eXRD

eRadix Price Today & AI Analysis

eXRD
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 24, 2026

$0.000598

+0.31%24h
LiveContract:0x6468e79a80c0eab0f9a2b574c8d5bc374af59414Chain:EthereumHolders:13.7KMarket cap:$392.21KLiquidity:$34.58K

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Ask Unhosted AI about eXRD

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 24, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC
Market Cap

$696.44K

24h Volume

$30.39K

Liquidity

$88.68K

FDV

—

Holders

13.7K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

E-RADIX (eXRD) is the Ethereum-wrapped representation of the XRD token from the Radix blockchain platform, a Layer-1 project focused on improving DeFi developer and user experience through its Scrypto language and Radix Engine. At 68.8 months old, the token has an established on-chain footprint with 13,651 holders and verified contract status, trading on Uniswap v2 with ~$88.7K in liquidity. The token is currently in a short-to-medium-term uptrend (+13.4% over 7 days, +6.0% over 30 days), breaking out of a prolonged low-price consolidation, though the holder base has been slowly declining over the past 31 days. With a market cap of ~$696K and dumpable supply of 29.2% concentrated among six individual whales, the token carries meaningful liquidity and concentration risk despite its project maturity.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 24, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
Ethereum-bridged wrapper for the Radix (XRD) ecosystem, giving EVM-native DeFi users exposure to a non-EVM Layer-1 platform
Unusually deep smart-money history: top traders have realized over $1.27M, $888K, and $669K in profits respectively, indicating sustained sophisticated participation over years
Token age of 68.8 months provides a long on-chain track record uncommon among tokens at this market cap level

eRadix AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

eXRD has surged +13.4% over the past 7 days and +20.9% in the most recent daily session, breaking out of a prolonged consolidation band between $0.00083–$0.00091. The price currently sits at 34% of its 88-day range, meaning meaningful upside remains before the token tests its period high of $0.001375. Buy pressure at 56.4% and a 132-to-73 buy/sell transaction ratio over 24 hours support continued near-term momentum.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day trend of +6.0% combined with the sharper 7-day acceleration of +13.4% suggests building momentum rather than a one-day spike. If eXRD can consolidate above the immediate support at $0.0009134 and clear the immediate resistance at $0.001017, the next meaningful target is the major resistance at $0.001375, representing a further ~37% upside from current levels. However, the 31-day holder trajectory is declining (13,584 → 13,522, net -62), which tempers conviction and suggests the rally must attract new holders to sustain.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price gain of +13.4% and 30-day gain of +6.0% confirm a multi-timeframe uptrend, not a single-session anomaly
  • +Buy pressure at 56.4% ($17,125 buy volume vs. $13,263 sell volume over 24h) shows net capital inflow
  • +Smart money presence is significant: top profitable trader 0x769252 has realized +$1,278,359 (+21%) over 8,821 trades, indicating deep, experienced participation in this token
  • +Token is 68.8 months old with a verified contract and established exchange listings (Bitfinex, Gate.io hold 7.12% and 3.86% respectively), providing credibility and liquidity anchors
  • +Price at only 34% of its 88-day range leaves substantial room before the period high of $0.001375 is tested
Bearish Factors
  • -Holder trajectory is declining over 31 days (net -62 holders), meaning the rally is not yet attracting new participants — a divergence that historically precedes reversals
  • -Dumpable supply of 29.2% (six individual whales holding 3.26%–6.63% each) creates meaningful sell-side overhang if any single whale decides to exit
  • -Total liquidity of only $88,682 is shallow; a single whale exit of even 1% of supply could cause severe slippage and price dislocation
  • -Security score of 62/100 is below the threshold most institutional participants require, limiting the buyer universe
  • -The most recent notable trades are all sells of ~$395 by a single wallet (0x20011f), suggesting at least one active seller is systematically distributing

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

eXRD call history

Full track record →
Jul 24bullish
24h+19.1%
7d-3.7%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x6468...9414
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Whale exit risk: six individual wallets hold 29.2% of dumpable supply, two of which have zero cost basis from market purchases — any coordinated or panic-driven exit into the shallow $88.7K liquidity pool would cause catastrophic price impact
•Declining holder base: the 31-day net loss of 62 holders during a price rally suggests the token is not attracting new participants, which limits the sustainability of the current uptrend and increases reliance on existing holders to maintain price
•Shallow liquidity amplification: the 34% volume-to-liquidity ratio means the current price is highly sensitive to order flow; the +20.9% single-day move may partially reflect thin-pool price amplification rather than genuine demand, making a sharp reversal equally possible

Trading Insight

bullish

Trading sentiment is moderately bullish with buy pressure at 56.4% and buy transactions outnumbering sells 132 to 73 over 24 hours. However, the extremely low unique buyer count — only 7 unique buyers driving 132 buy transactions — reveals that a handful of wallets are responsible for the bulk of buy-side volume, which is a concentration risk for the rally's sustainability.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The daily OHLC series shows eXRD trading in a tight range between $0.00083–$0.00091 for the majority of the 88-day window before the most recent close at $0.001006 — a sharp breakout representing roughly a 17% gap above the prior consolidation ceiling. Both the 7-day (+13.4%) and 30-day (+6.0%) returns confirm the uptrend is multi-timeframe, not a single-session anomaly. The price sitting at 34% of the period range ($0.0008129–$0.001375) means the breakout has room to extend before encountering the major resistance at $0.001375.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A +20.9% single-day move following a prolonged consolidation period is a strong momentum signal, but it also places the token in short-term overbought territory relative to its recent trading range. Daily volatility of 3.3% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a micro-cap token, but the most recent candle represents a ~6-sigma move relative to that baseline, suggesting mean-reversion risk in the immediate term before the trend can resume.

Volume Analysis

Buy 56.4%Sell 43.6%

Volume Trend: Increasing

The 24-hour volume of ~$30,388 is elevated relative to the token's typical liquidity depth of ~$88,682, producing a volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~34%. This is consistent with a breakout event. The buy/sell volume split ($17,125 vs. $13,263) confirms net buying pressure is driving the move rather than short covering or wash trading alone.

Recent Price Action

Extended consolidation breakout: the token traded in a narrow band of $0.00083–$0.00091 for approximately 13 consecutive daily sessions before the most recent close at $0.001006, which is a clean break above the consolidation ceiling.

Consolidation breakouts following extended low-volatility periods often signal the beginning of a new directional leg. The key test is whether the price can hold above the immediate support at $0.0009134 on any pullback — a successful retest of that level as support would confirm the breakout's validity.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0009134
Major$0.0008129
Resistance
Immediate$0.001017
Major$0.001375

The immediate support at $0.0009134 represents the top of the prior consolidation range and is the most critical level to hold on any pullback — a close below it would invalidate the breakout. Major support at $0.0008129 is the 88-day period low and a structural floor. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.001017 is the first meaningful ceiling; clearing it opens the path to the major resistance at $0.001375, which is the 88-day period high and would represent a ~37% gain from current levels.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders13,651
24h Change+3
Growth Rate+0.022%

Despite the 24-hour addition of 3 holders, the 31-day trajectory tells a different story: a net loss of 62 holders from 13,584 to 13,522 over the month. This declining holder base during a price rally is a notable divergence — it suggests the price move is being driven by existing holders trading among themselves rather than new capital entering the ecosystem. Sustained price appreciation typically requires holder base expansion to confirm organic demand.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders43%
Top 100 Holders78%
Retail Holders22.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

The top 10 holders control 43% of supply, which appears alarming in isolation, but classification reveals that Bitfinex (7.12%) and Gate.io (3.86%) are exchange custodial wallets, and two protocol/contract addresses hold a combined 9.69% — none of these are dumpable. The genuine dumpable supply from individual whales is 29.2%, which is a medium concentration risk. Retail holders control only ~22% of supply, meaning the token's price is highly sensitive to the behavior of a small number of large wallets.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

The most recent notable on-chain trades are six consecutive sells of approximately $395 each by wallet 0x20011f, totaling roughly $2,370 in systematic distribution. No large buy-side whale transactions appear in the recent trade data.

  • •0x20011f executed at least six sell transactions of ~$395 each in rapid succession, suggesting algorithmic or systematic distribution totaling ~$2,370
  • •No large individual buy transactions appear in the notable recent trades data, meaning the buy-side volume is fragmented across many small transactions

The whale wallet data reveals a passive holder base: the two largest individual whales (0x74dec0 at 6.63% and 0x9642b2 at 4.23%) both received their positions via transfer/airdrop with no DEX swap history, meaning they have zero cost basis from market purchases and face no psychological resistance to selling at any price. The only active recent whale behavior is selling by 0x20011f. This combination — passive large holders with free-carry positions and an active systematic seller — creates asymmetric downside risk if sentiment shifts.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
High
Profit-Taking Risk:
Medium

Multiple smart money wallets have accumulated substantial realized profits: 0x769252 (+$1,278,359 at +21% over 8,821 trades), 0x9c85ff (+$888,800 at +89% over 65 trades), 0x2a0eff (+$669,052 at +18% over 5,089 trades), 0x000000 (+$663,759 at +9% over 942 trades), 0x361c1e (+$458,624 at +37% over 42 trades), and 0x6219e4 (+$303,785 at +234% over just 8 trades). These are real realized gains, not unrealized paper profits.

The smart money profile for eXRD is unusually strong for a token at this market cap. Six wallets have collectively realized over $4.36M in profits from trading this token, with return rates ranging from +9% to +234%. The high-frequency traders (0x769252 with 8,821 trades, 0x2a0eff with 5,089 trades) suggest this token has been a sustained source of alpha for algorithmic traders over its 68.8-month life. The presence of active, profitable smart money is a positive signal for price discovery quality, but also means these wallets are capable of rapid position changes that could accelerate moves in either direction.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$88,682
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

A liquidity pool of $88,682 for a token with a $696K market cap represents a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of approximately 12.7%, which is thin. Any single trade above ~$5,000–$8,000 would likely cause meaningful price impact. The 24-hour volume of ~$30,388 represents 34% of total pool liquidity, which is an extremely high turnover rate that amplifies both upside and downside price moves. Investors should assume significant slippage on any position larger than a few hundred dollars and treat the current price as highly sensitive to order flow.

Overall Risk:
High
68/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily volatility of 3.3% (standard deviation of daily returns) is elevated, and the most recent session's +20.9% move represents an extreme outlier relative to that baseline. The 88-day range of $0.0008129–$0.001375 spans a 69% spread, confirming that large drawdowns are a regular feature of this token's price history.

Liquidity
High

Total pool liquidity of $88,682 is shallow for a $696K market cap token. The 34% volume-to-liquidity ratio over 24 hours confirms the pool is under significant stress. Any position above a few hundred dollars will face meaningful slippage, and a coordinated whale exit could drain the pool rapidly.

Concentration
Medium

Dumpable supply of 29.2% across six individual whales is the genuine concentration risk figure after excluding exchange custodial wallets and protocol contracts. Two of the largest whales (6.63% and 4.23%) acquired their positions via transfer/airdrop at zero market cost, meaning they face no loss threshold and could sell at any price.

Smart Contract
Medium

The 62/100 security score and bridge/wrapper architecture introduce smart contract risk. However, the verified contract and 68.8-month incident-free history partially mitigate this. The dual-chain nature (Ethereum + Radix bridge) doubles the attack surface compared to a native token.

Regulatory
Medium

As a utility token for a Layer-1 blockchain platform, eXRD faces the same regulatory uncertainty as other crypto assets in major jurisdictions. Its classification as a utility token and its established project history provide some protection, but cross-chain bridge tokens may attract additional regulatory scrutiny as DeFi regulation evolves.

Key Risks

  • •Whale exit risk: six individual wallets hold 29.2% of dumpable supply, two of which have zero cost basis from market purchases — any coordinated or panic-driven exit into the shallow $88.7K liquidity pool would cause catastrophic price impact
  • •Declining holder base: the 31-day net loss of 62 holders during a price rally suggests the token is not attracting new participants, which limits the sustainability of the current uptrend and increases reliance on existing holders to maintain price
  • •Shallow liquidity amplification: the 34% volume-to-liquidity ratio means the current price is highly sensitive to order flow; the +20.9% single-day move may partially reflect thin-pool price amplification rather than genuine demand, making a sharp reversal equally possible

Mitigating Factors

  • •Token age of 68.8 months with no reported exploits provides meaningful evidence of contract stability and project continuity
  • •Strong smart money presence with over $4.36M in collective realized profits across six wallets suggests the token has sustained genuine trading alpha and is not a pure pump-and-dump vehicle

Investor Suitability

eXRD is suitable only for experienced cryptocurrency traders who understand bridge token mechanics, are comfortable with high volatility and thin liquidity, and can actively monitor positions. It is not appropriate for passive investors, risk-averse participants, or those without a deep understanding of the Radix ecosystem's fundamentals. Position sizes should be small relative to total portfolio given the liquidity constraints.

eXRD presents a speculative opportunity in a confirmed short-to-medium-term uptrend, backed by smart money participation and a clean breakout from a prolonged consolidation. The primary risks are thin liquidity, a declining holder base, and significant dumpable whale supply — factors that could rapidly reverse gains if sentiment shifts.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

The breakout above the $0.00091 consolidation ceiling holds, with the price clearing immediate resistance at $0.001017 and trending toward the major resistance at $0.001375 over 30–60 days. This would be driven by renewed interest in the Radix ecosystem, smart money accumulation, and broader Layer-1 sector momentum attracting new holders to reverse the declining trajectory.

  • +Sustained buy pressure above 56% with the price holding the immediate support at $0.0009134 on any pullback, confirming the breakout
  • +Radix platform catalysts (ecosystem growth, dApp launches, or bridge improvements) driving demand for eXRD as the EVM-accessible XRD proxy
Base Case

eXRD consolidates in the $0.00091–$0.001017 range over the next 30 days, digesting the breakout move. The holder base stabilizes rather than declining further, and the token gradually tests the immediate resistance at $0.001017 multiple times before either breaking through or retreating to major support at $0.0008129.

  • •No major whale exits into the thin liquidity pool during the consolidation period
  • •The Radix ecosystem maintains its current level of activity without a significant negative catalyst
Bear Case
Medium

The +20.9% single-day move proves to be a thin-liquidity spike driven by a small number of buyers (only 7 unique buyers in 24h). Whale wallets with zero cost basis begin distributing into the elevated price, the holder base continues declining, and the price retraces to the major support at $0.0008129 — a ~19% drawdown from current levels.

  • -Systematic selling by whale wallets with zero-cost-basis positions (0x74dec0 at 6.63%, 0x9642b2 at 4.23%) into the shallow liquidity pool
  • -Failure to attract new holders (continuing the 31-day declining trajectory) leaving the price dependent on a shrinking base of existing participants

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 24, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$0.001005827482718131
Market Cap$696.4K
24h Volume$30.4K
Holders13,651
Liquidity$88.7K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v2 swap history)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Daily OHLC price history (88-day window)
Smart contract security assessment
Whale wallet forensics and DEX swap history
Smart money realized PnL data
31-day holder trajectory timeseries

Limitations

  • •90-day price return is unavailable, limiting the full multi-timeframe trend picture to 7-day and 30-day windows only
  • •The extremely low unique buyer count (7 in 24h) makes it difficult to distinguish genuine organic demand from bot activity or wash trading, reducing confidence in volume-based signals
  • •Bridge/wrapper token dynamics mean eXRD price is also influenced by the Radix native chain (XRD) and bridge mechanics that are not captured in this Ethereum on-chain data alone

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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