FORTH

Ampleforth Governance Price Today & AI Analysis

FORTHEthereumAnalysis as of Apr 11, 2026

Price

$0.2967

+5.28% 24h

Contract

Live
0x77fba179c79de5b7653f68b5039af940ada60ce0

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

24.2K

Market cap

$4.54M

Liquidity

$5.09K

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Ampleforth Governance: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-11 17:20 UTC

Holder addresses

25,026

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$110,944.35
How concentrated is Ampleforth Governance ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 25,026 addresses (2026-04-11 17:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Ampleforth Governance?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Ampleforth Governance liquidity falling?
As of 2026-04-11 17:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $110,944.35. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-11 17:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Apr 11, 2026, 05:20 PM UTC

Market Cap

$2.89M

24h Volume

$370.31

Liquidity

$110.94K

FDV

—

Holders

25,026

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

FORTH is the governance token for the Ampleforth protocol, which features a unique rebase mechanism to maintain price stability around a CPI-adjusted dollar, positioning it as a DeFi utility token in the rebase category. With a market cap of $2.88M and fully circulating supply of 15.3M tokens, it exhibits low liquidity and trading activity, reflected in 24h volume of just $370 and a -1.14% price drop. Currently, the token faces challenges from high holder concentration and declining user base, but its ties to AMPL's innovative supply adjustment model offer potential for niche adoption in decentralized finance.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Apr 11, 2026, 05:20 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Governance over a rebase token system that automatically adjusts supply for price stability
  • Non-dilutive and CPI-tracking properties for use as collateral or unit of account
  • Integration with AMPL for simplified on-chain derivatives

Ampleforth Governance AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token shows dominant sell pressure at 90% over the last 24 hours with a -1.14% price decline, indicating potential further downside amid low trading volume of $370 total. Recent transaction data reveals minimal buy activity, with only 4 buys versus 3 sells in 24 hours and zero transactions in the last hour, suggesting waning interest. Holder growth is slightly positive at 6 new holders but overall trends point to stagnation.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

Over 30-90 days, FORTH may stabilize if DeFi sector sentiment improves, but persistent holder decline of -3.8% over 30 days and high supply concentration could cap upside. The rebase mechanism tied to AMPL's ecosystem might provide some resilience, though low liquidity of $110K increases vulnerability to volatility. Potential catalysts include broader crypto market recovery or governance updates in the Ampleforth protocol.

Bullish Factors

  • Slight holder growth of 6 in 24h, indicating minor organic interest
  • Verified contract and 74/100 security score provide some fundamental stability

Bearish Factors

  • 90% sell pressure and net sell volume of $296.605 in 24h suggest distribution
  • High supply concentration with top 10 holders controlling 67%, increasing manipulation risk

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x77fb...0ce0
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme holder concentration could lead to sudden dumps by top holders
  • Low trading volume increases illiquidity and volatility exposure
  • Declining holder base signals potential loss of network effects

Trading Insight

bearish

Market sentiment is bearish, driven by 90% sell pressure and higher sell volume of $333.46 compared to $36.85 in buys over 24 hours. Trading patterns show low overall activity with only 7 transactions in 24h, concentrated in earlier periods, indicating limited investor interest. This imbalance suggests potential for further price erosion unless buy activity picks up.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

Short-term trend is sideways with 0% changes in 5min, 1h, and 4h, reflecting stability but no upward momentum. Medium-term shows a mild downtrend from the -1.14% 24h drop and broader holder decline, potentially extending if sell pressure persists. Overall, the lack of volatility points to consolidation, but low volume undermines any breakout potential.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum is neutral, as flat price action over short timeframes and balanced but low transaction counts do not indicate overbought or oversold conditions; however, dominant sell pressure could shift this toward oversold if volumes increase.

Volume Analysis

Buy

10%

Sell

90%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Volume has trended downward, with 24h total at $370 and zero in the last hour, which is below typical standards for small-cap DeFi tokens and signals reduced market participation. This low volume, combined with 90% sell dominance, suggests bearish undertones and potential for illiquid trading conditions.

Recent Price Action

Flat consolidation with a slight downward drift

This pattern typically indicates indecision or accumulation phase, but in low-volume contexts, it often precedes further declines without fresh catalysts.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

0.26

Major support

0.24

Immediate resistance

0.27

Major resistance

0.29

Immediate support at $0.26 aligns with recent lows, while major support at $0.24 could act as a floor if selling intensifies; resistance levels at $0.27 and $0.29 may cap rebounds given low buy volume. These levels are significant due to the token's low liquidity, where breaches could lead to amplified price swings.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

75/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Low liquidity and volume amplify price swings from small trades

  • LiquidityHigh

    Shallow $110K liquidity leads to high slippage and exit difficulties

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    DeFi governance tokens face evolving regulations, especially around stablecoin-like mechanics

Key Risks

  • Extreme holder concentration could lead to sudden dumps by top holders
  • Low trading volume increases illiquidity and volatility exposure
  • Declining holder base signals potential loss of network effects

Mitigating Factors

  • Verified contract reduces exploit risks
  • Ties to AMPL ecosystem provide some fundamental backing

Investor Suitability

Suitable for experienced DeFi enthusiasts with high risk tolerance seeking governance plays in niche rebase projects

FORTH offers exposure to innovative rebase governance in DeFi, with potential upside from AMPL ecosystem growth, but high concentration and low liquidity pose significant risks. Bull case hinges on sector revival, while bear case involves continued dormancy. Base case anticipates sideways trading with gradual stabilization.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Price appreciates to $0.50+ on DeFi boom and increased governance participation

  • Broader crypto market recovery
  • Protocol upgrades boosting AMPL adoption

Base Case

Sideways trading around $0.25-0.30 with minor fluctuations

  • Stable crypto market conditions
  • No major whale movements

Bear Case

Medium probability

Further price decline below $0.20 amid ongoing sell pressure and holder exits

  • Persistent low volume and concentration dumps
  • DeFi sector downturn

Analysis Details

Generated

Apr 11, 2026, 05:20 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-11 17:20 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.269614668030794369

Market Cap

$2.89M

24h Volume

$370.308

Holders

25,026

Liquidity

$110,944.35

Data Sources

On-chain transaction dataHolder distribution analyticsTrading volume metricsSmart contract analysis

Limitations

  • Limited historical TA data for precise level identification
  • Low activity may skew short-term metrics

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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