BOX

DeBoxToken Price Today & AI Analysis

BOX
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 4, 2026

$0.0235

-10.24%24h
LiveContract:0x32b77729cd87f1ef2bea4c650c16f89f08472c69Chain:EthereumHolders:13.0KMarket cap:$11.96MLiquidity:$56.92K

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Ask Unhosted AI about BOX

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 4, 2026, 06:45 PM UTC
Market Cap

$11.96M

24h Volume

$61.77K

Liquidity

$56.92K

FDV

—

Holders

13.0K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

DeBoxToken (BOX) is an Ethereum-based token tied to the DeBox ecosystem, now 24.7 months old with a circulating supply of 1 billion tokens and a market cap of approximately $11.96M against a fully diluted valuation of $23.54M. The token is in a sustained multi-month downtrend, having lost 42.7% of its value over the past 90 days and currently trading at just 22% of its 91-day range. Liquidity is critically thin at $56,923, creating meaningful slippage risk for any position of size. The top 10 holders control 88.4% of supply, and without per-wallet classification data, the concentration risk cannot be fully assessed.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 4, 2026, 06:45 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bearish
Part of the DeBox ecosystem with stated multiple utility use cases for BOX, distinguishing it from pure speculative tokens
Token has survived 24.7 months on-chain, providing a longer operational track record than most small-cap Ethereum tokens
Extreme supply concentration (88.4% in top 10 holders) combined with very shallow liquidity creates an unusually asymmetric risk profile

DeBoxToken AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

BOX is in a clear short-term downtrend, with the 7-day return at -7.0% and the price sitting at just 22% of its 91-day range ($0.01635–$0.04894). The most recent daily closes show a consistent step-down from $0.02871 to $0.02355, with no meaningful recovery attempt. Sell pressure at 51.9% and a net sell volume imbalance ($32,084 vs $29,684) reinforce the bearish near-term bias.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

The 30-day return of -4.8% and 90-day return of -42.7% confirm a sustained medium-term downtrend, not a temporary dip. With price near the lower quartile of its 91-day range and daily volatility at 5.1%, the path of least resistance remains downward unless a structural catalyst reverses the trend. A recovery to the major resistance at $0.04894 would require more than a doubling from current levels, which is inconsistent with the prevailing momentum.

Bullish Factors
  • +Token is 24.7 months old, demonstrating project survival through multiple market cycles — not a fresh launch with immediate rug risk
  • +Price at 22% of its 91-day range ($0.01635–$0.04894) means the token is trading near multi-month lows, reducing downside relative to peak and offering a compressed entry zone for risk-tolerant buyers
  • +Buy transaction count in the last hour (47 buys vs 30 sells) and 4-hour window (56 buys vs 39 sells) shows more individual buy transactions than sells, suggesting retail accumulation interest even during the drawdown
Bearish Factors
  • -90-day price decline of -42.7% reflects deep structural selling pressure, not a short-term correction — the trend is entrenched across all measured windows (7d: -7.0%, 30d: -4.8%, 90d: -42.7%)
  • -Total liquidity of only $56,923 is extremely shallow relative to a $11.96M market cap, meaning even modest sell orders can move price significantly and amplify downside
  • -Top 10 holders control 88.4% of supply — with per-wallet classification unavailable, this extreme concentration represents an unquantifiable but material overhang risk

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

BOX call history

Full track record →
Sep 4bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x32b7...2c69
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Liquidity crisis risk: At $56,923 total liquidity, a coordinated exit by even one top-10 holder could drain the pool entirely, causing a near-total price collapse with no ability for other holders to exit at reasonable prices
•Concentration overhang: With 88.4% of supply in 10 wallets and no ability to classify those wallets as safe (protocol/exchange) or dangerous (individual whales), the token carries an unquantifiable but potentially existential distribution risk
•Sustained trend deterioration: The 90-day decline of 42.7% with price at 22% of range and no technical reversal signal means the token could continue declining toward the major support at $0.01635, representing an additional 30.6% downside from current levels

Trading Insight

bearish

Market sentiment for BOX is moderately bearish, with sell pressure at 51.9% and net sell volume of $2,400 over 24 hours. Notably, buy transaction counts exceed sell counts across the 1-hour, 4-hour, and 24-hour windows, suggesting that while more individual participants are buying, sellers are transacting in larger average sizes — a classic distribution pattern.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

BOX is in a confirmed downtrend across both short and medium timeframes. The 14-day daily close sequence from $0.02871 down to $0.02355 shows a staircase decline with no sustained recovery. The 7-day return of -7.0% and 90-day return of -42.7% are directionally consistent, confirming this is a structural trend rather than a temporary pullback.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

With price at 22% of its 91-day range and a 90-day decline of 42.7%, BOX exhibits oversold characteristics on a medium-term basis. Daily volatility of 5.1% (standard deviation of daily returns) indicates the token remains highly reactive, meaning oversold conditions can persist or deepen before any mean reversion occurs.

Volume Analysis

Buy 48.1%Sell 51.9%

Volume Trend: Stable

24-hour volume of $61,768 represents approximately 108% of the total liquidity pool ($56,923), indicating high relative turnover. The volume is roughly split between buys and sells, with no dramatic volume spike that would signal a capitulation bottom or a breakout attempt. Volume appears consistent with a token in a slow bleed rather than a sharp sell-off.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes trace a descending channel: $0.02871 → $0.02850 → $0.02723 → $0.02623 → $0.02694 → $0.02693 → $0.02532 → $0.02554 → $0.02575 → $0.02749 → $0.02496 → $0.02465 → $0.02709 → $0.02355. The brief recovery to $0.02749 and $0.02709 failed to hold, and the most recent close at $0.02355 is the lowest in the sequence.

The pattern of lower highs and lower lows, with each recovery attempt failing at a lower level than the previous, is a textbook bearish continuation signal. The failure at $0.02709 after the $0.02749 bounce confirms resistance is building at progressively lower levels.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.02252
Major$0.01635
Resistance
Immediate$0.02533
Major$0.04894

Immediate support at $0.02252 is the first line of defense — a break below this OHLC-derived level would open the path to the major support at $0.01635, which represents the 91-day range low and a further 30.6% decline from current price. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.02533 is just 0.7% above the current price, making it a near-term ceiling that the token has already tested and failed to hold in recent sessions. A reclaim of $0.02533 would be the minimum requirement to suggest any short-term stabilization; the major resistance at $0.04894 is the 91-day range high and would require a 107% rally from current levels.

Overall Risk:
High
72/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 5.1% (standard deviation) compounds to significant weekly and monthly swings. The 90-day range of $0.01635 to $0.04894 represents a 199% spread from low to high, and the token has already declined 42.7% over 90 days — demonstrating that large adverse moves are a realized, not theoretical, risk.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $56,923 on Uniswap is critically shallow. With 24-hour volume of $61,768 exceeding the liquidity pool, even moderate-sized trades will incur substantial slippage. A position of $5,000 would represent approximately 8.8% of the pool, likely resulting in double-digit slippage on entry or exit.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 88.4% of supply. Per-wallet classification data is unavailable, so it cannot be determined how much of this represents protocol contracts, exchange wallets, or individual dumpable positions. Given this uncertainty, concentration risk must be rated high — the worst-case scenario (individual whales holding 88.4%) cannot be ruled out.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract security data is available on this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rating rather than an actual assessment. Investors should independently verify contract verification status and audit history before committing capital.

Regulatory
Medium

As an Ethereum-based ecosystem token with no specific regulatory classification, BOX faces the standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to all unregistered crypto tokens in major jurisdictions. No specific regulatory flags are present in the available data.

Key Risks

  • •Liquidity crisis risk: At $56,923 total liquidity, a coordinated exit by even one top-10 holder could drain the pool entirely, causing a near-total price collapse with no ability for other holders to exit at reasonable prices
  • •Concentration overhang: With 88.4% of supply in 10 wallets and no ability to classify those wallets as safe (protocol/exchange) or dangerous (individual whales), the token carries an unquantifiable but potentially existential distribution risk
  • •Sustained trend deterioration: The 90-day decline of 42.7% with price at 22% of range and no technical reversal signal means the token could continue declining toward the major support at $0.01635, representing an additional 30.6% downside from current levels

Mitigating Factors

  • •Token age of 24.7 months provides evidence of project continuity — the contract has not been abandoned or exploited in its operational history
  • •Full circulating supply (100% of total supply in circulation) eliminates the risk of scheduled token unlocks creating sudden sell pressure

Investor Suitability

BOX is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with a specific thesis on the DeBox ecosystem's growth, who can afford to lose their entire investment. The combination of thin liquidity, extreme concentration, sustained downtrend, and unavailable security data makes this inappropriate for conservative or moderate-risk investors. Any position should be sized to account for potential total loss and the inability to exit at desired prices due to liquidity constraints.

BOX presents a high-risk, speculative opportunity tied to the DeBox ecosystem's adoption trajectory. The token's 24.7-month survival and full circulating supply are structural positives, but the 42.7% 90-day decline, critically thin liquidity, and unclassifiable 88.4% top-10 concentration create a risk profile that demands extreme caution.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The DeBox ecosystem releases a significant product update or partnership that drives genuine utility demand for BOX, attracting new holders and liquidity. Price recovers from the current 22%-of-range position toward the immediate resistance at $0.02533 and, with sustained momentum, tests the major resistance at $0.04894 — a potential 107% gain from current levels.

  • +A concrete DeBox ecosystem catalyst (product launch, exchange listing, or major partnership) that creates new demand for BOX utility
  • +Broader Ethereum altcoin market recovery that disproportionately benefits small-cap ecosystem tokens with existing user bases
Base Case

BOX continues to trade in a slow bleed pattern, oscillating between the immediate support ($0.02252) and immediate resistance ($0.02533) with occasional volatility spikes. Without a major catalyst, the token gradually loses value in line with the established 30-day trend of -4.8% per month.

  • •No major DeBox ecosystem announcement materially changes the demand profile for BOX in the near term
  • •Top-10 holders do not aggressively liquidate positions, allowing the token to maintain its current thin liquidity equilibrium
Bear Case
High

The sustained downtrend continues without a catalyst reversal, with price breaking below immediate support at $0.02252 and trending toward the major support at $0.01635 — a further 30.6% decline. Thin liquidity amplifies any selling, and the concentration overhang prevents meaningful recovery.

  • -Continued absence of ecosystem catalysts leaves the token without a demand driver to absorb the existing sell pressure
  • -Any top-10 holder reducing their position in the $56,923 liquidity pool would cause outsized price impact, triggering further panic selling

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 4, 2026, 06:45 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$0.0235419706602
Market Cap$11.96M
24h Volume$61.8K
Holders12,987
Liquidity$56.9K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history is unavailable for this chain — holder trend direction (growing or declining) cannot be assessed
  • •Whale transaction data is unavailable — individual large-holder behavior, accumulation, or distribution cannot be observed
  • •Contract security data is unavailable on this chain's data provider — no audit status, honeypot check, or ownership renouncement can be confirmed
  • •Per-wallet holder classification is unavailable — the 88.4% top-10 concentration cannot be decomposed into safe (protocol/exchange) vs. dumpable (individual whale) supply
  • •Smart-money cohort data is unavailable — profitable trader positioning and early-buyer status cannot be assessed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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