PIRATE

Pirate Nation Token Price Today & AI Analysis

PIRATEEthereumAnalysis as of Jul 19, 2026

Price

$0.047326

-49.68% 24h

Contract

Live
0x7613c48e0cd50e42dd9bf0f6c235063145f6f8dc

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

14.1K

Market cap

$71.73K

Liquidity

$1.52K

At a $1M market cap, $PIRATE would be $0.001021 (13.9x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is PIRATE a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 18

No red flags

No red flags so far, though the contract test was not conclusive.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about PIRATE

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

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Pirate Nation Token: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-19 20:00 UTC

Holder addresses

13,971

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$31,494.57
How concentrated is Pirate Nation Token ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 13,971 addresses (2026-07-19 20:00 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Pirate Nation Token?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Pirate Nation Token liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC, reported liquidity was $31,494.57. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 19, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC

Market Cap

$1.75M

24h Volume

$19.38K

Liquidity

$31.49K

FDV

—

Holders

13,971

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

Pirate Nation Token (PIRATE) is a 28-month-old utility token on Ethereum powering a fully on-chain RPG game in the GameFi/NFT category, currently priced at $0.002418 with a market cap of approximately $1.75M. The token has experienced a dramatic short-term spike of +83% over 7 days — including a +126% move in the most recent 4-hour window — but this comes against a -14% 30-day backdrop, suggesting a volatile relief rally rather than a trend reversal. Liquidity is extremely thin at $31,495, the holder base has been slowly declining over 31 days, and three of the top individual whale wallets hold positions acquired entirely via transfer/airdrop with no market-buy history. The security score of 62/100 and the statistically suspicious uniformity of smart-money PnL data warrant elevated caution.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 19, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Fully on-chain RPG game mechanic providing genuine utility and a non-speculative use case for the token within the Pirate Nation ecosystem
  • Coinbase custodying 14.11% of supply as the largest single holder, indicating a credible exchange relationship and reducing that portion from dumpable risk
  • 28-month token age with a verified contract and established social presence (Discord, Website), distinguishing it from short-lived meme or scam tokens

Pirate Nation Token AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

PIRATE has surged +83% over the past 7 days, with the most recent daily close jumping from $0.001321 to $0.002418 — a near-doubling in a single session. The 4-hour price gain of +126% confirms this is a fresh, sharp breakout rather than a gradual drift. With buy pressure at 58.1% and 123 buy vs. 114 sell transactions in 24h, near-term momentum favors continuation toward the immediate resistance at $0.002690.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the sharp 7-day spike, the 30-day trend is -14%, revealing that the broader medium-term trajectory remains negative. The current price at 40% of the 87-day range ($0.0009986–$0.004542) and a 15.4% daily volatility signal that this spike is likely a high-volatility relief rally within a downtrend rather than a structural reversal. Holder count has declined net -14 over 31 days, and the 30d negative trend suggests selling pressure will reassert once the momentum fades.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price gain of +83% with the most recent daily close nearly doubling from $0.001321 to $0.002418, confirming strong short-term momentum
  • Buy pressure at 58.1% ($11,255 buy volume vs. $8,120 sell volume in 24h) shows net capital inflow on the day of the spike
  • Coinbase holds 14.11% of supply as a custodial/exchange wallet, indicating meaningful institutional-grade custody and exchange listing presence
  • Dumpable supply is only 23.2% (six individual whales), limiting the realistic near-term sell-side overhang relative to the 57% top-10 concentration figure

Bearish Factors

  • 30-day trend is -14%, meaning the 7-day spike is a counter-trend move within a broader decline rather than a new uptrend
  • Holder count has declined net -14 over 31 days per the trajectory timeseries, signaling gradual but persistent holder attrition
  • All three top individual whales (4.10%, 4.05%, 3.54% of supply) acquired their positions via transfer/airdrop with no DEX swap history, creating latent sell pressure from holders with zero cost basis
  • Total liquidity is only $31,495, making the token highly susceptible to slippage and price manipulation on even modest-sized trades
  • The six smart-money wallets each show identical PnL figures (+$9,909, +59%, 18 trades), which is statistically anomalous and may indicate coordinated trading activity rather than organic price discovery

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

PIRATE call history

Full track record →

Jul 19bullish
24h-31.4%
7d-0.5%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x7613...f8dc
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Coordinated pump risk: The +126% 4-hour spike driven by only 42 unique buyers on $31,495 of liquidity, combined with statistically identical smart-money PnL across six wallets, is consistent with a coordinated price manipulation event — a subsequent dump could retrace most of the gains rapidly
  • Zero-cost-basis whale overhang: The three largest individual whale wallets (4.10%, 4.05%, 3.54% of supply) hold positions acquired via transfer/airdrop with no DEX purchase history, meaning they face no loss at any price and can exit at any time without financial consequence
  • Thin liquidity amplification: At $31,495 pool depth, any moderate sell order from a whale wallet could collapse the price by 30-50% before finding support, with limited ability for retail buyers to absorb the impact

Trading Insight

bullish

Short-term sentiment is modestly bullish driven by the 58.1% buy pressure and net positive transaction flow, but the sentiment score is tempered by the thin liquidity, declining holder trajectory, and the fact that the spike appears concentrated in a narrow time window. The near-parity of buy (123) and sell (114) transactions over 24h, combined with only 42 unique buyers, suggests the rally is driven by a small cohort rather than broad market participation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The short-term trend is clearly bullish: the 7-day gain of +83% and the most recent daily close jumping from $0.001321 to $0.002418 represent a decisive upward break from a multi-week decline. However, the medium-term trend remains bearish — the 30-day return is -14%, and the daily close sequence from $0.002702 down to $0.001114 over the preceding 13 sessions shows a sustained downtrend that the current spike is interrupting, not reversing. The price sitting at 40% of the 87-day range further confirms the token remains well below its historical highs.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A +126% move in 4 hours on a token with 15.4% average daily volatility represents an extreme momentum event. The price has moved from the lower quartile of its range to the midpoint in a single session, and the tapering of transaction volume in the most recent 1-hour window (22 buys, 22 sells vs. 115/109 in the prior 4h) suggests momentum is already decelerating. Near-term mean reversion toward the immediate support at $0.002127 is a plausible outcome.

Volume Analysis

Buy

58.1%

Sell

41.9%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Volume spiked dramatically in the 4-hour window that drove the price move, with 115 buy and 109 sell transactions representing the bulk of the 24-hour total. The 1-hour data showing only 22 buys and 22 sells confirms the volume surge has already subsided. On a $31,495 liquidity pool, even the modest $19,375 total 24h volume is sufficient to cause extreme price dislocations.

Recent Price Action

The 13-session daily close sequence shows a textbook downtrend from $0.002702 to $0.001114 (-58.8%), followed by a single-session reversal candle to $0.002418 (+117%). This is a V-shaped spike pattern on the final candle.

V-shaped single-session spikes on low-liquidity tokens frequently represent short-duration pump events rather than genuine trend reversals. Without follow-through volume and new buyer participation in subsequent sessions, these patterns often retrace 50-70% of the spike move.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.002127

Major support

$0.0009986

Immediate resistance

$0.002690

Major resistance

$0.004542

The immediate support at $0.002127 is the first meaningful floor below current price and represents the likely retest level if momentum fades. Major support at $0.0009986 marks the 87-day range low and would represent a near-total retracement of the spike. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.002690 is the first hurdle — a close above this level would be technically constructive. The major resistance at $0.004542 (the 87-day high) is the bull-case target but sits 88% above current price, requiring sustained buying pressure that the current liquidity profile cannot easily support.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

72/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility of 15.4% (standard deviation of daily returns) is extreme — this implies a typical daily move of ±15%, and the recent +126% 4-hour spike demonstrates the token's capacity for violent price dislocations in either direction.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total pool liquidity of $31,495 on Uniswap v3 means any trade above a few hundred dollars will incur material slippage. The entire 24h volume of ~$19,375 is smaller than the liquidity pool, confirming this is a micro-liquidity market.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a GameFi/NFT utility token on Ethereum, PIRATE faces the same regulatory uncertainty affecting all utility tokens in the US and EU, particularly around whether in-game tokens with secondary market trading constitute securities. No specific regulatory actions are identified in the data.

Key Risks

  • Coordinated pump risk: The +126% 4-hour spike driven by only 42 unique buyers on $31,495 of liquidity, combined with statistically identical smart-money PnL across six wallets, is consistent with a coordinated price manipulation event — a subsequent dump could retrace most of the gains rapidly
  • Zero-cost-basis whale overhang: The three largest individual whale wallets (4.10%, 4.05%, 3.54% of supply) hold positions acquired via transfer/airdrop with no DEX purchase history, meaning they face no loss at any price and can exit at any time without financial consequence
  • Thin liquidity amplification: At $31,495 pool depth, any moderate sell order from a whale wallet could collapse the price by 30-50% before finding support, with limited ability for retail buyers to absorb the impact

Mitigating Factors

  • Coinbase holding 14.11% of supply as a custodial wallet provides a credible exchange relationship and removes that supply from near-term sell pressure
  • 100% circulating supply eliminates future vesting unlock events as a source of sell pressure, and the 28-month operational history provides some evidence of project continuity

Investor Suitability

PIRATE is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with deep familiarity with micro-cap GameFi tokens, who can afford to lose their entire position, and who have independently verified the Pirate Nation game's active user base and development roadmap. Position sizing should account for the near-certainty of high slippage on exit.

PIRATE presents a speculative opportunity in a legitimate 28-month-old GameFi project with a verified contract and Coinbase listing, but the investment case is undermined by extreme thin liquidity, a declining holder base, zero-cost-basis whale positions, and a price spike that bears the hallmarks of a coordinated thin-liquidity pump. The medium-term trend remains negative despite the short-term surge.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Pirate Nation releases a major game update or partnership announcement that drives genuine new user acquisition, converting the short-term price spike into a sustained uptrend. Holder count begins growing, liquidity deepens as new LPs enter, and the price breaks and holds above the major resistance at $0.004542, establishing a new higher range.

  • Meaningful increase in Pirate Nation active players and in-game PIRATE token demand
  • Liquidity deepening through new LP provision or a centralized exchange listing beyond Coinbase custody

Base Case

The spike partially retraces toward the immediate support at $0.002127 as momentum fades, with the token then trading in a volatile range between $0.001500 and $0.002700 for the medium term. The underlying GameFi project continues operating without a major catalyst, and the holder base remains flat to slightly declining.

  • No major game update or external catalyst emerges to sustain buying pressure above current levels
  • Whale wallets with zero cost basis do not aggressively dump but also do not add to positions, maintaining the current supply overhang

Bear Case

High probability

The 4-hour spike proves to be a coordinated thin-liquidity pump. Volume dries up in subsequent sessions, zero-cost-basis whale wallets begin distributing into any remaining bid liquidity, and the price retraces toward the major support at $0.0009986 — erasing the entire spike and returning to the pre-event downtrend.

  • Absence of follow-through buying volume in the sessions following the spike, confirming the move was not driven by organic demand
  • One or more zero-cost-basis whale wallets initiating transfers to exchange addresses in preparation for selling

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 19, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-19 20:00 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.002417936618415328

Market Cap

$1.75M

24h Volume

$19.4K

Holders

13,971

Liquidity

$31,494.57

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v3 swap history)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)Daily OHLC price history (87-day window)Smart contract security assessmentWhale wallet forensics (DEX swap lookup, first-active date)Smart money realized PnL trackingLiquidity pool depth data

Limitations

  • 90-day price return is unavailable (n/a), limiting the ability to assess the full medium-term trend context beyond the 30-day window
  • The statistically anomalous smart-money PnL data (six wallets with identical figures) reduces confidence in the smart-money analysis and may indicate a data artifact or coordinated activity that cannot be fully resolved from available data
  • No active user or game engagement metrics for Pirate Nation are available, making it impossible to assess whether the GameFi utility is driving genuine token demand

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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