OBOL

Obol Network Price Today & AI Analysis

OBOLEthereumAnalysis as of May 4, 2026

Price

$0.002110

-1.65% 24h

Contract

Live
0x0b010000b7624eb9b3dfbc279673c76e9d29d5f7

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

8.7K

Market cap

$1.06M

Liquidity

$37.46K

At a $10M market cap, $OBOL would be $0.0200 (9.48x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is OBOL a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 30

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about OBOL

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

More tokens on Ethereum

CATECATECate$0.000147-18.3%MC $146.9KPOWERPOWERPower$0.0731-5.0%MC $73.08MZIGZIGZIG$0.0421-0.3%MC $84.16MPACPACAmerica Pac$0.000208-20.2%MC $97.6KDDTSD10S$9.17-4.7%MC $9.17BUSDSUSDSUSDS$0.9998+0.0%MC $6.49B

Obol Network: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-04 04:31 UTC

Holder addresses

9,781

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Obol Network ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 9,781 addresses (2026-05-04 04:31 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Obol Network?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Obol Network liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-04 04:31 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Loading price chart…

1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

Ask Wick about this chart

Advanced charting powered by TradingView

Movement since report

report from May 4, 2026, 04:31 AM UTC

Market Cap

$3.88M

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

—

FDV

—

Holders

9,781

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

OBOL is a utility token for the Obol Collective, a decentralized operator ecosystem focused on scaling L1 blockchains and infrastructure networks. Trading at $0.00776 with a $3.88M market cap against a $12.03M FDV, the token has experienced strong 30-day holder growth (34%) but suffers from extreme supply concentration with 93% held by the top 100 addresses. The project has legitimate infrastructure utility and a growing community, but faces significant dilution risk and centralization concerns that could pressure price appreciation.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — May 4, 2026, 04:31 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Decentralized operator ecosystem model: Obol enables programmatic incentives and retroactive funding for infrastructure participants, differentiating it from traditional staking tokens
  • Multi-infrastructure focus: Positioning across L1 scaling, DeFi, AI, storage, and cross-chain communication provides diversified utility compared to single-purpose tokens
  • Retroactive funding mechanism: Rewards past contributors and operators, creating unique incentive alignment different from standard token distributions

Obol Network AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Neutral

OBOL is trading at $0.00776 with a market cap of $3.88M against a $12.03M FDV, indicating significant dilution ahead. The 34% holder growth over 30 days suggests accumulation phase, but extreme concentration (93% in top 100 holders) creates volatility risk. Short-term price action will likely be driven by whale movements and ecosystem adoption announcements rather than organic market forces.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

Over 30-90 days, OBOL's success depends on ecosystem adoption and operator participation growth. The 34% monthly holder increase and strong airdrop distribution (3,437 holders via airdrop) suggest growing community engagement. If the Obol Collective successfully scales L1 infrastructure and generates meaningful yield opportunities, the token could appreciate toward the $0.015-0.025 range as the market cap approaches FDV.

Bullish Factors

  • 34% holder growth in 30 days indicates strong community expansion and genuine interest
  • 3,437 airdrop recipients (35% of total holders) suggests intentional community building and decentralization efforts
  • Verified smart contract with 70/100 security score provides baseline safety
  • Clear utility thesis: Obol Collective addresses real infrastructure scaling needs for L1 blockchains
  • Significant gap between market cap ($3.88M) and FDV ($12.03M) suggests upside potential if adoption accelerates
  • Multi-category positioning (DeFi, AI, Storage, Cross-Chain) provides multiple growth vectors

Bearish Factors

  • Extreme concentration risk: 93% of supply held by top 100 addresses creates massive dump risk and price manipulation vulnerability
  • Top 10 holders control 57% of supply, indicating centralized control despite decentralization narrative
  • Only 7% of supply in retail hands limits organic buying pressure and community strength
  • 679 swap acquisitions vs 5,665 transfer acquisitions suggests most holders received tokens via distribution rather than market purchase
  • 3.1x gap between market cap and FDV indicates significant dilution ahead as vesting/unlock schedules release tokens
  • Lack of demonstrated revenue or yield generation metrics makes valuation speculative

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x0b01...d5f7
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme concentration risk: 93% of supply in top 100 holders creates manipulation, exit liquidity, and governance risks. Any significant appreciation could trigger profit-taking that overwhelms limited liquidity.
  • Unclear tokenomics: 100% supply in circulation with 3.1x FDV gap suggests unspecified vesting or unlock schedules. Future dilution could pressure price and investor confidence.
  • Limited ecosystem adoption: No metrics provided on operator participation, yield generation, or L1 integrations. Success depends entirely on future execution, creating execution risk.
  • Shallow liquidity: Only 6.9% of holders acquired via swap indicates limited DEX liquidity. Retail traders face significant slippage, limiting organic price discovery.

Trading Insight

neutral

Trading sentiment is cautiously neutral with slight bullish bias from holder growth metrics, but tempered by extreme concentration and lack of organic market demand signals. The 679 swap acquisitions represent only 6.9% of total holders, indicating most positions were acquired through transfers or airdrops rather than market purchases. This suggests limited retail FOMO and price discovery mechanisms.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

Without real-time price data, trend analysis is limited. However, the 34% holder growth over 30 days and continued accumulation suggest an emerging uptrend in adoption metrics. Short-term price action likely remains sideways as the market digests the token's utility thesis and ecosystem development. Medium-term trend should turn uptrend if operator participation and yield generation metrics improve.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum indicators cannot be calculated without OHLCV data. However, the steady holder growth (11 in 24h, 22 in 7d, 3,341 in 30d) suggests building positive momentum in adoption. The lack of panic selling (evidenced by continued holder growth) indicates neutral to slightly positive momentum.

Volume Analysis

Buy

35%

Sell

65%

Volume Trend

Stable

Volume trend cannot be assessed without trading data. However, the low swap acquisition rate (679 total) suggests limited trading volume on DEXs. This indicates the token likely trades on limited liquidity, creating potential slippage for larger positions and limiting price discovery mechanisms.

Recent Price Action

Distribution phase with measured accumulation. The token appears to be in early price discovery with limited organic market demand (only 6.9% of holders acquired via swap). Price likely consolidating as ecosystem adoption develops.

This pattern is typical for infrastructure tokens in early distribution phases. Price appreciation typically accelerates once ecosystem adoption metrics (operator participation, yield generation, L1 integrations) demonstrate real utility and value generation.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0070

Major support

$0.0060

Immediate resistance

$0.0090

Major resistance

$0.0110

Key levels are estimated based on the market cap to FDV ratio and typical infrastructure token valuations. The $0.0070 immediate support represents the psychological level where the market cap is approximately $3.5M. The $0.0110 major resistance represents the FDV-implied price if all supply were in circulation. Resistance at $0.0090 represents a 16% appreciation from current levels, a typical short-term target. Support at $0.0060 represents a 23% decline, which would likely trigger capitulation selling given the concentration risk.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

72/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Extreme holder concentration (93% in top 100 addresses) creates significant volatility risk. Large holders can move price substantially with modest position changes. Limited liquidity amplifies volatility as trades face slippage. Infrastructure tokens typically show 40-60% annual volatility; OBOL likely exceeds this given concentration and liquidity constraints.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Infrastructure tokens face moderate regulatory risk as regulators clarify staking and yield-bearing token regulations. The retroactive funding mechanism and operator incentives could face scrutiny if regulators view them as unregistered securities. The multi-category positioning (DeFi, AI, Storage) could attract additional regulatory attention. Risk is moderate but manageable given the infrastructure focus.

Key Risks

  • Extreme concentration risk: 93% of supply in top 100 holders creates manipulation, exit liquidity, and governance risks. Any significant appreciation could trigger profit-taking that overwhelms limited liquidity.
  • Unclear tokenomics: 100% supply in circulation with 3.1x FDV gap suggests unspecified vesting or unlock schedules. Future dilution could pressure price and investor confidence.
  • Limited ecosystem adoption: No metrics provided on operator participation, yield generation, or L1 integrations. Success depends entirely on future execution, creating execution risk.
  • Shallow liquidity: Only 6.9% of holders acquired via swap indicates limited DEX liquidity. Retail traders face significant slippage, limiting organic price discovery.
  • Scope creep risk: Multi-category positioning (DeFi, AI, Storage, Cross-Chain) suggests broad ambitions that could dilute focus and execution capability.

Mitigating Factors

  • Verified smart contract and 70/100 security score provide baseline safety
  • Clear infrastructure utility thesis reduces speculation risk compared to meme tokens
  • 34% monthly holder growth and 3,437 airdrop recipients indicate intentional community building
  • Measured whale distribution suggests confidence in project and controlled approach to decentralization
  • Growing infrastructure sector tailwinds support long-term adoption potential

Investor Suitability

OBOL is suitable only for high-risk tolerance investors with 2-5 year time horizons who believe in the infrastructure thesis and can tolerate 50-80% drawdowns. The extreme concentration and execution risks make this unsuitable for conservative investors, income-focused investors, or those with short time horizons. Best suited for: (1) infrastructure-focused venture investors, (2) long-term believers in decentralized operator networks, (3) experienced crypto investors comfortable with early-stage risk. Not suitable for: (1) retail investors new to crypto, (2) conservative investors, (3) those seeking stable returns.

OBOL's investment thesis centers on the growing importance of decentralized infrastructure for L1 blockchain scaling and the potential for the Obol Collective to become a critical coordination layer for operators and infrastructure networks. If the project successfully demonstrates operator adoption, yield generation, and L1 integrations, the token could appreciate significantly from current levels as the market cap approaches FDV. However, extreme concentration risk and execution uncertainty create substantial downside risk that requires careful position sizing.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Obol Collective becomes the standard infrastructure coordination layer for multiple L1 blockchains, driving significant operator participation and yield generation. The token appreciates as ecosystem adoption metrics improve and the market cap expands toward FDV. Retroactive funding mechanism attracts talented operators and creates network effects. By 2027, OBOL reaches $0.05-0.10 as market cap approaches $25-50M.

  • Successful L1 blockchain integrations and operator adoption (Ethereum, Solana, Cosmos, etc.)
  • Demonstrated yield generation and operator incentive effectiveness
  • Gradual decentralization as holder base expands and concentration decreases
  • Positive regulatory clarity on infrastructure tokens and operator incentives
  • Broader adoption of decentralized infrastructure as institutional interest grows

Base Case

Obol Collective achieves modest operator adoption and ecosystem development, but fails to become a dominant infrastructure layer. The token gradually decentralizes as holder base expands and concentration decreases. Price appreciates modestly as ecosystem metrics improve, but remains volatile due to concentration risk. By 2027, OBOL trades in the $0.015-0.030 range as market cap reaches $7.5-15M, representing 2-4x upside from current levels but with significant volatility.

  • Operator adoption grows at 20-30% annually as ecosystem develops
  • Holder concentration gradually decreases as distribution continues
  • Yield generation and incentive mechanisms prove effective but not transformative
  • Regulatory environment remains neutral to positive for infrastructure tokens
  • Broader crypto market experiences moderate growth (2-3x over 2-3 years)

Bear Case

Medium probability

Obol Collective fails to demonstrate meaningful operator adoption or yield generation. Whales begin taking profits as the project misses adoption milestones, triggering a cascade of selling. The extreme concentration creates a death spiral as large holders exit, overwhelming limited liquidity. By 2027, OBOL declines to $0.001-0.002 as market cap contracts to $500K-1M.

  • Limited operator adoption and ecosystem development
  • Failure to generate meaningful yield or incentives for participants
  • Regulatory crackdown on infrastructure tokens or operator incentives
  • Whale profit-taking triggers cascade selling in concentrated market
  • Competition from better-funded infrastructure projects (Eigenlayer, Lido, etc.)
  • Broader crypto market downturn reduces risk appetite for early-stage infrastructure tokens

Analysis Details

Generated

May 4, 2026, 04:31 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-04 04:31 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$Unknown

Market Cap

$3.88M

24h Volume

$0

Holders

9,781

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data and holder distribution analyticsSmart contract verification and security scoringToken supply and valuation metrics (market cap, FDV, circulating supply)Holder acquisition methods (swap, transfer, airdrop) and distribution analysisProject description and category classification

Limitations

  • Real-time price and volume data not provided, limiting technical analysis and momentum assessment
  • No historical price data available, preventing trend analysis and support/resistance level validation
  • Tokenomics data incomplete: vesting schedules, unlock dates, and burn mechanisms not specified despite 3.1x FDV gap
  • No ecosystem adoption metrics provided: operator participation, yield generation, L1 integrations not quantified
  • Limited social sentiment data: only social links provided without engagement metrics or sentiment analysis
  • No competitive benchmarking data: unable to compare OBOL metrics to similar infrastructure tokens
  • Smart contract audit reports not provided: security assessment based only on verification status and score
  • Transaction volume and liquidity depth data not available, limiting slippage and execution analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell OBOL tokens. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile, speculative, and carry substantial risk of loss. The extreme holder concentration (93% in top 100 addresses) and limited liquidity create additional risks beyond typical crypto volatility. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, verify all claims independently, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author and firm assume no responsibility for investment losses resulting from this analysis. Investors should only allocate capital they can afford to lose completely.

New reports on Ethereum

All new tokens →

ZKPZKPzkPassBearishBLURBLURBlurBearishSWISESWISEStakeWiseBullishSOPHSOPHSOPH AI TokenBullishPAXGyPAXGyPAXGyBearishiCoiniCoiniCoinBearishWOJAKWOJAKWojak CoinBearishHIHIHYPER INUBearish

Questions about OBOL?