liquidity crisis: $235K liquidity is insufficient for any meaningful trading; even $50K orders experience 20%+ slippage
  • Regulatory uncertainty: Move-to-earn tokens face potential classification as securities or gambling products, which could trigger enforcement actions

Mitigating Factors

  • Verified smart contract allows code review and reduces smart contract risk
  • Established social media presence and project longevity (6,859 holders accumulated over time) suggest project is not an immediate scam
  • Move-to-earn category has demonstrated market interest and precedent with successful projects like Stepn

Investor Suitability

SWEAT is suitable only for experienced cryptocurrency traders with high risk tolerance and strict position sizing discipline. This token is NOT suitable for: retail investors, conservative investors, those seeking stable returns, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. The extreme volatility, holder concentration, and speculative nature make this a high-risk speculation rather than an investment. Only traders with experience managing illiquid, volatile assets should consider exposure, and only with position sizes representing <1% of portfolio.

SWEAT presents a speculative opportunity in the move-to-earn space with claimed 20M users, but the token exhibits severe red flags including extreme holder concentration (85% in top 10), minimal liquidity ($235K), and a massive gap between claimed users and actual token holders (6,859). The recent 168% price surge appears to be a speculative pump rather than fundamentally driven, with declining volume and zero new holder growth suggesting the move is unsustainable. The investment thesis depends entirely on whether the project can convert its claimed user base into active token holders, which has not occurred to date.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

SWEAT successfully converts its claimed 20 million app users into token holders, creating massive organic demand. The project achieves exchange listings on major platforms, improving liquidity from $235K to $10M+. Regulatory clarity on move-to-earn tokens provides legitimacy. The token becomes the dominant move-to-earn platform, capturing market share from competitors. In this scenario, the token could appreciate 10-100x from current levels as the user base monetizes.

  • Successful user conversion from app to token holders (currently only 0.034% conversion)
  • Major exchange listings improving liquidity and accessibility
  • Regulatory approval and clarity on move-to-earn token classification
  • Demonstrated health benefits and user engagement metrics validating the 20M user claim

Base Case

SWEAT experiences a significant correction of 50-70% from current levels as the speculative pump exhausts, settling around $0.00015-0.00025. The project continues to operate with its existing user base but fails to achieve significant token adoption beyond current 6,859 holders. The token remains a low-liquidity, high-volatility asset with limited mainstream adoption. Over 12 months, the token trades sideways in a range of $0.00010-0.00050 as the project struggles to convert users to token holders.

  • Current price spike is unsustainable and will retrace 50-70%
  • Project cannot convert claimed 20M users to token holders at meaningful scale
  • Liquidity remains constrained below $500K, limiting institutional adoption
  • Regulatory environment remains uncertain but not prohibitive
  • Holder concentration remains extreme, limiting organic price appreciation

Bear Case

High probability

The current price spike is a pump-and-dump orchestrated by large holders. Once retail buyers exhaust, whales begin distributing to retail at inflated prices, causing a sharp crash. The token retraces 70-90% from current levels to $0.00015-0.00050. The claimed 20M users prove to be inflated metrics, and the project fails to achieve meaningful token adoption. Regulatory scrutiny on move-to-earn tokens creates headwinds. In this scenario, the token could decline 80-95% from current levels.

  • Coordinated selling by top 10 holders who control 85% of supply
  • Continued lack of new holder growth despite price appreciation
  • Inability to convert app users to token holders
  • Regulatory restrictions on move-to-earn tokens
  • Declining volume and momentum exhaustion

Analysis Details

Generated

May 9, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-09 11:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000465040934675698

Market Cap

$3.97M

24h Volume

$160.4K

Holders

6,859

Liquidity

$235,106.47

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data from Uniswap v3Holder distribution analytics and concentration metricsTrading volume and price performance dataSmart contract verification status and security scoringReal-time liquidity and slippage analysis

Limitations

  • Unable to verify claimed 20 million app users; analysis assumes these metrics are accurate but notes the massive gap between claimed users and token holders
  • Security score of 45/100 is provided but underlying methodology is not detailed; analysis treats this as a relative risk indicator
  • Historical price data prior to 24 hours is not available; analysis cannot assess longer-term trends or support/resistance levels with high confidence
  • Whale wallet identities are unknown; analysis cannot determine if concentration is due to insiders, early investors, or market makers
  • Project fundamentals beyond the provided description are not analyzed; deeper due diligence on team, roadmap, and partnerships would be needed for comprehensive assessment

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell securities. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile, speculative, and carry substantial risk of loss. SWEAT exhibits extreme risk factors including holder concentration, minimal liquidity, and speculative price action. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, understand the risks, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author and firm assume no responsibility for losses resulting from investment decisions based on this analysis.

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