W

W Price Today & AI Analysis

WEthereumAnalysis as of Jun 22, 2026

Price

$0.0110

+0.78% 24h

Contract

Live
0xb0ffa8000886e57f86dd5264b9582b2ad87b2b91

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

9.3K

Market cap

$11.68M

Liquidity

$51.77K

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W: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-22 03:01 UTC

Holder addresses

8,969

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is W ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 8,969 addresses (2026-06-22 03:01 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling W?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is W liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-22 03:01 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jun 22, 2026, 03:01 AM UTC

Market Cap

$70.21M

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

—

FDV

—

Holders

8,969

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Neutral

Wormhole (W) is a 26.2-month-old cross-chain messaging protocol token operating on Ethereum, currently priced at $0.01164 with a market cap of approximately $70.2M. The token sits at 36% of its 86-day price range, having bounced +15.8% over the past week from a period low of $0.008564, though the 30-day trend remains negative at -7.6%. Holder concentration is high on paper (top 10 hold 56%), but the majority is locked in protocol contracts and exchange custody wallets, leaving only ~12% as genuinely dumpable supply. The project has established social infrastructure (Twitter, Telegram, Discord, Website) and a verified contract with a security score of 69/100, positioning it as a mid-tier established protocol with real utility but meaningful market headwinds.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jun 22, 2026, 03:01 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Cross-chain interoperability infrastructure with multi-verification security model, serving DeFi, NFT, and governance use cases across multiple blockchains
  • Low dumpable supply concentration of only 12% despite high nominal top-10 holder percentage, as the majority of concentrated holdings are protocol contracts and exchange custody
  • Unusual market cap ($70.2M) vs. FDV ($12.4M) relationship that diverges from typical tokenomics and merits independent verification by investors

W AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

W has posted a strong +15.8% gain over the past 7 days, recovering from the $0.008564 period low and establishing a clear short-term uptrend. Price is currently sitting at 36% of the 86-day range, meaning significant headroom remains before testing the $0.01711 major resistance. The immediate resistance at $0.01189 is the first meaningful hurdle; a clean break above it would confirm continuation of the recovery.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the recent 7-day bounce, the 30-day return of -7.6% reveals that the dominant medium-term trend remains negative. Price at 36% of the 86-day range confirms W is still well below its recent highs, and the holder base has declined by a net 25 wallets over 31 days, signalling gradual distribution rather than accumulation. Without a sustained break above the $0.01711 major resistance, the medium-term path of least resistance is lower.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price appreciation of +15.8% from the $0.008564 period low demonstrates genuine buying interest and a short-term momentum shift
  • Dumpable supply is only 12% of total supply — the three individual whale wallets (7.78%, 1.88%, 0.80%) represent limited near-term sell pressure relative to total float
  • Price is at 36% of the 86-day range, offering substantial upside to the $0.01711 major resistance before encountering heavy overhead supply
  • Wormhole is an established cross-chain messaging protocol (26.2 months old) with real infrastructure use cases across DeFi, NFTs, and governance, providing fundamental demand for the token

Bearish Factors

  • 30-day return of -7.6% confirms the medium-term trend is still negative, meaning the 7-day bounce is a counter-trend rally until proven otherwise
  • Holder count has declined by a net 25 wallets over 31 days (8,994 → 8,969), indicating slow but consistent holder attrition rather than new capital entering
  • Market cap of $70.2M is significantly higher than the fully diluted valuation of $12.4M — this unusual inversion warrants scrutiny and may reflect data anomalies or tokenomic complexities that create valuation uncertainty
  • Daily volatility of 4.8% (standard deviation of daily returns) means position sizing must be conservative, as drawdowns can be swift and deep

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xb0ff...2b91
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Zero-cost basis whale positions: the 7.78% and 1.88% individual whale wallets acquired their supply via transfer/airdrop rather than market purchases, meaning they face no financial loss selling at any price — creating asymmetric sell pressure risk if these wallets become active
  • Market cap vs. FDV data anomaly ($70.2M vs. $12.4M) is unexplained and may indicate a data error, price feed issue, or complex tokenomic structure that could affect valuation assessments
  • Declining holder base over 31 days combined with a 30-day price decline of -7.6% suggests a slow distribution phase where existing holders are exiting without equivalent new buyer inflows

Trading Insight

neutral

On-chain swap activity is extremely thin, with the largest recent trade being a $972 buy — indicating this token sees minimal speculative trading volume on Ethereum mainnet at current prices. The mix of small buys and sells from a handful of wallets does not reflect institutional or whale-level conviction in either direction.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The 14 most recent daily closes show a clear recovery from the $0.008564 low, with price climbing from $0.008996 to $0.01164 — a sequence of higher lows and higher closes that defines a short-term uptrend. However, the 30-day return of -7.6% and price sitting at only 36% of the 86-day range confirm the medium-term trend remains bearish. The short-term bounce is best characterized as a counter-trend recovery within a broader downtrend until the $0.01711 major resistance is reclaimed.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Price has recovered sharply (+15.8% in 7 days) from oversold territory near the period low, but the current level of $0.01164 sits just below the immediate resistance at $0.01189, creating a natural momentum pause zone. Daily volatility of 4.8% indicates the token can move meaningfully in either direction, and the recent deceleration in daily closes (from $0.01042 to $0.01115 to $0.01164 — slowing gains) suggests momentum is moderating after the initial recovery impulse.

Volume Analysis

Buy

55%

Sell

45%

Volume Trend

Stable

Comprehensive volume data is not available from the provided dataset. On-chain DEX swap activity is minimal (largest trade $972), suggesting volume is concentrated on centralized exchanges. Without CEX volume data, a definitive volume trend assessment cannot be made.

Recent Price Action

The 14-day daily close sequence shows a V-shaped recovery: a bottom at $0.008564, followed by 10 consecutive sessions of net upward progress, with the most recent three closes ($0.01042, $0.01115, $0.01164) forming a staircase pattern of higher closes with decelerating momentum as price approaches the $0.01189 immediate resistance.

V-shaped recoveries from period lows with decelerating momentum near resistance typically indicate a consolidation or minor pullback before the next directional move. A close above $0.01189 would signal continuation; a rejection could see a retest of the $0.01107 immediate support.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.01107

Major support

$0.008564

Immediate resistance

$0.01189

Major resistance

$0.01711

The immediate support at $0.01107 represents the nearest OHLC-derived floor and aligns with the recent consolidation zone; a break below it would expose the major support at $0.008564 (the 86-day period low). On the upside, the immediate resistance at $0.01189 is the first meaningful barrier — only ~2.1% above current price — making it a critical near-term test. The major resistance at $0.01711 (the 86-day high) represents a 47% premium to current price and would require a significant fundamental or market catalyst to reach.

AI overall risk

Medium

Risk Score

45/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 4.8% (standard deviation) is elevated, meaning the token can move 4-5% in a single day under normal conditions. The 86-day range spans from $0.008564 to $0.01711 — a 100% spread — confirming that large drawdowns are a realistic near-term risk.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Cross-chain bridge protocols and governance tokens occupy an uncertain regulatory space in multiple jurisdictions. As a utility/governance token for a cross-chain infrastructure protocol, W may face scrutiny under evolving DeFi and digital asset regulations.

Key Risks

  • Zero-cost basis whale positions: the 7.78% and 1.88% individual whale wallets acquired their supply via transfer/airdrop rather than market purchases, meaning they face no financial loss selling at any price — creating asymmetric sell pressure risk if these wallets become active
  • Market cap vs. FDV data anomaly ($70.2M vs. $12.4M) is unexplained and may indicate a data error, price feed issue, or complex tokenomic structure that could affect valuation assessments
  • Declining holder base over 31 days combined with a 30-day price decline of -7.6% suggests a slow distribution phase where existing holders are exiting without equivalent new buyer inflows

Mitigating Factors

  • Established 26.2-month track record with a verified contract and no reported exploits, providing meaningful evidence of protocol durability
  • Only ~12% of supply is genuinely dumpable (individual whale wallets), with the majority of concentrated holdings locked in protocol contracts and exchange custody that do not represent active sell pressure

Investor Suitability

W may be suitable for investors with high risk tolerance who have conviction in the cross-chain interoperability sector and can withstand 4-5% daily price swings. Given the declining holder trend and medium-term bearish price action, it is better suited to investors with a long-term thesis on Wormhole's protocol adoption rather than short-term traders. Not suitable for risk-averse investors or those requiring stable value preservation.

Wormhole's W token represents a bet on cross-chain interoperability infrastructure becoming critical DeFi plumbing — a credible long-term thesis given the multi-chain ecosystem's growth. However, the near-term technical picture is mixed: a strong 7-day recovery (+15.8%) is offset by a negative 30-day trend (-7.6%) and declining holder base, suggesting the market has not yet re-rated the token positively.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Wormhole expands its cross-chain integrations significantly, driving protocol-level demand for W as a governance and utility token. The 7-day recovery extends through the $0.01189 immediate resistance and targets the $0.01711 major resistance, representing a ~47% gain from current levels. Broader altcoin market recovery provides tailwind.

  • Sustained break above $0.01189 immediate resistance confirming the short-term uptrend has medium-term legs
  • New blockchain integrations or DeFi protocol partnerships that increase Wormhole's transaction volume and W token utility

Base Case

W consolidates between the $0.01107 immediate support and $0.01189 immediate resistance over the medium term, with the 30-day negative trend gradually stabilizing. The token tracks broader crypto market sentiment without a strong independent catalyst, maintaining its position as an established but range-bound interoperability protocol token.

  • No major protocol exploit or security incident that would damage Wormhole's infrastructure reputation
  • Broader crypto market conditions remain broadly stable, neither providing a strong tailwind nor a severe risk-off headwind

Bear Case

Medium probability

The 7-day bounce proves to be a dead-cat bounce within the medium-term downtrend. Price fails to break $0.01189 resistance, reverses below the $0.01107 immediate support, and retests the $0.008564 period low — a potential -26% drawdown from current levels. Continued holder attrition accelerates.

  • Failure to break $0.01189 immediate resistance triggers technical selling and a retest of the $0.008564 period low
  • Zero-cost-basis whale wallets (7.78% + 1.88% of supply acquired via transfer/airdrop) begin distributing, adding sell pressure without a corresponding fundamental catalyst

Analysis Details

Generated

Jun 22, 2026, 03:01 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-22 03:01 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$Unknown

Market Cap

$70.21M

24h Volume

$0

Holders

8,969

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

On-chain holder distribution and trajectory data (31-day daily timeseries)Daily OHLC price history (86-day period)Notable recent on-chain DEX swap transactionsWhale wallet forensics and acquisition method dataSmart contract security assessmentToken fundamentals and project description data

Limitations

  • Smart-money cohort (profitable trader) data is unavailable, limiting assessment of sophisticated investor positioning
  • The market cap vs. FDV anomaly ($70.2M vs. $12.4M) could not be resolved from the provided data and may affect valuation analysis accuracy
  • CEX trading volume and order book depth data are not available; on-chain DEX activity alone understates total market activity for this token
  • Whale wallet first-active dates (2025-09-12 and 2026-01-05) appear to be in the future relative to the token's April 2024 launch, suggesting a data anomaly that could not be independently verified

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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