Derive Price Today & AI Analysis
Price
$0.4646
-3.88% 24h
Contract
Live0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71beAt a $1B market cap, $DRV would be $1 (2.15x from today’s price)
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Derive: holders, selling & liquidity
2026-07-14 07:01 UTC
Holder addresses
Top 10 supply share
Reported liquidity
- How concentrated is Derive ownership?
- Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 56,241 addresses (2026-07-14 07:01 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
- Are large holders selling Derive?
- This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
- Is Derive liquidity falling?
- As of 2026-07-14 07:01 UTC, reported liquidity was $16,360.53. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations
Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-14 07:01 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.
Recent swap evidence
Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.
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Movement since report
report from Jul 14, 2026, 07:01 AM UTC
Market Cap
24h Volume
Liquidity
FDV
Holders
24h
Loading trading activity…AI Executive Summary
Risk
Sentiment
Derive (DRV) is the governance and utility token of Derive Protocol, a decentralized on-chain options, perpetuals, and structured products platform built on an Optimistic Rollup on Ethereum. The token is 19.8 months old with a circulating market cap of approximately $149M and has posted strong recent price performance of +37% over 7 days and +44.6% over 30 days, recovering from near-range lows. Despite the price momentum, the token faces structural concerns: DEX liquidity is critically thin at $16.4K, the holder base has been declining for at least 31 days, and the vast majority of holders (over 90%) received tokens via airdrop, suggesting limited organic price conviction. The combination of a legitimate DeFi derivatives use case and a verified contract is offset by shallow liquidity and a below-average security score of 57/100.
Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 14, 2026, 07:01 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.
Key points
- On-chain options and perpetuals protocol on an Ethereum Optimistic Rollup — a relatively rare and technically complex DeFi niche with genuine product differentiation
- Governance-linked utility token where DRV holders participate in Derive DAO decisions, tying token value to protocol governance rather than pure speculation
- Extremely high airdrop distribution (90.5% of holders acquired via airdrop) creates an unusually large zero-cost holder base, which is both a distribution strength and a sell-pressure vulnerability
Derive AI Price Analysis
Medium Confidence
Short-Term · 24h-7d
BullishDRV has surged 37% over the past 7 days and 44.6% over 30 days, with the most recent daily close jumping from ~$0.11 to $0.1493 — a clear momentum breakout. The 4-hour window shows a 29.3% move, confirming the rally is still active rather than exhausted. However, at 19% of its 88-day range ($0.0656–$0.5181), there is substantial room to run before hitting the immediate resistance at $0.2854.
Medium-Term · 30d-90d
BullishThe 30-day uptrend of +44.6% reflects sustained buying interest rather than a single-day spike, and the token remains well below its 88-day high of $0.5181, leaving significant upside if momentum holds. A break above the immediate resistance at $0.2854 would open a path toward the major resistance at $0.5181. The primary medium-term risk is the steady holder base erosion of ~809 holders over 31 days, which signals that conviction among existing holders is not universally growing.
Bullish Factors
- Strong multi-window price momentum: +37.0% over 7 days and +44.6% over 30 days, with the most recent daily close at $0.1493 representing a sharp acceleration from the prior 13-day range of $0.107–$0.123
- Price sits at only 19% of its 88-day range ($0.0656–$0.5181), meaning the token has recovered from near-range lows and has substantial headroom before reaching historical resistance
- Buy pressure at 55.2% of 24-hour volume ($39.8K buys vs. $32.3K sells) confirms net inflow, with 73 unique buyers vs. 80 unique sellers — a relatively balanced but buyer-leaning session
- Dumpable supply is only 19.4% of total supply; the largest holder (53.52%) is a protocol/contract and is not a sellable whale position, materially limiting near-term dump risk from the top-10 concentration
Bearish Factors
- Total liquidity is critically shallow at $16,360 — a market cap of ~$149M with only $16K in DEX liquidity means even modest sell orders will cause severe slippage, and the rally itself may be partly a thin-liquidity artifact
- Holder base has declined by 809 wallets over 31 days (from 57,019 to 56,210), a consistent downtrend indicating net holder attrition even as price rises — divergence between price and holder growth is a caution signal
- The three largest individual whale wallets (7.11%, 2.51%, 2.16% of supply) all acquired their positions via transfer or airdrop with no indexed DEX buys, meaning they hold cost-free positions and face no loss threshold before selling
- Security score of 57/100 is below the threshold most risk-aware investors consider acceptable, and 90.5% of holders acquired tokens via airdrop (50,928 of ~56K), creating a large pool of zero-cost holders with no price conviction
Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.
DRV call history
Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.
Token Info
- Chain
- Ethereum
- Contract
- 0xb1d1...71be
- Total Supply
- —
- Decimals
- —
Key Risks
- Critically thin liquidity ($16.4K DEX pool) means the $149M market cap is largely paper value — a coordinated sell of even $50K–$100K could collapse the price by 50%+ given the pool depth
- 90.5% of holders acquired DRV via airdrop at zero cost, creating a structurally weak holder base where virtually every holder is in profit at any price and faces no psychological barrier to selling
- The three largest individual whale wallets (combined ~11.8% of supply) hold zero-cost transfer/airdrop positions with no DEX swap history — they can exit at any price without loss, and their future behavior is unpredictable
Trading Insight
Trading sentiment is modestly bullish, with buy volume ($39.8K) outpacing sell volume ($32.3K) at a 55.2%/44.8% split over 24 hours. The 1-hour window shows sell transactions (57) outnumbering buys (35), suggesting some short-term profit-taking after the 4-hour surge, but the daily net flow remains positive. The thin liquidity environment means these relatively small volumes are driving outsized price moves.
AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
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