eXRD

eRadix Price Today & AI Analysis

eXRDEthereumAnalysis as of Jul 24, 2026

Price

$0.000445

-0.06% 24h

Contract

Live
0x6468e79a80c0eab0f9a2b574c8d5bc374af59414

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

13.7K

Market cap

$291.01K

Liquidity

$33.77K

At a $1M market cap, $EXRD would be $0.001530 (3.44x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is eXRD a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 20

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about eXRD

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

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eRadix: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-24 05:15 UTC

Holder addresses

13,651

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$88,682.01
How concentrated is eRadix ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 13,651 addresses (2026-07-24 05:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling eRadix?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is eRadix liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-24 05:15 UTC, reported liquidity was $88,682.01. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-24 05:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 24, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$696.44K

24h Volume

$30.39K

Liquidity

$88.68K

FDV

—

Holders

13,651

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

E-RADIX (eXRD) is the Ethereum-wrapped representation of the XRD token from the Radix blockchain platform, a Layer-1 project focused on improving DeFi developer and user experience through its Scrypto language and Radix Engine. At 68.8 months old, the token has an established on-chain footprint with 13,651 holders and verified contract status, trading on Uniswap v2 with ~$88.7K in liquidity. The token is currently in a short-to-medium-term uptrend (+13.4% over 7 days, +6.0% over 30 days), breaking out of a prolonged low-price consolidation, though the holder base has been slowly declining over the past 31 days. With a market cap of ~$696K and dumpable supply of 29.2% concentrated among six individual whales, the token carries meaningful liquidity and concentration risk despite its project maturity.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 24, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Ethereum-bridged wrapper for the Radix (XRD) ecosystem, giving EVM-native DeFi users exposure to a non-EVM Layer-1 platform
  • Unusually deep smart-money history: top traders have realized over $1.27M, $888K, and $669K in profits respectively, indicating sustained sophisticated participation over years
  • Token age of 68.8 months provides a long on-chain track record uncommon among tokens at this market cap level

eRadix AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

eXRD has surged +13.4% over the past 7 days and +20.9% in the most recent daily session, breaking out of a prolonged consolidation band between $0.00083–$0.00091. The price currently sits at 34% of its 88-day range, meaning meaningful upside remains before the token tests its period high of $0.001375. Buy pressure at 56.4% and a 132-to-73 buy/sell transaction ratio over 24 hours support continued near-term momentum.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 30-day trend of +6.0% combined with the sharper 7-day acceleration of +13.4% suggests building momentum rather than a one-day spike. If eXRD can consolidate above the immediate support at $0.0009134 and clear the immediate resistance at $0.001017, the next meaningful target is the major resistance at $0.001375, representing a further ~37% upside from current levels. However, the 31-day holder trajectory is declining (13,584 → 13,522, net -62), which tempers conviction and suggests the rally must attract new holders to sustain.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price gain of +13.4% and 30-day gain of +6.0% confirm a multi-timeframe uptrend, not a single-session anomaly
  • Buy pressure at 56.4% ($17,125 buy volume vs. $13,263 sell volume over 24h) shows net capital inflow
  • Smart money presence is significant: top profitable trader 0x769252 has realized +$1,278,359 (+21%) over 8,821 trades, indicating deep, experienced participation in this token
  • Token is 68.8 months old with a verified contract and established exchange listings (Bitfinex, Gate.io hold 7.12% and 3.86% respectively), providing credibility and liquidity anchors
  • Price at only 34% of its 88-day range leaves substantial room before the period high of $0.001375 is tested

Bearish Factors

  • Holder trajectory is declining over 31 days (net -62 holders), meaning the rally is not yet attracting new participants — a divergence that historically precedes reversals
  • Dumpable supply of 29.2% (six individual whales holding 3.26%–6.63% each) creates meaningful sell-side overhang if any single whale decides to exit
  • Total liquidity of only $88,682 is shallow; a single whale exit of even 1% of supply could cause severe slippage and price dislocation
  • Security score of 62/100 is below the threshold most institutional participants require, limiting the buyer universe
  • The most recent notable trades are all sells of ~$395 by a single wallet (0x20011f), suggesting at least one active seller is systematically distributing

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

eXRD call history

Full track record →

Jul 24bullish
24h+19.1%
7d-3.7%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x6468...9414
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Whale exit risk: six individual wallets hold 29.2% of dumpable supply, two of which have zero cost basis from market purchases — any coordinated or panic-driven exit into the shallow $88.7K liquidity pool would cause catastrophic price impact
  • Declining holder base: the 31-day net loss of 62 holders during a price rally suggests the token is not attracting new participants, which limits the sustainability of the current uptrend and increases reliance on existing holders to maintain price
  • Shallow liquidity amplification: the 34% volume-to-liquidity ratio means the current price is highly sensitive to order flow; the +20.9% single-day move may partially reflect thin-pool price amplification rather than genuine demand, making a sharp reversal equally possible

Trading Insight

bullish

Trading sentiment is moderately bullish with buy pressure at 56.4% and buy transactions outnumbering sells 132 to 73 over 24 hours. However, the extremely low unique buyer count — only 7 unique buyers driving 132 buy transactions — reveals that a handful of wallets are responsible for the bulk of buy-side volume, which is a concentration risk for the rally's sustainability.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The daily OHLC series shows eXRD trading in a tight range between $0.00083–$0.00091 for the majority of the 88-day window before the most recent close at $0.001006 — a sharp breakout representing roughly a 17% gap above the prior consolidation ceiling. Both the 7-day (+13.4%) and 30-day (+6.0%) returns confirm the uptrend is multi-timeframe, not a single-session anomaly. The price sitting at 34% of the period range ($0.0008129–$0.001375) means the breakout has room to extend before encountering the major resistance at $0.001375.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A +20.9% single-day move following a prolonged consolidation period is a strong momentum signal, but it also places the token in short-term overbought territory relative to its recent trading range. Daily volatility of 3.3% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a micro-cap token, but the most recent candle represents a ~6-sigma move relative to that baseline, suggesting mean-reversion risk in the immediate term before the trend can resume.

Volume Analysis

Buy

56.4%

Sell

43.6%

Volume Trend

Increasing

The 24-hour volume of ~$30,388 is elevated relative to the token's typical liquidity depth of ~$88,682, producing a volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~34%. This is consistent with a breakout event. The buy/sell volume split ($17,125 vs. $13,263) confirms net buying pressure is driving the move rather than short covering or wash trading alone.

Recent Price Action

Extended consolidation breakout: the token traded in a narrow band of $0.00083–$0.00091 for approximately 13 consecutive daily sessions before the most recent close at $0.001006, which is a clean break above the consolidation ceiling.

Consolidation breakouts following extended low-volatility periods often signal the beginning of a new directional leg. The key test is whether the price can hold above the immediate support at $0.0009134 on any pullback — a successful retest of that level as support would confirm the breakout's validity.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0009134

Major support

$0.0008129

Immediate resistance

$0.001017

Major resistance

$0.001375

The immediate support at $0.0009134 represents the top of the prior consolidation range and is the most critical level to hold on any pullback — a close below it would invalidate the breakout. Major support at $0.0008129 is the 88-day period low and a structural floor. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.001017 is the first meaningful ceiling; clearing it opens the path to the major resistance at $0.001375, which is the 88-day period high and would represent a ~37% gain from current levels.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility of 3.3% (standard deviation of daily returns) is elevated, and the most recent session's +20.9% move represents an extreme outlier relative to that baseline. The 88-day range of $0.0008129–$0.001375 spans a 69% spread, confirming that large drawdowns are a regular feature of this token's price history.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total pool liquidity of $88,682 is shallow for a $696K market cap token. The 34% volume-to-liquidity ratio over 24 hours confirms the pool is under significant stress. Any position above a few hundred dollars will face meaningful slippage, and a coordinated whale exit could drain the pool rapidly.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a utility token for a Layer-1 blockchain platform, eXRD faces the same regulatory uncertainty as other crypto assets in major jurisdictions. Its classification as a utility token and its established project history provide some protection, but cross-chain bridge tokens may attract additional regulatory scrutiny as DeFi regulation evolves.

Key Risks

  • Whale exit risk: six individual wallets hold 29.2% of dumpable supply, two of which have zero cost basis from market purchases — any coordinated or panic-driven exit into the shallow $88.7K liquidity pool would cause catastrophic price impact
  • Declining holder base: the 31-day net loss of 62 holders during a price rally suggests the token is not attracting new participants, which limits the sustainability of the current uptrend and increases reliance on existing holders to maintain price
  • Shallow liquidity amplification: the 34% volume-to-liquidity ratio means the current price is highly sensitive to order flow; the +20.9% single-day move may partially reflect thin-pool price amplification rather than genuine demand, making a sharp reversal equally possible

Mitigating Factors

  • Token age of 68.8 months with no reported exploits provides meaningful evidence of contract stability and project continuity
  • Strong smart money presence with over $4.36M in collective realized profits across six wallets suggests the token has sustained genuine trading alpha and is not a pure pump-and-dump vehicle

Investor Suitability

eXRD is suitable only for experienced cryptocurrency traders who understand bridge token mechanics, are comfortable with high volatility and thin liquidity, and can actively monitor positions. It is not appropriate for passive investors, risk-averse participants, or those without a deep understanding of the Radix ecosystem's fundamentals. Position sizes should be small relative to total portfolio given the liquidity constraints.

eXRD presents a speculative opportunity in a confirmed short-to-medium-term uptrend, backed by smart money participation and a clean breakout from a prolonged consolidation. The primary risks are thin liquidity, a declining holder base, and significant dumpable whale supply — factors that could rapidly reverse gains if sentiment shifts.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

The breakout above the $0.00091 consolidation ceiling holds, with the price clearing immediate resistance at $0.001017 and trending toward the major resistance at $0.001375 over 30–60 days. This would be driven by renewed interest in the Radix ecosystem, smart money accumulation, and broader Layer-1 sector momentum attracting new holders to reverse the declining trajectory.

  • Sustained buy pressure above 56% with the price holding the immediate support at $0.0009134 on any pullback, confirming the breakout
  • Radix platform catalysts (ecosystem growth, dApp launches, or bridge improvements) driving demand for eXRD as the EVM-accessible XRD proxy

Base Case

eXRD consolidates in the $0.00091–$0.001017 range over the next 30 days, digesting the breakout move. The holder base stabilizes rather than declining further, and the token gradually tests the immediate resistance at $0.001017 multiple times before either breaking through or retreating to major support at $0.0008129.

  • No major whale exits into the thin liquidity pool during the consolidation period
  • The Radix ecosystem maintains its current level of activity without a significant negative catalyst

Bear Case

Medium probability

The +20.9% single-day move proves to be a thin-liquidity spike driven by a small number of buyers (only 7 unique buyers in 24h). Whale wallets with zero cost basis begin distributing into the elevated price, the holder base continues declining, and the price retraces to the major support at $0.0008129 — a ~19% drawdown from current levels.

  • Systematic selling by whale wallets with zero-cost-basis positions (0x74dec0 at 6.63%, 0x9642b2 at 4.23%) into the shallow liquidity pool
  • Failure to attract new holders (continuing the 31-day declining trajectory) leaving the price dependent on a shrinking base of existing participants

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 24, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-24 05:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.001005827482718131

Market Cap

$696.4K

24h Volume

$30.4K

Holders

13,651

Liquidity

$88,682.01

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v2 swap history)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)Daily OHLC price history (88-day window)Smart contract security assessmentWhale wallet forensics and DEX swap historySmart money realized PnL data31-day holder trajectory timeseries

Limitations

  • 90-day price return is unavailable, limiting the full multi-timeframe trend picture to 7-day and 30-day windows only
  • The extremely low unique buyer count (7 in 24h) makes it difficult to distinguish genuine organic demand from bot activity or wash trading, reducing confidence in volume-based signals
  • Bridge/wrapper token dynamics mean eXRD price is also influenced by the Radix native chain (XRD) and bridge mechanics that are not captured in this Ethereum on-chain data alone

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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