GINNAN

Ginnan Price Today & AI Analysis

GINNAN
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 26, 2026

$0.074772

+0.00%24h
LiveContract:0x50d7ee9708fec39673c92e1aae048eb3685eea9bChain:EthereumHolders:1.1KMarket cap:$47.72KLiquidity:$15.79K

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Ask Unhosted AI about GINNAN

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 26, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC
Market Cap

$191.91K

24h Volume

$183.37K

Liquidity

$54.67K

FDV

—

Holders

1.2K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

GINNAN is a 31.3-month-old Ethereum ERC-20 meme token with a $191,907 market cap that has experienced a dramatic price surge of +769% over the past 7 days, driven by community momentum rather than any fundamental development. The token trades exclusively on Uniswap v2 with $54,665 in liquidity, a holder base of 1,219 wallets growing at an accelerating pace, and a security score of 52/100 — reflecting meaningful but not catastrophic contract risk. Nine individual whale wallets collectively hold 27.9% of dumpable supply, posing a real exit-liquidity risk given the shallow liquidity pool. The project's claim of being 'the very first ERC-20 on Ethereum' is factually incorrect, which investors should weigh when evaluating the narrative.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 26, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bullish
Sustained multi-week price appreciation (+355% over 30d) distinguishes this from a purely single-session pump, suggesting some degree of community staying power
Smart money activity is verifiable and substantial — six profitable traders have collectively realized tens of thousands of dollars in gains across repeated trades
Holder growth trajectory is accelerating (889→1,041 over 31 days) despite the token being over 2.5 years old, indicating a renewed narrative cycle rather than a new launch pump

Ginnan AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

GINNAN has surged +769% over the past 7 days and +355% over 30 days, with the current price sitting at 70% of its 34-day range — indicating strong momentum but not yet at peak exhaustion. The 4h and 24h transaction counts are identical (297 buys, 186 sells), suggesting the bulk of today's activity compressed into a single explosive session, which is consistent with a viral meme-token pump. Buy pressure at 54.8% and net inflow of ~$17,700 in 24h volume support continued near-term upside, though the 127.6% daily volatility means sharp reversals are equally possible.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day holder trajectory shows accelerating growth from 889 to 1,041 wallets (+152 net), and smart money traders have booked realized gains ranging from +87% to +1,277% across 3–18 trades each, confirming that informed participants have been actively profiting — not just holding. If the token sustains community momentum and avoids a coordinated whale exit from the 27.9% dumpable supply, the medium-term trend remains constructive. However, the absence of 90-day OHLC data and the meme-token classification mean this outlook is highly contingent on social narrative rather than fundamental catalysts.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price gain of +769.1% and 30-day gain of +355.1% confirm a sustained multi-week uptrend, not a single-day spike
  • +Holder base grew from 889 to 1,041 over 31 days with accelerating pace, indicating genuine community expansion
  • +Six smart money wallets have collectively booked significant realized PnL (e.g., 0xf679c6 +$36,833 at +1,181%), signalling that informed traders have found this token worth trading repeatedly
  • +Buy pressure at 54.8% with $100,536 in buy volume vs. $82,837 in sell volume over 24h shows net capital inflow
  • +Current price at 70% of the 34-day range leaves room to test the $2.842e-7 resistance before hitting a new high
Bearish Factors
  • -Daily return volatility of 127.6% means the token can lose the majority of its value in a single session — the same force driving gains can reverse them instantly
  • -27.9% of supply is held by nine individual whale wallets with no protocol or exchange classification, representing genuine dumpable risk at any price level
  • -Whale wallet 0xd65687 (2.85% of supply) was first active on 2026-06-12 and acquired its position via transfer/airdrop with no indexed DEX swaps — a strong insider-allocation signal that raises exit risk
  • -Security score of 52/100 is below the midpoint, and the project description's claim of being 'the very first deployed ERC20 token on Ethereum' is factually false, which undermines credibility
  • -The 34-day OHLC shows 13 consecutive daily closes clustered between $2.1e-8 and $2.6e-8 before a single-day spike to $2.048e-7 — this parabolic single-candle move is a classic pump pattern with elevated mean-reversion risk

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

GINNAN call history

Full track record →
Jul 26bullish
24h-73.1%
7d-68.3%
30d-67.7%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x50d7...ea9b
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Whale exit risk: Nine individual wallets hold 27.9% of dumpable supply, with at least one (0x9f3095) sitting on an approximately 6x unrealized gain from its avg buy of $3.326e-8 — a single large exit into $54,665 of liquidity would cause catastrophic slippage
•Pump-and-dump pattern: The 13-session flat consolidation followed by a single-candle 8x breakout, with all 24h trading compressed into a 4-hour window, matches classic pump-and-dump mechanics — the dump phase has not yet occurred
•Insider allocation: Whale 0xd65687 (2.85% of supply) received its position via transfer/airdrop with no DEX swap history and a wallet first active on 2026-06-12, suggesting insider distribution that bypassed the open market

Trading Insight

bullish

Market sentiment is moderately bullish with buy pressure at 54.8% and 142 unique buyers versus 115 unique sellers in 24 hours, reflecting broader participation on the buy side. The identical 4h and 24h transaction counts confirm that virtually all trading activity occurred within a compressed 4-hour window, consistent with a coordinated or viral pump event rather than organic steady accumulation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

Both the 7-day (+769.1%) and 30-day (+355.1%) price changes confirm a strong multi-timeframe uptrend. The daily OHLC shows 13 sessions of tight consolidation between $2.1e-8 and $2.6e-8 followed by a single explosive close at $2.048e-7 — a breakout candle of roughly 8x the prior range. The current price at 70% of the 34-day range indicates the move has room to test the $2.842e-7 all-time high within the dataset before encountering peak resistance.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A +769% 7-day gain with 127.6% daily return volatility places momentum firmly in overbought territory by any conventional measure. The single-candle breakout from a 13-session consolidation base is a high-momentum signal, but the magnitude of the move relative to the prior range suggests mean-reversion pressure is building. Smart money traders have already booked substantial realized gains, which is a leading indicator that profit-taking may accelerate.

Volume Analysis

Buy 54.8%Sell 45.2%

Volume Trend: Increasing

The $183,374 combined 24h volume against a $191,907 market cap represents a near-100% daily turnover ratio — an extreme figure indicating speculative frenzy. All volume was compressed into a 4-hour window, amplifying the signal that this is a momentum event. The 54.8% buy pressure is positive but not overwhelmingly so, suggesting sellers are actively participating even during the pump.

Recent Price Action

Extended 13-session base consolidation between $2.1e-8 and $2.6e-8 followed by a single-session parabolic breakout to $2.048e-7, representing approximately an 8x move from the consolidation midpoint in one candle.

This pattern — tight base followed by a vertical breakout — is characteristic of meme-token viral pumps. It can extend further if social momentum sustains, but historically these patterns resolve with a sharp retracement to the breakout origin (the $2.926e-8 immediate support zone) once buying pressure exhausts.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$2.926e-8
Major$1.911e-8
Resistance
Immediate$2.842e-7
Major$2.842e-7

Immediate support at $2.926e-8 represents the top of the prior 13-session consolidation range and is the first meaningful floor if the pump reverses — a break below this level would signal the breakout has failed. Major support at $1.911e-8 is the 34-day range low and represents the worst-case retracement target. Both immediate and major resistance converge at $2.842e-7, the 34-day swing high — a clean test and rejection here would form a double-top pattern, while a sustained close above it would open price discovery territory.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders1,219
24h Change+154
Growth Rate+13%

The 31-day holder timeseries (889→1,041, net +152) shows accelerating growth that predates today's pump, suggesting the community was already expanding before the price breakout. The 13% single-day holder increase of 154 wallets is likely pump-driven onboarding, which historically includes a high proportion of short-term speculators who exit quickly — making the post-pump holder retention rate the key metric to watch.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders35%
Top 100 Holders82%
Retail Holders18.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

While the top-10 holders control 35% of supply, the largest single position (14.27%) is a protocol/contract wallet that is not dumpable. Stripping that out, the nine individual whale wallets hold a combined 27.9% of dumpable supply — a meaningful but not critical concentration level. The top-100 controlling 82% is high, but this is typical for meme tokens of this age and size. Retail's 18% share limits their collective price impact, meaning whale coordination or defection will dominate price direction.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest recent on-chain swaps are modest in absolute size: a $1,720 sell by 0xd6cbcb, a $1,131 buy by 0x370a7e, a $1,003 buy by 0xedfeff, a $938 buy by 0x331d9a, and two sells totalling $1,415 by 0x433703. No single transaction exceeds $1,720, indicating that the large holders have not yet made significant moves — the pump appears driven by many small participants rather than whale accumulation.

  • •SELL $1,720 by 0xd6cbcb — largest single transaction in the recent window, on the sell side
  • •Two sells totalling $1,415 by 0x433703 — same wallet executed back-to-back sells, suggesting deliberate distribution

The absence of large whale transactions during a +682% price move is a double-edged signal: it means the pump was not whale-manufactured, but it also means the large holders (27.9% dumpable supply) have not yet participated — they remain a latent sell pressure that could materialize at any time, particularly given that whale 0x9f3095 is sitting on an unrealized gain of approximately 6x from its avg buy of $3.326e-8.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Medium
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Six identified smart money wallets have all realized profits on this token, with gains ranging from +87% (0x433988, 0x1f4c19) to +1,277% (0xfd7e55). The top performer, 0xf679c6, booked +$36,833 at +1,181% across 17 trades, indicating a systematic trading approach rather than a lucky single entry.

The presence of six profitable smart money traders with realized gains — not just unrealized paper profits — confirms that informed participants have been actively harvesting this token across multiple trade cycles. The high profit-taking risk stems from the fact that these wallets have already demonstrated willingness to sell; with the current price at a 34-day high, the incentive to take further profits is elevated. The +1,277% gain by 0xfd7e55 across just 3 trades suggests a high-conviction swing trader who may re-enter after a pullback.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$54,665
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

With only $54,665 in Uniswap v2 liquidity against a $191,907 market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 28% — shallow by any standard. A single whale selling their 3% position (worth ~$5,757 at current prices) would represent over 10% of the liquidity pool, causing significant slippage. The $183,374 in 24h volume is 3.4x the total liquidity, meaning the pool has been cycled multiple times today — a pattern that can rapidly drain liquidity if LPs exit.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 127.6% is extreme — this means the token routinely moves by more than its own value in a single day. The +769% 7-day gain was preceded by 13 sessions of near-flat price action, confirming that volatility arrives in sudden, unpredictable bursts rather than gradual moves.

Liquidity
High

Only $54,665 in Uniswap v2 liquidity supports a $191,907 market cap. The 24h volume of $183,374 is 3.4x the liquidity pool, meaning any coordinated exit by even mid-sized holders will face severe slippage. Exit liquidity is the primary practical risk for current holders.

Concentration
Medium

Dumpable supply of 27.9% across nine individual whale wallets is the genuine concentration risk — the 14.27% protocol/contract position is not dumpable and should not inflate this assessment. At current prices, the nine whale wallets collectively hold approximately $53,542 worth of tokens against a $54,665 liquidity pool, meaning a coordinated whale exit could effectively drain the pool.

Smart Contract
Medium

The 52/100 security score and verified contract present a mixed risk profile. Renounced ownership and burned LP tokens eliminate deployer-side manipulation vectors, but the below-average security score suggests potential code-level vulnerabilities that have not been publicly disclosed.

Regulatory
Medium

As a meme token with no utility, GINNAN faces the same regulatory uncertainty as all speculative crypto assets. The false 'first ERC-20' marketing claim could attract regulatory scrutiny if it is deemed misleading to investors in jurisdictions with active crypto enforcement.

Key Risks

  • •Whale exit risk: Nine individual wallets hold 27.9% of dumpable supply, with at least one (0x9f3095) sitting on an approximately 6x unrealized gain from its avg buy of $3.326e-8 — a single large exit into $54,665 of liquidity would cause catastrophic slippage
  • •Pump-and-dump pattern: The 13-session flat consolidation followed by a single-candle 8x breakout, with all 24h trading compressed into a 4-hour window, matches classic pump-and-dump mechanics — the dump phase has not yet occurred
  • •Insider allocation: Whale 0xd65687 (2.85% of supply) received its position via transfer/airdrop with no DEX swap history and a wallet first active on 2026-06-12, suggesting insider distribution that bypassed the open market

Mitigating Factors

  • •Renounced ownership and burned LP tokens eliminate the deployer's ability to rug-pull via contract modification or liquidity removal — a meaningful structural protection
  • •The token is 31.3 months old and has survived multiple market cycles without going to zero, suggesting some baseline community resilience

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme-token mechanics, can afford to lose their entire position, and are capable of monitoring on-chain activity in real time. It is not suitable for long-term investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio.

GINNAN presents a high-risk, high-reward speculative opportunity driven entirely by community momentum and meme narrative rather than fundamental value. The multi-week uptrend and smart money participation are genuine positives, but the shallow liquidity, insider-allocated whale wallets, and false project narrative create asymmetric downside risk that most investors should not underestimate.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Social media momentum sustains and attracts a new wave of retail buyers, pushing the holder count past 1,500 and driving price to test and break above the $2.842e-7 resistance into price discovery. Smart money traders who have already taken profits re-enter on dips, providing a floor, and the 0/0 tax structure encourages high-frequency trading that keeps volume elevated.

  • +Viral social media campaign on Twitter/Telegram driving new holder onboarding beyond the current 1,219 base
  • +Smart money re-accumulation after a controlled pullback to the $2.926e-8 immediate support level
Base Case

Price consolidates in the $5e-8 to $1.5e-7 range over the next 30 days as early pump participants take profits and a subset of new holders remain. Holder count stabilizes around 1,000–1,100 as short-term speculators exit. The token maintains a small but persistent community and trades at a fraction of its pump peak, similar to its pre-pump consolidation pattern.

  • •Whale wallets distribute gradually rather than in a single coordinated exit, preventing a complete liquidity drain
  • •The community retains enough participants post-pump to sustain baseline trading activity on Uniswap v2
Bear Case
High

The pump exhausts within 24–48 hours as the compressed trading window closes and momentum fades. One or more of the nine individual whale wallets (collectively 27.9% of supply) begins distributing into the thin $54,665 liquidity pool, causing cascading slippage and triggering stop-losses. Price retraces to the $2.926e-8 immediate support or lower toward the $1.911e-8 major support, erasing the majority of the pump gains.

  • -Whale profit-taking from wallets sitting on large unrealized gains (e.g., 0x9f3095 at ~6x from avg buy)
  • -Liquidity exhaustion as the $183,374 daily volume has already cycled the $54,665 pool 3.4 times, increasing LP withdrawal incentives

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 26, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000000190382781890
Market Cap$191.9K
24h Volume$183.4K
Holders1,219
Liquidity$54.7K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v2 swap history)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Daily OHLC price history (34-day dataset)
Smart contract security assessment (52/100 score, verified contract status)
Smart money realized PnL data (six identified profitable traders)
Whale wallet forensics (acquisition method, first-active date, trade history)
Notable recent trade data (largest on-chain swaps)

Limitations

  • •90-day OHLC data is unavailable, limiting medium-term technical analysis to the 34-day dataset only
  • •The security score of 52/100 references specific contract vulnerabilities that are not enumerated in the provided data — a full Solidity audit would be required for complete smart contract risk assessment
  • •Holder tier thresholds (whale, shark, dolphin, fish, octopus) are Moralis-defined with unpublished exact supply-share cutoffs, limiting precise interpretation of tier distributions
  • •Social media sentiment and community quality cannot be assessed from on-chain data alone — Twitter and Telegram activity would require separate analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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