USDx

USDx Price Today & AI Analysis

USDxEthereumAnalysis as of Sep 4, 2026

Price

$0.9987

+0.01% 24h

Contract

Live
0xa1fa7777974312f7d801a8880714a218f76233f8

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

781

Market cap

$66.96M

Liquidity

$1.43M

At a $500M market cap, $USDX would be $7.46 (7.47x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is USDx a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 17

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, with a few things to know below.

  • The top 10 wallets hold a large share of the supply.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about USDx

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

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USDx: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-04 06:30 UTC

Holder addresses

23

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$1,017,426.00
How concentrated is USDx ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 23 addresses (2026-09-04 06:30 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling USDx?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is USDx liquidity falling?
As of 2026-09-04 06:30 UTC, reported liquidity was $1,017,426.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-09-04 06:30 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 4, 2026, 06:30 AM UTC

Market Cap

$66.29M

24h Volume

$17.53K

Liquidity

$1.02M

FDV

—

Holders

23

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

USDx is a 42-day-old Ethereum token trading at $1.00 on Curve with a market cap of approximately $66.3 million and $1.02 million in liquidity. Despite its dollar-pegged name and current price, it exhibited a 13.2% daily return standard deviation and an 18% price spike within its 3-day observable history, raising questions about whether it functions as a genuine stablecoin or a differently-structured asset. The token has an extremely thin holder base of just 23 wallets, with the top 10 controlling 97% of supply, and no project description or category data is available to contextualize its purpose. The combination of opaque fundamentals, extreme concentration, and limited trading history places this token in a high-risk category regardless of its nominal $1.00 price.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 4, 2026, 06:30 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Trades on Curve — a protocol typically associated with stablecoins and pegged assets — yet exhibits 13.2% daily volatility and an 18% price spike within 3 days
  • Zero sell transactions recorded in 24 hours despite a 15.3% price decline, suggesting price movement is driven by liquidity mechanics rather than conventional buy/sell dynamics
  • Market cap of $66.3 million with only 23 holders represents one of the most extreme concentration ratios observable, with average implied holding of ~$2.9 million per wallet

USDx AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

USDx has shed approximately 15.3% over the past 24 hours, falling from a 3-day high of $1.18 back to its $1.00 floor. The 3-day OHLC sequence ($1.06 → $1.18 → $1.00) shows a sharp spike-and-revert pattern, with the current price sitting at the absolute bottom of the observed range. With zero sell volume recorded and only 30 buy transactions in 24 hours, the price decline appears driven by structural rebalancing rather than active selling pressure, but the reversion to $1.00 suggests the spike was unsustainable.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

With only 3 days of price history available and 7d/30d/90d trend data entirely absent, a confident directional medium-term call cannot be made. The token appears to gravitate toward $1.00 as a base, with the $1.18 spike representing a 18% deviation that fully reverted within the observation window. If USDx is intended to function as a stable or near-stable asset, the medium-term trajectory is likely mean-reversion around $1.00, but the lack of project description and category data prevents confirming this thesis.

Bullish Factors

  • 100% buy pressure over 24 hours with $17,531 in buy volume and zero sell volume suggests no active distribution from current holders
  • Current price of $1.00 sits at the bottom of the 3-day range, meaning downside from here is limited to the observed floor

Bearish Factors

  • The 15.3% single-day price decline from $1.18 to $1.00 demonstrates extreme volatility inconsistent with a stable asset, with daily return standard deviation of 13.2%
  • Only 23 total holders with 97% of supply concentrated in the top 10 wallets creates severe exit liquidity risk if any large holder decides to sell
  • No project description, no token category, and launch-allocation forensics unavailable make fundamental valuation impossible and elevate information risk significantly

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

USDx call history

Full track record →

Sep 4bearish
24h+0.0%
7d-0.2%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xa1fa...33f8
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme holder concentration (97% in top 10 of 23 wallets) with no per-wallet data available means a single large holder exit could be catastrophic for price and liquidity
  • The token's purpose, backing mechanism, and issuer are entirely undisclosed — if USDx is a synthetic dollar or yield-bearing stablecoin, the collateral quality and redemption mechanism are unknown and could fail under stress
  • The anomalous price behavior (15.3% decline with 100% buy pressure and zero sells) suggests the Curve pool mechanics may not function as a standard market, creating unpredictable price discovery for participants

Trading Insight

neutral

On-chain transaction data shows 30 buys and zero sells over 24 hours, which superficially reads as bullish. However, this one-sided flow coincided with a 15.3% price decline, indicating the buys are not driving price appreciation — likely reflecting liquidity provision or automated rebalancing on Curve rather than speculative demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The 3-day OHLC sequence shows a clear spike-and-revert pattern: $1.06 close on day 1, $1.18 close on day 2 (an 11.3% rise), followed by a full reversion to $1.00 on day 3 (a 15.3% decline). The current price at the absolute bottom of the 3-day range ($1.00 low vs. $1.18 high) confirms a short-term downtrend. Medium-term trend is classified as sideways given the absence of 7d, 30d, and 90d data and the apparent gravitational pull toward $1.00.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

The price has retraced the entire 3-day gain in a single session, landing at 0% of the observed range (i.e., at the period low). This full reversion in one day, combined with 13.2% daily return volatility, suggests momentum is exhausted to the downside in the short term. However, without RSI or MACD data available, this assessment is based solely on price position within the OHLC range.

Volume Analysis

Buy

100%

Sell

0%

Volume Trend

Stable

The $17,531 in 24-hour volume is extremely low relative to the $66.3 million market cap. All volume is on the buy side, yet price declined 15.3%, which is inconsistent with standard order-book dynamics and points to Curve's AMM mechanics driving price rather than directional trading. Volume data beyond 24 hours is unavailable.

Recent Price Action

Three-day spike-and-full-revert: the token rose from $1.06 to $1.18 over two sessions before collapsing back to $1.00 in a single day, with the current price sitting precisely at the period low.

This pattern typically indicates either a failed breakout or a temporary liquidity imbalance that self-corrected. On a Curve pool, it may reflect a large deposit followed by arbitrage-driven rebalancing. The full reversion to $1.00 reinforces that level as a structural anchor, though whether it represents a designed peg or coincidental support is unknown without project documentation.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

85/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return standard deviation of 13.2% is extremely high for a token trading at $1.00, regardless of whether it is intended as a stablecoin. The 3-day price range of $1.00–$1.18 represents an 18% swing, and the single-day reversion of 15.3% demonstrates that price stability cannot be assumed.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $1.02 million against a $66.3 million market cap yields a liquidity-to-mcap ratio of approximately 1.5%. Any top-10 holder attempting to exit a meaningful position would face severe slippage, and the thin 24-hour volume of $17,531 confirms that the market cannot absorb large orders without significant price impact.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryHigh

    A token named 'USDx' trading at $1.00 on Ethereum with a $66.3 million market cap and no disclosed backing mechanism or issuer information faces elevated regulatory scrutiny risk. Regulators in multiple jurisdictions are actively targeting unregistered dollar-pegged instruments, and the absence of project documentation amplifies this exposure.

Key Risks

  • Extreme holder concentration (97% in top 10 of 23 wallets) with no per-wallet data available means a single large holder exit could be catastrophic for price and liquidity
  • The token's purpose, backing mechanism, and issuer are entirely undisclosed — if USDx is a synthetic dollar or yield-bearing stablecoin, the collateral quality and redemption mechanism are unknown and could fail under stress
  • The anomalous price behavior (15.3% decline with 100% buy pressure and zero sells) suggests the Curve pool mechanics may not function as a standard market, creating unpredictable price discovery for participants

Mitigating Factors

  • Listing on Curve provides a degree of protocol-level credibility and access to Curve's liquidity infrastructure
  • Over $1 million in on-chain liquidity is present, which provides some buffer for small-scale transactions

Investor Suitability

Given the very high risk score, extreme concentration, opaque fundamentals, and anomalous price mechanics, this token is unsuitable for retail investors or anyone without a high risk tolerance and the ability to conduct independent due diligence on the project's backing mechanism and smart contract. It may be relevant only to sophisticated participants who have direct knowledge of the issuer and collateral structure.

USDx presents a deeply ambiguous investment case: it trades at $1.00 on Curve with a $66.3 million market cap, suggesting a dollar-pegged design, but its 13.2% daily volatility, 97% top-10 concentration, and complete absence of project documentation make it impossible to assess whether the peg is sustainable or the token is safe to hold. The thesis hinges entirely on information that is not publicly available.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

USDx is a legitimate yield-bearing or collateralized dollar instrument whose $1.00 peg is structurally maintained, the 97% concentration reflects protocol/treasury contracts rather than individual whales, and the Curve listing signals institutional-grade infrastructure. In this scenario, the token stabilizes at $1.00 and grows its holder base as the project publishes documentation.

  • Publication of project documentation confirming the backing mechanism and collateral quality
  • Expansion of the holder base and liquidity depth as the protocol matures beyond its 42-day age

Base Case

USDx continues to trade near $1.00 with minimal activity, its holder base remains extremely small, and the token operates in a semi-private or institutional context that is not publicly documented. Price remains anchored near $1.00 with occasional volatility spikes similar to the observed $1.18 episode, without a clear catalyst for either broad adoption or collapse.

  • The Curve pool mechanics continue to anchor price near $1.00 through arbitrage
  • No major holder exits or collateral events occur in the near term

Bear Case

Medium probability

USDx is an undisclosed synthetic or unbacked dollar instrument where the $1.00 price is maintained artificially. The 97% concentration in unknown wallets represents insider or team holdings, and the anomalous price mechanics on Curve indicate structural fragility. A large holder exit or collateral failure triggers a depeg and rapid value destruction.

  • Absence of any project description, audit, or backing disclosure after 42 days of existence
  • Extreme holder concentration with no ability to verify whether top holders are protocol contracts or individual insiders

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 4, 2026, 06:30 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-04 06:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$1.00003443641

Market Cap

$66.29M

24h Volume

$17.5K

Holders

23

Liquidity

$1,017,426.00

Data Sources

Unhosted DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Only 3 days of OHLC price history available; 7d, 30d, and 90d trend metrics are absent, severely limiting trend analysis
  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, and per-wallet whale transaction data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Contract security data, audit status, and smart contract verification were unavailable on this chain's data provider
  • No project description or category classification is available, making fundamental analysis impossible beyond structural on-chain observations

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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