LSK

Lisk Price Today & AI Analysis

LSKEthereumAnalysis as of Aug 11, 2026

Price

$0.3426

-7.42% 24h

Contract

Live
0x6033f7f88332b8db6ad452b7c6d5bb643990ae3f

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

3.3K

Market cap

$79.85M

Liquidity

$257.76K

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Lisk: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-11 22:15 UTC

Holder addresses

2,242

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Lisk ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 2,242 addresses (2026-08-11 22:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Lisk?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Lisk liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-11 22:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 11, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$21.45M

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

—

FDV

—

Holders

2,242

24h

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

Lisk (LSK) is a 26.9-month-old ERC-20 utility token operating as an optimistic rollup built on the OP Stack, targeting developer adoption in high-growth emerging markets including Africa and Southeast Asia. At a market cap of $21.4M against a fully diluted valuation of $36.8M, the token trades at a meaningful discount to its FDV, though circulating supply equals total supply (400M tokens), so there is no future dilution risk from unlocks. The token has experienced a sharp 7-day recovery of +27.2% but remains down -29.1% over 90 days, sitting at just 33% of its 90-day range. With only 2,242 holders, near-zero retail supply ownership, and 78% of supply in a single protocol contract, LSK is a high-concentration, low-liquidity asset suited only for investors with high risk tolerance and conviction in the Lisk ecosystem thesis.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 11, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • OP Stack-based optimistic rollup with a specific geographic focus on Africa and Southeast Asia — a differentiated go-to-market versus generic L2 competitors
  • Circulating supply equals total supply (400M/400M), eliminating future token unlock dilution as a price headwind
  • Human-centered accelerator and incubation programs as a developer acquisition strategy, distinguishing Lisk from purely technical L2 infrastructure plays

Lisk AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

LSK has surged 27.2% over the past 7 days, with the daily close series showing a clear staircase recovery from $0.0718 to $0.0920 — a sustained multi-day move, not a single-candle spike. Price currently sits at 33% of the 90-day range ($0.07–$0.137), meaning there is meaningful room to the upside before hitting major resistance. The immediate support at $0.08721 now acts as a floor for any short-term pullback.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the recent 7-day bounce, the 90-day trend remains deeply negative at -29.1%, and price at $0.0920 is still well below the 90-day midpoint of ~$0.1035. The 30-day gain of only +3.9% confirms the broader trend is a slow bleed interrupted by a sharp short-term rally, which historically resolves back toward the dominant trend. A failure to break and hold above the $0.1042 immediate resistance would confirm the medium-term downtrend remains intact.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price gain of +27.2% backed by a consistent 14-session upward close sequence from $0.0718 to $0.0920, indicating genuine buying momentum rather than a single-day anomaly
  • Dumpable supply is only 6.7% of total supply — the four individual whale wallets (2.58%, 1.62%, 0.80%, 0.53%) represent limited sell-side overhang relative to the total float
  • Smart money wallet 0xb1b2d0 has realized +$94,243 (+183%) across 126 trades, demonstrating that informed, high-frequency participants have found consistent alpha in this token
  • 78.01% of supply locked in a protocol/contract and an additional ~6.76% in exchange/protocol contracts means the effective free float is tightly constrained, amplifying price moves on modest buy pressure

Bearish Factors

  • The 90-day trend is -29.1%, establishing a dominant downtrend that the current 7-day bounce has not yet reversed — price at $0.0920 remains 33% below the 90-day high of $0.1370
  • Total holder count is only 2,242 with near-zero retail supply ownership (~0.0%), indicating extremely thin organic demand and high sensitivity to any whale distribution
  • 30-day holder growth of only 19 wallets (+0.85%) signals negligible new capital entering the ecosystem, undermining the sustainability of the recent price rally
  • Security score of 54/100 is below the midpoint, flagging unresolved contract-level risks that may deter institutional or risk-aware capital

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x6033...ae3f
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Zero-cost-basis whale positions: both 0xa783d2 (2.58%) and 0xbbc1c6 (1.62%) received their holdings via transfer with no DEX purchase history, creating latent sell pressure with no loss-aversion floor — any price above zero is profitable for them
  • Dominant 90-day downtrend of -29.1% has not been reversed by the current 7-day rally; price at $0.0920 remains 33% below the 90-day high, and failure to break $0.1042 resistance would confirm the bear trend is intact
  • Extremely thin holder base of 2,242 with near-zero retail supply ownership means price discovery is controlled by a handful of non-retail participants, making the token highly susceptible to coordinated moves in either direction

Trading Insight

bearish

Recent on-chain swap activity skews toward selling, with three sell transactions from wallet 0x2002cf totaling ~$2,998 against two buy transactions totaling ~$3,627 — a modest net buy in dollar terms but a 3:2 sell-to-buy transaction ratio. The largest single recent trade was a $3,382 sell by 0x415ea3, who subsequently re-entered with a $1,375 buy, suggesting tactical profit-taking rather than outright distribution.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The 14-session daily close sequence from $0.07178 to $0.09202 is an unambiguous short-term uptrend, with each session broadly higher than the last and the final candle ($0.09202) representing the highest close in the visible series. However, the 90-day return of -29.1% and the price sitting at only 33% of the 90-day range ($0.07–$0.137) confirm the medium-term structure remains bearish. The short-term rally is occurring within a larger downtrend, which is the dominant context.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Daily volatility of 3.6% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a small-cap token, indicating the recent rally has been steady rather than parabolic. Price at $0.0920 is approaching the immediate resistance at $0.1042 — a level that will test whether momentum can sustain. The absence of an extreme spike in the close series suggests momentum is building organically rather than being driven by a single large event.

Volume Analysis

Buy

40%

Sell

60%

Volume Trend

Stable

Granular 24-hour volume data is not provided in the dataset. The notable recent trades are small in absolute dollar terms (largest is $3,382), consistent with a low-liquidity token at a $21.4M market cap. The swap-based holder count of 457 versus 1,780 transfer-based holders confirms that DEX trading activity is structurally limited.

Recent Price Action

Sustained 14-session recovery from the $0.07 range low, with the price accelerating in the final session to close at $0.09202 — a breakout above the prior consolidation band of $0.072–$0.078.

A multi-session staircase recovery with an accelerating final candle often signals genuine demand absorption of prior sell pressure. However, in the context of a 90-day downtrend, this pattern frequently resolves as a relief rally that fades once it encounters the next resistance level ($0.1042).

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.08721

Major support

$0.07000

Immediate resistance

$0.1042

Major resistance

$0.1370

The $0.08721 immediate support represents the nearest OHLC swing low and is the first line of defense on any pullback from the current $0.0920 price — a breach would signal the rally has failed. The $0.07000 major support is the 90-day range low and a critical structural floor; a close below it would establish a new multi-month low. On the upside, $0.1042 is the immediate resistance that must be cleared to validate the short-term uptrend, while $0.1370 is the 90-day high and the level that would need to be reclaimed to declare a full medium-term trend reversal.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityMedium

    Daily volatility of 3.6% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a small-cap token. The 90-day range of $0.07–$0.137 represents a 96% spread from low to high, indicating significant price swings are normal for LSK. The 27.2% 7-day gain and -29.1% 90-day loss illustrate the magnitude of moves investors must be prepared to absorb.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a Layer 2 utility token operating across multiple blockchain networks with a focus on emerging markets, LSK faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to most utility tokens. The cross-chain interoperability focus may attract additional scrutiny in jurisdictions with strict crypto regulations, particularly as the token operates on Ethereum mainnet.

Key Risks

  • Zero-cost-basis whale positions: both 0xa783d2 (2.58%) and 0xbbc1c6 (1.62%) received their holdings via transfer with no DEX purchase history, creating latent sell pressure with no loss-aversion floor — any price above zero is profitable for them
  • Dominant 90-day downtrend of -29.1% has not been reversed by the current 7-day rally; price at $0.0920 remains 33% below the 90-day high, and failure to break $0.1042 resistance would confirm the bear trend is intact
  • Extremely thin holder base of 2,242 with near-zero retail supply ownership means price discovery is controlled by a handful of non-retail participants, making the token highly susceptible to coordinated moves in either direction

Mitigating Factors

  • Circulating supply equals total supply (400M/400M), eliminating future token unlock events as a source of scheduled sell pressure
  • The 78.01% protocol/contract holding and additional protocol/exchange allocations mean only 6.7% of supply is genuinely dumpable, limiting the maximum theoretical sell-side impact from whale distribution

Investor Suitability

LSK is suitable only for high-risk-tolerance investors with specific conviction in the Lisk ecosystem thesis (OP Stack L2, emerging market developer adoption) and the ability to absorb -30% to -50% drawdowns. It is not appropriate for capital preservation strategies, risk-averse investors, or those requiring meaningful liquidity for position exits.

Lisk presents a differentiated L2 thesis centered on emerging market developer adoption, but the investment case is currently undermined by a dominant 90-day downtrend, a near-zero retail holder base, and shallow liquidity. The short-term technical picture is constructive, but medium-term conviction requires evidence of ecosystem growth that the current on-chain data does not yet provide.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The 7-day rally of +27.2% marks the beginning of a genuine trend reversal as Lisk's accelerator programs in Africa and Southeast Asia begin converting developer activity into on-chain demand. A sustained break above $0.1042 draws new holders, the dumpable whale supply is absorbed, and price recovers toward the $0.1370 major resistance — representing a ~49% gain from current levels.

  • Sustained break and hold above the $0.1042 immediate resistance, converting it to support and invalidating the medium-term downtrend
  • Measurable growth in Lisk ecosystem developer activity and on-chain transactions on the OP Stack rollup, driving new holder acquisition beyond the current 2,242

Base Case

LSK consolidates in the $0.08721–$0.1042 range defined by its immediate support and resistance levels, with the short-term uptrend gradually losing momentum as it encounters resistance. Price action remains choppy and range-bound over the next 30–90 days, with direction ultimately determined by whether the Lisk ecosystem can demonstrate measurable on-chain growth.

  • The $0.08721 immediate support holds on any pullback, preventing a retest of the $0.07000 major support
  • Ecosystem development activity continues but does not yet produce a step-change in holder growth or trading volume sufficient to break the medium-term downtrend

Bear Case

Medium probability

The current 7-day rally fails at the $0.1042 immediate resistance, confirming it as a bear-market bounce within the dominant -29.1% 90-day downtrend. Fragmented sell activity from wallets like 0x2002cf continues, zero-cost-basis whale wallets begin distributing, and price retraces to retest the $0.07000 major support — a -24% decline from current levels.

  • Failure to break $0.1042 resistance with the dominant 90-day downtrend reasserting itself
  • Continued negligible holder growth (sub-1% monthly) signaling insufficient new demand to sustain the rally against existing sell pressure

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 11, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-11 22:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$Unknown

Market Cap

$21.45M

24h Volume

$0

Holders

2,242

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

On-chain holder distribution analytics (Moralis)Daily OHLC price history (90-day window)Smart contract security assessmentNotable recent DEX swap transactionsWhale wallet forensics and acquisition method analysisSmart money realized PnL dataToken fundamentals and project description

Limitations

  • Granular 24-hour trading volume and DEX liquidity pool depth data were not available, limiting precision in liquidity and volume trend analysis
  • The nature of the 78.01% protocol/contract holding (staking, bridge, treasury, or vesting) is unconfirmed — this is a material unknown that significantly affects the true circulating supply and sell-pressure assessment
  • Holder size bucket thresholds (whale, shark, dolphin, fish, octopus) are Moralis-defined relative tiers with unpublished exact thresholds; dollar-value interpretations of these tiers are not possible

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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