WXMR

Wrapped Monero Price Today & AI Analysis

WXMR
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 3, 2026

$510.08

+1.44%24h
LiveContract:0x465e07d6028830124be2e4aa551fbe12805db0f5Chain:EthereumHolders:643Market cap:$3.57MLiquidity:$156.14K

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Ask Unhosted AI about WXMR

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 3, 2026, 03:00 AM UTC
Market Cap

$3.57M

24h Volume

$20.88K

Liquidity

$156.14K

FDV

—

Holders

643

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Wrapped Monero (WXMR) is a 68.2-month-old ERC-20 token on Ethereum that claims to represent Monero (XMR) on a 1:1 basis, custodied by BTSE, allowing XMR holders to participate in Ethereum DeFi. At $510.08 per token with a fully diluted market cap of $3.57M and a fixed supply of 7,000 tokens, it is a micro-cap asset with very limited liquidity ($156K) and a small holder base of 643 addresses. The price trend is strongly bullish across all measured windows (7d: +10.1%, 30d: +42.6%, 90d: +72.2%), but the thin market structure means price discovery is fragile and highly susceptible to single-actor moves. Investors must weigh the genuine utility of bridging XMR to Ethereum against the custodial, concentration, and liquidity risks inherent in this structure.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 3, 2026, 03:00 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bullish
One of the few ERC-20 representations of Monero, enabling XMR exposure within Ethereum DeFi without leaving the EVM ecosystem
Fixed total supply of exactly 7,000 tokens, directly mirroring the custodied XMR reserve rather than an arbitrary issuance schedule
Token has survived 68+ months on-chain, giving it unusual longevity for a micro-cap wrapped asset, though this does not validate the custodian's solvency

Wrapped Monero AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

WXMR is trading at $510.08, sitting at 88% of its 90-day range ($294.49–$540.07), with a 7-day gain of +10.1% confirming near-term upward momentum. The price has closed higher in 10 of the last 14 daily sessions, with the most recent sequence showing a steady climb from $414 to $510. Immediate resistance at $518.97 is the next test; a clean break would open the path toward the 90-day high at $540.07.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day gain of +42.6% and 90-day gain of +72.2% establish a sustained uptrend that is not a short-term anomaly. With price already at 88% of the 90-day range, the major resistance at $540.07 is the logical medium-term target, and a breakout above it would represent a new multi-month high. The underlying XMR market and any expansion of the wrapped-token use case on Ethereum are the primary drivers to watch.

Bullish Factors
  • +Strong multi-timeframe trend: +10.1% over 7 days, +42.6% over 30 days, and +72.2% over 90 days, all pointing in the same direction
  • +Price is at 88% of the 90-day range ($294.49–$540.07), indicating sustained buying pressure rather than a brief spike
  • +14-session daily close sequence shows a consistent staircase pattern from $414 to $510 with no major reversal candles
  • +Buy pressure at 53.6% of 24-hour volume ($11,201 buys vs. $9,678 sells) reflects modest but real net demand
Bearish Factors
  • -Total liquidity of only $156,139 on Uniswap means even modest sell orders can cause significant slippage and price dislocations
  • -Top 10 holders control 89.3% of the 7,000-token supply, creating extreme concentration risk with no per-wallet data available to assess dumpable supply
  • -Daily volume of ~$21K is negligible relative to the $3.57M market cap (~0.6% turnover), signalling very low market participation and price discovery quality
  • -The 1:1 XMR backing claim relies entirely on BTSE as custodian — counterparty and redemption risk cannot be verified on-chain from available data

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

WXMR call history

Full track record →
Sep 3bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x465e...b0f5
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Custodian failure or insolvency: if BTSE fails to maintain the 1:1 XMR reserve or ceases operations, WXMR holders may be unable to redeem their tokens for XMR, potentially rendering the token worthless regardless of on-chain price
•Regulatory action targeting Monero: XMR has been delisted from multiple major exchanges due to privacy-coin regulations; escalating regulatory pressure could impair BTSE's ability to custody XMR and undermine the entire WXMR value proposition
•Liquidity collapse: with only $156K in on-chain liquidity and 89.3% of supply in the top 10 holders, a coordinated or even uncoordinated exit by large holders could drain the Uniswap pool and make the token effectively untradeable

Trading Insight

bullish

Market sentiment is mildly bullish: buy pressure accounts for 53.6% of 24-hour volume, and the buy/sell transaction split (25 buys vs. 24 sells) is nearly balanced, suggesting cautious accumulation rather than aggressive demand. The low absolute volume ($20,879 combined) means the sentiment score reflects direction more than conviction.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

Both short- and medium-term trends are unambiguously bullish based on daily OHLC data. The 7-day gain of +10.1% confirms the short-term uptrend, while the 30-day gain of +42.6% and 90-day gain of +72.2% confirm the medium-term trend. The 14-session close sequence (from $414.21 to $510.08) shows a consistent pattern of higher lows and higher highs with no sustained reversal.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

With price at 88% of the 90-day range and a 72.2% gain over that period, momentum indicators would likely register overbought conditions. The daily volatility of 3.2% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate, but the sustained directional move without a meaningful pullback — the deepest recent dip was from $523.30 to $499.81 — suggests stretched conditions near the $518.97–$540.07 resistance zone.

Volume Analysis

Buy 53.6%Sell 46.4%

Volume Trend: Stable

Daily trading volume of approximately $21K is consistent with a micro-cap asset of this liquidity profile but is insufficient to confirm the price trend with high conviction. The stable but low volume during an uptrend can indicate a lack of sellers rather than strong buyer demand — a subtle but important distinction for assessing trend durability.

Recent Price Action

The 14-session daily close sequence shows a staircase uptrend: $414.21 → $430.13 → $421.83 (minor pullback) → $443.22 → $432.91 (minor pullback) → $441.70 → $463.30 → $464.42 → $468.06 → $488.91 → $523.30 (spike) → $499.81 (pullback) → $503.10 → $510.08 (recovery). The pattern of higher lows following each pullback is constructive.

The staircase pattern with shallow pullbacks (the deepest being ~4.5% from $523.30 to $499.81) indicates controlled buying rather than speculative frenzy. However, the approach toward the $518.97 immediate resistance and $540.07 major resistance (the 90-day high) means the next few sessions are technically decisive for trend continuation.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$499.7
Major$294.49
Resistance
Immediate$518.97
Major$540.07

The immediate support at $499.7 corresponds to a recent swing low and is the first line of defence for the current uptrend — a daily close below it would signal short-term trend deterioration. Major support at $294.49 is the 90-day range low, representing the worst-case technical floor. On the upside, immediate resistance at $518.97 is the near-term hurdle; a sustained break above it targets the 90-day high at $540.07, which is also the major resistance and the level that would need to be cleared to establish a new multi-month high.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 3.2% (standard deviation) compounds to significant weekly and monthly swings. The 90-day range of $294.49 to $540.07 represents an 83% spread from low to high, and the current position at 88% of that range means downside to the range low is substantial. Thin liquidity amplifies volatility further.

Liquidity
High

Total on-chain liquidity of $156,139 on Uniswap is extremely shallow for a $3.57M market cap asset (liquidity-to-mcap ratio of ~4.4%). A trade of even $10,000–$20,000 would likely cause meaningful slippage, and a large holder redemption could drain the pool entirely. This is a critical risk for anyone holding a position of meaningful size.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 89.3% of the 7,000-token supply. Per-wallet data is unavailable, so it is impossible to determine how much of this is held by protocol contracts, exchange wallets, or individual actors. Given the absence of classification data, the full 89.3% must be treated as potentially dumpable, which represents a severe concentration risk.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data is available on this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rather than an actual assessment. The token's 68-month operational history without a reported exploit provides weak positive evidence, but the absence of audit data means smart contract risk cannot be properly evaluated.

Regulatory
High

Monero (XMR) is a privacy coin that has faced delistings from regulated exchanges globally due to anti-money-laundering compliance concerns. A wrapped ERC-20 version of XMR inherits this regulatory exposure and may face additional scrutiny as a mechanism for bringing privacy-coin functionality into the Ethereum DeFi ecosystem. Regulatory action against XMR or BTSE could directly impair WXMR's backing and redeemability.

Key Risks

  • •Custodian failure or insolvency: if BTSE fails to maintain the 1:1 XMR reserve or ceases operations, WXMR holders may be unable to redeem their tokens for XMR, potentially rendering the token worthless regardless of on-chain price
  • •Regulatory action targeting Monero: XMR has been delisted from multiple major exchanges due to privacy-coin regulations; escalating regulatory pressure could impair BTSE's ability to custody XMR and undermine the entire WXMR value proposition
  • •Liquidity collapse: with only $156K in on-chain liquidity and 89.3% of supply in the top 10 holders, a coordinated or even uncoordinated exit by large holders could drain the Uniswap pool and make the token effectively untradeable

Mitigating Factors

  • •The token has operated for 68.2 months without a publicly reported custodian failure or exploit, providing a limited but real track record of operational continuity
  • •The fixed supply of 7,000 tokens with no inflationary emissions means there is no protocol-level dilution risk for existing holders

Investor Suitability

WXMR is suitable only for sophisticated investors with a high risk tolerance who specifically want ERC-20 exposure to Monero's price action and understand the custodial, regulatory, and liquidity risks involved. It is not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those unfamiliar with wrapped-asset mechanics, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. Position sizes should be limited given the severe liquidity constraints.

WXMR offers a technically unique but structurally fragile way to gain Monero exposure within Ethereum DeFi. The bullish price trend across all measured windows is real, but it is built on a very thin liquidity and holder base, making it vulnerable to rapid reversal. The investment thesis hinges almost entirely on XMR price appreciation and BTSE custodian reliability.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Native XMR price continues to appreciate, driving WXMR toward and beyond its 90-day high of $540.07. Increased DeFi interest in privacy-preserving assets brings new liquidity and holders to WXMR, deepening the Uniswap pool and improving price stability. BTSE maintains transparent proof-of-reserves, validating the 1:1 backing.

  • +Sustained XMR bull market driven by demand for privacy-preserving cryptocurrencies
  • +Growth in DeFi protocols willing to integrate WXMR, increasing utility and demand for the wrapped token
Base Case

WXMR continues to track XMR price with moderate volatility, trading in the $450–$540 range over the medium term. Liquidity remains thin and the holder base stays small, limiting both upside and downside velocity. The token remains a niche instrument used by a small cohort of DeFi-native XMR holders.

  • •BTSE continues to operate and maintain the XMR reserve without a publicly reported incident
  • •No major regulatory shock specifically targeting Monero or wrapped privacy-coin products in the near term
Bear Case
Medium

Regulatory pressure on Monero intensifies, leading to further exchange delistings and impairing BTSE's ability to custody XMR. Large holders (who control 89.3% of supply) begin redeeming or selling, draining the thin Uniswap liquidity pool and causing a rapid price collapse. The token reverts toward the 90-day low of $294.49 or lower.

  • -Escalating global regulatory action against privacy coins, directly threatening the XMR custodian model
  • -Exit by one or more of the top-10 concentrated holders into a $156K liquidity pool, causing catastrophic slippage

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 3, 2026, 03:00 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$510.081510734
Market Cap$3.57M
24h Volume$20.9K
Holders643
Liquidity$156.1K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history and size-tier distribution data were unavailable for this chain, preventing trend analysis of the holder base
  • •Whale transaction data and individual wallet behaviour were unavailable, making it impossible to assess how large holders are managing their positions
  • •Contract-security data (audit status, ownership, honeypot checks) was unavailable on this chain's data provider, leaving smart contract risk unassessed
  • •The 1:1 XMR backing claim and BTSE custodian solvency cannot be verified from on-chain data alone
  • •Extremely low daily volume (~$21K) means price discovery is of limited quality and technical levels carry less statistical weight than they would for higher-liquidity assets

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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