sdUSD

Staked dUSD Price Today & AI Analysis

sdUSD
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 10, 2026

$0.8262

-20.17%24h
LiveContract:0x7cb20517776636ed76b68edb3d99dcce356abf02Chain:EthereumHolders:58Market cap:$389.48KLiquidity:$9.10K

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Should I buy?

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Movement since reportreport from Sep 10, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Market Cap

$389.48K

24h Volume

$48.48K

Liquidity

$9.10K

FDV

—

Holders

58

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

sdUSD ('Staked dUSD') is an 8.9-month-old token trading on Curve at $0.826, with a market cap and fully diluted valuation both at $389,481 since 100% of the 471,436 token supply is circulating. The token's daily price history shows a stable $1.02-$1.05 range for roughly two weeks that abruptly broke down to $0.8262, a move consistent with the -18.6% 7d and -18.1% 30d trends. Liquidity is critically thin at $9,097 and the holder base is small at 58 wallets, and no project documentation, category, or contract-security data is available to verify the token's stated purpose.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 10, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
Name implies a USD-pegged staking derivative, but this cannot be verified from any available documentation
Extremely shallow liquidity relative to market cap, amplifying price impact from routine trading
Recent sudden multi-week-range breakdown that, if the implied peg design is real, represents a significant depeg event

Staked dUSD AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

Daily closes show price held a tight $1.02-$1.05 band for roughly two weeks before breaking down sharply to $0.8262, matching both the -18.6% 7d and -18.1% 30d changes. The token now sits at only 34% of its 40-day range, just above the computed $0.7098 support, with no daily close yet confirming a reversal.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With both the 7d (-18.6%) and 30d (-18.1%) trends aligned to the downside and the break occurring after a long stable period, the path of least resistance remains lower unless buy-side demand clearly reasserts itself above $1.01. A reclaim of the prior $1.02-$1.05 band would require a meaningful reversal in trading flow not yet visible in current data.

Bullish Factors
  • +24h buy volume ($23,672) is nearly equal to sell volume ($24,804), a 48.8%/51.2% split showing no extreme one-sided dumping despite the price break
  • +Price remains above the computed immediate/major support of $0.7098, meaning the key downside level from the OHLC data has not yet been broken
Bearish Factors
  • -A ~19% single-day price break from a stable $1.02-$1.05 band to $0.8262 is reflected in both the 7d (-18.6%) and 30d (-18.1%) trend figures, not just a 24h anomaly
  • -Total liquidity of $9,097 against a $389,481 market cap/FDV means the pool is highly susceptible to further sharp dislocation from modest trade sizes
  • -Only 7 unique buyers and 6 unique sellers transacted in 24h, showing very low participation depth to absorb further selling

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

sdUSD call history

Full track record →
Sep 10bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x7cb2...bf02
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•A sharp single-session break from a stable $1.02-$1.05 band to $0.8262 (-19% day-over-day) raises serious questions about whether any implied dollar-peg design is holding, if one exists at all
•Liquidity of only $9,097 is critically thin relative to the $389,481 market cap, making both entry and exit costly and leaving the price highly vulnerable to further dislocation
•No project documentation, category classification, audit, or security-scan data exists, making fundamental due diligence essentially impossible from currently available data

Trading Insight

bearish

24h trading was nearly balanced between buyers and sellers (48.8% vs 51.2% of volume), yet the price still fell 20.17% over the same window, indicating the shallow liquidity pool is amplifying price moves well beyond what volume alone would suggest. Only 13 unique traders participated in 24h, underscoring thin, low-conviction two-sided flow.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

Daily closes were flat around $1.02-$1.05 for roughly the first three-plus weeks of the 40-day window before a sharp single-session drop to $0.8262, which is why both the 7d (-18.6%) and 30d (-18.1%) figures are nearly identical — the entire decline is concentrated at the very end of the window.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

The abrupt break from a multi-week stable range, combined with the price now sitting at only 34% of its $0.7098-$1.05 range and a partial 4h rebound of +16.4% after a -17.5% 1h drop, is consistent with short-term oversold conditions attracting some dip-buying, though this has not yet reversed the broader trend.

Volume Analysis

Buy 48.8%Sell 51.2%

Volume Trend: Stable

24h volume of roughly $48,476 combined is modest in absolute terms but represents more than 5x the total pool liquidity of $9,097, meaning even routine trading activity is capable of producing large price swings in this pool.

Recent Price Action

Price held a tight $1.02-$1.05 band for roughly two weeks of daily closes before breaking down in a single session to $0.8262, a move fully captured in the 7d/30d trend figures rather than being a 24h-only anomaly.

Such a sharp break from a stable multi-week range in a shallow-liquidity pool typically signals either a liquidity/peg shock or concentrated selling overwhelming available depth; if this token is intended to track $1 as its name suggests, this pattern would represent a material depeg event.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.7098
Major$0.7098
Resistance
Immediate$1.01
Major$1.05

Price at $0.826 sits roughly 16% above the computed support of $0.7098 and about 18% below the immediate resistance of $1.01. A break below $0.7098 would signal the range low has failed with no lower OHLC-derived floor established, while reclaiming $1.01-$1.05 would require fully erasing the recent decline back to the prior stable trading band.

Overall Risk:
Very High
87/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

The token moved -20.17% over 24h and broke a two-week-long $1.02-$1.05 stable band to $0.8262, a shift confirmed by both the 7d (-18.6%) and 30d (-18.1%) figures rather than being a fleeting anomaly.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of just $9,097 against a $389,481 market cap and ~$48,476 in 24h combined volume means trades of even modest size can move the price significantly, and full position exits could be difficult.

Concentration
Low

Top 10 holders control only 16.0% of supply across 58 total holders on an aggregate basis, suggesting no single confirmed dominant wallet, though per-wallet whale behavior cannot be verified from available data.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security, audit, or verification data is available from this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rating rather than a genuine assessment of the contract.

Regulatory
Medium

A token name implying a USD-denominated staking product may draw increased regulatory scrutiny in some jurisdictions, though no project-specific regulatory information is available.

Key Risks

  • •A sharp single-session break from a stable $1.02-$1.05 band to $0.8262 (-19% day-over-day) raises serious questions about whether any implied dollar-peg design is holding, if one exists at all
  • •Liquidity of only $9,097 is critically thin relative to the $389,481 market cap, making both entry and exit costly and leaving the price highly vulnerable to further dislocation
  • •No project documentation, category classification, audit, or security-scan data exists, making fundamental due diligence essentially impossible from currently available data

Mitigating Factors

  • •The token has traded for approximately 8.9 months, surviving longer than many short-lived or immediately-failed tokens
  • •24h buy and sell volumes are nearly balanced (48.8% vs 51.2%), with no evidence of one-sided panic dumping in the most recent session

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced investors capable of independently verifying contract security and willing to accept the possibility of a total loss; not appropriate for investors seeking stable-value or low-volatility exposure despite the token's name.

sdUSD's investment case hinges on whether the recent ~19% break from its stable $1.02-$1.05 range is a temporary liquidity-driven dislocation or a structural failure — a distinction that cannot be resolved with currently available data. Given the token's minuscule liquidity, small holder base, and total absence of security/fundamental documentation, downside risk clearly outweighs any near-term reversion potential.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

If the recent decline reflects a temporary liquidity shock rather than a structural issue, price could revert toward the prior $1.02-$1.05 band, particularly if buy-side flow strengthens beyond its current 48.8% share of volume.

  • +Renewed buy pressure pushing price back above the $1.01 immediate resistance
  • +New liquidity provisioning materially deepening the current $9,097 pool
Base Case

Price most likely continues trading with elevated volatility within or below the $0.71-$1.01 range until liquidity meaningfully improves or verifiable information emerges explaining the sudden break.

  • •No significant liquidity injection occurs into the $9,097 Curve pool in the near term
  • •No verified project information surfaces to explain the cause of the recent price decline
Bear Case
Medium

If the break reflects a genuine underlying issue (loss of backing, mechanism failure, or a broader confidence shock), price could continue toward or below the $0.7098 major support, with limited buyer support given the thin liquidity and small holder base.

  • -Sell pressure extending beyond its current 51.2% share of 24h volume
  • -Continued thin liquidity amplifying any further selling into outsized price moves

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 10, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.826157853022
Market Cap$389.5K
24h Volume$48.5K
Holders58
Liquidity$9.1K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, individual whale-transaction data, and contract-security/audit data were unavailable for this analysis
  • •No project description, category, smart-money cohort, or genesis/deployer forensics data was available, limiting fundamental and insider-risk assessment
  • •Extremely thin liquidity ($9,097) and low trading volume mean short-window price metrics can be disproportionately affected by small trades

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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