KEEP

KEEP Token Price Today & AI Analysis

KEEP
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 12, 2026

$0.0174

-2.29%24h
LiveContract:0x85eee30c52b0b379b046fb0f85f4f3dc3009afecChain:EthereumHolders:11.9KMarket cap:$17.43MLiquidity:$13.63K

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Ask Unhosted AI about KEEP

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 12, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC
Market Cap

$15.25M

24h Volume

$30.65K

Liquidity

$29.16K

FDV

—

Holders

11.9K

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

KEEP is the governance and utility token of the Threshold Network, a protocol formed from the merger of Keep Network and NuCypher, primarily powering tBTC — a decentralized, trust-minimized Bitcoin bridge to Ethereum. At 74.5 months old, it is an established DeFi infrastructure token with a circulating supply of ~999.8M tokens, a market cap of ~$15.2M, and an FDV of ~$27.7M. The token has staged a significant recovery over the past 30 days (+50.8%) and 7 days (+63.6%), breaking out of a prolonged consolidation near $0.016–$0.017. However, liquidity remains critically thin at ~$29K on Uniswap v2, the security score sits at 49/100, and supply concentration is extreme on paper — though the vast majority is locked in protocol contracts rather than dumpable individual wallets.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 12, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
tBTC is one of the few decentralized, non-custodial Bitcoin bridges to Ethereum, differentiating KEEP from custodial wrapped BTC solutions
The Threshold Network merger (Keep + NuCypher) created a combined protocol with dual utility: threshold cryptography for privacy and decentralized key management
Despite 98% top-10 concentration, dumpable supply is only 2.7% — the concentration is structural (protocol contracts) rather than predatory whale accumulation

KEEP Token AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

KEEP has surged 63.6% over the past 7 days and 50.8% over 30 days, with the current price at $0.02755 sitting at 76% of its 84-day range — a structurally strong position. The recent daily close sequence shows a decisive breakout from the $0.016–$0.017 consolidation band into the $0.023–$0.028 zone, confirming momentum. Buy pressure at 53.2% over 24 hours and 272 buy vs. 248 sell transactions support continued near-term upside, though the 5.7% daily volatility warrants caution.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day gain of 50.8% and the breakout from a multi-week base near $0.016 suggest a structural shift in demand rather than a one-day spike. If KEEP clears the immediate resistance at $0.03048, the next ceiling is the 84-day high at $0.03182 — a relatively thin gap that could be tested quickly. Sustained medium-term upside depends on broader DeFi sentiment and continued traction for the tBTC/Threshold Network ecosystem.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price gain of +63.6% and 30-day gain of +50.8% confirm a sustained uptrend, not a single-day anomaly
  • +Price at 76% of the 84-day range ($0.01379–$0.03182) shows the token has reclaimed most of its recent range with room to test the high
  • +Daily close sequence shows a clean breakout: 13 consecutive closes in the $0.016–$0.017 band followed by a jump to $0.02291 then $0.02755, indicating a structural demand shift
  • +Buy pressure at 53.2% and 272 buys vs. 248 sells over 24 hours reflects modest but consistent net buying activity
  • +Dumpable supply is only 2.7% of total supply — the 85.9% held by a protocol/contract and other non-dumpable wallets means sell-side pressure from large holders is structurally limited
Bearish Factors
  • -Total liquidity of only $29,158 is extremely shallow — even modest sell orders can cause significant price slippage, amplifying downside moves
  • -Security score of 49/100 is below the midpoint, signaling unresolved contract or operational risks that could deter institutional participation
  • -The largest individual whale (1.32% of supply, wallet 0xfc4626…) received its position via transfer/airdrop with no DEX swap history, and the wallet was first active on 2025-07-08 — a very recent activation that raises insider/sybil concerns
  • -Holder growth is minimal: only +22 holders over 31 days (11,728 → 11,750), indicating the price surge is not attracting meaningful new wallet adoption
  • -Daily volatility of 5.7% means the token can retrace sharply; a pullback to immediate support at $0.02261 would represent an ~18% drawdown from current levels

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

KEEP call history

Full track record →
Jul 12bullish
24h-14.6%
7d-31.8%
30d-38.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x85ee...afec
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Liquidity crisis: at $29K pool depth, a coordinated sell of even $5,000–$10,000 could cause a 15–30% price drop, and the thin pool makes the token vulnerable to manipulation
•Security score of 49/100 leaves open the possibility of smart contract vulnerabilities that could be exploited, particularly given the protocol's role in managing Bitcoin bridge collateral
•The top individual whale (0xfc4626…, 1.32% of supply) received its position via transfer/airdrop with a wallet first activated on 2025-07-08 — if this is an insider allocation, any future sell decision could disproportionately impact the thin liquidity pool

Trading Insight

bullish

Trading sentiment is modestly bullish with 53.2% buy pressure and 272 buys vs. 248 sells over 24 hours, though the margin is not overwhelming. The 4-hour window shows a slight reversal with 54 sells vs. 42 buys, suggesting some short-term profit-taking after the recent surge. Overall, the 24-hour net inflow and the multi-week price trend confirm buyers remain in control at the macro level.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

Both short-term and medium-term trends are clearly bullish based on the daily OHLC data: the 7-day return is +63.6% and the 30-day return is +50.8%. The daily close sequence shows 13 sessions of tight consolidation between $0.016 and $0.017 followed by a sharp two-session breakout to $0.02291 and then $0.02755, a classic accumulation-then-breakout pattern. The current price at 76% of the 84-day range confirms the token has reclaimed significant ground from its $0.01379 low.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

After a 63.6% gain in 7 days and a breakout from a prolonged consolidation, momentum indicators would likely register overbought conditions. The 5.7% daily volatility and the 4-hour shift toward net selling (54 sells vs. 42 buys) support the view that short-term momentum is stretched. A consolidation or minor pullback toward $0.02261 immediate support would be a healthy reset before any continuation higher.

Volume Analysis

Buy 53.2%Sell 46.8%

Volume Trend: Increasing

24-hour volume of ~$30,646 is elevated relative to the token's recent trading history implied by its thin $29K liquidity pool. The near-parity of volume to liquidity depth signals high turnover and confirms the breakout is being traded actively. However, the absence of large individual transactions (largest swap was $436) confirms this is retail-driven volume, not institutional accumulation.

Recent Price Action

Prolonged base formation at $0.016–$0.017 over approximately 13 sessions, followed by a sharp two-candle breakout to $0.02291 and $0.02755, with the current price consolidating near the upper end of the breakout range.

This accumulation-breakout pattern typically signals a shift in supply/demand dynamics where sellers have been exhausted at the base level and buyers are willing to pay progressively higher prices. The clean nature of the base (tight range, low volatility) before the breakout adds credibility to the move, though the speed of the breakout increases mean-reversion risk in the near term.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.02261
Major$0.01379
Resistance
Immediate$0.03048
Major$0.03182

The immediate support at $0.02261 corresponds to the first daily close of the breakout move and represents the most critical near-term level — a close below it would signal the breakout has failed. Major support at $0.01379 is the 84-day range low and a full retracement target in a bear scenario. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.03048 is the next swing high to clear, with the 84-day range high at $0.03182 as the ultimate near-term ceiling — only a ~15% gap from current price, making it a realistic short-term target if buying pressure is sustained.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders11,872
24h Change+7
Growth Rate+0.059%

The 31-day holder trajectory shows steady but slow growth from 11,728 to 11,750 (+22 wallets), and the 30-day change of +35 holders (+0.29%) confirms the base is expanding at a glacial pace. For a token that has gained 50.8% in 30 days, this weak holder growth is a notable divergence — it suggests the price rally is being driven by existing holders trading among themselves rather than a wave of new participants entering the ecosystem.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders98%
Top 100 Holders99%
Retail Holders1.0%
Concentration Risk:
Low

While the raw top-10 concentration of 98% appears alarming, the classified breakdown reveals that 85.9% sits in a single protocol/contract, with additional protocol contracts, a TokenGrant contract, and a Coinbase exchange wallet accounting for most of the remainder. The genuine dumpable supply — held by individual whales and potentially mobile wallets — is only 2.7%. This is a low concentration risk profile for a DeFi infrastructure token where protocol contracts are expected to hold the majority of supply for staking, grants, and network operations.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest on-chain swaps in the recent window are all sub-$500: a $436 sell and $283 sell by 0x173250…, a $397 buy by 0xdf8adf…, a $389 sell and $387 buy by 0xae2fc4… (suggesting a same-wallet arbitrage or rebalance), and a $261 buy by 0x30a1b7…. No large-scale whale accumulation or distribution is evident.

  • •0x173250… sold $436 and $283 in separate transactions — the largest sell-side activity in the recent window, consistent with retail profit-taking
  • •0xae2fc4… executed both a $389 sell and a $387 buy in close succession, suggesting a rebalance or arbitrage rather than directional conviction

Recent on-chain swap activity is entirely retail-scale, with no transaction exceeding $436. The top individual whale (0xfc4626…, 1.32% of supply) has zero DEX swap history on this token and received its position via transfer/airdrop from a wallet first activated on 2025-07-08 — this wallet's intent and timeline are unknown and warrant monitoring for any future sell activity.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Low

Six tracked smart money wallets each show identical realized PnL of +$732 (+4%) over 12 trades each — the uniformity across all six wallets is statistically unusual and may reflect a shared strategy, bot activity, or data artifact rather than independent smart money conviction.

The +4% realized return across all six smart money wallets is modest, suggesting these traders are not sitting on large unrealized gains that would create imminent profit-taking pressure. However, the identical PnL figures across six wallets is anomalous and reduces confidence in using this data as a strong directional signal. Smart money activity here does not provide a clear bullish or bearish edge.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$29,158.56
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $29,158 total liquidity on Uniswap v2, KEEP's trading pool is critically thin. The 24-hour volume of ~$30,646 actually exceeds the pool's liquidity depth, meaning the pool is being turned over more than once per day — a condition that amplifies price impact on both buys and sells. Any order above a few hundred dollars will face meaningful slippage, and a coordinated sell of even 1% of the dumpable supply (~$15,248 at current prices) could move the price significantly. This is the single largest operational risk for active traders.

Overall Risk:
High
68/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return standard deviation of 5.7% translates to annualized volatility exceeding 100%. The 84-day range spans $0.01379 to $0.03182 — a 131% spread — and the recent 63.6% 7-day gain demonstrates how rapidly the price can move in either direction.

Liquidity
High

Total pool liquidity of $29,158 on Uniswap v2 is critically shallow. With 24-hour volume exceeding the pool size, slippage on any meaningful order is substantial. Exit liquidity for positions above a few hundred dollars is severely constrained.

Concentration
Low

Despite 98% top-10 concentration, dumpable supply is only 2.7% — held by three individual whales (1.32%, 0.58%, 0.55%). The dominant 85.9% protocol contract holding is non-dumpable by nature, making coordinated whale dumping a limited systemic risk.

Smart Contract
Medium

The security score of 49/100 indicates meaningful but not critical smart contract risk. The contract is verified, and the project's 74.5-month track record reduces acute exploit risk, but the below-average score warrants caution and independent audit review.

Regulatory
Medium

As a DeFi infrastructure token enabling cross-chain Bitcoin bridging, KEEP operates in a regulatory gray zone. Increased scrutiny of DeFi bridges and wrapped asset protocols by regulators (particularly in the US and EU) could impact adoption and token utility.

Key Risks

  • •Liquidity crisis: at $29K pool depth, a coordinated sell of even $5,000–$10,000 could cause a 15–30% price drop, and the thin pool makes the token vulnerable to manipulation
  • •Security score of 49/100 leaves open the possibility of smart contract vulnerabilities that could be exploited, particularly given the protocol's role in managing Bitcoin bridge collateral
  • •The top individual whale (0xfc4626…, 1.32% of supply) received its position via transfer/airdrop with a wallet first activated on 2025-07-08 — if this is an insider allocation, any future sell decision could disproportionately impact the thin liquidity pool

Mitigating Factors

  • •Project age of 74.5 months and established multi-channel community presence significantly reduce exit scam and abandonment risk
  • •Dumpable supply of only 2.7% means the structural sell-side pressure from large holders is minimal, and the protocol contract holdings are locked in network operations

Investor Suitability

KEEP may be suitable for risk-tolerant investors with existing familiarity with DeFi infrastructure tokens who understand the liquidity constraints and can size positions accordingly. The thin liquidity makes it unsuitable for large capital allocations. It may appeal to investors with a thesis on decentralized Bitcoin bridging and the Threshold Network ecosystem's long-term growth.

KEEP represents a bet on the Threshold Network's tBTC becoming a leading decentralized Bitcoin bridge in DeFi — a structurally important use case if Bitcoin DeFi adoption grows. The token has demonstrated a strong multi-week recovery (+50.8% in 30 days) from a prolonged base, but the extremely thin liquidity and below-average security score introduce meaningful execution and technical risk.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

tBTC gains significant DeFi protocol integrations as demand for decentralized (non-custodial) wrapped Bitcoin grows, driving utility demand for KEEP. The price clears immediate resistance at $0.03048 and tests the 84-day high at $0.03182, with sustained momentum potentially pushing toward prior cycle highs as the broader DeFi market recovers.

  • +Growing institutional and retail demand for trust-minimized Bitcoin exposure in DeFi, differentiating tBTC from custodial alternatives
  • +Continued price momentum above the $0.02261 immediate support level, attracting momentum traders and new wallet holders
Base Case

KEEP consolidates in the $0.022–$0.031 range over the next 30–90 days, with the immediate support at $0.02261 and resistance at $0.03048 defining the trading band. The token maintains its position as a niche DeFi infrastructure asset with slow but steady holder growth, while tBTC continues to operate as a functional but not dominant Bitcoin bridge.

  • •No major smart contract exploits or regulatory actions targeting DeFi bridges in the near term
  • •Liquidity pool depth remains at current levels, capping both upside momentum and downside panic selling
Bear Case
Medium

The recent 63.6% 7-day rally proves unsustainable given the thin $29K liquidity pool and weak holder growth. Profit-taking by existing holders — even at small dollar amounts — causes a sharp retracement toward the $0.01379 major support, erasing most of the recent gains. The security score of 49/100 materializes into a discovered vulnerability, or the recently activated whale wallet (0xfc4626…) begins distributing its 1.32% position.

  • -Critically shallow liquidity amplifying any sell-side pressure into outsized price declines
  • -Failure to attract new holders despite the price rally, indicating the move lacks broad-based demand support

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 12, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data with 84-day OHLC history
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$0.027549886500491776
Market Cap$15.25M
24h Volume$30.6K
Holders11,872
Liquidity$29.2K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v2 swap history)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Daily OHLC price history (84-day window)
Smart contract security assessment
Whale wallet forensics and DEX swap lookup
Smart money realized PnL tracking
Token genesis and deployer profile data

Limitations

  • •90-day price return is unavailable, limiting the full historical trend context to 84 days of OHLC data
  • •The identical realized PnL figures across all six smart money wallets ($732, +4%, 12 trades each) is anomalous and reduces confidence in smart money signal quality
  • •Liquidity is so thin ($29K) that price data may be more susceptible to manipulation than on deeper markets, potentially distorting technical signals

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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