лосось

Salmon Price Prediction 2026

лосось
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 4, 2026

$0.071750

+0.00%24h
LiveContract:0x7a22af4a3832ea8fd8b8895f893d9fed617ee458Chain:EthereumHolders:297Market cap:$12.07KLiquidity:$4.93K

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Movement since reportreport from Jul 4, 2026, 03:00 PM UTC
Market Cap

$79.04K

24h Volume

$417.63K

Liquidity

$24.17K

FDV

Holders

402

Security

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

Top acquisition

AI Executive Summary

Salmon (лосось) is a 29.7-month-old Ethereum token with a $79K market cap and $24K in Uniswap v2 liquidity that has experienced a violent speculative pump over its first 3 days of meaningful price history, rising from ~$6.6e-9 to a high of $5.012e-7 before retracing to $1.171e-7. The project has no published description, an unverified smart contract, and a security score of 42/100, placing it firmly in the high-risk speculative category. Holder growth has been rapid (+246 wallets in 31 days, almost entirely via market swaps), but the token's fundamentals are opaque and its price action is driven by speculation rather than utility. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, and anomalous whale wallet activity warrants a very high risk classification.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranJul 4, 2026, 03:00 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Extreme 3-day price volatility of 844.1% daily standard deviation — among the highest observable in micro-cap ERC-20 tokens
Holder base nearly tripled in 31 days entirely through market swaps, suggesting organic speculative demand rather than airdrop-driven distribution
Anomalous whale wallet with a first-active date in the future (2026-06-17) holding 1.74% of supply via transfer — a significant red flag for insider or sybil activity

Salmon Price Prediction

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

Salmon launched a parabolic move from ~$6.6e-9 to a high of $5.012e-7 within 3 days, and the current price of $1.171e-7 already sits at just 23% of that range — well off the peak. With only 3 days of OHLC history, extreme daily volatility of 844.1%, and no established support structure, the probability of continued mean-reversion toward the lower end of the range is high. The token's micro-cap size ($79K market cap) and shallow liquidity amplify downside velocity.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With only 3 days of price history, no project description, an unverified contract scoring 42/100 on security, and a holder base that grew 61% in 7 days almost entirely via market swaps, this token exhibits the classic profile of a speculative pump. Sustaining price appreciation over 30–90 days would require genuine utility development, liquidity deepening, and community retention — none of which are evidenced in the available data. The most probable medium-term trajectory is continued price decay as early entrants distribute into any residual buying interest.

Bullish Factors
  • +Holder base grew from 156 to 402 (+246, +61%) over 31 days with accelerating trajectory, indicating genuine new-participant interest rather than a static holder set.
  • +Buy transactions (890) outnumber sell transactions (596) over 24h, with 517 unique buyers vs. 335 unique sellers, reflecting broader participation on the buy side.
  • +Dumpable supply is only 20.8% — the largest single holder (14.99%) is a protocol/contract and is not a dumpable-whale risk, limiting the immediate overhead supply threat from insiders.
Bearish Factors
  • -Price has already collapsed from the 3-day high of $5.012e-7 to $1.171e-7, sitting at only 23% of the period range — the bulk of the move has already occurred and momentum is decelerating.
  • -Daily return volatility of 844.1% is extreme even by micro-cap standards, making the token unsuitable for position sizing and signalling a speculative pump dynamic rather than organic price discovery.
  • -The contract is unverified and scores only 42/100 on security assessment, creating meaningful smart-contract and rug-pull risk that rational capital will price in as a discount.
  • -Whale wallet 0x61ed0c (1.74% of supply) has a first-active date of 2026-06-17 — a future date relative to the contract creation of January 2024 — and acquired its position via transfer/airdrop with no indexed DEX swaps, which is an anomalous insider-allocation signal.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

лосось call history

Full track record →
Jul 4bearish
24h-60.9%
7d-81.1%
30d-82.2%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x7a22...e458
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Unverified smart contract with a 42/100 security score — hidden owner functions (mint, blacklist, fee manipulation) cannot be excluded without source code review
Whale wallet 0x61ed0c holds 1.74% of supply acquired via transfer with a first-active date of 2026-06-17 (anomalous future date) — this is a strong signal of insider or sybil allocation that could represent undisclosed team supply
The token has been dormant for most of its 29.7-month existence and only recently spiked — this pattern is consistent with a delayed pump-and-dump where the deployer waited for market conditions before activating the token

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24h buy/sell split is nearly balanced at 51.1% buy pressure vs. 48.9% sell pressure, with $213K in buy volume against $204K in sell volume — a marginal net inflow that does not signal strong directional conviction. Transaction counts show more buyers than sellers (890 buys vs. 596 sells, 517 unique buyers vs. 335 unique sellers), but this breadth advantage is offset by the token already being 77% below its 3-day high, suggesting the buying is absorbing distribution rather than driving a new leg up.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

With only 3 days of OHLC data available (7d/30d/90d trends are all N/A), the trend assessment is based solely on the period range analysis. The current price of $1.171e-7 sits at 23% of the 3-day range ($3.570e-9 low to $5.012e-7 high), confirming the token is in a sharp post-peak downtrend. The most recent daily close ($1.171e-7) is dramatically higher than the prior two closes ($6.822e-9 and $6.565e-9), but the intraday high of $5.012e-7 has not been reclaimed, placing the token in a lower-high structure.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 916% gain in 4 hours followed by a price sitting 77% below the period high is a textbook post-overbought exhaustion pattern. The static transaction counts across 1h/4h/24h windows confirm momentum has stalled, and the 844.1% daily volatility figure reflects the extreme energy of the initial move — energy that is now dissipating.

Volume Analysis

Buy 51.1%Sell 48.9%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

All buy and sell transaction counts are identical across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows, which means zero new transactions have been recorded in the most recent 1-hour and 4-hour periods. This volume cliff is a strong bearish signal — the pump was a single event and the market has gone silent since.

Recent Price Action

Vertical pump followed by sharp retracement: price moved from ~$6.6e-9 to a high of $5.012e-7 (approximately 75x) and has since retraced to $1.171e-7, sitting at 23% of the range. The last two daily closes before the pump were nearly flat ($6.822e-9 and $6.565e-9), confirming the move was sudden and not a gradual accumulation breakout.

This pattern — a sudden vertical spike from a flat base followed by a rapid retracement with volume drying up — is characteristic of a coordinated pump-and-dump or a viral social media-driven speculative burst. It rarely resolves with a sustained second leg up without a fundamental catalyst.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders402
24h Change+230
Growth Rate+57%

The holder base grew from 156 to 402 over 31 days, with 230 of those 246 new holders arriving in the last 24 hours — a clear sign that the price spike attracted a wave of new participants. However, rapid holder growth driven by a price pump is a lagging indicator; these new holders are buying into a token already 77% off its high, and many may become exit liquidity for earlier entrants.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders30%
Top 100 Holders80%
Retail Holders20.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

While the top 10 holders control 30% of supply, the largest single position (14.99%) is a protocol/contract and is not dumpable. The genuine dumpable supply — held by individual whales and potentially insider wallets — is 20.8%, which is moderate rather than critical. The top 100 controlling 80% is elevated, but with 402 total holders this is mathematically expected at this stage of the token's life cycle.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

The largest recent on-chain swaps are modest in absolute dollar terms: the biggest single trade was a $1,073 sell by 0xa64c63, followed by a $596 sell by 0x645acb and a $288 sell by 0x000000. The largest buy was $438 by 0xce4375. These trade sizes are consistent with retail-scale activity, not institutional whale movements.

  • SELL $1,073 by 0xa64c63 — largest single trade in the recent window, on the sell side
  • SELL $596 by 0x645acb — second largest trade, also a sell, reinforcing distribution bias among larger participants

The three largest recent trades are all sells, and the buy side is represented by smaller transactions ($438, $353, $287). This asymmetry — larger sells, smaller buys — is consistent with early entrants distributing into the wave of new buyers attracted by the price spike.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Medium

Smart-money cohort data is unavailable for this token. No profitable-trader analysis can be performed.

Smart-money data is unavailable. However, whale wallet 0xbf004b has realized +$272 over 7 trades with an average buy of $1.282e-8 — roughly 9x below the current price — indicating at least one tracked whale is sitting on substantial unrealized gains and represents a concrete profit-taking risk.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$24,168
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

With only $24,168 in Uniswap v2 liquidity against a $79K market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 30.6% — thin but not negligible for a micro-cap. However, in absolute terms $24K of liquidity means that any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause meaningful price impact, and a coordinated exit by even one mid-sized whale could crater the price. Buyers should assume high slippage in both directions.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 844.1% is extreme. The token moved approximately 75x from its base price to its 3-day high and has already retraced 77% from that peak — price swings of this magnitude can wipe out positions in minutes.

Liquidity
High

Only $24,168 in Uniswap v2 liquidity supports a $79K market cap. Large orders will face severe slippage, and a coordinated exit by any of the nine individual whale wallets (collectively holding ~14.94% of supply) could exhaust available liquidity entirely.

Concentration
Medium

Dumpable supply is 20.8% — held by nine individual whale wallets. The largest single holder (14.99%) is a non-dumpable protocol/contract. While concentration is not critical, whale wallet 0xbf004b holds an average buy price of $1.282e-8 vs. current price of $1.171e-7, representing ~9x unrealized gains and a meaningful distribution risk.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified (source code not publicly available) and scores 42/100 on security assessment. Without auditability, the presence of owner-controlled mint functions, blacklists, or trading restrictions cannot be ruled out.

Regulatory
Medium

As an unregistered, undocumented token with no clear utility, Salmon could be classified as an unregistered security or subject to anti-fraud enforcement in jurisdictions with active crypto regulation. The Cyrillic symbol and absence of KYC/AML documentation add jurisdictional uncertainty.

Key Risks

  • Unverified smart contract with a 42/100 security score — hidden owner functions (mint, blacklist, fee manipulation) cannot be excluded without source code review
  • Whale wallet 0x61ed0c holds 1.74% of supply acquired via transfer with a first-active date of 2026-06-17 (anomalous future date) — this is a strong signal of insider or sybil allocation that could represent undisclosed team supply
  • The token has been dormant for most of its 29.7-month existence and only recently spiked — this pattern is consistent with a delayed pump-and-dump where the deployer waited for market conditions before activating the token

Mitigating Factors

  • Dumpable supply is limited to 20.8%, with the largest holder being a non-dumpable protocol/contract — limiting the immediate overhead supply risk from a single actor
  • 29.7 months of deployment without a documented exploit or rug event provides a minimal track record of contract stability

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who specialize in micro-cap speculative assets, can afford to lose 100% of their position, and have the technical capability to monitor on-chain activity in real time. It is not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without a deep understanding of pump-and-dump dynamics.

Salmon presents a classic high-risk speculative micro-cap profile: a dormant token that has experienced a sudden violent pump, now retracing sharply with volume drying up and no fundamental narrative to sustain price. The investment thesis is almost entirely momentum-dependent, with the bear case substantially more probable given the available evidence.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

A genuine community or project narrative emerges via the token's social channels, attracting sustained new buyers. The holder base continues its accelerating growth trajectory, liquidity deepens, and the token stabilizes above its current price before attempting a retest of the $5.012e-7 high.

  • +Accelerating holder growth trajectory (156 → 402 in 31 days) continues and converts into sustained buying pressure
  • +Project reveals a utility or community narrative via its social channels that differentiates it from pure speculation
Base Case

The token consolidates in the $5e-8 to $2e-7 range for several days as early buyers gradually distribute to late entrants, before slowly drifting lower toward the $1e-8 range as speculative interest fades and no fundamental catalyst materializes.

  • No new project announcement or viral social media event reignites buying interest
  • Whale wallets with unrealized gains execute gradual distribution rather than a single large dump
Bear Case
High

Volume remains absent (as evidenced by static transaction counts across 1h/4h/24h), early whale entrants (particularly 0xbf004b with ~9x unrealized gains) begin distributing into the new holder base, and the price retraces toward the pre-pump range of $3.570e-9 to $6.822e-9.

  • -Whale wallet 0xbf004b sitting on ~9x unrealized gains with 7 prior trades demonstrating active trading behavior — profit-taking is the rational action
  • -Complete absence of new transaction volume in the most recent 1h and 4h windows signals the pump has exhausted its buying momentum

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 4, 2026, 03:00 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000000117144972614
Market Cap$79.0K
24h Volume$417.6K
Holders402
Liquidity$24.2K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Ethereum mainnet)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)
Trading volume metrics (Uniswap v2 DEX)
Smart contract security assessment
Whale wallet behavioral forensics
Daily OHLC price history (3-day window)

Limitations

  • Only 3 days of OHLC price history available — 7d/30d/90d trend metrics are entirely absent, severely limiting technical analysis reliability
  • No project documentation, whitepaper, or verified use case exists — fundamental analysis is based solely on on-chain metrics and cannot assess intrinsic value
  • Smart contract source code is unverified, preventing assessment of contract-level risks such as hidden mint functions or ownership controls
  • Smart-money cohort data is unavailable, limiting insight into sophisticated trader positioning

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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