sDOLA

Staked Dola Price Today & AI Analysis

sDOLA
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 7, 2026

$1.41

-0.01%24h
LiveContract:0xb45ad160634c528cc3d2926d9807104fa3157305Chain:EthereumHolders:283Market cap:$15.06MLiquidity:$2.89M

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Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

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What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 7, 2026, 10:32 AM UTC
Market Cap

$15.06M

24h Volume

$210.12K

Liquidity

$2.89M

FDV

—

Holders

283

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

sDOLA is a 31.2-month-old yield-bearing synthetic stablecoin issued by Inverse Finance, where staked DOLA earns a continuous stream of DBR tokens that are auto-compounded back into DOLA, causing the sDOLA/DOLA exchange rate to appreciate over time. With a market cap of $15.06M, 10.68M tokens in full circulation, and $2.89M in Curve liquidity, it occupies a niche as a DeFi savings instrument rather than a speculative asset. Price behavior over 91 days confirms this design: daily volatility is just 0.7%, the 90-day gain is +2.0%, and the trading range is tight at $1.38–$1.46. The token's value proposition is entirely dependent on the health and revenue of Inverse Finance's FiRM fixed-rate lending market, making protocol-level risk the primary investment consideration.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 7, 2026, 10:32 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: medium
Sentiment: bullish
Yield is sourced from real lending market revenues (FiRM fixed-rate borrowing fees) rather than inflationary token emissions, making the yield structurally more sustainable
Auto-compounding DBR-to-DOLA mechanism means holders passively accumulate yield without manual claiming or reinvestment, reflected directly in the rising sDOLA exchange rate
Full supply is circulating with no vesting schedule or locked allocations, eliminating cliff-unlock sell pressure that affects most DeFi tokens

Staked Dola AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

sDOLA has declined 1.4% over the past 7 days and currently sits at 39% of its 91-day range ($1.38–$1.46), indicating mild downward pressure from recent highs. The 7-day trend is the dominant near-term signal, with price hugging the $1.41 immediate support level across the majority of recent daily closes. Given the token's yield-bearing stablecoin design, large directional moves are structurally constrained, but the drift below mid-range is a mild bearish lean.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Neutral

The 30-day change is essentially flat at -0.0% and the 90-day gain is a modest +2.0%, consistent with a yield-accruing stablecoin that appreciates slowly via auto-compounded DBR rewards rather than speculative price action. Daily volatility of 0.7% confirms the token behaves more like a savings instrument than a volatile asset. The medium-term trajectory is structurally anchored near $1.41, with upside capped at the $1.46 90-day high.

Bullish Factors
  • +90-day trend is positive at +2.0%, reflecting the slow but consistent yield accrual from auto-compounded DBR rewards embedded in the sDOLA exchange rate
  • +Buy pressure is dominant at 89.4% of 24-hour volume ($187,751 buys vs. $22,370 sells), indicating net accumulation among the small active trader base
  • +Total supply equals circulating supply (10,677,495 sDOLA), meaning there is no locked or vesting supply overhang that could create future sell pressure
Bearish Factors
  • -7-day price change is -1.4%, the sharpest short-window decline in the observed trend windows, and current price at 39% of the 91-day range signals proximity to the lower half of the trading band
  • -Extremely thin trading activity — only 18 transactions and 6 unique buyers in 24 hours — means the token has very low secondary-market liquidity and any moderate sell order could move price materially
  • -Market cap of $15.06M against $2.89M liquidity implies a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of ~19%, which is adequate but not deep; large redemptions could face meaningful slippage on Curve

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

sDOLA call history

Full track record →
Sep 7bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0xb45a...7305
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•FiRM protocol revenue dependency: if borrowing demand on Inverse Finance's fixed-rate market declines, DBR generation falls, reducing sDOLA yield and potentially causing holders to unstake — creating a reflexive supply contraction that could pressure DOLA's peg
•DOLA peg risk: sDOLA's value is denominated in DOLA; a significant DOLA de-peg event (as Inverse Finance experienced in April 2022 with a separate exploit) would directly impair sDOLA holders' USD-denominated value
•Thin liquidity exit risk: with only $2.89M in Curve liquidity and 18 transactions per day, any coordinated exit by even a small number of the 283 holders could cause outsized price impact and slippage

Trading Insight

bullish

Despite very low absolute transaction counts, the directional skew in 24-hour trading is strongly bullish: 89.4% of volume ($187,751) came from buys versus only 10.6% ($22,370) from sells, with a single seller accounting for all sell-side activity. This is consistent with a low-velocity savings instrument where holders accumulate and rarely exit, rather than a token with active speculative trading.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The 7-day return of -1.4% establishes a mild short-term downtrend, with price sitting at 39% of the 91-day range — below the midpoint of $1.42. The 30-day change of essentially 0.0% and 90-day gain of +2.0% describe a medium-term sideways-to-slowly-rising channel, consistent with a yield-accruing stablecoin. Recent daily closes show a tight cluster at $1.41 with brief spikes to $1.43 and $1.45 that were quickly retraced, confirming $1.41 as the gravitational center.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

With daily volatility of just 0.7% and a 90-day range of only $0.08 ($1.38–$1.46), momentum indicators would be structurally compressed for sDOLA. The token's design as a yield-bearing stablecoin means price appreciation is gradual and driven by DBR accrual mechanics rather than speculative momentum. No overbought or oversold condition is evident from the OHLC data.

Volume Analysis

Buy 89.4%Sell 10.6%

Volume Trend: Stable

Volume data is available only as a 24-hour snapshot without historical comparison, so a directional volume trend cannot be established. The current 24-hour volume of ~$210K against $2.89M liquidity is a moderate single-session turnover. The 89.4% buy-pressure reading is directionally significant but must be interpreted cautiously given only 18 total transactions.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes show extreme price stability: 12 of 14 closes landed exactly at $1.41, with two brief excursions to $1.43 and $1.45 that reverted within one session each. This is a tight mean-reversion pattern around the $1.41 level.

This pattern is characteristic of a yield-bearing stablecoin whose exchange rate drifts upward slowly via compounding mechanics. The $1.41 level functions as both immediate support and immediate resistance, acting as a price anchor. Breakouts above $1.43 have historically been short-lived within this 91-day window.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$1.41
Major$1.38
Resistance
Immediate$1.41
Major$1.46

The convergence of immediate support and immediate resistance at $1.41 reflects the price anchor behavior described above — this level is both the floor that has held repeatedly and the ceiling that caps short-term upside. Major support at $1.38 represents the 91-day swing low and would only be tested under significant DOLA de-peg or FiRM protocol stress. Major resistance at $1.46 is the 91-day swing high; a sustained break above it would require meaningfully accelerated DBR yield accrual or a surge in new staking demand.

Overall Risk:
Medium
42/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
Low

Daily volatility of 0.7% and a 91-day price range of only $0.08 ($1.38–$1.46) place sDOLA among the least volatile on-chain assets. Its stablecoin design structurally suppresses price swings, making volatility risk minimal for holders who understand the product.

Liquidity
Medium

$2.89M in Curve liquidity supports the $15.06M market cap at a ~19% ratio. While adequate for small trades, a holder seeking to exit a position representing more than 1–2% of the pool would face meaningful slippage. The 18-transaction, 7-unique-participant trading day underscores thin secondary-market depth.

Concentration
Low

The top 10 holders control 15.4% of supply, which is a low concentration figure. Per-wallet holder data is unavailable, so the nature of these holders (protocol contracts, exchange wallets, or individual whales) cannot be determined. Based solely on the aggregate 15.4% figure, concentration risk is assessed as low.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data is available from this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rather than an assessment. Investors should independently review Inverse Finance's audit history and the sDOLA contract's security posture.

Regulatory
Medium

As a yield-bearing synthetic stablecoin, sDOLA sits at the intersection of two regulatory focus areas: stablecoins and yield-generating DeFi instruments. Evolving stablecoin legislation in the US and EU could impose compliance requirements on DOLA/sDOLA issuance or restrict access for certain jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • •FiRM protocol revenue dependency: if borrowing demand on Inverse Finance's fixed-rate market declines, DBR generation falls, reducing sDOLA yield and potentially causing holders to unstake — creating a reflexive supply contraction that could pressure DOLA's peg
  • •DOLA peg risk: sDOLA's value is denominated in DOLA; a significant DOLA de-peg event (as Inverse Finance experienced in April 2022 with a separate exploit) would directly impair sDOLA holders' USD-denominated value
  • •Thin liquidity exit risk: with only $2.89M in Curve liquidity and 18 transactions per day, any coordinated exit by even a small number of the 283 holders could cause outsized price impact and slippage

Mitigating Factors

  • •31.2 months of continuous operation demonstrates protocol resilience across multiple market cycles, including the 2022 bear market and 2023–2024 recovery
  • •Yield backed by real lending revenues rather than token emissions reduces the risk of a sudden yield collapse from inflationary mechanics running out

Investor Suitability

sDOLA is most suitable for DeFi-native investors already holding DOLA who seek passive, auto-compounding yield without active management. It is not appropriate for investors seeking capital appreciation, high liquidity, or exposure to speculative price movements. The product requires comfort with Inverse Finance protocol risk, DOLA peg stability, and thin secondary-market liquidity.

sDOLA is a narrow-purpose DeFi savings instrument whose investment case rests entirely on the sustained health of Inverse Finance's FiRM lending market. It is not a speculative asset — its 91-day price range of $0.08 and 0.7% daily volatility confirm this. The thesis is binary: either FiRM continues generating DBR revenue that compounds into sDOLA value, or it doesn't.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

FiRM lending volumes grow as fixed-rate borrowing demand increases in a rising-rate DeFi environment, accelerating DBR generation and sDOLA yield. New integrations or yield aggregators adopt sDOLA as a collateral or savings layer, expanding the 283-holder base and deepening Curve liquidity. The sDOLA exchange rate continues its slow upward drift, potentially reaching the $1.46 90-day high and beyond.

  • +Growth in FiRM fixed-rate lending market borrowing activity and associated DBR fee generation
  • +Broader DeFi yield compression making sDOLA's revenue-backed yield relatively more attractive to stablecoin holders
Base Case

sDOLA continues operating as a low-volatility, yield-bearing savings instrument with gradual exchange rate appreciation in line with the observed +2.0% 90-day trend. The holder base remains small and stable at approximately 283 addresses, liquidity stays near current levels, and price oscillates within the $1.38–$1.46 range established over the past 91 days.

  • •FiRM lending market revenues remain stable, sustaining current DBR generation rates and sDOLA yield
  • •DOLA maintains its peg and Inverse Finance avoids major protocol-level security incidents
Bear Case
Low

A decline in FiRM borrowing demand reduces DBR revenues, compressing sDOLA yield to the point where holders prefer to unstake and seek yield elsewhere. Reduced staking demand contracts DOLA supply, potentially stressing the peg. A secondary DOLA de-peg event — whether from protocol stress or broader market contagion — would directly impair sDOLA's USD value, with limited Curve liquidity to absorb exits.

  • -Sustained decline in FiRM lending market utilization reducing DBR generation and sDOLA yield
  • -DOLA peg instability triggered by protocol-level stress or broader DeFi market disruption

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 7, 2026, 10:32 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$1.41025587771
Market Cap$15.06M
24h Volume$210.1K
Holders283
Liquidity$2.89M

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history, size-tier distribution, and acquisition-method data were unavailable for this chain, preventing trend analysis of the holder base
  • •Whale transaction records and smart-money cohort data were unavailable, so large-holder behavior and profitable-trader positioning cannot be assessed
  • •Contract-security data (audit scores, vulnerability flags, ownership status) was not available from this chain's data provider and could not be included in the security assessment
  • •Only 91 days of daily OHLC data was available; longer-term historical context for a 31.2-month-old token would improve trend confidence

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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