HTX

HTX Price Today & AI Analysis

HTX
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 9, 2026

$0.051329

-21.11%24h
LiveContract:0x61ec85ab89377db65762e234c946b5c25a56e99eChain:EthereumHolders:1.1KMarket cap:$1.19BLiquidity:$1.33M

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Ask Unhosted AI about HTX

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 9, 2026, 02:31 AM UTC
Market Cap

$1.19B

24h Volume

$2.67K

Liquidity

$1.33M

FDV

—

Holders

1.1K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

HTX is the governance token of HTX DAO on Ethereum, a 33.4-month-old project that grants holders voting rights over DAO proposals. Despite a reported market cap figure of over $1.1B, the fully diluted valuation of $2.78M and the token's micro-price of $0.00000133 reveal a stark disconnect that warrants scrutiny. The token is in a confirmed multi-timeframe downtrend (-14.1% over 7 days, -24.0% over 30 days), with price now at the floor of its 90-day range. Trading activity is extremely thin — just 20 transactions and under $2,700 in volume over 24 hours — raising serious questions about real market depth and organic demand.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 9, 2026, 02:31 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
Governance token for HTX DAO with on-chain voting and delegation rights
Extreme discrepancy between the reported market cap (~$1.19B) and the fully diluted valuation (~$2.78M), suggesting a data anomaly or circulating supply misreporting
33.4 months of on-chain history provides a longer track record than most micro-cap tokens, though sustained price decline undermines this longevity

HTX AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

HTX is in a sharp short-term downtrend, with the 7-day decline of -14.1% accelerating into the current session. The price now sits at the absolute bottom of its 90-day range ($0.000001329 low — $0.000001826 high), meaning there is no OHLC-derived support below the current level. Until buyers defend this floor convincingly, the path of least resistance remains downward.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

The 30-day decline of -24.0% and 90-day decline of -20.7% confirm a sustained downtrend rather than a short-term correction. The price has progressively made lower closes over the most recent 14 daily candles, with only a brief bounce to $0.000001710 failing to hold. Without a structural reversal signal, the medium-term outlook remains bearish.

Bullish Factors
  • +Buy pressure accounts for 58.2% of 24-hour volume ($1,550 buys vs $1,115 sells), suggesting marginal net buying interest even during the decline
  • +The token has maintained $1.33M in liquidity on Uniswap despite a prolonged downtrend, indicating the pool has not been drained by insiders
Bearish Factors
  • -Price sits at 0% of its 90-day range, meaning it has retraced to the lowest point seen over the entire period with no OHLC support below
  • -The 7-day decline of -14.1% is accelerating relative to the 90-day decline of -20.7%, indicating selling pressure is intensifying rather than exhausting
  • -With only 20 total transactions in 24 hours and $2,665 in combined volume, there is insufficient buying depth to absorb even modest sell pressure

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

HTX call history

Full track record →
Sep 9bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x61ec...e99e
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Extreme holder concentration (80.6% in top 10 wallets) combined with unavailable per-wallet data means the risk of a coordinated large-holder exit cannot be quantified or ruled out
•The token is at its 90-day price floor with no OHLC-derived support below $0.000001329, meaning any continuation of the downtrend enters uncharted territory with no technical floor
•The reported market cap of ~$1.19B versus FDV of ~$2.78M represents a severe data anomaly that could indicate misreported supply data, which undermines confidence in all valuation metrics

Trading Insight

bearish

Despite buy transactions outnumbering sells 16 to 4 over 24 hours, the absolute volume is negligible — $2,665 total — meaning the apparent buy dominance reflects retail curiosity rather than institutional conviction. The token is experiencing a significant price decline that is not being absorbed by meaningful buy-side demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

All three trend windows are negative: -14.1% over 7 days, -24.0% over 30 days, and -20.7% over 90 days. The daily close sequence over the most recent 14 sessions shows a clear deterioration from $0.000001625 to $0.000001329, with a failed recovery attempt peaking at $0.000001710 before resuming the decline. Both short and medium-term trends are unambiguously bearish.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

With price sitting at 0% of its 90-day range (at the absolute low of $0.000001329) and a -21.1% single-day decline, momentum indicators would register deeply oversold conditions. However, in a low-liquidity environment, oversold readings can persist for extended periods without triggering a meaningful bounce, as there is insufficient buy-side depth to catalyze a reversal.

Volume Analysis

Buy 58.2%Sell 41.8%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

The 24-hour combined volume of $2,665 is critically thin for a token with $1.33M in liquidity. The buy-to-sell volume ratio of 58.2% to 41.8% shows marginal net buying, but the absolute dollar amounts are too small to signal genuine accumulation. Volume is insufficient to support reliable technical analysis and suggests the token is largely dormant in terms of active trading.

Recent Price Action

The 14-session daily close sequence shows an initial consolidation around $0.000001630-$0.000001660, followed by a breakdown to $0.000001427, a sharp recovery to $0.000001710, and then a sustained collapse to the current 90-day low of $0.000001329. This failed recovery pattern — where a bounce to $0.000001710 was fully reversed — is a bearish continuation signal.

A failed recovery that gives back all gains and sets a new range low is a classic bearish continuation pattern. It indicates that sellers are using rallies as exit opportunities rather than buyers stepping in to establish a floor, which typically precedes further downside.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000001329
Major$0.000001329
Resistance
Immediate$0.000001482
Major$0.000001826

Both immediate and major support converge at $0.000001329, which is the current price and the 90-day range low — there is no OHLC-derived support below this level. Immediate resistance at $0.000001482 represents the most recent swing low before the final leg down, making it the first level sellers would likely defend on any bounce. Major resistance at $0.000001826 is the 90-day range high and would represent a full recovery of recent losses — a distant target given current momentum.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily volatility of 3.0% (standard deviation of daily returns) combined with a -21.1% single-session move and a -24.0% 30-day decline confirms high volatility. In a thin liquidity environment, this volatility is amplified — small sell orders can produce outsized price drops.

Liquidity
High

While $1.33M in pool liquidity appears adequate on paper, the 24-hour trading volume of only $2,665 represents a 0.2% turnover ratio. This means the liquidity is largely theoretical — any attempt to exit a meaningful position would face severe slippage, and the pool could be drained rapidly if a large holder decides to sell.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 80.6% of supply across only 1,094 total holders. Per-wallet data is unavailable, so it cannot be determined how much of this concentration is held by protocol contracts or exchange wallets versus dumpable individual wallets. Given this uncertainty, concentration risk must be rated high.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract security data is available on this chain's data provider. This rating of medium is an uninformed default — it does not reflect an actual assessment of the contract code, audit status, or known vulnerabilities.

Regulatory
Medium

As a DAO governance token, HTX may face regulatory scrutiny in jurisdictions that classify governance tokens as securities. The association with the HTX name (shared with the Huobi/HTX exchange brand) could attract additional regulatory attention, though the relationship between this contract and the exchange is not confirmed by the available data.

Key Risks

  • •Extreme holder concentration (80.6% in top 10 wallets) combined with unavailable per-wallet data means the risk of a coordinated large-holder exit cannot be quantified or ruled out
  • •The token is at its 90-day price floor with no OHLC-derived support below $0.000001329, meaning any continuation of the downtrend enters uncharted territory with no technical floor
  • •The reported market cap of ~$1.19B versus FDV of ~$2.78M represents a severe data anomaly that could indicate misreported supply data, which undermines confidence in all valuation metrics

Mitigating Factors

  • •The token has survived 33.4 months on-chain without an apparent rug pull, and the Uniswap liquidity pool remains intact despite the sustained price decline
  • •Marginal net buy pressure (58.2% of 24h volume) suggests some participants are still willing to accumulate at current price levels

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand the risks of micro-cap, illiquid governance tokens in sustained downtrends. It is not appropriate for investors seeking capital preservation, reliable liquidity, or tokens with verified fundamentals. Any position sizing must account for the near-zero liquidity in practical trading terms.

HTX DAO's governance token presents a deeply challenged investment case: a 33.4-month-old project with a tiny holder base, extreme supply concentration, critically thin trading volume, and a confirmed multi-timeframe downtrend. The governance utility is real but undermined by the lack of broad adoption and the absence of verifiable on-chain governance activity data.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

HTX DAO launches a significant governance initiative or partnership that drives new holder acquisition and trading volume. The token's 33-month survival and intact liquidity pool provide a foundation for recovery if genuine utility demand emerges. A recovery to the immediate resistance at $0.000001482 would represent an 11.5% gain from current levels.

  • +A high-profile HTX DAO governance proposal that attracts media attention and new participants
  • +Broader Ethereum DAO governance sector rotation bringing new capital into governance tokens
Base Case

HTX continues to trade at or near its current 90-day lows with minimal volume and no significant catalysts. The token remains technically alive but functionally dormant, with price grinding lower or consolidating at depressed levels as the small holder base remains inactive.

  • •No major governance catalysts or exchange listings emerge in the near term
  • •The concentrated holder base remains largely inactive, preventing both a sharp recovery and a catastrophic sell-off
Bear Case
High

The sustained downtrend continues as the token fails to attract new holders or trading volume. With price already at the 90-day floor and no OHLC support below, further decline would set new multi-year lows. The concentrated holder base could accelerate selling if large holders decide to exit the illiquid pool.

  • -Continued absence of meaningful trading volume and governance activity leads to further holder attrition
  • -A large concentrated holder exiting through the thin $1.33M liquidity pool causes a cascading price collapse

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 9, 2026, 02:31 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.00000132881466698
Market Cap$1.19B
24h Volume$2.7K
Holders1,094
Liquidity$1.33M

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder growth history, size-tier distribution, and individual wallet data were unavailable for this chain — concentration risk and whale behavior assessments are based solely on aggregate figures
  • •Whale transaction data and smart-money cohort data were unavailable — no specific large-wallet movements or profitable-trader positions could be analyzed
  • •Contract security data is not available on this chain's data provider — smart contract risk could not be technically assessed
  • •The reported market cap figure (~$1.19B) appears inconsistent with the FDV (~$2.78M) and current price, suggesting a data provider anomaly that limits valuation analysis reliability
  • •Launch allocation and deployer wallet forensics were unavailable — the fairness of the initial token distribution and deployer intent cannot be verified

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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